A very good morning to Tilman, and greetings to others,
My distinguished co-author Eddie Schlee of ASU came down to Baltimore to work on complementarity of commodities -- expost, our efforts went into re-reading of Samuelson's masterful 1974 JEL paper, and also John Quah's 2007 and 2024 Econometrica papers. But I stole time to talk to Eddie about the sentiments expressed in this correspondence, and he began by teaching a Luddite like me how to use CHATGPT.
As apprentice exercises: I put the following questions to CHATGPT: (i) who is Eddie Schlee? (ii) who is David Schrittesser? (iii) who is M. Ali Khan (iv) who is M. Ali Khan excluding economists? (v) who is Mohammed A Khan? (vi) who is Mohammad A Khan? (vii) Who is Mohammed Aliuddin Khan?
[Forgive my narcissism, but we live in narcissistic times, and one tries to adapt.]
I was amused that in answer to (iii), Chatgpt singled out as the only two notable publications of mine my EL piece with Arthur Paul Pedersen and David Schrittesser, and an undistinguished piece with Eddie Schlee. I would not know myself by these publications. I was also amused that in terms of (iv) and (v), not identical questions by any means, it gave non-identical replies that had a non-empty overlap. Finally, the only quasi-complete answer to the question as to who am I, was the answer to (vii).
This allowed Eddie Schlee and myself to observe the following characteristics:
(i) The answers are computer-dependent. I am pretty sure that if question (iii) is asked on someone else's computer, one will get a different answer.
(ii) Also, as Eddie put it, it is time-dependent. By this one means that if you ask the same question again even without refining the question, the answer when asked at the t^{th} time will be different from the (t+1)^{th} time. As Eddie put it, he keeps learning and updating.
(iii) The answer is question dependent. If one thinks about it, this is not as banal as it may first seem.
I hope to continue my getting to know Chatgpt, but now let me turn to the subject at issue. To begin with, I am now clear that it will transform graduate education in non-vocational schools, i.e. schools whose curriculum and programs are also tied to learning and empowerment rather simply functioning as employment agencies.
Since I began teaching I give 5-10 claims and ask the students to (i) give a proof if the claim is correct, (ii) counterexample if false. Now I hope to modify this a little bit by giving the question and CHAPGPT's answer to it, and asking students to write a critical writing-intensive response to it. This is very much in keeping with Tilman's solution. It also has an added advantage that it'll lead students to attach importance to reading and writing rather than calculating, coding and deriving. It is my considered judgement that we economists have lost our past edge as far as reading, writing and drawing is concerned. Look, for example at the footnotes of Georgescu-Roegen's 1952 SEJ paper on "complementarity."
Thank you for reading, Ali
PS: In case you are not tired of my prose, perhaps, and especially if you are, I quote what David Schrittesser wrote to me this morning. Unlike me, he really knows what he is talking about.
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I see, thanks for clarifying!
It is actually a huge issue with AI that results are not reproducible.
I think there are several unrelated ways in which this happens. Firstly, I think the algorithms that we are allowed to interact with generally include some factor of randomness. In other words, it is not always the most likely next token that is chosen, but one of several very likely tokens. I think this is to make sure the user feels the machine is being creative, which, in a sense, it is of course. Theoretically, if we had enough access to the algorithm, it’s possible that we could turn this randomness off. Maybe we can, too, I don’t know enough about it — it’s possible there is a payed for API option where you can force it to always choose the most likely token.
But even this would not guarantee reproducibility: That’s firstly because I’m sure the thing gets updated and tinkered with frequently, and secondly, I wouldn’t be certain that at this point it’s even possible to eliminate all possible sources of randomness. E.g., maybe the thing is allowed to do restricted web searches. Those are just not deterministic, and obviously that will influence how the algorithm answers in very unpredictable ways.
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