Again, before I write a reply, I'm forwarding. I don't really agree
with Paul, but I'll have to explain that in another email.
Bryan-
That news made slashdot too (and your submission, too):
"Amateurs Are Trying Genetic Engineering At Home"
http://science.slashdot.org/science/08/12/25/1833211.shtml
the_kanzure points out ths AP story on amateur genetic engineering,
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081225/ap_on_sc/do_it_yourself_dna
excerpting: "The Apple computer was invented in a garage. Same with the
Google search engine. Now, tinkerers are working at home with the basic
building blocks of life itself. Using homemade lab equipment and the wealth
of scientific knowledge available online, these hobbyists are trying to
create new life forms through genetic engineering a field long dominated by
Ph.D.s toiling in university and corporate laboratories." Reader resistant
has a few ideas about how to use this sort of lab: "Personally, I'd like to
whip up a reasonably long-lasting and durable paint made with dye based on
squid genes that glows brightly enough to allow 'guide lines' to be daubed
along hallway baseboards, powered by a very low trickle of electricity.
Plus, a harmless glowing yogurt would make for a cool prank."
Here is the obvious difference from working on "Clanking Replicators" or
other mechanical-electronic technology like sustainability stuff in your
garage and working on gene-splicing biotech in your garage -- the first
probably won't give you cancer, and the second one probably will. :-(
I'm not saying industrial chemicals used in mechanical manufacturing aren't
dangerous (even just breathing outgassing of paint fumes), or that working
with the stuff in circuit boards and ICs can't give you cancer -- it's just
that there is orders of magnitude in difference or risk for the average
Do-it-yourselfer at home compared to biotech.
Most of the chemicals to do gene slicing, PCR, and so on are nasty stuff for
meat-based organisms like people precisely because they do nasty stuff to
meat-based materials (rearrange DNA, splice in glowing markers into DNA, use
radioactive tracers to mark DNA, etc.).
For that reason, and the obvious one on accidental release of
invisible-to-the-unaided-eye self-replicating organisms, I don't see it
being smart to do biotech stuff outside a university lab (and those labs are
also dangerous places, but at least we know where they are).
Three things I previously wrote to you on this:
"Re: On college and space habitats"
http://groups.google.com/group/openvirgle/msg/79a25f5e9a31086d?hl=en
"Reading this book:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Wizard_of_Earthsea
is the best advice I can give you (ever).
"At the school, Sparrowhawk masters his craft with amazing ease, but his
pride and arrogance grow even faster than his skill and, in his hubris, he
attempts to conjure a dead spirit - a dangerous spell which goes awry. He
inadvertently summons a spirit of darkness which attacks and scars him. The
being is driven off by the Archmage, who exhausts himself in the process and
dies shortly thereafter.""
Also from there (indicating a safer way to approach DIY-biotech):
"""
A lot of research is done on the computer these days by simulation.
http://biosim.fysik.dtu.dk:8080/biosim/
"BioSim is a Network of Excellence established by the European Commission
under its 6th Framework Programme. BioSim was initiated on December 1, 2004.
The main objective of the Network is to demonstrate how the use of modern
simulation technique through a deeper and more qualitative understanding of
the underlying biological, pathological and pharmacological processes can
lead to a more rational drug development process, improved treatment
procedures, and a reduction in the needs for animal experiments. With its 26
academic, 10 industrial and 4 regulatory partners, the BioSim Network
commands a wide range of biomedical expertise. At the same time, the network
involves leading experts in pharmacokinetics, computer simulation, and
complex systems theory. The purpose of the network is to develop in silico
simulation models of cellular, physiological and pharmacological processes
to provide a deeper understanding of the biological processes and help the
pharmaceutical industry maintain its competitive power."
