On 2/21/20 8:05 PM, Ubiquitous wrote:
> It’s already spread wider than SARS in 2003. It may not sweep the globe as
> swine flu did in 2009, but is more dangerous. It doesn’t kill at anywhere
> near the terrifying pace of Ebola in 2014, but it can be passed through the
> air.
It's easily spread and if you notice, it seems to be killing about equal
to 10% of the new cases so when the news reports 2000 new cases they
also report about 200 new deaths from the old virus cases. Which means
the death rate is maybe 1/10 the rate at which is spreads so if it's
spreading at 2000 new infections every two days then the sick are also
dying at a rate of almost 200 every two days.
SO as it spreads is seems to kill more than the 1%-2% that has been
reported in the past... as if there is an exponential increase in the
deaths as the number having infections is not linear and they don't seem
to recover as fast the new become infected, creating more and more that
are actually still sick and being infected faster than they recover from
the virus... Either that or the Chinese and/or others are lying to us
and have been lying about the past death rate of the virus or it has
changed and is more deadly or there are multiple strains of the virus,
or maybe the systems are overwhelmed and so with no care there are more
and more dying and the 1%-2% death rate is only with a level of medical
care that can't be delivered as the numbers of infected increase and the
medical staff able to work decreases due to the infections and deaths.
But any way you look at it, it seems to be getting worse NOT better and
as more systems and more medical staff are overwhelmed by the virus the
care goes down and the death rates will go up.
>
> Even as the number of new coronavirus cases in China appears to ebb, experts
> say they’re preparing for a future with a disease that past pandemics have
> only hinted at.
>
> China’s lockdown of Hubei province, where the outbreak began, gave the world
> several weeks to throw up its defenses, global health officials said Tuesday.
> But it hasn’t stopped the virus, with new cases popping up around the globe,
> potentially seeding a pandemic to come.
>
> “Every virus is different,” said University of Michigan medical historian
> Howard Markel, who has studied influenza epidemics. “If anything the study of
> past epidemics has taught me is that anyone who predicts the future based on
> that is either a fool or lying because we don’t know.”
This virus may be multiple strains as it evolves... they can't seem to
test for it and keep finding new cases where they think there is none.
>
> The virus has brought together elements that scare public health experts as
> well as average citizens. In less than three months, it’s infected tens of
> thousands of people. Humans have never faced it, leaving their immune systems
> vulnerable. And there are no vaccines to prevent 2019-nCoV, as the virus is
> called, or to treat the disease it causes, Covid-2019.
>
80,000 and that rises by 2000 every few days. As the deaths also rise
by 200 every few days. How many of the infected are no longer sick and
are still living?
Some people say they had a slight fever for a short time while others
seem to die.... Are they even the same virus? Or is it like Typhoid Mary
where immune people are carrying it to those with ZERO immunity.
And what will the number of deaths be when lots and lots of those people
don't show up for work and school because they died and no one has found
them yet?
> People rest at a temporary hospital in Wuhan on Feb. 17.Photographer: Xiao
> Yijiu/Xinhua via Getty Images
> On the virus biology side, researchers still don't know many basic
> parameters. One of the most crucial unknowns is whether the virus can spread
> when people aren’t showing symptoms. If a large fraction of people can catch
> and transmit the virus before becoming seriously ill, the odds of halting it
> with existing measures plummet, according to computer simulations run by the
> London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.
>
> “This virus has a firm foothold,” said Steven Riley, professor of infectious
> disease dynamics at Imperial College London’s MRC Centre for Global
> Infectious Disease Analysis. “There are many more people with it than there
> ever was with SARS. We don’t want this virus to become an established human
> pathogen. If it takes off in other parts of the world and remains a
> relatively severe virus, it would become a new kind of thing.”
>
> The world should get a better view of how significant the outbreak will be in
> the next few weeks, as additional surveillance gives clearer insights into
> the virus's spread by mid-March, said Michael Osterholm, an expert on
> infectious diseases at the University of Minnesota.
>
> “We are just getting started,” he said. “If this spreads around the world,
> this will be just south of the 1918 pandemic,” he said, referring to the
> pandemic flu that killed millions a century ago. “The next three weeks are
> going to be critical.”
We are critical at this point.... when somewhere between 2% and 10%
have been dying and it's spreading by 1000 people a day and that number
is looking to be able to expand to being what is an exponential increase
in places where there is little medical or government suppression of the
virus, it looks like things can only get worse from here.
So far all we did was to decrease the rate at which the virus spreads,
but it's still spreading and when it hits another vulnerable population
it will explode again.
--
That's Karma
*Liberalism is unsustainable, self destructive and contradicting*