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Mar 27, 2023, 7:05:45 AM3/27/23
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애니 푸른 오케스트라 다시보기 1화-12화 완결 한글자막 다운 2023 2분기<<

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3. In an interview with Fact Check, Professor Lim Jong-han said, "The actual rate of birth defects in Korea is estimated to be 'between 3% and 5%,' and this is "not different from the global average." In the data, the statistics were 5.3% and 5.6%, respectively, and the statistics were reduced by saying 'between 5%', as well as the thesis of the paper that "the rate of congenital deformities in Korea is explosively increasing" [ 6] The interview was conducted as if the statistics were applied in 2022 as well.
4. Even if the data included multiple malformations, this alone is not enough to explain the high figure of 20%.

In fact, when refuting this graph showing the ratio of congenital abnormalities and deformities, the fact check data described above are often used for refutation. However, the fact check data itself was not written by an expert, and Professor Lim Jong-han's dissertation and interview also have many problems, so the claim of the fact check cannot be regarded as true. Crucially, the fact check argument contains only the content that "that statistic is not true", and does not contain the specific content of "the actual rate of congenital abnormalities is **%, not 20%", which makes it even less persuasive. Data from the Ministry of Health and Welfare in 2018, which was decisively cited in the graph, also cannot be explained.

According to data submitted by the Ministry of Health and Welfare by Rep. In Jae-geun of the Democratic Party of Korea, the rate of congenital abnormalities in 2009 was 516 per 10,000, and in 2018, the number of congenital abnormalities was 1,538 per 10,000, with 15.38% estimated as congenital abnormalities [7]. This was identified as a three-fold increase compared to 2009. # Therefore, there can be no disagreement that the Ministry of Health and Welfare officials said that the number of congenitally abnormal children was 15.38% as of 2018. In addition, since this is a figure that has increased 3 times compared to 2009, compared to the 2009 statistics of the arithmetically dying professor's dissertation, 11.16%[8], 3 times the 3.72%, is likely to be a severely deformed child as of 2018. Therefore, given the current trend in which the average maternal age continues to increase, it is not at all strange that the proportion of congenital abnormalities is over 20% and the proportion of severely deformed children is over 10% as of 2022.

While some compare the birthing age of Japan and Korea, the average birthing age of mothers in Japan is 30 years old, and Korea is 32 years old, so even though there is only a 2-year difference, Japan's 2018 congenital deformity rate is 2.5% [9], whereas Korea's It is argued that it is a statistical error that the ratio of congenital deformities is over 20% and the difference in the ratio of deformities is about 10 times. This is only partly true, but as described above, the 20% rate is not the rate of deformed children, but the rate of 'congenital deformities', and the rate of deformed children in Korea is estimated to be around 10% according to statistics, so Korea has a 3 to 4 times higher rate of deformed children than Japan. A lot. Also, as described in the Nosan document, a 2-3 year age difference from the age of 30 can increase the rate of deformed children by 2 to 3 times, so claiming that "it is only a 2-year difference, but the difference in the rate of deformed children is too great" is not right.

In addition, as a hypothesis for correcting the deformity rate, there is a hypothesis that the maternal age sample in Korea is distributed in two modes. In Korea, people with stable jobs such as civil servants give birth to children at the age of 25, and if they cannot marry for reasons such as having unstable jobs, they often give birth to children around the age of 35, so the sample does not follow a normal distribution, but follows a double peak pattern. is a hypothesis In this case, for example, if 30% of mothers give birth at the age of 25 and 70% of mothers give birth at the age of 35, the average age at childbirth is 32 years. However, in this case, when comparing the incidence of Down syndrome described in the old birth document, if all mothers are 32 years old, the incidence of Down syndrome is 1:700, whereas in the case of a 3:7 ratio as in the example, it is 1:453 increases up to With this logic, it is hypothesized that the rate of deformed babies is higher than the actual estimate because mothers in their 20s are reducing the average mother's age in Korea. In order to verify the hypothesis, it seems that the median and mode values of the mother's age must be disclosed to determine the fact.
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