On 13/02/2024 21:32, Bob Latham wrote:
> Right so there is a video that shows presidents, prime ministers
> doctors and professors all claiming they didn't say it stopped you
> getting covid. Then the video goes on to show them all saying exactly
> that.
Again, you are confusing facts with narratives.
And expecting politicians to tell the complicated truth, which at that
point they don't even know, rather than a simple narrative they think
the plebs will understand.
You are inferring far too much from human weakness. And expecting far
too much from 'experts'
I don't know what you are actually referring too, but at leats in my
personal memory all I saw was a lot of politicians in a panic, and a lot
of epidemioligsts with some extremely sketchy models, all of which said
(in the case of the UK), that if something wasn't done, deaths were
likely to exceed 50,000, and the peak rate of the sperad would
completely overwhelm the hospitals.
And the only real tool of merit at their disposal at that time was
lockdown and social distancing. Which would *reduce* (not eliminate)
viral load so that hopefully they would catch it* less*, and catch it
*less severely*. This is not a *qualitative* issue. It's not a catch
it/dont catch it or a die/dont die binary outcome. It's quantitative.
Less likely to catch it, less severe if you do.
Its not the politicians fault per se that the world is full of
ArtStudents™ who want clear simple qualitative answer - four legs good,
two legs bad etc.
People like to think in simple terms, and counting up to two is hard for
some people, and beyond ten with their socks on, beyond the realms of
possibility.
They want an answer to the impossible question 'am I safe or not?' - as
it seems, do you.
No one is ever safe from anything. Its the same BS in the climate change
narrative. Its not a question of whether or not any particular thing is
happening. Mostly *every* thing is happening, its a question of *how
much* is it happening.
I call this insistence on using simple binary logic coupled with an
emotional narrative as ArtStudent™ thinking, because it is utterly
characteristic of people with reasonable intelligence education and
training but who don't grasp and never have grasped the idea of
quantity properly. Who cant see risk beyond a 'its not safe/its safe'
dichotomy.
If you dont want to be referred to that way stop displaying the clear
signs that you are one of those people.
Those measures gave time for vaccines to be developed. Vaccines were
supposed to do the same as lockdown. Reduce (but not eliminate) the
speed of spread, and the severity of infection. Of course the speed at
which they were rushed into place meant that massive long term tests
were skimped.
*HOWEVER* the trials did show that they were in general less dangerous
than getting infected.
Once again, ArtStudents™ then attack this by saying 'well you don't know
that they did anything, because there were no countries that didn't
vaccinate' etc etc. And its easy to spin that into a conspiracy theory
about injecting whole populations with mind control chips etc.
And saying (since they have *denied* the efficacy of the vaccines) that
the only effects were side effects of a negative nature.
Look. I am at some level an (amateur) philosopher, and this is all
covered by the 'problem of induction' or the impossibility of proving
any inferential conclusion to be true.
Almost any scenario, right down to being ruled buy giant invisible
lizards, is *possible*. In the end you have to select an interpretations
that is demonstrably not false, at least, and that's what science is.
Our best shot.
If you start with a metaphysical assumption that they, the blob that
runs things, are smart, devious and lying to you at every turn, and that
*everything* that happens is, if not by God's Design, at least the
design of some evil Illuminati, then you will arrive at the position you
seem to have arrived.
But I've met these people, I've observed how they think, I've observed
what they understand, and let me assure you, that while they are
devious and prone to lying at every turn, smart they ain't.
They are clumsy, inept, ignorant, greedy corrupt and venal, and a
combination of arrogance because they are on the winning side, and
paranoia because they subconsciously realise how little they deserve to
be, and how just one election can change it all.
What they say is not therefore the truth, it is simply whatever they
think at the time is likely to be the least politically damaging, so
they construct a simplistic emotional narrative around the facts and
hope the fuck that the plebs believe them.
Some do, some instantly disbelieve them on *everything*, on principle,
and the rest of us try to distil the wheat from the chaff, the data from
the carefully crafted bullshit, and act accordingly. Supporting
whichever bunch of cunts seems to be leading towards a slightly better
outcomes than the other bunch, so to speak.
In the case of Covid, they clearly didn't plan it, and didn't realise
what the implications were, and so left many of the decisions to the
medical professionals. Who did what medical professionals do, tried to
save lives *no matter what the cost*. So lockdown was economically very
very damaging. Then big pharma got into the act with some vaccines that
were at least partially effective, then they did what they do best,.
made as much money by as much lobbying and passing of brown envelopes
under the table as *they* could...This isn't a particularly Grand
Conspiracy. Its a shabby little play of corrupt human beings struggling
to maintain their jobs, status, power and wealth in the face of a
situation they didn't anticipate.
That is my conclusion based on what I understand of biology,
epidemiology, computer modelling , exposure to the Great and the Good,
and exposure to the boardrooms of companies which have massive income
streams.
In short the usual buggers muddle of insufficient data, insufficient
analytical skills, incompetence, opportunism, greed and insecurity.
Welcome to the RealWorld™
--
New Socialism consists essentially in being seen to have your heart in
the right place whilst your head is in the clouds and your hand is in
someone else's pocket.