U.S.-Mexico Border Update: June 20, 2025

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Jun 20, 2025, 4:52:17 PM6/20/25
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https://www.wola.org/2025/06/weekly-u-s-mexico-border-update-los-angeles-and-ice-huge-spending-bill-migration-in-may/

U.S.-Mexico Border Update: June 20, 2025

With this series of weekly updates, WOLA seeks to cover the most important developments at the U.S.-Mexico border. See past weekly updatesĀ here.

YourĀ donationĀ to WOLA is crucial to keeping these paywall-free and ad-free Updates going.Ā Please contribute now and support our work.

Due to staff travel for work and the July 4 holiday, we will not publish Border Updates for the next two weeks. The next edition will appear on July 11.

THIS WEEK IN BRIEF:

  • Operations intensify in, and beyond, Los Angeles:Ā While protests against stepped-up ICE raids continue in Los Angeles, along with a large military deployment, President Trump is urging the immigration enforcement agency to step up operations in other Democratic-run U.S. cities. Data is showing a big increase in detentions of migrants with no criminal records, while the agricultural, hospitality, and restaurant industries are sounding alarms about labor shortages and public opinion is showing increased disapproval of the administration’s immigration approach.
  • Massive ā€œreconciliationā€ spending bill emerges in Senate and resembles House bill:Ā Senate committees began revealing the text of their version of a massive bill that would add about $170 billion for the Trump administration’s border-hardening and mass-deportation plans. Analysis shows that amounts in the bill resemble those in legislation that narrowly passed the House of Representatives in May. It is far from clear whether the Republican-majority Congress will send a final bill to President Trump by July 4, as the White House has urged. Many intra-party disagreements remain, including key senators’ objections to the size of the border and immigration spending.
  • CBP reports on May migrant encounters:Ā While migration at the U.S.-Mexico border remains near 60-year lows, data reported by CBP shows that migrant encounters in May increased slightly over March and April. Apprehensions of unaccompanied minors grew by more than a quarter. Of Border Patrol’s nine geographic U.S.-Mexico border sectors, El Paso, in west Texas and New Mexico, was the busiest for the fourth straight month. That sector has also seen a dramatic increase in recoveries of remains of migrants who perished of dehydration and exposure. Meanwhile, surveys of migrants along the U.S.-bound route show far fewer declaring an intention to settle in the United States.

THE FULL UPDATE:

Operations intensify in, and beyond, Los Angeles

Public protests against Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) raids continue in Los Angeles; although they were always limited to a small part of the city, their intensity has declined. Still,Ā the tempo of immigration raids remains very high.

ReportsĀ of agents carrying out sweeps in the Los Angeles area remain very frequent, whether at immigration courthouses, flea markets, or even at theĀ entranceĀ to Dodger Stadium. In some cases, those involved are not ICE agents: they are Border Patrol personnel ā€œsupportingā€ ICE.

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) hasĀ tappedĀ Gregory Bovino, the chief of Border Patrol’s El Centro Sector in southeast California, to head Customs and Border Protection’s (CBP) operations in support of ICE in Los Angeles. Bovino was seated alongside DHS Secretary Kristi Noem on June 12 when California Senator Alex Padilla (D) was shoved out of the room, thrown to the floor and handcuffed after interrupting the Secretary to ask a question. The Sector Chief had madeĀ headlinesĀ during the final days of the Biden presidency, when he ordered Border Patrol agents to carry out sweeps in Kern County, California, near Bakersfield, arresting dozens of farmworkers. A judge later found that Bovino’s operation violated people’s constitutional rights.

On June 15, President Donald TrumpĀ tookĀ to his social media network to order ICE agents to ā€œdo all in their powerā€ to expand their operations in ā€œthe Democrat Power Center,ā€ urging more detentions in ā€œLos Angeles, Chicago, and New York, where Millions upon Millions of Illegal Aliens reside.ā€

The military role

The ICE presence in Los Angeles continues to beĀ augmentedĀ byĀ 4,100 federalized National Guard soldiers and about 700 active duty Marines, despite legal challenges. The troops’ ostensibleĀ roleĀ is to protect federal facilities and functions, including ICE’s functions. The most recent unit to arrive is the Army’s 49th Military Police Brigade, the first contingent of soldiers to have specific law enforcementĀ training.

It is very unusual for military personnel to do law enforcement work on U.S. soil, and so far they haveĀ detainedĀ just one civilian: a U.S. citizen whom Marines handcuffed, then released, after they stopped him rushing to an appointment in a Veterans Affairs office in a federal building they were guarding.

