Paavo Helde <
ees...@osa.pri.ee> writes:
>19.12.2022 18:46 Scott Lurndal kirjutas:
>> Michael S <
already...@yahoo.com> writes:
>>> On Monday, December 19, 2022 at 5:25:53 PM UTC+2, Scott Lurndal wrote:
>>>> Lynn McGuire <
lynnmc...@gmail.com> writes:
>>>>>
>>>>> You know, at some point we are going to build a partial Dyson sphere
>>>>> around the Sun to capture its energy.
>>>> Have you bothered to calculate the amount of energy required
>>>> to build a dyson sphere (or even a dyson ring)? If you have that
>>>> much energy, you don't need to build the sphere in the first place.
>>>
>>> Incrementally rather than at once
>>
>> Run the math. What is the diameter of the orbit? What are the material
>> requirements? Even a ringworld would take more energy than it would
>> produce just to build and put in orbit. How far out does it need to be
>> to ensure that the energy density at any point is habitable?
>
>You cannot argue such things by relying on the current level of
>techonology.
I'm not relying on any current technology. There is no current
technology capable of producing the energy or materials necessary
to create a dyson sphere or a ring.
However, it is an interesting exercise to attempt to compute
exactly how much material and energy would be required to build
such a construct.
For example, a MIT study recently looked at the idea of a sunshade
to help ameliorate planetary warming. The upshot was
that the shade needed to span millions of square kilometers and
would cost multiple tens of trillions of dollars to build and
emplace in (relatively) stable earth-sun L1 orbit.
> Hundred years ago it was pretty expensive to store one bit
>of information electrically (an electromechanical relay was a complex
>device), today it's something like 0.00000002 cents per bit. Moreover,
>if someone told them about terabytes of memory, they would have laughed
>and said there is not enough copper to make so many relays, and anyway
>the mechanical failure rate would have been such that the system would
>break down immediately after starting operation, so mission impossible.
>And this is just 100 years.
The growth in energy consumption for the past 150 years has averaged
2.8% per annum. That's an exponential growth curve[*] which is not viable
over the long term (even if we had an infinite supply of clean energy),
simply because energy == heat. Waste heat. At the 2.8% rate, in
less than four centuries, the surface temperature of the earth would
be at the boiling point of water just from waste heat alone.
This is simple physics, albeit
argumentum ad absurdum, since we'll run out of economically extractable
stored solar energy (gas, oil, coal) within the next generation, if not
sooner.
[*] Soi disant "hockey stick".
To build a fleet of nuclear reactors to replace the stored solar
energy (said store built up over hundreds of million years) would require
some 30,000 reactors to be built (assuming that energy growth stops)
given the current 20TW world-wide electricity consumption plus 50%
to account for electricity to replace transportation fuels and
fuels used to make steel, concrete, aluminum and fertilizer and
assuming that growth in energy consumption levels out.
Most of the world economies are predicated on growth. The more the
better. For the economy to grow, energy consumption by the economy
will grow. To a certain extent, improved efficiencies will offset
the growth in consumption, to a degree, but even that has an upper
limit imposed by thermodynamics. This too can't last forever.
>
>For building something you don't need energy, you just need to place the
>atoms in the correct position.
How do you move those atoms around without energy?
>When 3D printing has advanced enough, you
>can build whatever, including a clone of yourself, by placing atoms in
>correct location in space.
Where do you get those atoms, and how do you place them without using
energy to move them?
>
>At next step, you would place protons and neutrons in correct place in
>space, creating any needed atoms. For saving cost, maybe putting
>neutrons first, then decaying half of them into proton+electron pairs?
>The price of gold could become something like 0.00000002 cents per ton.
>I say, you are just lacking imagination ;-)
No, just grounded in reality, sadly.