Stat of the day

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Roger King

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Jun 30, 2026, 3:36:19 PM (7 days ago) Jun 30
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Last night's outing by Casey Mize was unlike any other in franchise history.

Across 126 years of Tigers baseball, he's the first pitcher to throw 7+ shutout innings with 10+ strikeouts, while allowing zero walks and no more than one hit.


Roger King
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Peter Welch

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Jun 30, 2026, 3:49:09 PM (7 days ago) Jun 30
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Wow, I thought Skubal might also have done that.

Who would have thought going into this season that Mize would be having a better season than Skubal?

The Tigers should trade Mize for prospects while his value is highest right now, then re-sign him after the season.
They did that with Flaherty in 2024.  🙂

Yes, I know the difference is that the demand for Flaherty after the 2024 season wasn't very high and he had to settle on re-signing with the Tigers.  The demand for Mize will be much higher after this season.  I think he'll get at least $20 million per season.

Peter
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Michael W

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Jun 30, 2026, 5:21:22 PM (7 days ago) Jun 30
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I guess if you believe the Tigers have any chance to sign Mize, then it won't be much worse if they trade him at the deadline.  The only caveat would be that the receiving team would have a few months to ink a long term deal during the season.  

Michael

Paul Meloche

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Jun 30, 2026, 5:30:41 PM (7 days ago) Jun 30
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Mize's pitcher game score last night was 85. That's obviously really, really good but it doesn't place among the top ten Tiger performances and depending on the source** not even in the top 20, I think mainly because he "only" pitched seven innings.
 
**I won't turn it into a trivia question since depending on what source or AI program I use there are differences in the results, but as for the non no-hitters, here are some of the top Tiger SP single game performances.

In no particular order, game scores all between 86-94 depending on the source:

Galarraga's imperfect game '10
Several Mickey Lolich games, multiple Max Scherzer games
Anibal Sanchez 17Ks against the Braves in '13
Hal Newhouser two hit shutout against Cleveland in '48
David Wells "    " against Oakland in '95
Jack Morris three-hit shutout against the Yankees in '83
Matt Boyd loses no-hitter late against the White Sox in '17




Peter Welch

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Jun 30, 2026, 6:07:45 PM (7 days ago) Jun 30
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Who knows?  Maybe we'll see Mize sign an extension with the Tigers before the deadline.  Perhaps with the uncertainty about the terms of the next CBA, his agent (who is not Boras) might think he can get a better deal now.  Probably won't be happening, but you never know.

If the Tigers sign Mize to an extension I'd be happy with that.  I do think Skubal should be shopped to the highest bidder in the next month.  If they keep Skubal and let him walk as a FA and get a comp round pick for him, unless that comp round pick turns into the next McGonigle or next Skubal (which is less than a 1% chance of happening), the Tigers will have blown it with Skubal.

Flaherty, Carpenter, Holton, Jansen (not that we'd get more than some lottery ticket for Jansen), Finnegan, McKinstry, Vierling and even Tork should also be on the block (and listen to offers for Greene to see if somebody wants to overpay for him).


Peter

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Roger King

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Jul 2, 2026, 3:48:17 PM (5 days ago) Jul 2
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Tigers PR:

Tigers starters have delivered four straight outings of 5.0+ innings, while allowing no more than two hits each:

Flaherty: 5.0 IP, 2 H
Mize: 7.0 IP, 1 H
Skubal: 6.0 IP, 1 H
Melton: 6.1 IP, 2 H

This has happened only one other time in MLB history, dating back to 1900.

Cal Lord

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Jul 2, 2026, 4:22:46 PM (5 days ago) Jul 2
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And against the light hitting Yankee team, to boot!
Cal

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Peter Welch

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Jul 2, 2026, 8:55:29 PM (5 days ago) Jul 2
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That ain't happenin' tonight.  Valdez has been awful, including walking in a run.  Melton and Montero are making a fraction of what Valdez makes and they are far superior pitchers.

Tigers trail 3-0 after 2.

Not saying Valdez has been a bust, but he's definitely more of a #4-#5-type starter now.  He's looking like an overpay.
Harris just doesn't seem to be able to judge free agent pitchers very well.

I would say Valdez would be another trade candidate at the deadline, but nobody is going to want to take on his contract.  The Tigers would have to eat a bunch of his contract to trade him.

Peter
Sent: Thursday, July 2, 2026 3:48 PM

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Peter Welch

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Jul 2, 2026, 9:08:45 PM (5 days ago) Jul 2
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Eovaldi on a perfect game through 3 with 7 Ks in 9 hitters.  McGonigle just walked to lead off the 4th to break up the perfecto.
Will the Tigers get a hit?

Peter
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Peter Welch

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Jul 2, 2026, 9:29:53 PM (5 days ago) Jul 2
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Rangers now lead 5-0 after 4. Valdez is still in there to take one for the team.  Rangers are all over his pitches.  He'll probably throw at somebody next.

Kerry Carpenter made an excellent catch in RF to end the 1st otherwise it would probably be 8-0 by now.

Peter


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David Panian

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Jul 2, 2026, 9:41:03 PM (5 days ago) Jul 2
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Keith and Lee have hit homers in the fifth. It's now 5-3, Texas.

David


Peter Welch

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Jul 2, 2026, 10:28:18 PM (5 days ago) Jul 2
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Rangers now lead 6-3 in the top of the 7th.  Eovaldi ran out of gas after 5 after totally dominating the Tigers for 4 innings.
Let's see if the Tigers can do any damage against the Rangers' bullpen.

