On 22/12/2021 14:01, Martin Gregorie wrote:
> On Wed, 22 Dec 2021 13:18:14 +0000, The Natural Philosopher wrote:
>
>> I beg to differ. Everything on the table right now is crazy.
>> I've spent many years analysing it, and the only thing that will
>> actually work, other than a 97% drop in population and a return to the
>> sort oft technology the Greens would understand. Presumably horses whose
>> methane emanations would be forgotten in their sheer organicity... is
>> nuclear power of some sort.
>>
> You're certainly right about population. That seems to be such a bad
> thing to say that its not even whispered about by anybody. Yet, any
> attempt to prevent global warming is doomed to failure without reductions
> in both the humam population and in individual (net) resource consumption.
>
Oh purlease. What 'global warming'?
That stopped 20 years ago before they started 'adjusting' historical
records to bring it back.
The winter I am looking out at with frost on the ground is as bleak as
it was 50 years ago.
High levels of population are a proble'm but not because of lack of
abundant cheap energy, or because of 'global warming
Water is a far more urgent problem.
>> Its abundant, uranium is ubiquitous, cheap and easily stockpiled, and
>> comes already stored. The reactors are well understood known technology,
>> and it transpires that radiation isn't nearly as dangerous as we had
>> been led to believe, and we could easily achieve adequate safety at much
>> lower cost.
>>
> Maybe it can be used, presumably in small factory-produced, reactors
> similar to those used in submarines, but studies I've seen point out that
> in terms of global warming, nukes still produce around 30% of the CO2
> from conventional thermal generation once mining and refining the stuff
> is taken into account:
> Storm van Leeuwen & Smith -
http://www.stormsmith.nl/
>
Well its definitely in te renewable lobbies interst to pay for a study
like that.
It is of course nonsense. You need far more concretre per lifetime MWh
generated in a windmill than a nuke
> This also fails to ignore the problem of dealing with fanatics who think
> nuking someone or something would Be A Good Idea.
>
Anyone that stupid cannot build a bomb. They cant even build a bomb
properly out of fertiliser which the IRA were much better at. If - say -
Iran were to manange to deliver a nuke into Israel and set it off, can
you imagine what would happen to Iran?
> I'n not against nuclear, PROVIDED THAT the problems of disposing of the
> radioactive waste from fuel preparation and the radioactive debris from
> decommissioning old plant can be sorted out. To date the solutions have
> mostly been to pile the junk in a corner and hope nobody notices it.
No, all of the solutions that work perfectly well have been opposed by
greens.
The simplest and most obvious and cheapest solution would be to take it
all out to the Marianas and throw it overboard in concrete cans. To join
the 4 BILLION tonnes of uranium in et seas already
uber low level waste is merely landfilled in steel cases that will do te
100 years plus needed.
uber high level is tomorrows nuclear fuel anyway.
Intermediate - the sort of thousand year slightly radioactive and
biological active shit - ceasium and the like - simply needs putting out
of reach for 1000 years.
How old are the pyramids? Stonehenge? I maen really galssifying it and
stuffing it at the bottom of a disused coal mine in a sealed box is fine.
If you want to REALLY scare yourself go and take a geiger counter to
some disused radium/uranium mine in cornwall or dartmoor and exmoor.
hundreds of times worse than a block of internediate waste.
>
>> That doesn't sort out the use of fossil fuels as chemical feedstocks of
>> course, and as the only appropriate energy density energy source to fly
>> transatlantic airliners,
>>
> True enough, do we really need so many transatlantic airliners? Also, I'm
> seeing talk of running ships on Ammonia rather then heavy oil:
>
> NH3 + O2 => N2 + H2O + energy
Well ships of course will be nuclear powered - the weight of the
shielding is not an issue - but ammonia is an interesting one. It would
certainly be a way to replace natural gas to make fertiliser anyway,
which is one of the big non-energy uses of it.