"""
Also from an item in that thread, on my own experiences around biotech:
http://groups.google.com/group/openvirgle/msg/9b1a9c5baaab41dd?hl=en
"I've spent too many years around highly regulated universities and known of
accidents or poor practices leading to contamination of areas I passed
through or used regularly with stuff like radioactive phosphorus and PCR
chemicals to be excited at the thought of neighbors doing that next door,
sorry. :-( I'd rather seen that done in isolated space habitat modules."
Anyway, sorry, I think DIYBiotech right now in garages is just not a good idea.
That said, I read this a couple days ago:
"Time to Reboot America" By Thomas L. Friedman
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/24/opinion/24friedman.html
And some of this:
"Readers' comments on Time to Reboot America"
http://community.nytimes.com/article/comments/2008/12/24/opinion/24friedman.html
One comment references this:
"What Shortage of Scientists and Engineers?"
By John Tierney
http://tierneylab.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/17/what-shortage-of-scientists-and-engineers/
Lots of comments there on the failure of the USA to foster collaborative
science and technology, and its eroding edge in all that (instead promoting
finance and competition and offshoring). Pages and pages. And I only read
some. And already I saw many first hand perspectives about how the PhD
system is failing and how science and engineering is disrespected in the USA
compared to other fields like finance, law, and medicine.
Some of that is just what I've been on about in Post-Scarcity Princeton. :-)
http://www.pdfernhout.net/reading-between-the-lines.html
And the general explanation these people at the NYTimes are missing:
"The Big Crunch" by David Goodstein (Vice Provost of Caltech)
http://www.its.caltech.edu/~dg/crunch_art.html
The vice *provost* of *Caltech* (one of the most respected universities in
the USA) has been writing and testifying to Congress on this issue for a
decade or two, and hardly anyone seems to be listening.
Why doesn't some university have a conference about the overproduction of
PhDs relative to economic demand and the general failure of the USA as a
society promoting scientific literacy or careers making real things?
Maybe the short answer is, the university system does not want to know?
But at the point where there are ten pages of NYTimes reader comments
*agreeing* both that the USA has too many scientists and engineers for the
current economy and also that the USA is going down the tubes, then it seems
time to end the Ostrich act of a head in the sand.
Just one example of stuff mentioned in those comments by the author -- a
tenured scientist:
"Don't Become a Scientist!"
http://wuphys.wustl.edu/~katz/scientist.html
"As examples, consider two of the leading candidates for a recent Assistant
Professorship in my department. One was 37, ten years out of graduate school
(he didn't get the job). The leading candidate, whom everyone thinks is
brilliant, was 35, seven years out of graduate school. Only then was he
offered his first permanent job (that's not tenure, just the possibility of
it six years later, and a step off the treadmill of looking for a new job
every two years). The latest example is a 39 year old candidate for another
Assistant Professorship; he has published 35 papers. In contrast, a doctor
typically enters private practice at 29, a lawyer at 25 and makes partner at
31, and a computer scientist with a Ph.D. has a very good job at 27
(computer science and engineering are the few fields in which industrial
demand makes it sensible to get a Ph.D.). Anyone with the intelligence,
ambition and willingness to work hard to succeed in science can also succeed
in any of these other professions. "
And I'd previously linked on OpenVirgle to Freeman Dyson saying essentially
the same thing on the PhD system.
http://www.umich.edu/news/index.html?DysonWinCom05
"You students are proud possessors of the PhD, or some similar token of
academic respectability. You have endured many years of poverty and hard
labor. Now you are ready to go to your just rewards, to a place on the
tenure track of the university, or on the board of directors of a company.
And here am I, a person who never had a PhD myself and fought all my life
against the PhD system and everything it stands for. Of course I fought in
vain. The grip of the PhD system on academic life is tighter today than it
has ever been. But I will continue to fight against it for as long as I
live. In short I am proud to be heretic."
