** Health Security Decoded - July 11, 2024 - US CDC confirms 4th human case of H5N1 linked to dairy cattle outbreak; experts urge more widespread testing of humans, animals, wastewater

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US CDC confirms 4th human case of H5N1 linked to dairy cattle outbreak; experts urge more widespread testing of humans, animals, wastewater


Is H5N1 avian influenza here to stay? Some experts are starting to wonder, worrying that a lackluster government response and little cooperation from US dairy farmers points to the virus becoming endemic in poultry, cows, and other animals, with an ever-present risk of the virus evolving to transmit more easily to and between humans. In the last 30 days, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has reported detections of H5N1 avian influenza (2.3.4.4b clade) in 49 dairy cattle herds in 6 states, bringing the total number of affected herds to 146 in 12 states since the outbreak was first reported in March.


On July 3, the US CDC confirmed a fourth human case of highly pathogenic avian flu in a dairy farm worker from Colorado, the latest linked to the current outbreak. The person experienced mild symptoms, including conjunctivitis (pink eye). The US has recorded a total of 5 human cases of H5N1 since 2022, with cases reported from 3 states (the first was in a person involved in culling poultry in Colorado). The CDC says the risk to the general public remains low at this time.


Colorado has had the most affected dairy herds in the past 30 days. After an outbreak was detected in a poultry flock of 1.7 million birds at a large commercial egg producer in the state, Colorado Governor Jared Polis declared a disaster emergency to free up state resources to help officials and farmers response.


Testing

Bolstering testing strategies for H5N1 is critical to identify and contain outbreaks early. Testing in both dairy herds and workers remains largely voluntary, and social stigma and economic concerns hinder testing efforts. Federal agencies are looking for ways to increase the number and types of tests to effectively detect the disease in cattle and people. Some public health officials have suggested anonymized testing to get a broader picture of the outbreak, but doing so would limit the ability to address transmission at the source. Testing policies vary by state; Michigan recently launched a study to test people exposed to sick cows for H5N1 antibodies but participation rates are unclear. Most experts agree that additional support for state and local public health departments is necessary to boost surveillance, including for wastewater testing programs, and that current efforts are not sufficient.


“If you can’t get it right with something that’s as forgiving as this virus has been, in terms of its inefficiency in infecting humans, it really doesn’t bode well for when the stakes are higher.” – Center for Health Security Senior Scholar Dr. Amesh Adalja


Vaccines

The US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) last week awarded US$176 million to Moderna to develop an mRNA-based pandemic influenza vaccine. While one of the versions would target H5N1, the mRNA technology would allow manufacturers to quickly adapt vaccines if another flu strain emerged. The US government also secured a fair pricing agreement, which it said will ensure equitable access. The government is working with other pharmaceutical companies, including CSL Seqirus and Sanofi, to develop and stockpile other bird flu vaccines.


Meanwhile, Finland is vaccinating workers at poultry and fur farms and others at high risk against bird flu. Specifically, the nation is using a vaccine design based on the H5N8 avian influenza virus, which is expected to provide some protection against H5N1. Finland’s vaccination campaign is part of a broader European Union initiative, with 14 EU nations agreeing to purchase bird flu vaccines through a plan established by the European Commission. Some experts are wondering why the US government has not offered similar vaccination for its farmworkers, veterinarians, and others at high risk of the disease.


Research & Raw Milk

A study published July 8 in Nature highlights the importance of monitoring and understanding the evolving nature of avian influenza viruses as they adapt to new host species. In the study, researchers demonstrated that H5N1 isolated from infected cow milk spread systemically in mice and ferrets, including to mammary glands. Additionally, the virus was able to bind to sialic acids expressed in human upper airways and inefficiently transmitted to exposed ferrets (25% seroconverted with no virus detection). The virus’s ability to bind to both human- and avian-type receptors warrants further investigation, the researchers said, as past flu viruses that developed the ability to bind to both types have led to human pandemics.


The study also found that mice can become sick after drinking even a small amount of infected raw milk, confirming previous research reported in the New England Journal of Medicine. While there have not been any confirmed human cases of bird flu transmission related to raw milk consumption, public health officials worry it is only a matter of time. Americans appear to have little idea of the dangers of raw milk consumption, according to a recent poll conducted by researchers at the University of Pennsylvania. Several US states, including Delaware, are considering legislation to legalize the sale of raw milk for human consumption despite the risks. And it is not only bird flu that poses a risk. At least 165 people in California were recently sickened with salmonella infections in the largest outbreak linked to raw milk in the past decade.