Late June 12, when WOLA’s June 13Ā Border UpdateĀ was nearing completion, a California federal judge had sided with Governor Gavin Newsom (D) and ordered a halt to the National Guard deployment. Later that same evening, though, Judge Charles BreyerĀ pausedĀ his temporary restraining order pending appeal, andĀ the Ninth Circuit Court of AppealsĀ permittedĀ the National Guard to continue operatingĀ while it deliberated. When the Appeals Court met to hear arguments on June 17, the three-judge panel, which includes two Trump appointees, ā€œseemed sympathetic to President Donald Trumpā€ and his claim to have broad power to federalize the state Guard above the governor’s objections,Ā Courthouse NewsĀ reported.

CNNĀ reportedĀ that the Trump administration’s decision to deploy the military on domestic immigration-related operations was not taken abruptly. Planning had been in the works ā€œas early as Februaryā€ and, as a ā€œsource familiar with the matterā€ put it,Ā ā€œThey are clearly inclined to repeat the L.A. playbook elsewhere.ā€

Planning includes a likely use of military bases to hold detained migrants. Among potential bases thatĀ CNNĀ cited are ā€œTravis Air Force Base in California; Camp Atterbury in Indiana; JB McGuire-Dix-Lakehurst in New Jersey; Dover Air Force Base in Delaware; Camp Parks in California; and Fort Walker in Virginia.ā€

The HillĀ reportedĀ that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth ordered the mobilization of up to 700 troops to carry out logistical, administrative, and clerical duties atĀ ICE detention facilitiesĀ in Florida, Louisiana, and Texas. ā€œThey will not directly participate in law enforcement activities,ā€ a June 17 Defense DepartmentĀ press releaseĀ noted.

In May, as discussed in WOLA’s June 13Ā Border Update, DHS had formally requested that the Defense Department supplyĀ 20,000 National Guard personnelĀ to assist ICE with a host of duties in the U.S. interior. ā€œI think it’s a very bad idea to use military for that,ā€ Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Virginia), who had sent Virginia National Guard personnel to the border when serving as the state’s governor two decades ago,Ā toldĀ theĀ Washington Post. ā€œPeople want to believe that the military is there to protect this nation and they don’t want to think it’s being weaponized against them.ā€

ICE in overdrive

Citing internal government data,Ā CBS NewsĀ reportedĀ that ā€œSo far in June, ICE has averagedĀ more than 1,300 arrests each day, a more than 100 percent increase from President Trump’s first 100 days in office, when the agency recorded a 660 daily arrest rate.ā€ White House ā€œBorder Czarā€ Tom HomanĀ toldĀ theĀ Washington PostĀ ā€œthat arrests had increased toĀ around 2,000 a dayā€ nationwide.

That is still farĀ short of the 3,000 per dayĀ that White House Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, the main architect of the Trump administration’s immigration policies, ordered ICE and DHS to reach during a contentious late May White HouseĀ meeting.

Miller’s edict, which spurred the increased tempo of ICE raids that has heightened tensions around the country, has placed stress on the agency. ā€œAll that matters is numbers, pure numbers. Quantity over quality,ā€ an ICE ā€œinsiderā€Ā toldĀ theĀ New York Post. ā€œWe are working constantly at an unmaintainable pace, added anotherĀ New York PostĀ source within ICE. ā€œIt takes hours to process one person who is illegally in the country and to be told that what you’re doing still isn’t good enough isĀ killing agents’ morale.ā€

The stress is also budgetary.Ā AxiosĀ reportedĀ that the agency ā€œis alreadyĀ $1 billion over budgetĀ by one estimate,ā€ and could run out of funds by July—two months ahead of the end of the 2025 fiscal year. If Congress doesn’t pass a giant spending bill (discussedĀ below) by then, the White House might declare a national emergency to redirect money to ICE, perhaps from the defense budget, as Donald TrumpĀ didĀ to fund border wall construction in 2019.

