Hill Times 16 Sept 2021

[The Doctor]

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Politics This Morning: Polls put Liberals=2C Conservatives neck and neck a=
s campaign wanes; O=E2=80=99Toole in two Atlantic provinces

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Politics This Morning
Thursday=2C September 16=2C 2021
Politics This Morning
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau=E2=80=99s Liberals and Leader Erin O=E2=80=
=99Toole=E2=80=99s Conservatives appear to be in a dead heat just a few da=
ys out from the final voting day.The Hill Times photographs by Andrew Mead=
e=2C Sam Garcia


** Politics This Morning: Polls put Liberals=2C Conservatives neck and nec=
k as campaign wanes; O=E2=80=99Toole in two Atlantic provinces (https://ww=
w.hilltimes.com/2021/09/16/politics-this-morning-polls-put-liberals-conser=
vatives-neck-and-neck-as-campaign-wanes-otoole-in-two-atlantic-provinces/3=
17309?utm_source=3DSubscriber+-++Hill+Times+Publishing&utm_campaign=3Dcbcc=
ed01b2-Politics-This-Morning&utm_medium=3Demail&utm_term=3D0_8edecd9364-cb=
cced01b2-92461148&mc_cid=3Dcbcced01b2&mc_eid=3DUNIQID)
------------------------------------------------------------
By Samantha Wright Allen (https://www.hilltimes.com/author/samantha-wright=
-allen?utm_source=3DSubscriber+-++Hill+Times+Publishing&utm_campaign=3Dcbc=
ced01b2-Politics-This-Morning&utm_medium=3Demail&utm_term=3D0_8edecd9364-c=
bcced01b2-92461148&mc_cid=3Dcbcced01b2&mc_eid=3DUNIQID)

Good Thursday morning. Welcome to day 33 of the campaign=2C

A pair of polls out yesterday put the Liberals and Conservatives neck and=
neck with just a few days to go. An Ipsos poll for Global News (https://g=
lobalnews.ca/news/8191108/canada-election-ipsos-poll-dead-heat/?utm_source=
=3DSubscriber+-++Hill+Times+Publishing&utm_campaign=3Dcbcced01b2-Politics-=
This-Morning&utm_medium=3Demail&utm_term=3D0_8edecd9364-cbcced01b2-92461148&mc_cid=3Dcbcced01b2&mc_eid=3DUNIQID) has the two tied at 32 per c=
ent of the vote=2C pulling from a survey of 2=2C001 Canadians between Sept=
=2E 10 and 13. That marks a slight dip in favour for the Tories=2C according=
to Ipsos=E2=80=99 tracking.

Abacus Data=E2=80=99s daily tracking=2C meanwhile=2C has Prime Minister Ju=
stin Trudeau=E2=80=99s Liberals ahead with 33 per cent=2C while Erin O=E2=
=80=99Toole=E2=80=99s Conservatives have secured 31 per cent. Both pollste=
rs findings are well within the margin of error for the results to slightl=
y narrow=2C or widen.

The NDP garnered 21 per cent support in the Ipsos poll=2C and 22 per cent=
via the Abacus survey=2C which tracked feedback from about 1=2C500 eligib=
le voter between Sept. 13 to 15.

=E2=80=9CThe Liberals and Conservatives remain in a statistical tie nation=
ally. The Conservatives have clear leads in the Prairies whereas the Liber=
als have leads in Ontario=2C Quebec=2C and Atlantic Canada. BC is a close=
race overall=2C=E2=80=9D according to the Abacus summary. (https://abacus=
data.ca/daily-tracking-poll-election-44-sept-15/?utm_source=3DSubscriber+-=
++Hill+Times+Publishing&utm_campaign=3Dcbcced01b2-Politics-This-Morning&ut=
m_medium=3Demail&utm_term=3D0_8edecd9364-cbcced01b2-92461148&mc_cid=
=3Dcbcced01b2&mc_eid=3DUNIQID)

https://www.hilltimes.com/election-2021?utm_source=3DSubscriber+-++Hill+Ti=
mes+Publishing&utm_campaign=3Dcbcced01b2-Politics-This-Morning&utm_medium=
=3Demail&utm_term=3D0_8edecd9364-cbcced01b2-92461148&mc_cid=3Dcbcce=
d01b2&mc_eid=3DUNIQID

