What impact did the J&J pause have on vaccine attitudes?

[david lazer]

In this report we evaluate the impact of the J&J pause on vaccination attitudes. Because we were in the middle of data collection when the pause occurred, we were well positioned to evaluate what impact it had on vaccine resistance/hesitancy. The short answer is that while awareness of the pause was _very_ high, it had almost zero impact on resistance and hesitancy. We also re-interviewed about 1k of unvaccinated respondents who we surveyed right before the pause again shortly after, and can look at how people transitioned in their vaccine attitudes/status. (Here's an interactive picture of the data.) We can see a gradual shift in the pro-vaccine direction in April, but also that we are rapidly exhausting the supply of vaccine enthusiasts to vaccinate. There also is a pretty stable and sizable set of people who are vaccine resistant. We can therefore expect a continued slowdown in the number of daily vaccinations.

Finally, we find that J&J is the least preferred of the 3 vaccines- unfortunately, we do not have before data, so we can't evaluate the pre/post change in preferences.

We will also be updating our state level trackers of attitudes/behaviors and COVID-related tweets.

David Lazer (pronounced Lazar)

he/him/his

University Distinguished Professor of Political Science and Computer Sciences, Northeastern University

Visiting Scholar, Institute for Quantitative Social Science, Harvard University

Director of the Lazer Lab (pronounced Laser)

Co-Director, NULab for Texts, Maps, and Networks

Co-founder, Volunteer Science, a behavioral research lab in the cloud

 

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