Citing internal agency data, Camilo Montoya-Galvez ofĀ CBS NewsĀ reportedĀ thatĀ ICE’s detention centers are now holding 57,000 people, even though their current congressionally appropriated level funds 41,500 detention beds. Conditions in the agency’s mostly private contractor-run detention facilities are more grim than ever, according to multiple reports. Rep. Yassamin Ansari (D-Arizona)Ā toldĀ John Washington ofĀ Arizona LuminariaĀ about a recent visit to the state’s Eloy detention facility:

ā€œSo many of the detainees shared that they do not have reliable access to basics like food and water or essential medical care when they are in crisis,ā€ she said after her visit. ā€œDetainees described overcrowded, moldy cells, forced and dehumanizing marches outside in the Arizona heat, constant berating from guards, conditions worse than prison.ā€

Probably because its stepped-up operations have filled ICE’s interior detention centers,Ā CNNĀ reported,Ā migrants are spending very long periods in CBP’s jail-like holding cellsĀ along the U.S.-Mexico border. The temporary cells at Border Patrol stations and ports of entry have been holding migrants, including families and children, for many days or weeks at a time. These are not meant to keep people detained for more than 72 hours except in emergency circumstances—and no such circumstances exist at a time of decades-low Border Patrol migrant apprehensions at the border (seeĀ below).

CNNĀ related a court filing telling of a mother and toddler separated from the child’s father and spending 42 days in a CBP facility in California. They were in ā€œa room where 23 women and children were held with no windows… ā€˜It was so crowded that we couldn’t even step forwards or backwards… We didn’t see the daylight.ā€™ā€

With more non-criminal detentions, more anger and fear

In anotherĀ story,Ā CNNĀ cited ICE records belying claims that the agency has been focusing its detention operations on hardened, violent criminals, or ā€œthe worst of the worstā€ in DHS’s frequently used term. ā€œMore than 75 percent of people booked into ICE custody in fiscal year 2025 had no criminal conviction other than an immigration or traffic-related offense, according to ICE records from October through the end of May,ā€ the network reported, ā€œAnd less than 10% were convicted of serious crimes like murder, assault, robbery or rape.ā€

TheĀ GuardianĀ reportedĀ on ā€œnumbers gathered from ICE and the Vera Institute of Justiceā€ showing an 807 percent increase in arrests of migrants with no criminal record from January to June. Arrests of people with some past criminal charges or convictions—including minor crimes like traffic or immigration violations—rose 91 percent,Ā notedĀ Reuters.

Reports continue to emerge ofĀ Latino U.S. citizens being caught up in immigration sweeps. OneĀ incidentĀ in the Los Angeles suburb of Montebello, which was caught on video and received much media attention, involved Border Patrol agents, presumably under the command of Chief Bovino. Agents grabbed Jason Brian Gavidia, pressing him against a fence at his auto body shop while he protested that he is a U.S. citizen, and then failing to return his ID. ā€œHe violated my rights as an American citizen,ā€ GavidiaĀ toldĀ theĀ Los Angeles Times. ā€œIt was the worst experience I ever felt. I felt honestly like I was going to die. He literally racked a chamber in his AR-15.ā€ Montebello’s mayor, Salvador Melendez, alleged racial profiling (which Border Patrol is generallyĀ allowedĀ to do) inĀ remarksĀ to theĀ New York Times: ā€œThey came in over here looking for a specific look, which is the look of our Latino community.ā€

Reports point to the increased tempo of ICE operations terrifying Latino communities, citizens and non-citizens alike. A farmer in South Texas’ Rio Grande ValleyĀ toldĀ NexstarĀ that he has had ā€œzero workers on his farmĀ for the past week.ā€ Nick Bilman observed, ā€œI would say within the last three weeks, it started to slow, but this last week has been huge.ā€

In the Southern California city of Santa Ana,Ā Puente News CollaborativeĀ spokeĀ to small business owners whose customer base is drying up. ā€œI haven’t seen it like this since COVID,ā€ a seafood restaurant owner said. ā€œIt shouldn’t be this dead right now,ā€ a boutique owner said. ā€œPeople are too scared to go out. Even if you’re a citizen, but you look a certain way. Some people don’t want to risk it.ā€

Farms, hotels, restaurants

The climate of fear is worsening labor shortages for business sectors that often trend Republican. Associations representing industries like farms, hospitality, and food service have been quietlyĀ conveyingĀ concerns to the administration and Congress. Six Republican legislators sent aĀ letterĀ to Acting ICE Director Todd LyonsĀ callingĀ on the agency to redirect its efforts back to migrants with criminal records. ā€œEvery minute that we spend pursuing an individual with a clean record is a minute less that we dedicate to apprehending terrorists or cartel operatives,ā€ read theĀ communicationĀ led by border-zone Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-Texas).

