Global warming effects: Simulation of temperature increase

[jro...@up-to-date.ch]

Meanwhile I have adapted a spreadsheet for OpenOffice to calculate both CO2 concentrations and temperature increase up to the year 2150 based on an average carbon footprint. Input to the model is:

1) Average carbon footprint (will be multiplied with the world population to get the world-wide emissions of CO2). You can use your personal carbon footprint to see what would happen if everyone was like you.

2) Increase or decrease of the CO2 emissions in % per year from 2007 until phase 2 starts

3) Year when phase 2 starts

4) Increase or decrease of the CO2 emissions in % per year in phase 2

The above mentioned 2 phases make it possible to simulate a business as usual scenario with increasing CO2 emissions for some years (phase 1) and then in phase 2 start reducing emissions. Using this model, I have done some calculations and put some results on http://timeforchange.org/mitigate-global-warming-effects-temperature-simulation

I do not know whether it is worth to take the effort to make this model part of a drupal module. On one hand it is very instructive to see how much we have to decrease the CO2 emissions to keep the warming below 2 C. Personally I was surprised to see that the world population is still expected to grow so much. And when you enter an average carbon footprint, the growth of population has a big influence on the word-wide CO2 emissions!

How do you think about this? Let me know if you like to have the OpenOffice spreadsheet. I might put it on the website for download, later.

Best regards

Juerg

BTW: I will be on holiday from March 28 until April 7, so there will be very slow response from my side.

http://timeforchange.org

_

[Juerg]

Meanwhile, I have released both an Excel and an OpenOffice version of
the spreadsheet to calculate the effects of global warming
(temperature increase, CO2-concentration) based on average carbon
footprints and future development of the world population.

The models can be downloaded from: http://timeforchange.org/mitigation-global-warming-calculator

Some results (simulation of CO2 mitigation scenarios) can be found at
http://timeforchange.org/mitigate-global-warming-effects-temperature-simulation

Please let me know whether you think it would make sense to convert
the spreadsheet into either a new drupal module or to integrate it in
the carbon footprint calculator.

Regards

Juerg

http://timeforchange.org/

On 26 Mrz., 19:46, jroh...@up-to-date.ch wrote:
> Meanwhile I have adapted a spreadsheet for OpenOffice to calculate both
> CO2 concentrations and temperature increase up to the year 2150 based on
> an average carbon footprint. Input to the model is:
>
> 1) Average carbon footprint (will be multiplied with the world population
> to get the world-wide emissions of CO2). You can use your personal carbon
> footprint to see what would happen if everyone was like you.
>
> 2) Increase or decrease of the CO2 emissions in % per year from 2007 until
> phase 2 starts
>
> 3) Year when phase 2 starts
>
> 4) Increase or decrease of the CO2 emissions in % per year in phase 2
>
> The above mentioned 2 phases make it possible to simulate a business as
> usual scenario with increasing CO2 emissions for some years (phase 1) and
> then in phase 2 start reducing emissions. Using this model, I have done

> some calculations and put some results onhttp://timeforchange.org/mitigate-global-warming-effects-temperature-...