At the 1995 MTV Awards, Chris Isaak grabbed and kissed Cameron Diaz, in front of a global audience. She struggled briefly before composing herself for the cameras. A few years later, David Letterman leaned over and sucked Jennifer Aniston’s hair, much to her discomfort. In both moments, men treated female superstars as their playthings. While such behaviour would now be condemned in Hollywood, in much of the world men continue to harass and assault with impunity. When the UN compares countries’ progress towards gender equality, it usually focuses on women’s attainment in the public sphere: schooling, jobs and parliamentary seats. The World Values Survey similarly measures support for women’s paid work and leadership. This data is extremely useful, but omits a fundamental driver of patriarchy: violence. For most of human history, power has been won by militarised coalitions who conquered new territories, raided for slaves, patronised patriarchal religions, while expanding their populations by glorifying maternity. Over the past century, progress has been real, but regionally uneven. In the most patriarchal societies, male status is safeguarded through female seclusion - confining them to the home, preventing any possibility of resistance. In another set, women move freely in markets and public spaces, but men exercise impunity for harassment, assault, trafficking, and gang violence. She is either secluded or vulnerable. Only in a third set have women escaped family control and also walk down the streets feeling safe. In 2024, 98% of Singaporean women reported feeling safe walking alone at night. In South Africa it is just 24%. That gap captures something fundamental about women’s lives, and surely merits greater attention? If the state fails to constrain criminal networks or predatory officials, then violent male coalitions can accumulate power. Opportunists gain advantage through brute force, sustaining a premium for male aggression. Yes, most victims of homicides are usually male, but that does not signify female empowerment. This loss of life reflects male competition within violent hierarchies. Criminal gangs run rampant, exploiting others for forced work and sex, publicising brutal punishments. Everyone lives in fear, most especially the poorest. Recognising danger, people may ally with known thugs or stay silent for fear of reprisals. Trapped by violence, they struggle to build institutions that enforce ‘the better angels of our nature’. So while it’s important to track women’s progress in employment and politics, such metrics can be misleading. They omit pervasive harassment, homicides, conflicts and coercion. And here we see a marked class divide, with the poorest girls being most vulnerable to male aggression. Let me illustrate several different forms of impunity: Guatemala’s religious conservatism, Haiti’s criminal gangs, Nigeria’s ritual intimidation, as contrast with Europe’s recent divergence. Impunity in GuatemalaOver a third of Guatemalan women experience sexual violence in their lifetime, yet the courts remain reluctant to impose punishment. From January 2018 to October 2023, prosecutors and judges dismissed 6,697 allegations of sexual violence against girls under 14. In that same period, there were just 102 rape convictions involving pregnant girls under 14.
If you read Human Rights Watch’s report, you may feel puzzled. It rightly highlights prosecutory failures, fragmented data systems, lack of staffing and resources. But its recommendations are overwhelmingly technocratic - focusing on better laws, larger budgets and improved protocols. This omits religion, culture, and state weakness. Guatemala is extremely socially conservative. Teenage fertility is high (68 per 1,000), while female labour force participation (40%) is well below the regional average. Only 74% of women make decisions concerning their own health care, while 80% of parliamentary seats are held by men. 81% of Guatemalans say religion is extremely important, 49% say religion is an important quality for children, while 60% emphasise children’s obedience. As one female Guatemalan judge remarked,
In societies that idealise obedience, hierarchy and the broader collective, then victims of assault are usually urged to reconcile, forgive and remain silent. Impunity isn’t just a function of administrative backlog, it reflects a social order that abets male abusers.
Criminal gangs in HaitiAfter Haiti’s President was assassinated in 2021, armed groups have struggled for control, causing pervasive violence, intimidation and fear. The UN estimates that 90% of Port-au-Prince is now controlled by criminal groups, who use rape as a ‘weapon of terror’ to ‘punish’ girls and women from territories controlled by their rivals. AHaitian security expert explained, “Leaders, mid-level members, and rank-and-file members all rape girls and women just because they can, and nobody stops them. At MSF’s clinic, 58% of survivors experienced a group assault, with an average of three perpetrators.
Sorcery in Tracking NetworksOver the past 20 years, girls and women from Edo State, Nigeria, have increasingly been trafficked to Italy for sex work. To prevent their escape and instill compliance, criminal gangs routinely use ritual sorcery. Adeyinka and colleagues detail that girls may be taken to a juju doctor to swear a sacred oath, pledging never to reveal their trafficker’s identity, and repay the cost of their trip, or else the spirits will punish their families and subject them to madness. During this ritual, the juju doctor may take the women’s knickers, pubic hair or nails - as tools by which to control their bodies.
As with all religions worldwide, fears of divine punishments can be used to enforce submission. Taken to Agadez in Niger and then Tripoli, women report being detained in warehouses, beaten, raped, sold between captors, and thereafter trapped in criminal networks in Italy. Victims have been reluctant to testify for fear of juju punishments. Transnational trafficking, gang rule and religious hierarchy are clearly very different, but there is a common pattern: where the state does not constrain male violence, women are vulnerable to coercion. Europe’s DivergenceGetting to Denmark isn’t just about state policing, but also public attitudes. Back in the 1970s, British police might turn a blind eye to men’s impropriety, dismissing it as ‘just a bit of fun’. Institutional disregard then enabled repeated attacks. An intrepid BBC reporter decided to turn the tables: pinching men’s bums, showing that this was actually weird and unwanted. Europe has since made ginormous strides towards gender equality:
Analysing both World Values Survey and Eurobarometer, I find that countries scoring highly on one dimension of sexism score highly on another. Compared to Western counterparts, Eastern Europeans tend to be more patriarchal. They are more likely to blame victims, dismiss the notion that ‘no means no’, and say that university is more important for boys. In many former Soviet countries, feminism was suppressed and remains heavily stigmatised. Liberalism in Western Europe and North America was vitally important, enabling the spirit of ‘68 to spread like wild fire across college campuses, igniting the counter-cultural movement and feminist revolution. Women’s movements can be catalytic - overthrowing taboos, galvanising public pressure, and demanding government reforms. Indeed, they are a major predictor of state action against gender-based violence. Whereas in Russia, where feminism is heavily stigmatised, the Dumas decriminalised wife battery. But while Brits and Germans strongly condemn harassment and assault, they are now witnessing rising rapes, low convictions and institutional failures. Women’s safety in the public sphere is perennially vulnerable and requires constant activism. Do Women Feel Safe Alone at Night?For the past 300,000 years of human history, male coalitions have exercised dominance and often enjoyed impunity. When #MeToo went viral in 2017 it was nothing short of revolutionary: joining forces, women publicly supported each other, condemned abusers, and collectively signalled that victims would no longer be dismissed, disregarded, shamed or stigmatised. Yet social scientists have been slow to catch on. Our analyses of progress towards gender equality still focus on economic activity and political representation, omitting a far more basic question: can women walk down the street alone at night and be at ease? Or, for yours truly, can she run into the woods and just enjoy nature? Related EssaysUpgrade to access more posts and support “The Great Gender Divergence” |