My name is Kait and my husband and I are in the process of collating research for starting our own commercial cider orchard and "brewery" in Ontario, Canada.
1) What is a good range of yearly production from a 2 person team? Particularly if one of us is able to devote full time hours to production. Assume we have the necessary equipment for high volumes of production (hydraulic press, endless demijohns, etc.) I am trying to figure out what level of production is required to make the business feasible.
2) How many bushels of apples would be needed to support this production? We will likely start pressing cider before our own trees are mature and importing apples from elsewhere in Ontario and even New England and I am trying to get supply chain planning going.
I suggest that you start with a copy of the goverment publication Starting a Winery in Ontario to get an understanding of the tax regime. Cider is taxed like a non VQA wine. Then you can work back from your target retail price to the amount that you retain in your pocket to cover variable costs and overheads.
80 bushels (4 bins) of apples to produce 1,000 litres is good guideline.
In order to properly project your costs (particularly your variable costs), you must have a clear plan for distribution: bottles, cans, or kegs sold to licensees or to retail customers? The economics vary considerably among these alternatives.
As someone who grows apples and makes cider, I can tell you that labour availability is a much greater constraint on apple production than cider production. Pest and weed control (particularly organic), pruning, and picking are very labour intensive. Imputing minimum wage to the value of your labour, I would venture to say that growing your own apples is at least twice as expensive as buying them - and that assumes a mature orchard.
One more thought...you should consider IBCs as possibly a more economical fermentation vessel than demi-johns.
John Mott
Beaver Valley Orchard & Cidery
Kimberley, Ontario
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