Roundup and analysis of the top headlines on health security, pandemic preparedness, COVID-19, and other news from the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security


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July 11, 2024



TOP NEWS

US CDC confirms 4th human case of H5N1 linked to dairy cattle outbreak; experts urge more widespread testing of humans, animals, wastewater


Is H5N1 avian influenza here to stay? Some experts are starting to wonder, worrying that a lackluster government response and little cooperation from US dairy farmers points to the virus becoming endemic in poultry, cows, and other animals, with an ever-present risk of the virus evolving to transmit more easily to and between humans. In the last 30 days, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has reported detections of H5N1 avian influenza (2.3.4.4b clade) in 49 dairy cattle herds in 6 states, bringing the total number of affected herds to 146 in 12 states since the outbreak was first reported in March.


On July 3, the US CDC confirmed a fourth human case of highly pathogenic avian flu in a dairy farm worker from Colorado, the latest linked to the current outbreak. The person experienced mild symptoms, including conjunctivitis (pink eye). The US has recorded a total of 5 human cases of H5N1 since 2022, with cases reported from 3 states (the first was in a person involved in culling poultry in Colorado). The CDC says the risk to the general public remains low at this time.


Colorado has had the most affected dairy herds in the past 30 days. After an outbreak was detected in a poultry flock of 1.7 million birds at a large commercial egg producer in the state, Colorado Governor Jared Polis declared a disaster emergency to free up state resources to help officials and farmers response.


Testing

Bolstering testing strategies for H5N1 is critical to identify and contain outbreaks early. Testing in both dairy herds and workers remains largely voluntary, and social stigma and economic concerns hinder testing efforts. Federal agencies are looking for ways to increase the number and types of tests to effectively detect the disease in cattle and people. Some public health officials have suggested anonymized testing to get a broader picture of the outbreak, but doing so would limit the ability to address transmission at the source. Testing policies vary by state; Michigan recently launched a study to test people exposed to sick cows for H5N1 antibodies but participation rates are unclear. Most experts agree that additional support for state and local public health departments is necessary to boost surveillance, including for wastewater testing programs, and that current efforts are not sufficient.


“If you can’t get it right with something that’s as forgiving as this virus has been, in terms of its inefficiency in infecting humans, it really doesn’t bode well for when the stakes are higher.” – Center for Health Security Senior Scholar Dr. Amesh Adalja


Vaccines

The US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) last week awarded US$176 million to Moderna to develop an mRNA-based pandemic influenza vaccine. While one of the versions would target H5N1, the mRNA technology would allow manufacturers to quickly adapt vaccines if another flu strain emerged. The US government also secured a fair pricing agreement, which it said will ensure equitable access. The government is working with other pharmaceutical companies, including CSL Seqirus and Sanofi, to develop and stockpile other bird flu vaccines.


Meanwhile, Finland is vaccinating workers at poultry and fur farms and others at high risk against bird flu. Specifically, the nation is using a vaccine design based on the H5N8 avian influenza virus, which is expected to provide some protection against H5N1. Finland’s vaccination campaign is part of a broader European Union initiative, with 14 EU nations agreeing to purchase bird flu vaccines through a plan established by the European Commission. Some experts are wondering why the US government has not offered similar vaccination for its farmworkers, veterinarians, and others at high risk of the disease.


Research & Raw Milk

A study published July 8 in Nature highlights the importance of monitoring and understanding the evolving nature of avian influenza viruses as they adapt to new host species. In the study, researchers demonstrated that H5N1 isolated from infected cow milk spread systemically in mice and ferrets, including to mammary glands. Additionally, the virus was able to bind to sialic acids expressed in human upper airways and inefficiently transmitted to exposed ferrets (25% seroconverted with no virus detection). The virus’s ability to bind to both human- and avian-type receptors warrants further investigation, the researchers said, as past flu viruses that developed the ability to bind to both types have led to human pandemics.


The study also found that mice can become sick after drinking even a small amount of infected raw milk, confirming previous research reported in the New England Journal of Medicine. While there have not been any confirmed human cases of bird flu transmission related to raw milk consumption, public health officials worry it is only a matter of time. Americans appear to have little idea of the dangers of raw milk consumption, according to a recent poll conducted by researchers at the University of Pennsylvania. Several US states, including Delaware, are considering legislation to legalize the sale of raw milk for human consumption despite the risks. And it is not only bird flu that poses a risk. At least 165 people in California were recently sickened with salmonella infections in the largest outbreak linked to raw milk in the past decade.


Mpox outbreaks in South Africa, DRC raise concerns of broader spread, highlight need for equitable access to vaccines, treatments


South Africa is experiencing a concerning mpox outbreak, with 20 confirmed cases reported between May 8 and July 2, including 3 deaths (case fatality ratio [CFR] = 15%). All identified cases are male, mostly men who have sex with men, and many are living with HIV. The outbreak involves the clade IIb variant, the same one that drove the global epidemic in 2022, and shows signs of community transmission, as the true number of cases is likely much higher. In response, South Africa has established a national Incident Management Team and implemented various public health measures.


