The following appeared a couple of years ago on the website Church and
State (a site very focused on the problems related to growth of
population.) He posited an evolutionary force, “Maximum Entropy
Production Principle.” Is this justified, and how does it relate to
the ideas of Becker. MEPP=Flipside of death denial, perhaps? What do
you think? Dan
We have made a real mess on this planet
By Paul Chefurka | 25 July 2013
paulchefurka.ca
Where did we go wrong?
Many of us who have been paying attention to the state of the world
over the last half century have now begun to realize with growing
horror that the progressive deterioration we have been tracking shows
no signs of resolution. In fact, to some of us it looks as though
there is no way to resolve this deepening crisis. The end of the track
is in sight. The planetary factory is in flames, and all the exit
doors are barred.
Proposed technical solutions are utterly inadequate to the scale of
the problem. Many ideas like geoengineering will simply make matters
worse. There is no political constituency for degrowth – none at all.
There is precious little political support for even putting a light
foot on the brake. This road to Hell has been paved with the very best
of intentions – giving our children a better life stands near the top
of the list – but here we are nonetheless. The climate is signalling
that our future may be a little warmer than we were expecting, once
our seven-billion-passenger train passes those gates.
Now that the denouement is in sight, I’m setting aside the anger and
outrage, the blame and shame, to focus my attention instead on why
this outcome seems to have been utterly inevitable and unstoppable.
Why has this happened? I don’t buy the traditional “broken morality”
or “flawed genetics” arguments. After all, our genetics seemed to be
perfectly appropriate for a million years, and the elements of
morality that some of us see as sub-optimal (the greed and
shortsightedness) have been with us to varying degrees since before
the days of Australopithecus. I don’t think it’s just a mistake on our
part or a bug in the program – it appears to be a part of the program
of life itself. It looks to me as though much deeper forces have been
at work throughout human history, and have shaped this outcome.
The main difficulty I have with all the technical, political, economic
and social reform proposals I’ve seen is that they run counter to some
very deep-seated aspects of human behavior and decision-making.
Mainly, they assume that human intelligence and analytical ability
control our behavior, and from what I’ve seen, that’s simply not true.
In fact it’s untrue to such an extent that I don’t even think it’s a
“human” issue per se.
I have come to think that most of our collective choices and actions
are shaped by physical forces so deep that they can’t even be called
“genetic”. I haven’t written anything definitive about this yet, but
the conclusion I have come to in the last six months is that a
physical principle called the “Maximum Entropy Production Principle”,
which is closely related to the Second Law of Thermodynamics, actually
underlies the structure of life itself. Its operation has shaped the
energy-seeking, replicative behavior of everything from bacteria to
humans. All our intelligence does is makes its operation more effective.
This principle is behind the appearance of life in the first place,
has guided the development of genetic replication and natural
selection, and has embedded itself in our behavior at the very deepest
level. Like all life, our mandate is simple: survive and reproduce so
as to form a metastable dissipative structure. All of human behavior
and history has been oriented towards executing this mandate as
effectively as possible. This “survive and reproduce” program springs
from a universal law of physics, much like gravity. As a result it
even precedes genetics as a driver of human behavior. And lest there
be any lingering doubt about the connection to our current
predicament, the survival imperative is what causes all living
organisms to exhibit energy-seeking behavior. Humans just do this
better than any other organism in the history of the planet because of
our intelligence.
In this context, the evolutionary fitness role of human intelligence
is to act as a limit-removal mechanism, to circumvent any obstacles in
the way of making our growth in terms of energy use and reproduction
more effective. It’s why we are blind to the need for limits both as
individuals (in general) and collectively as cultures. We acknowledge
limits only when they are so close as to present an immediate
existential threat, as they were and are in hunter-gatherer societies.
As a result we tend to make hard changes only in response to a crisis,
not in advance of it. Basically, the goal of life is to live rather
than die, and to do this it must grow rather than shrink. This
imperative governs everything we think and do.
As a result, I don’t think humanity in general will put any kind of
sustainability practices in place until long after they are actually
needed (i.e. after population and consumption rates have begun to
crash). I don’t think it is possible for a group as large as 7 billion
people to agree that such proactive measures are necessary. We are as
blind to the need for limits as a fish is to water and for similar
reasons. After the crisis has incontrovertibly begun we’ll do all
kinds of things, but by then we will be hampered by the climate crisis
and by severe shortages of both resources and the technology needed to
use them.
I have given up speculating on possible outcomes, because they are so
inherently unpredictable, at least in detail. But what I’m discovering
about the way life works at a deep level makes me continually less
optimistic. I now think near-term human extinction (say within the
next hundred years) has a significantly non-zero probability.
Our cybernetic civilization is approaching a “Kardashev Type 0/1
boundary” and I don’t think it’s possible for us to make the jump to
Type 1. Like most other people, Kardashev misunderstood the underlying
drivers of human behavior, assuming them to be a combination of
ingenuity and free will. We indeed have ingenuity, but only in the
direction of growth (and damn the entropic consequences). We can’t
manage preemptive de-growth or even the application of the
Precautionary Principle, because as a collective organism humanity
doesn’t actually have free will (despite what it feels like to us
individual humans). Instead we exhibit an emergent behavior that is
entirely oriented towards growth.
I see no purpose in wasting further physical, financial or emotional
energy on trying to avoid the inevitable. Given our situation and what
I think is its root cause, I generally tell people who see the
unfolding crisis and want to make changes in their lives simply to
follow their hearts and their personal values. I’m not exactly
advising them to “Eat, drink and be merry”, though. You might think of
it more as, “Eat, drink and be mindful.”
Paul Chefurka is a Canadian sustainability activist.
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