Dyson also mentions DIY-biotech, by the way:
Summary:
http://motls.blogspot.com/2006/03/freeman-dyson-on-phd-global-warming.html
"Biotechnology will become as domesticated as computer games and children
and housewives will create their new animal and plant species at home. Most
people don't realize that this will happen much like John von Neumann didn't
appreciate computer games as a major source of the 21st century entertainment"
However, one reason I disagree is that the *ethical* dimensions are
different, at least for intelligent creatures that can feel pain (which for
me starts at maybe the insects on up, and maybe even plants).
So, there we have three scientists all saying the same thing about the
social failure of our current systems of education and research, each with a
different situation in academia (Vice Provost of Important University, Big
Research Institute star, and Professor) all in this case in Physics (which
is *not* even as glutted as biotech).
Anyway, that's all part of the problem of DIY-biotech.
From ten years ago (and the biotech scientific career situation has gotten
worse since):
"The Short Career Half-life of Scientists" by Arthur E. Sowers, PhD
http://www.bio.net/bionet/mm/bioforum/1997-December/025426.html
"This essay is devoted to the question of how long the typical
biomedical science career lasts. In the middle of the essay,
I studied faculty job turnover at two medical schools and at
the end reviewed career half-life for physicians in a clinical
setting and lawyers."
Also related to Sowers' work:
http://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/story.asp?storyCode=107362§ioncode=26
"Ayala Ochert examines disturbing evidence that shows that only a minority
of scientists can look forward to a lifelong career in their chosen field.
What does a scientist's career have in common with a radioactive element
like tritium? They both have a half-life that is measured in years, not
decades. In the case of tritium, it has a half-life of just over 12 years,
but the "career half-life" of the typical biomedical scientist may be only
half as long. The half-life of tritium is how long it takes before 50 per
cent of the atoms have decomposed, but in the case of a group of scientists,
their career half-life is how long it takes before half of them have left
the profession, which may be as little as six years. Lawyers and doctors, on
the other hand, can generally look forward to a career that lasts until
retirement. Young people embarking on a career in science are generally
well aware that they will be paid much less than similarly qualified people
in the so-called professions. It is something that many accept, albeit
reluctantly, in return for that "warm feeling inside" that comes from doing
what they love best. But far fewer realise how much worse their career
prospects are. "Most are overconfident and totally unaware that they will
face a rude awakening when they go out and look for work, and most will find
low pay, low job security, and limited potential for the future. Doctors and
lawyers will be much better off," says Art Sowers, who compiled the figures
on career half-lives. ... "
So, this may explain why there are so many people with biotech knowledge
(even just at the undergraduate level) who cannot practice their trade
inside the university and industrial research system and are thinking about
doing what they love in their garage -- even though IMHO that is a very,
very unsafe thing to do. As unsafely run as many university biotech labs
are, as least you know where they are and they can loosely check on each
other. For example, I heard that radioactive phosphorus contamination
problem was discovered when the first-year graduate student involved set off
detectors in another lab when she walked by the door of the other lab two
weeks later.
Anyway, I just think DIY-bio is heading for a world of hurt, sorry. As I
said earlier, I think it is mostly the kind of stuff best done in space
habitations in fifty years from now. :-) But, failing that, I feel it is
best done in facilities designed for that.
Still, because of the exponential growth of the few PhDs given money:
"Fellowships in Sustainability Science"
http://www.cid.harvard.edu/sustsci/grants/fellows/07_fellows_RFP.htm
we can't solve the social dynamics problem right now by just throwing money
at it.
I don't know if this is a scam or not, but I still like the scale of this
vision (and it is interesting to me to see an Iranian newspaper's view on
the issue, for some diversity):
"The way forward: Fighting global poverty (Part 3)"
http://www.presstv.com/detail.aspx?id=78926§ionid=3510302
"""
ORE Incubators are a simple mechanism, but where they unleash the creative
thinking of humankind. They are huge research centers where inventors,
leading-edge indigenous/endogenous scientist/engineers/technologists create
and make new things with eminent world leading scientist's et al. They are
manned and managed by the best scientists that a nation can offer, but not
in a totally scholastic term, but in creative thinking and inventive terms -
the knowledge-based hands-on mentality.
