Obama establishes double digit lead over McCain!
Ông-thu N
Democratic presidential hopeful Barack Obama has established a double digit lead over his Republican rival John McCain just two weeks ahead of crucial elections, a just released poll says. The Wall Street Journal-NBC News poll found that 54 per cent voters favour Obama against 41 per cent who support McCain, showing a five per cent increase since the poll two weeks ago. The poll has a margin of error plus or minus 2.7 percentage points. The poll says that a growing number of voters said that they were comfortable with the Democrat's values, background and ability to serve as commander-in-chief. It's the largest lead in the Journal/NBC poll so far, and represents a steady climb for Senator Obama since early September, when the political conventions concluded with the candidates in a statistical tie. "Voters have reached a comfort level with Barack Obama," said Peter D Hart, a Democratic pollster who conducts the poll with Republican Neil Newhouse. Though most voters polled said that McCain is better prepared for the White House than the first-term Obama, there are increasing concerns about the readiness of McCain's running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, the poll showed. The race, the Journal said, has rested largely on the question of whether voters could get comfortable with Obama, the first African-American to run on a major party ticket, and one who has been on the national political scene for just a few years. McCain has worked to stoke concerns about Obama's past and his qualifications, raising questions about his rival's character and his association with 1960s-era radical William Ayers. The new poll suggests that these attacks haven't worked. The poll found that Obama now holds a 12-percentage-point advantage with independents, a group both sides have fiercely sought. Two weeks ago, Obama led this group by just four percentage points. In mid-September, independents favoured McCain by 13 points. Obama leads suburban voters by 12 percentage points, up from two points two weeks ago. He leads among older voters, those over 65-years-old, by nine points, erasing a one-point McCain advantage from the last poll. And in the Midwest, home to a swath of battleground states, he is now favoured by 25 points, up from a one-point advantage. Some daily tracking polls, the journal said, have found a tighter race between McCain and Obama in recent days. Real Clear Politics, a Web site that averages major polls, shows Obama up by 7.2 percentage points. Others have found a larger spread, such as one released Tuesday by the Pew Research Centre for the People and the Press, a nonpartisan research group. That poll found a 14-point advantage for Obama among registered voters. Many polls also show McCain lagging in key battleground states, which hold the electoral votes that could decide the race. Obama, the paper said, has also eaten into traditional Republican advantages, notably on taxes, despite McCain's attempts to make the issue a central economic theme of the campaign's closing days. In the mid-September Journal poll, McCain was favoured 41 per cent to 37 per cent when voters were asked which candidate would be "better on taxes." This week's poll found Obama leading on the issue by 48 per cent to 34 per cent. That, the Journal says, may be partly due to Obama's argument that McCain would raise taxes on health-insurance benefits. While McCain's health plan does raise some taxes, the plan overall represents a net tax cut, the paper said, citing independent estimates. |
Danh Hong "E-mail"
សួស្ដី Neak Kampuchea,
សូមអញ្ជើញអានអត្ថបទរបស់ខ្ញុំនៅទីនេះ ៖
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Message from discussion Bury
Chau is Khmer extremist from KK
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More options Oct 21, 8:44 pm |
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From: Neak Kampuchea <Kampuchun2...@yahoo.com>
Date: Tue, 21 Oct 2008 06:44:17 -0700 (PDT)
Local: Tues, Oct 21 2008 8:44 pm
Subject: Bury Chau is Khmer extremist from KK
Reply | Reply to author | Forward | Print | View thread | Show original | Report this message | Find messages by this author
Bury Chau is
Khmer extremist from KK liberation front. He is carrying
two other names: Chanta bury and Chan Bury.
How could
Bury Chau
King Sihamoni's "Cambodian Ambassador" are Vietnamese, such as .
Mme Sin Serey to Singapore
Khieu Thavika to Russia
Chea Von to Geneva
Lim Sam Kol to S.Korea
UCh Kim An to France
etc....There has been a history of various polls over the years projecting bigger votes for the Democrats' presidential candidate in October than that candidate actually gets in November.
Some of these polls seem like they are not trying to report facts but to create an impression. One poll has been reported as using a sample consisting of 280 Republicans and 420 Democrats. No wonder Obama leads in a poll like that.
Pollsters have to protect their reputations but they can do that by playing it straight on their last poll before election day, after having created an impression earlier that a landslide for the Democratic candidate was all but a done deal.
The general media bias is more blatant than usual this year. There was more media outcry about Sarah Palin's response to "gotcha" questions than to Joe Biden's talking about President Franklin D. Roosevelt going on television in 1929 after the stock market crash-- at a time when FDR was not yet president and there was no television to go on.
An editor at Time magazine has admitted that there has been bias but expressed a desire in the future to be more fair to both sides. Just the fact that he expresses the issue this way shows that he still doesn't understand the real problem.
The point is not to be "fair" to "both sides." The point is to be straight with the readers, who are buying the magazine to learn something about the facts of the real world, not to learn about its reporters' ideology and spin.
There is another factor at work in this year's election that makes polls and predictions more unreliable than usual. That factor is race.
Barack Obama's string of victories in early Democratic primaries against far better known white candidates shows that large segments of the American population have moved beyond race.
It is Barack Obama and his supporters who have hyped race, after his large lead in the polls began to shrink or evaporate, as more of the facts about his checkered career came out. Almost any criticism of Obama has been equated with racism, even if there is no connection that can be seen under a microscope.
Barack Obama himself started this trend when he warned that his opponents were going to try to scare the public with various charges, including a statement, "And did I say he was black?"
McCain said no such thing. Palin said no such thing. But those who support Obama-- and this includes much of the media-- are acting as if they just know that this is the underlying message.
Congressman John Lewis has likened Senator McCain to George Wallace. Congressman John Murtha has condemned a whole section of the state of Pennsylvania as "racists" because they seem reluctant to jump on the Obama bandwagon.
Senator Harry Reid has claimed that linking Obama to deposed and disgraced Fannie Mae CEO Franklin Raines is racist, since they are both black-- as if the financial and political connection between the two does not exist.
Much is being made of the fact that, in past elections, some white voters who told pollsters that they are going to vote for a black candidate did not in fact do so, so that a black candidate with a lead in the polls ended up losing on election day.
This is supposed to show how much covert racism there is. It might instead show that people don't want to be considered racists by pollsters because they are leaning toward someone other than the black candidate.
In other words, the media themselves helped create the charged atmosphere in which some people give misleading answers to pollsters to avoid being stigmatized.
All in all, going into the voting booth this year is not an exercise in futility for those who don't want to be bum's rushed into voting for Obama by the media's picture of a done deal. If nothing else, genuine voters can offset some of the thousands of fictitious voters registered by ACORN.
Dr. Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and "Applied Economics" and "Black Rednecks and White Liberals."
From: naco...@yahoo.com
Subject: Obama establishes double digit lead over McCain!
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