President Trump appeared, at least briefly, to respond to those concerns. ā€œOur great Farmers and people in the Hotel and Leisure business have been stating that our very aggressive policy on immigration is taking very good, long time workers away from them, with those jobs being almost impossible to replace,ā€ the PresidentĀ saidĀ on his social network on June 12, promising that ā€œChanges are coming!ā€

That day, theĀ Washington PostĀ reported, a DHS official sent an email telling ICE agents to ā€œhold on all worksite enforcement investigations/operations on agriculture (including aquaculture and meat packing plants), restaurants and operating hotels.ā€ A sourceĀ toldĀ CBS NewsĀ that ā€œthe President was not aware of the scale of the agency’s operationsā€ and ā€œonce it hit him, he pulled it back.ā€

The pause proved to be short-lived. By June 16, ICE officials received guidance that they could continue carrying out raids and other enforcement at farms, hotels, and restaurants, ā€œas long as they are targeted in natureā€ asĀ CBS NewsĀ put it.

ā€œThe White House’s policy reversal appeared to reflectĀ opposing factions within the administrationĀ that have pulled the president in two directions on the issue,ā€Ā CBSĀ added. The factions are represented by Miller, who opposes obstacles to reaching his 3,000 arrest-per-day quota, and Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins, who hears often from labor-starved agribusiness.

Public opinion

The steady drumbeat of stories of masked ICE agents grabbing families or handcuffing lawmakers is reducing support for the Trump administration’s immigration approach, columnist Jamelle BouieĀ wroteĀ at theĀ New York Times. ā€œThe result is a growing number of Americans who have turned against the White House out of anger and outrage over what they see as overreach.ā€

Polls now consistently show more American respondents disapprovingĀ of the Trump administration’s immigration policies than approving. Until recently, immigration was the one major issue on which polling still had Trump in positive territory. A Reuters/IpsosĀ pollĀ this week showed 44 percent of Americans approving of Trump’s immigration approach and 49 percent disapproving. A Pew Research CenterĀ surveyĀ showed 42 percent of Americans approving on immigration and 47 percent disapproving.

60 percent of those surveyed by Pew disapproved of suspending asylum, 59 percent disapproved of ending Temporary Protected Status (TPS), and 54 percent disapproved of increasing ICE workplace raids. However, Pew foundĀ 56 percent support for building a border wall, up from 46 percent in 2019. Among Latino respondents, 42 percent supported wall-building, up from 24 percent in 2019.

ā€œIt was never going to be possible to deport millions of people, as he promised, without stomping through American communities,ā€Ā wroteĀ the American Immigration Council’s Dara Lind at theĀ New York Times. ā€œThis remains both the administration’s signature political issue and the lens through which Trump officials appear to see the world: rights for some and a show of force for others.ā€

Massive ā€œreconciliationā€ spending bill emerges in Senate and resembles House bill

The so-called ā€œBig Beautiful Bill,ā€ an enormous package of tax cuts, benefit cuts, and new spending reflecting Trump priorities that narrowly passed the Republican-majority House of Representatives on May 22, is now inching its way through the Republican-majority U.S. Senate.

As discussed in WOLA’sĀ May 2Ā andĀ May 23Ā Border Updates, the House’sĀ versionĀ of this bill would provide DHS and other agencies with over $160 billion in new border and immigration enforcement resources over the next four and a half years.

A May 22 WOLAĀ analysisĀ noted, ā€œWe have never seen anything come close to the level of border hardening and massive deportation enforcement resources foreseen in this bill.ā€ It would enable the Trump administration to pursue the ā€œmass deportationā€ plan, with vastly increased ICE detention and deportation operations, that is just getting underway, at current budget levels, in Los Angeles and elsewhere.

Over the past weekĀ Senate committees, led by the chamber’s Budget Committee, have been publishing their piecesof the Senate’s version of the bill. As this comparison indicates, the Senate’s Republican leadership would spend even more than the House on border and immigration measures, withĀ over $170 billion in its draft.

If table is not visible,Ā click here

TheĀ Homeland SecurityĀ andĀ JudiciaryĀ provisions advanced by Budget Committee Chair Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina) and Judiciary Committee Chair Charles Grassley (R-Iowa) preserve the House bill’s plan to spend $46 billion on border barriers, $45 billion on ICE detention capacity, more than $14 billion to transport deported people, and resources to hire more than 10,000 ICE and CBP personnel.