Overall, therefore to give you a perspective of the size and purpose of a
typical ORE Incubator, they are circular in construction which allows major
inventions and technologies to be developed logistically, wheeled in and out
and where the overall floor area is approximately 11,000m2.
Therefore, they are large research, development and technology producing
buildings, larger than most research buildings in the world today but where
certainly together, they form the world's largest network of research
complexes by a very high margin. That is the size of the strength we need
though to solve global issues.
The Incubators allow access of independent inventors and innovators (the
ideas people) throughout the world and within nations, and where presently
the vast majority are excluded as I have said before from advanced corporate
and institutional research centers.
ORE Incubators are considered to be the best in the world and where ideas
collide and are supported by the most innovative minds from throughout the
world and from all advanced disciplines and professions.
Indeed, many new fundamental discoveries and technologies will be initiated
and created within the walls of the ORE Incubators and these would be
world-beaters that would address basically human sustainability and global
peace.
It was calculated in the 1990s that an ORE Incubator was required to service
every 6 million humans. Therefore, the world requires around 1,150
incubators today.
"""
I feel Dr. Hill quoted there is too pessimistic about world problems,
personally, BTW. And here is someone who doesn't like his organization:
"Who is David Hill and why is he saying all these terrible things about
Wikipedia?"
http://blogs.news.com.au/news/splat/index.php/news/comments/who_is_david_hill_and_why_is_he_saying_all_these_terrible_things_about_wiki/
I'm not taking sides on that spat. :-( And after Bernie Madoff, everything
is going to get closer scrutiny. But the problem is that many successes
start as someone hyping something as a self-fulfilling prophecy. And what he
proposes is not that different from what I wanted to do in the 1990s:
http://groups.google.com/group/virgle/msg/081919dbba30d1f7
Except, from casual glances, I haven't yet seen him get the self-replicating
idea for those research centers? :-) Anyway, I can cut Dr. Hill some slack
even for hyping if he is (just like I cut Bryan some slack :-).
And I too can see there are issues with funneling all the world's knowledge
through one small organization like Wikipedia at his point, since while
technical information may be fairly sound, anything about politics and
personality is subject to edit wars, and in that way, a distributed version
of something more like Google Knol with articles owned by individuals or
groups presented together might be better (and then we could have articles
reconciling the controversies, etc.) (And that's the "Social Semantic
Desktop" vision, isn't it? :-)
Anyway, scam or next-great-thing, I do think the picture of such a research
center on David Hill's site is cool:
http://www.thewif.org.uk/home.php?xy=640&pl=default
As is the problem statement: "Think back. At some point in our lives most of
us will have come up with a new and potentially marketable idea. Given the
necessary development, that idea could now be improving the lives of others.
It is common sense that experiencing the world gives people the inspiration
to improve it and the facts and figures back this up - far more ideas
originate in the minds of the general public than in closed Research and
Development facilities. Unfortunately, there are few open forums and
research facilities available for the general public to develop their ideas."
I'm mainly just saying I find that idea of these large physical centers
which are in some sense open to the public to be intriguing (even if all
"open to the public" might mean is, you need some sort of academic degree or
certification to get bench space of a certain type). The internet seems to
have changed the dynamic of collaboration making it more possible for people
to collaborate at home on software and using simulation (what I recommend
for DIY-biotech right now). But, I can still see the value of research
centers for hands-on work, and if universities are failing at that role,
perhaps we need something else that looks more like the Institute for
Advanced Study (a motel for scholars with office space and lab space).
So, if people do want to play with DIY-biotech, those are the sorts of
centers maybe we should build, where it is easier to do safely, and failing
that, I'd suggest keeping to computer simulations for now.
--Paul Fernhout
Bryan Bishop wrote:
> ---------- Forwarded message ----------