Sharekhan Investor's Eye dated August 14, 2006

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Sunil

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Aug 15, 2006, 10:16:16 AM8/15/06
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Investor's Eye
[August 14, 2006] Please see the attachment for details
Summary of Contents

SHAREKHAN SPECIAL

Impact of floods

The monsoon has been advancing at an accelerated pace. So much so that many states are in the grip of floods. States like Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh (AP), Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh have witnessed heavy rains accompanied by devastating floods. But apart from disturbing the routine human life, the floods have also impacted India Inc in some way or the other. For example, heavy rains in Gujarat and parts of Maharashtra have affected the manufacturing activities of the companies located in these regions.

The floods have also impacted some of the companies under our coverage. We have presented below the companies that are likely to be impacted by the floods.



The good news has been priced in

We have been saying that the better-than-expected earnings of the corporates and a pause by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in hiking interest rates would be the key drivers of the Sensex in the short term (see our market outlook reports dated June 3, 2006 and August 2, 2006).

While both the factors have played out in favour of the markets, we believe that the same have already been priced in the valuations. The earnings of the corporates and the economic growth numbers (tax collections, IIP etc) remain buoyant and high cash levels of over Rs12,000 crore with the domestic mutual funds should also support the market. However, we do not see too much upside from here. 

Our 12-month target of the Sensex at 12,000 would give a return of only 6% from here on and this indicates that the market is now close to being fully valued.


STOCK UPDATE

Bharat Heavy Electricals
Cluster: Apple Green
Recommendation: Buy 
Price target: Rs2,650
Current market price: Rs2,180

Another order in the bag

India's largest power equipment company, Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd (BHEL) has bagged an order worth Rs1,224 crore from Uttar Pradesh Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam Ltd for the setting up of a thermal power plant in the state. The order entails the setting up of a 500-megawatt (MW) power plant, with two units of 250MW each (units 5 and 6) at Parichha TPS Extension, Uttar Pradesh. The project would be commissioned by 2009-10. Under the secured order BHEL would manufacture, supply, test and commission the main plant package along with its associated auxiliaries and civil works.

Regards,
The Sharekhan Research Team
myac...@sharekhan.com  

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Investor's Eye-Aug14.pdf
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