As giant federal spending on border wall construction appears imminent, the state government of Texas has quietly stopped funding its own project to build barriers along its border with Mexico, theĀ Texas TribuneĀ reported. Texas has spent more than $3 billion to build about 65 miles of state border wall, with another 20 miles under construction.Ā Most of the $46 billion under consideration in the ā€œbigā€ bill would go to building barriers in Texas, where most borderland is in private handsĀ and would have to be purchased from landowners.

The $45 billion for detention, which is about 12 times ICE’s current annual detention budget, promises to be a boon for private contractors that run jails and detention facilities or build temporary tent structures.Ā BloombergĀ reportedĀ thatĀ ICE has identified 41 companies that can bid for detention contractsĀ as part of an emergency acquisition process that will move faster than normal bidding procedures.

Senate leadership will advance the bill under an infrequently invoked legislative rule called ā€œreconciliation,ā€ allowing it to pass the Senate on a simple majority vote without the filibuster rule, which usually requires 60 of 100 votes to end debate and vote. The bill can pass without a single Democratic vote, as long as it meets the rule’s requirement that all of its provisions have an impact on the federal budget.

Republicans don’t agreeĀ on the bill’s contents, however. While most disagreements surround the extent of tax and spending cuts, at least one top Republican senator disagrees with the level of new border and immigration spending. Sen. Rand Paul (R-Kentucky), the libertarian-leaning chair of the Senate Homeland Security Committee, hasĀ criticizedĀ the bill’s contribution to the federal government’s debt andĀ toldĀ DHS Secretary Noem in a May hearing that the proposed amounts were too high. PaulĀ appearedĀ to be backed up by another ā€œdeficit hawkā€ on the Committee, Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wisconsin).

Sen. Paul has issued alternative billĀ languageĀ (reflected in the graphic above) that would reduce spending on Trump administration border and immigration priorities by about three quarters. The Homeland Security Chair would, for instance, reduce border wall outlays from the proposed $46.5 billion to $6.5 billion, and would cut detention spending in half. ā€œI respectfully disagree with Chairman Paul’s proposal to cut the Trump plan by more than 50 percent,ā€Ā saidĀ Sen. Graham of the Budget Committee.

The Trump administration is prodding congressional leadership to pass the bill and send it to the President’s desk by the July 4 holiday, two weeks from now. That is appearing less likely to happen, as Republican senators continue to disagree on these and other issues and must reconcile significant differences with a House of Representatives that only managed to pass its bill by one vote.

Meanwhile, to the extent that U.S. citizens know about this bill and its provisions, its poor-to-rich income redistribution and benefit cuts are deeply unpopular. ā€œRepublicans know they have a big, beautiful problem:Ā The centerpiece of President Donald Trump’s agenda is polling like garbage,ā€Ā Punchbowl NewsĀ reportedĀ on June 19.

CBP reports on May migrant encounters

Data

CBPĀ reportedĀ a slight increase from April to May in the number of migrants its agents and officers encountered at the U.S.-Mexico border. Still, numbers remain near 60-year lows amid the Trump administration’s crackdown on migration and near-total ban on asylum access.

Border PatrolĀ apprehended 8,725 migrants between ports of entry (official border crossings) at the U.S.-Mexico border in May, orĀ 281 per day, up from 8,382 (279 per day) in AprilĀ and 7,182 (232 per day) in March, and down sharply from 117,905 (3,803 per day) in May 2024.

wola_migration_charts.001-4.jpeg

Data tableĀ -Ā If chart is not visible,Ā click here

72 percent of Border Patrol’s apprehended migrants were citizens ofĀ Mexico, similar to April (73 percent). That is far higher than the 34 percent share of the apprehended migrant population that has come from Mexico since fiscal 2020. 90 percent of Border Patrol’s May apprehensions were of citizens of Mexico or northern Central America (Guatemala, Honduras, or El Salvador); it was the first time since November 2020 that those nationalities combined to reach 90 percent.

CBP’s release noted thatĀ Border Patrol did notĀ releaseĀ a single asylum seeker or other migrant into the U.S. interiorin May: all apprehended migrants were detained, deported, or in the case of unaccompanied minors, sent to the Health and Human Services Department’s Office of Refugee Resettlement.Ā Border Patrol’s apprehensions of unaccompanied minors jumped 28%Ā from April to May, from 789 to 1,008. Nearly all children arriving without parents were from Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, or El Salvador.

