The popular song 'jhumka gira re...Bareilly ke bazaar mein jhumka gira re' (the earring fell in the market in Bareilly) from Sunil Dutt-Sadhna starrer Bollywood movie 'Mera Saya' made many try and find out the connection between 'jhumka' and Bareilly and also if there had been an incident like the one said in the song.
A fresh controversy erupted over 'jhumka' after historians objected to the claims that 'Jhumka' did not refer to an earring and that there was a 'sepoy' by the same name. The 'sepoy' had taken part in the freedom struggle during the British regime and had died in a market in Bareilly.
It was further claimed that the news of the death of the 'sepoy' was conveyed to the other freedom fighters who were lodged in Bareilly jail by telling them that 'Jhumka' had 'fallen' (died) in a market in Bareilly.
The objections to the claims came after it was revealed that there were plans to depict the 'distorted' story of 'Jhumka' through a 'light and show' programme on the walls of the old Bareilly jail under the Bareilly Smart City Project. The programme is a part of its plan to showcase the stories of freedom fighters from the district and the important historical places in the Rohhilkhand region of Uttar Pradesh of which Bareilly was a part.
"I never heard about any sepoy named Jhumka... it does not seem credible... we cannot depict something which is not backed by historical facts and only popular sayings," said noted Urdu poet and resident of the town Waseem Barelvi.
I have some friends who share the same passion for old film music. They were delighted to hear the Shamshad Begum version of Jhumka gira re. They are from different academic and professional backgrounds. They gave me different perspectives on the song.
He said that different cities would have different probabilities of defective jhumka pieces depending on the tradition of workmanship there and training facilities for skill upgradation. Now the fact of the jhumka falling in Bareilly does not a priory mean that it is a product of Bareilly. This becomes a question of conditional probability which has to be solved by Bayesian methods of finding the probability of event A, given B, i.e. P(AB).
He said that falling jhumka is an event of very low probability, but if it happens, the loss is significant. Such an occurrence typically follows Poisson distribution, whose mean is the same as variance. So to arrive at any definitive conclusion we have to study the number of falling jhumkas in a given time across cities on a long time series of data. In the absence of any such data any adverse inference about Bareilly would be mathematically wrong.
This friend of mine had also acquired an MBA degree from a reputed institute. His analysis was that this is a simple case of defects in manufacturing process. The cause of defects has to be segregated into chance causes and assigned causes. The chance causes follow a bell shaped normal distribution. The challenge is to use the tools of statistical quality control, as W Edwards Deming did for Japan, which had equally poor reputation for quality, but soon transformed into a Mecca for high quality with SQC. By shifting the mean towards left and narrowing the standard deviation, you can say with 99.97% confidence level that in a batch size of a million jhumkas, the number of defective pieces would fall within the range 101.03.
@harvey
Searching the jhumka is not only a duty, it is so romantic doing it nainon mein naina daal ke. The husband would deny himself the pleasure only if the lady also co-operates in letting it go like Hema Malini, because they can do something better.
About trading strategy, I spoke to a friend of mine who is a finance whiz-kid with Goldman Sachs (I do not know whether they have Silverman Sachs too on the Wall Street). He agreed that whether the jhumka is made of gold or silver makes a vital difference on the position you take. But, he proceeded, in either case you have to have a projection of the price, for which the best model is still the Black-Scholes model based on second degree partial differential equations. Before he could write down esoteric equations on paper, I ran away from him.
Only today I attended a docu show on Bareilly and the researchers mentioned that there is nothing famous about the Jhumkas of Bareilly. Rather the city is famous for its Soorma and Manjha (the special thread used in kite flying)
Ludicrousness is the heart of it. Marx Brothers were masters in their films. Baburao Patel of the FilmIndia was the supreme master of the absurdity in his lead articles and Questions and answer column and also elsewhere.
Have been reading postings from beginning starting a week back after AK was kind enough to give me the initial link. All along it has been series of discussions on songs from classic period in various dimensions. It is no doubt wonderful and revelling. Beware of THE LAW OF DIMINISHING RETURNS. Suddenly like a bolt from the blue this brilliant flash from AK has made deep inroads into all readers and invigorated them into giving full reign to their imagination and caramba what refreshing postings to glean through.
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