Hydrogen my well be useful as a reducing agent for smelting metals,
But its hard to see anything to beat long chain hydrocarbons for
portable energy use, and its possible that dirt cheap nuclear poweer
would allow reasonable yiled in stynethsis to make it viwable ..
>
> Is ammonia's energy content high enough to run an airliner? Gaseous
> hydrogen's isn't and nor is liquid hydrogen's once to take density/volume/
> container mass into account.
>
The volume gets you with hydrogen, plus safety and containment.
"The energy density of ammonia is 22.5 MJ/kg at HHV, which is about half
of that for typical hydrocarbon fuels but higher than metal hydrides
(Zamfirescu and Dincer, 2008; Züttel et al., 2010). The raw energy
density of liquid ammonia is 11.5 MJ/L, which is higher than the 8.491
MJ/L for liquid hydrogen and the 4.5 MJ/L for compressed H2 at 690 bar
and 15°C1 . Ammonia is a good energy vector for on-board hydrogen
storage (Green, 1982; Klerke et al., 2008; Lan et al., 2012). However,
safety is regarded as the major drawback of using ammonia as the fuel.
Ammonia is toxic but it is detectable by humans in concentrations of
just 1 ppm (Reich et al., 2001). Anhydrous ammonia is lighter than air
then tends to disperse in the atmosphere. NH3 would be as safe as the
use of gasoline as a transportation fuel (Olson and Holbrook, 2007). The
ammonia released from an ammonia tank during a car accident may cause
potential safety problem but this can be solved through the application
of metal amines with low ammonia partial pressure (Klerke et al., 2008).
Compared to hydrogen, ammonia is easier to be transported. It is much
more energy efficient and much lower cost to produce, store, and deliver
hydrogen as NH3 than as compressed and/or cryogenic hydrogen (Figure 1)
(Olson and Holbrook, 2007). The infrastructure for ammonia already
exists while for hydrogen, new fueling stations have to be built, which
is a big investment (Lan et al., 2012)."
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2014.00035/full
The problem is that nitrogen don't oxidise and release energy, it
oxidises and releases nastyShit.™
You really want to reduce CO2 and water and make synthetic hydrocarbon.
Trouble is there is bugger all CO2 in the atmosphere.
So whereas it might be OK in a fuel cell in a car to go with ammonia, it
isnt really going to make a nice pollution free plane ride.
But what may in fact be the answer is bloody damned fast nuclear ships
The larger the ship the less drag at a given speed per unit weight, and
ships - containers and tankers - are conventionally operated to find a
local minimum to the cost equation. Too fast and you burn more fuel per
tonne mile, too slow and your cost of capital per tonne mile increases.
If your fuel cost is peanuts but your cost of capital is high, and
that's the case for a nukey ship, your accountant will tell you to push
it to the maximum speed it can handle, and your engineers will start
talking about lifting it out of the water on hydrofoils, or building an
ekranoplane as well.
If one wants to say, do southampton to new york in a day, before taking
a high speed electric train, that's probably 120-150mph Well within
ekranoplane range, but not sure about hydrofoils. its above the world
record for a hovercraft, but not by much.
A displacement nuclear ship should do it in 2-3 days nuclear subs have
broken 50mph as well
Anyway,. my point is that climate change and renewable energy are all
red herrings, there is no shortage of nuclear fuel and all the problems
in using it for land and sea based installations are eminently soluble.
What there is is a r9ising shortage of affordable fossil fuels.
All the problems with nuclear arise with portable power off grid. And
basic chemical feedstocks. I think the feedstock chemistry is soluble,
but portable off grid power is a real bugger.
You really want carbon based fuels, but without fossil sources, carbon
is in very short supply, and the only means of getting it out of the air
is really using biofuel of some sort - algae and the like. Possible
nuclear illuminated photosynthesis tanks to remove it from the air
might work, but we are already right on the lower limits of CO2 in the
air which allows plants to work efficiently - we really would need CO2
up around 800ppm to get that to be efficient.
--
The theory of Communism may be summed up in one sentence: Abolish all
private property.
Karl Marx