Sharekhan Investor's Eye dated September 12, 2006

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Sunil

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Sep 12, 2006, 10:36:27 PM9/12/06
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Investor's Eye
[September 12, 2006] Please see the attachment for details
Summary of Contents

PULSE TRACK

  • July 2006 IIP grows at 12.4% in line with expectations


STOCK UPDATE

Aditya Birla Nuvo

Cluster: Apple Green
Recommendation: Buy 
Price target: Rs1,031
Current market price: Rs812

ABN to raise Rs780 crore through rights
Yesterday Aditya Birla Nuvo (ABN) received the approval from its board of directors to raise up to Rs780.0 crore through the issue of equity shares to the existing shareholders on a rights basis. The proceeds of this issue will be used to repay part of the existing debt and for other corporate purposes. The ratio at which the shares will be issued to the existing shareholders as well as the price per share would be decided by the board and announced at a later date. The promoters (the Aditya Birla group), who hold around 34.2% of equity, have expressed their full commitment to this offer, ie the promoters will be fully subscribing to the shares allotted to them. 




Reliance Industries
Cluster: Evergreen
Recommendation: Buy 
Price target: Rs1,200
Current market price: Rs1,107

Q2FY2007 earnings to be volatile
The declining prices of crude as well as finished products may also increase the inventory losses of RIL. The price of gasoline is lower by about 4% over the previous quarter whereas that of diesel has remained flat. 

The declining GRMs and plant shutdown, along with inventory losses would make it difficult to forecast RIL's earnings for Q2FY2007.  


SECTOR UPDATE

Automobile

Monsoon and floods impact sales
The monsoons and heavy floods in some parts of the country resulted in lower automobile sales numbers for August 2006. Though the car segment reported a good performance with a 16% domestic growth, the two-wheeler sales slowed down with just a 2.9% growth. The overall automobile sales volume rose by 6.5% with the domestic and export sales rising by 5.9% and 16.5% respectively.


INDUSTRY UPDATE

Positive market sentiment boosts mutual funds' AUM
The AUM for equity funds increased by 7.6% to Rs114,215 crore in August 2006. The rise was in line with the general upward movement seen in the equity markets.

Regards,
The Sharekhan Research Team
myac...@sharekhan.com  

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Investor's Eye-Sep12.pdf
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