Overall, CBP—which combines Border Patrol agents operating between ports of entry and Field Operations officers operating at the ports of entry—took 12,452 people into custody last month, up from 12,030 in April and 11,017 in March, but down from 170,716 in May 2024. The May 2024 figure had included 52,811 people at ports of entry, most with CBP One appointments—a program that no longer exists.

wola_migration_charts.001-5.jpeg

Data tableĀ -Ā If chart is not visible,Ā click here


Of all migrants entering CBP custody, 84 percent wereĀ single adults, much higher than the 64 percent share of single adults since fiscal 2020. 7 percent were members of family units (down from 30 percent since 2020) and 8 percent were unaccompanied children (up from 6 percent since 2020).

wola_migration_charts.001-5.jpeg

Data tableĀ -Ā If chart is not visible,Ā click here


The main reason for the shift from families to single adults is the unavailability of asylum: parents with children were more likely to turn themselves in to seek protection than to attempt to evade Border Patrol.

Migrants encountered at theĀ ports of entryĀ remained few, as the Trump administration ceased use of the CBP One smartphone app to help asylum seekers make appointments. CBP’s port of entry encounters totaled 3,727 people or 120 per day in May, down from 3,648 or 120 per day in April, 3,835 in February, and 52,811 in May 2024.

wola_migration_charts.001-6.jpeg

Data TableĀ -Ā If chart is not visible,Ā click here


Ninety-three percent of migrants encountered at ports of entry in May were citizens of Mexico, the same share as in March and April. Only 278 in May and 242 in April were from elsewhere.

Of the nine geographic sectors into which Border Patrol divides the border,Ā El Paso, which includes far west Texas and all of New Mexico, was the number one sector for migrant apprehensions for the fourth straight month. The El Paso sector’s 2,014 apprehensions were 23 percent of the May total, the same percentage as in April. The Tucson Sector (Arizona, 1,588) was second, followed by the Rio Grande Valley Sector (Texas, 1,439), and San Diego Sector (California, 1,395).

wola_migration_charts.001-20.jpeg

Data tableĀ -Ā If chart is not visible,Ā click here


Migrant deaths

The El Paso Sector—once among the least deadly for migrants—has become the most lethalĀ since Texas extended its Operation Lone Star enforcement there in late 2022, a deeply reportedĀ Texas TribuneĀ storyĀ revealed. Volunteers and human rights advocates blame militarized policies for pushing migrants into remote and dangerous desert areas in New Mexico, where people perish from dehydration or exposure to excessive heat or nighttime cold, and bodies often lie undiscovered or unidentified for months.

ā€œFrom January 2023 to August 2024, 299 human remains were reported in the El Paso sector, the most of any sector along the southern borderā€ and ā€œmore than double the number of cases reported during the 20 months prior, when 122 remains were recorded before El Paso had adopted Operation Lone Star,ā€ theĀ Texas TribuneĀ noted.

Border-zone deaths may increase this year—at least as a percentage of the overall migrant population—as the ongoing shutdown of asylum and buildup of border security push people to take more dangerous desert routes,Ā NBC Newsreported. A Border Patrol agent toldĀ Noticias TelemundoĀ thatĀ migrant smugglers are increasingly directing their customers into wilderness areas and guiding them remotely via mobile phone. Humanitarian workers cited in the NBC story reported finding the remains of 154 migrants in Arizona’s deserts last year, and they expect this year’s migration flow to shift to the western part of the Sonoran Desert which is ā€œeven more remote.ā€

In Mexico and further south, fewer see the United States as a destination

Across from the San Diego Sector in Tijuana, Baja California, the migrant population has declined sharply, theĀ New York TimesĀ reported. A manager of the city’s large ā€œAmbassadors of Jesusā€ migrant shelter reported that the facility’s population was down to 700 mostly displaced Mexican citizens, down from 2,500 during much of 2022 through 2024.

ā€œThe 30,000 people whose appointments with US immigration officers were cancelled are now hard to locate,ā€Ā wroteMilli Legrain at theĀ Guardian. ā€œMany are thought to have dispersed across Mexico. Some have been deported by the Mexican government. Others have flocked to cities such as Monterrey or Mexico City in search of work. ManyĀ are stuckĀ in desperate conditions in the southern city of Tapachula, bordering Guatemala. And some are applying for asylum in Mexico.ā€

A UNHCRĀ reportĀ published this week covering 2024 found thatĀ 41 percent of non-Mexican migrants surveyed last year named Mexico as their final destination, up from 26 percent in 2023. Those who most cited Mexico as their destination country were citizens of Cuba (82%), Haiti (64%), El Salvador (56%), Nicaragua (46%), Honduras (45%), and Guatemala (40%). UNHCR-WFP-UNICEF Mixed Movements MonitoringĀ reportĀ covering the first quarter of 2025 along the entire migration route foundĀ only 48 percent of surveyed migrants intending to reach the United States. 26 percent of migrants, many of whom had hoped to seek protection in the United States that is now unavailable, were considering returning to their origin countries, up from 7 percent in the last quarter of 2024.