Peter
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Sent: Thursday, July 2, 2026 9:40 PM

Peter Welch

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Jul 2, 2026, 10:34:04 PM (5 days ago) Jul 2
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Keith hit a homer and then was pinch-hit for in his next AB against lefty ex-Tiger Tyler Alexander.  Vierling pinch hit for Keith and has gone 0-2 since then.
Hinch is such a robot.

Peter
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Peter Welch

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Jul 2, 2026, 10:50:12 PM (5 days ago) Jul 2
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Not our night.  Lots of groundball singles through the holes from the Rangers tonight.  Rangers lead 8-3 in the bottom of the 7th. 

The Tigers can enjoy their golf games tomorrow and come back on Saturday to try evening up the series.

Peter
Sent: Thursday, July 2, 2026 10:28 PM

Jeffrey Withey

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Jul 2, 2026, 11:08:08 PM (5 days ago) Jul 2
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In my opinion these “holes” are largely created by very poor player positioning. I am not observing a lot of hits being taken away this season by extreme shifting within the current rules but I am seeing significant hits that would be outs if the player were in a more standard position. Obviously my observations are not stats, but I find it very frustrating. 

Also, McKinstry is not a good shortstop. I have no idea why McGonigle is not playing SS every day. Throw McKinstry in at 3rd if he has to play. 

Jeff

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Peter Welch

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Jul 3, 2026, 12:24:48 PM (4 days ago) Jul 3
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McGonigle is not playing SS every day because Hinch being Hinch.  Heaven forbid you don't jerk a young player around.

Peter
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Peter Welch

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Jul 3, 2026, 12:29:38 PM (4 days ago) Jul 3
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Valdez totally relies on good infield positioning and good fielding in general because he induces a lot of groundballs and a lot of contact.  I'm wondering if he regrets signing with the Tigers because their defense is weak.  I suppose Valdez getting almost $43 million next year from the Tigers won't make him regret anything.

Peter
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Michael W

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Jul 3, 2026, 12:30:33 PM (4 days ago) Jul 3
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Peter writes:
> Valdez [...] looking like an overpay.

It's a good reminder why building with free-agents is so difficult.  Besides the dollar cost, free-agents are only rarely available in their prime.  Valdez was as safe a bet as most, but he's 32, and guys that age often decline.   

Michael

Roger King

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Jul 3, 2026, 12:35:37 PM (4 days ago) Jul 3
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I mean, this is a key thing with the Tigers. It’s clear that both Harris & Hinch simply overvalue guys like McKinstry & Vierling because of their position versatility. And obviously Jones, though he did perform well in the RH specialist vs LH’s role last year.  

It’s too boring for Hinch to be a little old school and start the bench guys once or twice a week maximum but otherwise they don’t see much action.  It would take all the fun out of his 12 D chess match up games.  

I forget if I mentioned it earlier in the week, but I was recalling how before the season started someone asked Hinch about why they didn’t upgrade more at third base in the off-season and he said, well McKinstry was an All-Star last year, have you forgotten that?  Something like that…

It’s not just that Hinch should be thinking about the development of players like Keith and McGonigle and play them as often as possible, it’s actually the right move strategically to potentially win more ball games as well!

Peter Welch

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Jul 3, 2026, 12:39:57 PM (4 days ago) Jul 3
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Look at Alex Bregman, whom a lot of Tigers' fans were clamoring to sign the past 3 years.
He has a .681 OPS for the Cubs and they owe him $120+ million in the next 4 seasons.  Ouch!

Peter
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Peter Welch

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Jul 3, 2026, 1:02:19 PM (4 days ago) Jul 3
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And, ironically, the Tigers are paying arguably their best current starter, Melton, and another of their best starters, Montero, basically league minimum, and their top starter Mize "only" $9 million, while Valdez and Flaherty are getting multi-millions to be #4/#5 starters.

Peter
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Peter Welch

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Jul 3, 2026, 1:04:40 PM (4 days ago) Jul 3
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Hinch way overthinks things and stubbornly thinks a player like Jones is going to start getting better luck after 4 months of no luck.  Hey AJ, maybe Jones just can't hit major league pitching anymore (and was probably just a fluke last year), did you ever think of that?

Peter
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Michael W

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Jul 3, 2026, 4:30:57 PM (4 days ago) Jul 3
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> And, ironically, the Tigers are paying arguably their best current starter, Melton, 
>and another of their best starters, Montero, basically league minimum, and their top starter 
>Mize "only" $9 million, while Valdez and Flaherty are getting multi-millions to be #4/#5 starters.

It's a good observation, but not ironic.  Baseball is always this way - the great young players are paid less than average veterans.  Who is the Tigers' best hitter this year?  So far, it's Dingler.  The other two candidates are McGonigle and Greene.  I'm confident all three of them will someday have much worse seasons where they are paid much more money.   

Michael

Peter Welch

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Jul 4, 2026, 12:01:28 AM (4 days ago) Jul 4
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Sure, but I don't think anyone would have predicted Montero would be better than Valdez and an above-average MLB starter.  Maybe Melton since he looked good last year.  Montero looked more like a #5 starter/swingman and possible future reliever before this season.  I think Montero ultimately will be more like a #4/#5 starter or future high-leverage reliever, but he's having a surprisingly very good season as a starter.

Peter

Sent: Friday, July 3, 2026 4:30 PM

Peter Welch

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Jul 4, 2026, 12:38:46 AM (3 days ago) Jul 4
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Maybe Hinch being a scrubby player himself when he was in the majors makes him sympathetic to Jones/McKinstry/Vierling types.

Hinch using McKinstry's freak All-Star appearance to justify relying on McKinstry to cover 3B going into this season was questionable judgement.

Peter

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