On Wednesday, September 16, 2015 at 11:12:03 AM UTC-4, chrisv wrote:
>
> It's very puzzling, very cult-like, that assholes like "Lloyd" take
> pleasure in the "failure" of such a small business, an alternative
> product with little apparent significance.
Oh, it isn't "puzzling" at all when you choose to overlook the
actual message. The actual message was (as the subject line
pointed out) yet another example of how Linux has consistently
failed to gain market traction.
> Most of us like to see healthy competition, and to have lots of
> choices. Me, I'm happy to see Apple's products in the market, even if
> I choose not to buy them. Hell, I'm even glad to have Micro$oft as a
> viable choice in the mobile-phone market.
>
> It doesn't make sense, until one considers that they are just that
> scared of the competitive threat that Free software poses, after
> seeing Android come from nothing to roar to market leadership in just
> a few short years.
It is quite interesting to hear chrisv first promote 'healthy'
competition and then to try use Android as a notional example, when
we all know that the reality is that Android wouldn't have existed
had it not been by huge bankrolling by Google. As to just how
huge, the number is at least in the tens of billions. Case in
point:
"Google: We're Spending $12.5 Billion on Motorola to 'Protect' Android"
<
http://allthingsd.com/20110815/gulp-google-buying-motorola-mobility-for-12-5-billion/>
FYI, there have also been reports that Google is spending $1B/year
just in marketing for Android.
> The corporate shills keep beating the "desktop Linux will never
> succeed" drum, but fact is that the foundations, on which the
> desktop duopoly is built, are showing some cracks.
The bigger question is if & how Google's business plans to compete
at the OS level will pan out. Their main "cash cow" product is
advertising placement, and the revenue rates here have been in
decline (despite efforts). For example, the rates for CPC's
(Cost per Click) declined by 25% in 2010-13, and haven't fared
much better since:
<
https://d28wbuch0jlv7v.cloudfront.net/images/infografik/normal/chartoftheday_2840_change_of_the_average_cost_per_click_on_Google_ads_n.jpg>
<
http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of-the-day-google-cost-per-click-change-2012-4>
Overall, the bottom line remains the same: human societal
structure has mechanisms to recognize and reward individual
innovation such as through IP laws, which embraces commerce
and income as a motivator. Because FOSS is purposefully
contrary to this structure, it has a hard time participating
within that structure's set of rules, which manifests itself
as not being able to compete in the same way. Fortunately,
in addition to classical Overmatch Theory, there's also
Displacement Theory (DT) by which it could be a contender,
but the problem with the DT approach is that it is sufficiently
out-of-the-box such that most business-centric operators
doesn't even begin to understand its implications in order
to actually apply it in their business case & strategies
to try to be successful with it within a capitalistic market.
-hh