ā€œWe have seen people who are not Mexican citizens decide to return to their home country with the thought, ā€˜If I’m going to die, at least let me die at home in a place that’s familiar with the people that I love,ā€™ā€ Nicole Elizabeth Ramos of the San Diego and Tijuana-based service organization Al Otro LadoĀ toldĀ Voice of San Diego. ā€œWe have seen similarly Mexican citizens, some of them, return to their hometowns for that same reason.ā€ Ramos said that non-Mexicans who had stayed in Mexico awaiting canceled CBP One appointments have difficulty applying for asylum now that they are stranded there, as Mexico requires applicants to start the process within 30 days of arriving in the country.

In Honduras, the director of the country’s National Institute of Migration (INM)Ā reportedĀ receiving almost 300 asylum requests so far in 2025, far more than its year-long average of 100 to 200 cases.

Other news

  • By a strictly party-lineĀ voteĀ of 51-46 on June 18, the Senate confirmed Rodney Scott to be the Trump administration’s new commissioner of CBP. Scott is a career Border Patrol agent who was the force’s chief during the final period of the Trump administration and the first months of the Biden administration. He resigned over disagreements with the Biden team—including, as theĀ Washington ExaminerĀ reported, on use of the term ā€œillegal alienā€ā€”and went on to be a fellow at the conservative Texas Public Policy Foundation. Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Oregon), the ranking Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee that advanced Scott’s nomination, spoke on the Senate floor in opposition to Scott, who has been questioned for his role in past investigations of Border Patrol human rights abuses and his membership in a Border Patrol Facebook group that included lewd and racist posts, among otherĀ issues.
  • TheĀ Washington PostĀ and other outletsĀ reportedĀ on a State Department cableĀ proposingĀ to ban travel to the United States from an additional 36 countries. Earlier this month, the administrationĀ imposedĀ a full ban on entries into the United States of citizens from 12 countries (including Haiti) and a partial ban on 7 others (including Cuba and Venezuela). The new cable would expand the ban to a long new list of countries, which includes four small Caribbean states, unless they meet conditions regarding screening and acceptance of deportations, potentially including deportations of migrants from third countries.
  • According to a June 16 federal courtĀ filing, out of 531,199 citizens of Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela whom the Biden administration had granted two years of humanitarian parole under a program that the Trump administration abruptlyĀ canceled, 66 percent (351,523) had applied for some other status during their time in the United States. That includes 65 percent of Cuban citizens, 85 percent of Haitians, 32 percent of Nicaraguans, and 61 percent of Venezuelans. Unfortunately, in many cases that other status was Temporary Protected Status (TPS), which the Trump administration has also been seeking to curtail.
  • Republican Rep. Carlos Gimenez, the former Miami mayor who now represents part of south Florida in the House of Representatives,Ā toldĀ local news that the parole cancellation has been a hardship for businesses in his district. ā€œEven insurance agents, calling and saying, ā€˜I’ve got to lay off 150 people… and they are all licensed insurance agents, but they had a work permit and now they don’t have a work permit’… We need to change that.ā€
  • Another south Florida Republican, Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart,Ā wroteĀ a letter to DHS Secretary Noem raising concerns about the ICEĀ detentionĀ and potential deportation of Gregory Antonio Sanabria Tarazona, who had spent three years in a Venezuelan prison, enduring torture, after participating in 2014 protests against NicolĆ”s Maduro’s regime. ā€œI’m increasingly concerned with the growing cases of people in the United States who have fled oppressive regimes and are being detained and held for possible deportation,ā€œ Diaz-Balart wrote. ICE had detained Sanabria when he attended a routine check-in.
  • Following a June 17 deportationĀ flightĀ from Texas and a June 19 flight from Mexico, the United States (6,126) and Mexico (about 2,100) have now returned more than 8,200 Venezuelan people to Caracas so far this year,Ā reportedTom Cartwright of Witness at the Border.