Farther north, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is facing its largest mpox outbreak ever recorded, declared an epidemic in December 2022, with more than 21,000 cases and more than 1,000 deaths since 2022. This outbreak is driven by the clade I virus, although the dominant strain being transmitted is a new, potentially more dangerous strain, identified in the eastern part of the country. The new strain is believed to be more easily transmissible, is causing more severe symptoms, and significantly affecting children under age 5. The outbreak in DRC is primarily driven by sexual transmission but also shows evidence of spread through close skin-to-skin and/or household contact.


At least 25 cases have been detected in the city of Goma, mostly in camps housing people fleeing nearby conflict. There are concerns the virus may have already crossed borders and could be silently spreading elsewhere, reminiscent of the 2022 epidemic. DRC recently granted regulatory approval for mpox vaccines, although no vaccines are available there yet, and few are available in South Africa. Experts say both outbreaks highlight the need for enhanced surveillance and equitable access to vaccines and treatments.

MORE HEADLINES

World Health Assembly special session to consider pandemic agreement tentatively set for December; negotiating body meeting next week to continue talks

Health Policy Watch: Date Proposed for Special Session to Adopt Pandemic Agreement – But Strictly in Pencil for Now

Health Policy Watch: Pandemic Agreement Talks Extended: One More Year to Resolve Critical Issues

See also: WHO: History as a partner in public health: a report of the foresight think tank on the history of pandemics


US GAO report examines FEMA oversight of Disaster Relief Fund during COVID, urges agency to identify lessons for estimating funding needs

CIDRAP: GAO report critical of FEMA's handling of pandemic

US Government Accountability Office: Disaster Relief Fund: Lessons Learned from COVID-19 Could Improve FEMA's Estimates


Editorial, opinion pieces address various aspects of US pandemic preparedness, related messaging

Bloomberg: The US Primary-Care System Can't Withstand the Next Pandemic (editorial)

STAT: Preparing schools for the H5N1 bird flu they’re likely to face (opinion)

STAT: EcoHealth Alliance: Covid’s anti-science mob extracting its pound of flesh (opinion)

New York Times: America’s Virulent Anti-Vaccine Lies (opinion)


Some areas of US see increases in COVID-19 activity; levels remain low overall nationally

USA Today: COVID-19 variant KP.3 remains dominant in US, rises to 36.9% of cases: See latest CDC data

Washington Post: A covid summer uptick is underway as FLiRT and LB.1 variants ascend

USA Today: COVID-19 emergency room visits, deaths are up. Should you be worried?

CBS News: COVID trend reaches "high" level across western U.S. in latest CDC data

Health: COVID Cases May Be on the Rise—Here's How to Navigate the Virus This Summer

CBS News: Florida sees COVID-19 surge in emergency rooms, near last winter's peaks

See also: New York Times: This May Be the Most Overlooked Covid Symptom


Analysis examines lessons learned from nursing homes during pandemic, as many fall behind in vaccinating residents

Health Affairs: Four Years And More Than 200,000 Deaths Later: Lessons Learned From The COVID-19 Pandemic In US Nursing Homes

NPR/KFF Health News: Nursing homes falling further behind on vaccinating patients for COVID


As mask ban proposals grow in popularity, so do voices opposing them

NBC News: Mask bans are growing in popularity. Critics call the trend a 'dog whistle' to quell protest.

New York Times: A Daughter of Hollywood Royalty Appeals to Los Angeles: No Mask Bans

Forbes: Mask Bans Grow, Threatening Public Health And Immunocompromised People (commentary)


Studies show COVID-19 can have lasting biological impacts, even absent long COVID symptoms

CIDRAP: Study shows abnormal immune-cell activity with long COVID

STAT: ‘Visionary’ study finds inflammation, evidence of Covid virus years after infection

CIDRAP: Study: Long-term post-COVID altered sense of smell in healthcare workers common

Upcoming event: Washington Post: The looming public health challenge of long covid (online event July 25 at 9:00 am ET)


Health officials identify measles cases in several US states; disease survivors recount misery of infection

NECN: Measles cluster in NH, Vt. hits 3 patients; health officials watching for more

Newsweek: Measles Warning Issued to California Flight Passengers

CIDRAP: Health officials probe measles cases in Seattle, Ohio

Washington Post: What it’s like to survive measles


Following US CDC alert to healthcare providers, several US states report dengue cases

US CDC: Increased Risk of Dengue Virus Infections in the United States

ABC News: Nearly 200 cases of dengue virus reported in New York and New Jersey: CDC

NBC Chicago: 27 Illinoisans infected with dengue as CDC warning in effect in US

Axios Tampa Bay: Mosquito season brings dengue fever to Tampa Bay

Austin-American Statesman: Austin and Travis County see dengue fever cases. What you need to know about the symptoms.

