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"The Brain Makers", by HP Newquist

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John Nagle

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Apr 16, 1994, 1:44:34 PM4/16/94
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Just out: "The Brain Makers", by Harvey Newquist, an expose of the
AI business in the 1980s. All the major players are mentioned and,
generally, trashed. A fun read, especially if you were around for the
"AI boom". Newquist analyzes the Symbolics debacle, the LMI debacle,
the Gold Hill debacle, the Intellicorp debacle...

John Nagle

Hans Moravec

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Apr 16, 1994, 9:50:03 PM4/16/94
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Not to be confused with also just out "Brainmakers", by David
H. Freedman, a Discover writer, who trashes top-down, and praises
bottom-up AI research.
Hans Moravec

Jorn Barger

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Apr 22, 1994, 6:58:52 PM4/22/94
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Thanks for this interesting reference! It's from Sams, $24.95 hardbound,
and totally readable and engaging, although from its emphasis it might
be called "The Great LISP-Machine Bubble"...

Here's a synopsis of the book, in the form of a timeline:

1953: Shannon gives Minsky and McCarthy summer jobs at Bell Labs
1956: Rockefeller funds M&M's AI conference at Dartmouth
1956: CIA funds GAT machine-translation project
1958: McCarthy creates first LISP
1959: M&M establish MIT AI Lab
1959: Frank Rosenblatt introduces Perceptron
1962: McCarthy moves to Stanford, creates Stanford AI Lab in '63
1963: ARPA gives $2 million grant to MIT AI Lab

1965: Feigenbaum takes over SAIL; Noftsker takes over MIT AI Lab
1965: Feigenbaum and Lederberg begin DENDRAL expert system project
1966: Weizenbaum and Colby create ELIZA
1966: Donald Michie founds Edinburgh AI lab
1966: ALPAC report kills funding for machine translation
1967: Greenblatt's MacHack defeats Hubert Deyfus at chess
1969: Minsky & Papert's "Perceptrons" kills funding for neural net research
1969: Kubrick's "2001" introduces AI to mass audience

1970: Terry Winograd's SHRDLU, minor NLP success
1970: Colmerauer creates PROLOG
1972: DARPA cancels funding for robotics at Stanford (Shakey)
1973: Lighthill report kills AI funding in UK
1973: LOGO funding scandal: Minsky & Papert turn MIT lab over to Winston
1974: Edward Shortliffe's thesis on MYCIN
1975: Larry Harris found Artificial Intelligence Corp. to sell NLP
1975: Cooper & Erlbaum found Nestor to develop neural net technology
1976: DARPA cancels funding for speech understanding research
1976: Greenblatt creates first LISP machine, "CONS"

1978: Xerox steals BBN's hackers to build LISP machine
1978: SRI's PROSPECTOR discovers molybdenum vein
1979: Schank founds Cognitive Systems, insists on BMW "for safety"
1980: First AAAI conference at Stanford
1980: Prototype of Dipmeter Advisor
1980: McDermott's XCON for configuring VAX systems
1980: Greenblatt & Jacobson found LMI; Noftsker starts Symbolics
1981: Teknowledge founded by Feigenbaum.
1981: Kazuhiro Fuchi announces Japanese Fifth Generation Project
1982: John Hopfield resuscitates neural nets

1983: Feigenbaum's 5th Generation book sounds alarm, guest on Merv Griffin
1983: Symbolics' new-machine hype drives LMI into arms of TI
1983: MCC consortium formed under Bobby Ray Inman
1983: Symbolics saved by Howard Cannon's hacking protypes of 3600
1983: Symbolics fires Common LISP team, who start Lucid
1983: IntelliGenetics markets KEE
1983: DARPA's Stategic Computing Initiative commits $600 million over 5 yrs

1984: Gold Hill creates Golden Common LISP
1984: Bruce Gras creates K:Base for Shearson, then leaves it orphaned
1984: Noftsker (briefly) replaced by Kulp at Symbolics
1984: Austin AAAI conference launches AI into financial spotlight
1984: AI firms find sales and marketing people seriously clueless
1984: European Community starts ESPRIT program
1984: Doug Lenat begins CYC project at MCC
1984: Perez & Rapaport start Neuron Data, selling Nexpert for the Mac
1984: Phil Cooper founds Palladian, spends money like no one else
1984: TI wins MIT contract for LISP machines away from Symbolics
1984: GM puts $4 million into Teknowledge
1984-86: Corporations invest some $50 million in AI startups

1985: Xerox wins $20 million contract for LISP machines, later cancelled
1985: Palladian releases Financial Adviser, despite tons of bugs
1985: UCLA IJCAI conference wallows in marketing excesses
1985: GM and Campbell's Soup find expert systems don't need LISP machines
1985: Teknowledge abandons LISP and PROLOG for C

1986: Teknowledge goes public, amid wild optimism
1986: Borland offers Turbo PROLOG for $99
1986: Paperback Software offers VP Expert for $99
1986: Thinking Machines, Inc introduces Connection Machine
1986: Neural net startup companies appear
1986: IBM enters AI fray at AAAI, with a LISP, a PROLOG, and an ES shell
1986: PICON ES group leaves LMI and starts Gensym

1987: "AI Winter" sets in
1987: Bottom drops out of LISP-machine market due to saturation
1987: LMI files for bankruptcy, other bankruptcies and layoffs follow
1987: Palladian's software doesn't work, Phil Cooper resigns
1987: George Lucas's Pixar signs deal with Symbolics

1988: Symbolics fires Noftsker and Sear, replacement team flounders
1988: TI announces microExplorer- a Mac with a LISP chip
1988: Minneapolis AAAI is the last hurrah for the party atmosphere
1988: AI revenues peak at $1 billion
1988: Beleaguered Teknowledge merges with American Cimflex, to no avail
1988: The 386 chip brings PC speeds into competition with LISP machines
1988: Object-oriented languages are 'in'
1988: Schank forced to resign from Yale and Cognitive Systems

1989: Palladian ceases operation
1989: Coral sells out to Apple
1989: Schank reappears at Northwestern, funded by Andersen Consulting
1990: MacArthur Foundation gives Richard Stallman $240,000 genius grant
1990: AICorp goes public
1990: Gold Hill closes doors
1990: AAAI in Boston resembles a wake (as did 1989 AAAI in Detroit)

1991: KnowledgeWare reneges on offer to buy IntelliCorp
1992: Japanese Fifth Generation Project ends with a whimper
1992: Japanese Real World Computing Project begins with big money
1993: Symbolics files for bankruptcy
1993: Kurzweil AI goes public
1985-present: many other expert-systems success stories

Jorn Barger

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Apr 23, 1994, 2:17:01 PM4/23/94
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David Pautler <pau...@ils.nwu.edu> wrote:
>The book ignores Newell and Simon?

Nope. It actually has lots more of the predictable Mary-Shelley-Ada-
Lovelace-Edgar-Allen-Poe cliches. (Who cares? ;^/

j
ps, though: I forgot to mention its subtitle: "Genius, Ego, and Greed
in the Quest for Machines that Think"... yowzah!

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