  • TheĀ Texas TribuneĀ reportedĀ on the case of Pedro Luis Salazar Cuervo, a 28-year-old Venezuelan who the Trump administration sent to El Salvador’s Center for the Confinement of Terrorism (CECOT) prison in March. Salazar Cuervo has no known gang affiliations, but after he turned himself in to Texas state police at the U.S.-Mexico border on New Year’s Eve, police found a photo on his phone depicting him with someone else who had tattoos. A Texas judge ordered prosecutors to request that the federal government bring Salazar Cuervo back to Texas to receive due process and face a state trespassing charge.
  • AĀ Huffington PostĀ investigationĀ sounded alarms about the ā€œerasureā€ of at least 24 U.S. immigration court cases of people sent to the CECOT. Cases, mainly asylum pleas, are being closed in absentia because the Trump administration moved the Venezuelan defendants out of the United States. ā€œImagine having to explain to someone’s mother, as a United States immigration attorney, that their son has an immigration hearing, and the government attorneys fighting his case say that they have no means of being able to connect you with your client—when the United States government has paid for the detention of that individual in a third country,ā€ said Margaret Cargioli of the California-based Immigrant Defenders Law Center.
  • Kilmar Abrego Garcia, the Salvadoran man wrongfully sent to the CECOT in March and brought back to the United States in early June,Ā appearedĀ at aĀ hearingĀ in Tennessee on June 13. Federal prosecutors are seeking to jail Abrego Garcia on charges of migrant smuggling based on a 2022 traffic stop in that state. A federal magistrate judge did not decide to release Abrego Garcia, who has a U.S. citizen wife and children in Maryland, pending trial.
  • Federal prosecutorsĀ securedĀ their firstĀ convictionĀ of a migrant, a man from Ecuador, for trespassing on what is now military property in the so-called ā€œNational Defense Areaā€ that the Trump administration created in the 50 westernmost miles of the Texas-Mexico border, one of two such zones. A fringe of territory ranging from 60 feet to 3 miles, from the Arizona-New Mexico border to the Texas town of Fort Hancock, is now considered the property of two nearby military bases; those caught trespassing there may face up to a year in prison in addition to charges for illegally crossing the border. In New Mexico, ReutersĀ reported, no one really seems to know exactly where the National Defense Area begins, as its width varies along the borderline.
  • The U.S. naval base at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba is holding 43 migrants, theĀ New York Times’ Carol RosenbergĀ reportedĀ on June 12. As of that date, the Trump administration’s migration operation at Guantanamo was being staffed by 540 Defense Department personnel and 130 people from Homeland Security, many of them ICE contractors.
  • ā€œArmored vehicles belonging to the U.S. Army,ā€ some of them parked about 100 yards from people’s homes on the other side of the borderline, ā€œare causing fear and curiosityā€ in Nogales, Sonora, Mexico, which borders Nogales, Arizona,Ā Proyecto PuenteĀ reported. A local student ā€œexpressed outrage that there were guns pointed at houses in Mexico, as this puts families at risk,ā€ but most residents were reluctant to talk to reporters. ā€œSome local politicians refused to give interviews, as they fear that the US government will cancel their visas.ā€
  • UNHCR published its 2024Ā reportĀ on protection monitoring in Mexico (citedĀ above), which contains data based on about 6,000 interviews with 14,000 refugees and migrants in the country, carried out by the UN agency and other humanitarian groups. 53 percent of those polled last year said that being a victim of violence, threats, or intimidation was their main reason for fleeing their countries of origin. 43 percent cited generalized violence or insecurity, and 37 percent cited economic reasons. 76 percent said that they would face threats if returned to their countries of origin; 60 percent said that those threats were specifically aimed at them.
  • A UNHCR-WFP-UNICEF Mixed Movements MonitoringĀ reportĀ covering the first quarter of 2025, citedĀ above, noted a sharp decline in northbound migration as a result of the Trump administration’s suspension of asylum and other crackdowns. Panama saw a 97 percent drop through the DariĆ©n Gap, Honduras 89 percent, and Mexico 68.8 percent. The report noted growth in southbound reverse movements, particularly among Venezuelans, Colombians, and Ecuadorians. 36 percent of migrants polled during the first three months of the year reported eating only one or no meals the day before.

Adam Isacson (he/him), Director for Defense Oversight
WOLA: Advocacy for Human Rights in the Americas (www.wola.org)
Signal adamisacson.98 Mobile/WhatsApp +1 202 329-4985 Mastodon: elefanti.co/@adam
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