Whats wrong with the mm5 at Bingen

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Peter Reagan

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Jul 7, 2012, 10:59:49 PM7/7/12

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If you look at the geographic model that the mm5 is based on, the gorge looks more like a wide valley.(The 12 km model, which is what the soundings are based on is here: http://www.atmos.washington.edu/mm5rt/domains/oct11.12kmterrain.gif ) I think low altitude gorge winds were never really the mm5's forte. The windsurfing sites do better. By the time you get to 3000 feet the mm5 model is closer to reality.

On Jul 7, 2012, at 2:41 PM, Mark Sanzone wrote:

I'm looking at Bingen forecasts which generally look too strong, too hot, and a chance of thunderstorms. MM5 seems real of of sync with the other forecast as it did yesterday and today. Any idea why it seems so out of whack? Generally I find MM5 pretty accurate.

Mark (probably going to hit the waterfront blues festival instead)