The P.E.I. Greens=E2=80=99 rise to become the official opposition in 2019=
signals that the province=E2=80=99s voters are tired of =E2=80=9Cpolitics=
as usual=2C=E2=80=9D which could translate into increased support for the=
Greens at the federal level=2C politicos told The Hill Times (https://www=
=2Ehilltimes.com/2021/09/15/green-party-targets-p-e-i-seats-in-rare-campaign=
-trip-by-annamie-paul/316762?utm_source=3DSubscriber+-++Hill+Times+Publish=
ing&utm_campaign=3Dcbcced01b2-Politics-This-Morning&utm_medium=3Demail&utm=
_term=3D0_8edecd9364-cbcced01b2-92461148&mc_cid=3Dcbcced01b2&mc_eid=
=3DUNIQID) . Green Party Leader Annamie Paul signalled the same outlook th=
is week in a rare visit outside her Toronto Centre riding to campaign with=
local candidates. Of the four Liberal-held ridings=2C Malpeque may be in=
reach of the Greens after longtime Liberal Wayne Easter has stepped away=
from politics=2C and 2019=E2=80=99s second-place finisher=2C Anna Keenan=
=2C is up again for the Greens.

And=2C just five days out from election day=2C two New Democrat candidates=
have resigned from running based on social media on Israel and Auschwitz=
=2C prompting NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh to address and condemn a =E2=80=9Cs=
cary rise in anti-Semitism.=E2=80=9D

The party said it supported the choice of Sidney Coles and Dan Osborne=2C=
who questioned whether the concentration camp was real. Both have promise=
d to learn more about anti-Semitism in the wake of their past public comme=
nts=2C according to The Canadian Press. (https://globalnews.ca/news/819182=
7/ndp-candidates-resign-social-media-comments/?utm_source=3DSubscriber+-++=
Hill+Times+Publishing&utm_campaign=3Dcbcced01b2-Politics-This-Morning&utm_=
medium=3Demail&utm_term=3D0_8edecd9364-cbcced01b2-92461148&mc_cid=
=3Dcbcced01b2&mc_eid=3DUNIQID)

Ms. Coles has since apologized for her comments=2C per The Toronto Star=2C=
(https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal-election/2021/09/13/toronto-ndp=
-candidate-apologizes-for-tweets-that-baselessly-linked-israel-to-missing-=
covid-19-vaccines.html?utm_source=3DSubscriber+-++Hill+Times+Publishing&ut=
m_campaign=3Dcbcced01b2-Politics-This-Morning&utm_medium=3Demail&utm_term=
=3D0_8edecd9364-cbcced01b2-92461148&mc_cid=3Dcbcced01b2&mc_eid=3DUN=
IQID) which first reported on Ms. Coles=E2=80=99 past Twitter posts that b=
aselessly claimed Israel was somehow responsible for missing doses of COVI=
D-19 vaccine in the United States.

Ms. Coles was running in Toronto-St. Paul=E2=80=99s=2C Ont.=2C where the p=
arty secured third place in 2019 with 15.8 per cent of the vote=2C and Mr.=
Osborne was running in the Nova Scotia riding of Cumberland-Colchester=2C=
N.S.=2C where the party was fourth with 12 per cent).

https://www.lapaigallery.com/pages/lisa-creskey-sunset-cruise?utm_source=
=3DSubscriber+-++Hill+Times+Publishing&utm_campaign=3Dcbcced01b2-Politics-=
This-Morning&utm_medium=3Demail&utm_term=3D0_8edecd9364-cbcced01b2-92461148&mc_cid=3Dcbcced01b2&mc_eid=3DUNIQID

=E2=80=9CAntisemitism is real. We=E2=80=99re seeing a scary rise in antise=
mitism=2C and we are unequivocally opposed=2C and we=E2=80=99ll confront i=
t=2C=E2=80=9D said Mr. Singh said during a campaign stop in Essex=2C Ont.=
=2C which he=E2=80=99s visited several times this campaign and where forme=
r NDP MP Tracey Ramsey is running again.

In other examples of public contrition=2C Alberta Premier Jason Kenney has=
apologized for his government=E2=80=99s handling of the pandemic in the p=
rovince=2C which has declared a state of public health emergency and intro=
duced new measures to stem the spread of COVID-19. This just months after=
a decision in the spring to shift the province=E2=80=99s approach=2C and=
in July lifted almost all (https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/jason-=
kenney-deena-hinshaw-covid-reopening-update-1.6070925?utm_source=3DSubscri=
ber+-++Hill+Times+Publishing&utm_campaign=3Dcbcced01b2-Politics-This-Morni=
ng&utm_medium=3Demail&utm_term=3D0_8edecd9364-cbcced01b2-92461148&m=
c_cid=3Dcbcced01b2&mc_eid=3DUNIQID) COVID-19 health restrictions.

