Hurricane intensity prediction

[John Clark]

For the last several years meteorologists have gotten quite good at predicting the path of hurricanes, but not at predicting their intensity, but now thanks to AI they are  good at both. The following article came from the October 29 issue of the journal Nature: 

 

"As early as 21 October — long before it was obvious that Melissa would be a monster storm — the model predicted a 50–60% chance that it would reach category 5, the DeepMind team says. On 23 October the model estimated that the storm had an 80% or higher chance of reaching this most powerful category. Melissa is entering the meteorological record books. On Tuesday morning its central pressure was 892 millibars and it had central winds of 298 kilometres per hour, matching the record for the most powerful Atlantic storm to make landfall. “I have been at this a long time and don’t recall seeing a more textbook structure for a powerful hurricane.”"

AI model predicted Hurricane Melissa’s perilous growth 

John K Clark