CT Insider: Connecticut has recorded 6 dengue fever cases amid global surge of the disease. Here's what to know.

Yahoo Life: How to stay safe from dengue fever — and how your community can help too

See also: Health Policy Watch: Record-Breaking Dengue Infection Persists in the Caribbean


Colorado confirms human plague case; cases of zoonotic bacterial infection rare but still occur

ABC News: Colorado public health officials confirm human plague case in the state

Washington Post: What to know about the plague after a suspected human case in Colorado

CNN: Plague is among the deadliest bacterial infections in human history. Cases still happen today

USA Today: A new plague case is a reminder: The 'Black Death' lingers in the US


US FDA investigating new salmonella outbreak; other outbreaks in raw milk, cucumbers, oats

Food Safety News: FDA finds new Salmonella outbreak; investigation has not yet found source

CIDRAP: Salmonella outbreak tied to raw milk products from often-implicated firm may have sickened 165

HealthDay News: Untreated Water Likely Source of Salmonella Outbreak Linked to Cucumbers

Quartz: A Quaker Oats facility might have had salmonella contamination for years, FDA says

See also: Food Safety News: CDC reports no progress in reducing foodborne infections in 2023


US government awards US$176M to Moderna to develop mRNA-based pandemic flu vaccines

STAT: Moderna receives $176 million from BARDA for mRNA influenza vaccines

AP: The US will pay Moderna $176 million to develop an mRNA pandemic flu vaccine


Malaria vaccine rollout provides lessons; zoonotic malaria poses challenge for disease elimination; more media coverage of disease, innovative tools needed

New York Times: Malaria Vaccine Rollout to Africa Is a Cautionary Tale

The Telegraph: Malaysia was on the brink of eliminating malaria – then a new parasite swung out of the jungle

Association of Health Care Journalists: Why new tools for fighting malaria need more media coverage

See also: Nation: Kenya to release genetically modified mosquitoes to fight malaria


6 nations report new polio cases, including Afghanistan, Pakistan

CIDRAP: Six nations report more polio, including wild-type cases in Pakistan

VOA: WHO data contradicts Afghan Taliban’s claim of zero polio cases

See also: New Humanitarian: Inklings | Where’s the missing report on polio vaccine paralysis?


Meeting report, research papers address Ebola vaccines, outbreak response, end-of-outbreak declaration

WHO: Extraordinary meeting of the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization on Ebola vaccination, May 2024: conclusions and recommendations

Nature Communications: Using real-time modelling to inform the 2017 Ebola outbreak response in DR Congo

Science Advances: Optimizing the timing of an end-of-outbreak declaration: Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo


J&J ends patent enforcement of TB drug bedaquiline in S. Africa; gov’t ceases pricing investigation

AP: Relief in South Africa after J&J reversal allows key tuberculosis drug production at lower prices

Fierce Pharma: J&J agrees to slash Sirturo price in South Africa, prompting authorities to end antitrust probe


Blog publishes posts on risky pathogens research as part of series

Bulletin of Atomic Scientists: An approach to making risky research with pathogens safer

Bulletin of Atomic Scientists: Middle East and North African countries need better rules for gain of function pathogen research


Podcast interviews geneticist/biologist about work to ban US biological weapons development, investigate anthrax accident in Russia

Statecraft: How to Ban Biological Weapons

Statecraft: How to Catch a Lab Leak


WHO publishes updated guidance for managing biological risks

WHO: WHO updates laboratory biosecurity guidance

WHO: Laboratory biosecurity guidance

FROM THE CENTER

Center for Health Security Senior Scholar Dr. Alexandra Phelan discusses pandemic agreement negotiations on podcast

 

WHO member states began efforts to draft a pandemic treaty in 2021, at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. But negotiators have continually missed deadlines, and the draft agreement remains under discussion. Global health law expert Dr. Alexandra Phelan, a Senior Scholar with the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security and Associate Professor at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, recently sat down with the hosts of Public Health On Call, a podcast from the Bloomberg School of Public Health. They discuss efforts to secure a pandemic agreement before the next major disease outbreak and why countries cannot seem to agree on efforts to remedy historic inequities, improve vaccine access and data sharing, and more.


Listen now to Episode 774 - Why We Desperately Need—And Still Don’t Have—A Global Pandemic Treaty.

Editor: Alyson Browett, MPH

Contributing Editor: Prarthana Vasudevan, MS, MSPH, DrPH (c)

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