=E2=80=9CIt is now clear that we were wrong=2C and for that I apologize=2C=
=E2=80=9D said Mr. Kenney on Wednesday=2C per CBC News. (https://www.cbc.c=
a/news/canada/edmonton/kenney-shandro-hinshaw-update-covid-19-1.6177210?ut=
m_source=3DSubscriber+-++Hill+Times+Publishing&utm_campaign=3Dcbcced01b2-P=
olitics-This-Morning&utm_medium=3Demail&utm_term=3D0_8edecd9364-cbcced01b2=
-92461148&mc_cid=3Dcbcced01b2&mc_eid=3DUNIQID)

In campaign events=2C Mr. Trudeau is starting off in Montreal with a 9:15=
a.m. announcement=2C while Mr. O=E2=80=99Toole is doubling up on Atlantic=
provinces today. He=E2=80=99s in Saint John=2C N.B.=2C for an 11 a.m. ann=
ouncement and in Truro=2C N.S.=2C for a 7 p.m. event with supporters.

The riding of Saint John-Rothesay was held by Liberal incumbent Wayne Long=
=2C just barely=2C with only 3.5 percentage points separating him from the=
second-place Conservative candidate. Truro is in Cumberland=E2=80=93Colch=
ester=2C which faced an even tough fight between red and blue last electio=
n. Liberal Lenore Zann won her first seat in Parliament with a 453 vote le=
ad and is up for re-election.

Mr. Singh is staying in Ontario=2C starting off his day with a housing ann=
ouncement in Toronto at 9 a.m.=2C followed by a 1:15 p.m. meeting with sup=
porters in Oshawa=2C before ending his day with a 4:15 p.m. event with sup=
porters in Kingston.

In Oshawa=2C the New Democrats came in second to the Conservatives in 2019=
=2C 10 points behind incumbent Colin Carrie. Kingston=E2=80=99s two riding=
s may be a little further off=2C with the NDP candidate coming in second=
=2C and 23 points behind=2C Liberal incumbent Mark Gerretsen=2C with an ev=
ent wider gap and third-place=2C finish behind Conservative incumbent Scot=
t Reid.

Green Party Leader Annamie Paul is observing Yom Kippur and has no media e=
vents listed in her itinerary.

Bloc Qu=C3=A9b=C3=A9cois Leader Yves-Fran=C3=A7ois Blanchet has his usual=
busy schedule=2C complete with media interviews lined up=2C including on=
a podcast=2C a Facebook event=2C and with Radio-Canada. He=E2=80=99ll be=
in several communities today including Mont-Saint-Hilaire=2C Saint-J=C3=
=A9r=C3=B4me=2C Montr=C3=A9al=2C and Shawinigan.

People=E2=80=99s Party of Canada Leader Maxime Bernier is still in Ontario=
=2C where he=E2=80=99ll be attending public rallies and meet and greets t=
hroughout the day=2C in Hamilton=2C Oakville=2C and Toronto=2C where he=E2=
=80=99ll also take part in a protest at the CBC Broadcast Centre. He=E2=80=
=99ll also video in for an 11:30 a.m. Zoom candidates debate in Beauce=2C=
Que.=2C which he=E2=80=99s aiming to retake from the Conservatives.

In other scheduled events today=2C Parliamentary Budget Officer Yves Girou=
x is taking part on a webinar titled Evaluation of Federal Election Party=
Platforms=2C where he explains how his mandate differs during an election=
when parties can ask him to determine the cost of electoral proposals.

For a =E2=80=9CSenators and Youth Engagement=E2=80=9D event=2C Conservativ=
e Senator Salma Ataullahjan=2C and ISG Senators Ratna Omidvar and Marilou=
McPhedran will share their stories=2C experiences at the Senate=2C and th=
eir role in connecting with youth and supporting underrepresented communit=
ies.

ISG Senator Peter Boehm is also featured on a panel today=2C looking at th=
e declassification of government documents in Canada. That=E2=80=99s hoste=
d by the Bill Graham Centre for Contemporary International History. Sen. B=
oehm=2C who was appointed to the Red Chamber in 2018=2C has served as the=
deputy minister for the G7 Summit and personal representative of the prim=
e minister (Sherpa) from July 2017 and as deputy minister of International=
Development=2C among other roles.

Several Ottawa- and Gatineau-area Liberals vying for re-election are takin=
g part in a French-language roundtable discussion with the Black community=
=2C hosted by the Franklin community group. They are: Associate Minister o=
f Finance Mona Fortier=2C Greg Fergus=2C Marie-France Lalonde=2C and Chand=
ra Arya.

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