Threat to global GM soybean access as patent nears expiry.

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Joaquim Machado

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Jan 10, 2013, 9:28:03 PM1/10/13
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Joi Ito's Trends to Watch in 2013

Founded in 1985, the MIT Media Lab has established itself as one of the world's most influential technology incubators - home to a motley collection of scientists, engineers, designers, and artists. From Guitar Hero to LEGO Mindstorms; E Ink to glanceable information displays, they have transformed the Lab into a factory of innovation. Overseeing it all is entrepreneur and venture capitalist Joi Ito, who sees four big trends on the horizon for 2013. Here he explains how hardware start-ups, gene printing, disruptive education, and agile processes are set to shape the future.


Joi Ito is a people person. Although he goes by many titles - entrepreneur, visionary, adventure capitalist, tech guru, and Director of that Willy Wonka's factory of technology, the MIT Media Lab - his real genius lies in translating the science-fiction breakthroughs of tomorrow into the mainstream today. This task involves a keen eye, a bit of luck, and the willingness to look for innovation in the dark corners that everyone else has written off.

"If you think about Google, Facebook, and Yahoo, the key thing about these new innovations is that they weren't started in heavily resourced labs but out on the fringes," says Ito. "The reason that happened was because the internet is an open-sourced way of information sharing. It lowered the cost of innovation to nearly zero - just ramen and sweat. It pushed innovation from big innovators to the edges: student start-ups, etc. The whole explosion of the internet was led by small groups of people, which in turn meant that the whole nature of innovation changed as costs went down."

Hardware as the New Software

Ito identifies four key trends that he will be watching this year, beginning with the rise of the hardware start-up. "What's new this year is that supply chain provider companies are making the cost of manufacturing and risk really, really small," he explains. "So hardware start-ups are looking like the software start-ups of the previous digital age."

He name checks three companies that started life as Media Lab projects: LittleBits, Formlabs, and Twine. All of them artfully conjoin the internet and the real world, but their playful packaging masks seriously disruptive intentions. LittleBits, for instance, is an opensource library of electronic modules that snap together with tiny magnets for prototyping and play. It aims to do for electrical engineering what LEGO did for construction. Kickstarter darling Formlabs is at the forefront of the 3D printing revolution that's set to reshape the parameters of manufacturing. While Twine is an ingenious little cube that hooks up (some) everyday objects to the internet and allows them to communicate with you. If the start-up has its way, your AC unit will soon have its own Twitter account.

Hardware is still more difficult to produce than software, of course, but as it gets easier, it's opening entirely new worlds. "We're seeing old hardware companies like HP getting out of the market because the world is too fast for them," Ito says. "The whole ecosystem around hardware has increased in viability."

Gene Printing

Another trend to watch is in biotech, where Ito is expecting major advances in our ability to print genes. "In biology, we have sequenced a lot of genes but when we try to actually print them we tend to get errors," he explains. At some gene-printing factories in China, for instance, the error rate is one in every 100 base pairs. But now, Media Lab boffins like Joe Jacobson are bio-fabricating genes using something called a 'CMOS' chip, which basically allows him to print genes using machines instead of people, bringing the error rate down to one in every 10,000 base pairs. "This means that gene fabrication capacity is going to go up tremendously, which will unleash the ability to design and innovate biological devices."

Pressed on what kind of biological devices, Ito lets his imagination run riot - we could plant seeds that grow houses, he says, or create cells with memories. This is Ito the sci-fi enthusiast, excitedly peering into the future. But he's a pragmatist, too, adding almost apologetically, "It's important to remember that all this is very tricky."

I'm calling myself a 'nowist,' and I'm trying to figure out how to build up the ability to react to anything.


Lifelong Learning

Ito's success rate as the Lab's director - an ability to separate the wheat from the chaff largely driven by self-education and trial and error - has given him a critical perspective on formal education systems; another area he sees as ripe for disruption in 2013.

"It has always been my opinion that 'education' is something people do to you, whereas 'learning' is something you do for yourself," he says. "Consequently, the only thing I learned in school was typing. In the old days, people like me who don't have college degrees had a hard time thriving in society. But today, the ability to learn on your own or from your peers has become really easy. I think this change is leading to a fundamental disruption in education. Independent and lifelong learning are really starting to peak - there is an inflection point coming around how people learn."

Although he can't say for sure what form this 'inflection point' might take, Ito believes that the only way to innovate is to cultivate a certain flexibility in the approach to developing technology.

Survival of the Quickest

"I don't believe in futurists that much anymore - they are usually wrong," he says, responding to a label that is often applied to him. "I'm calling myself a 'nowist,' and I'm trying to figure out how to build up the ability to react to anything. In other words, I want to create a certain agility. The biggest liability for companies now is having too many assets; you need to learn how to be fluid and agile.

'It's kind of a spiritual thing," he continues. "You want to have your peripherals wide open and adapt as quickly as you can. I think that will be an important survival trait of people and companies in the future."

There's that word again. No matter how much Ito claims to ground himself in the present, his foot is firmly on the pedal, his gaze fundamentally forward-looking. "I'm searching for a process that is essentially about erecting a giant antenna so I don't miss whatever is on the horizon," he says. "This goes back to our policy for the Media Lab - we require faculty members to be anti-disciplinary. If you can do what you want to do in any field that already exists you don't belong at the Lab. What I'm searching for are people and things that don't fit anywhere: The misfits of society."


Written by Tetsuhiko Endo



On 11/01/2013, at 00:28, Joaquim Machado wrote:

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Joaquim A.  Machado
MINDWINGS & LEBLON
Science, Politics and Art
iPhone +55-19-8830-3600
Campinas - SP  Brazil









Joaquim A.  Machado
MINDWINGS & LEBLON
Science, Politics and Art
iPhone +55-19-8830-3600
Campinas - SP  Brazil








Joaquim Machado

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Jan 19, 2013, 2:39:58 AM1/19/13
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Joaquim A. Machado
USP - ICB

O Instituto de Eletrotécnica e Energia da Universidade de São Paulo (IEE/USP), através do seu Programa de Recursos Humanos PRH-04 ANP/Petrobras, e a Sociedade Brasileira de Planejamento Energético (SBPE) convidam para o:

III Workshop Internacional de Verão - Energy, Economy and Environmental Policy Modelllng

18 a 22 fevereiro 2013

8h30 às 18h30

Instituto de Eletrotécnica e Energia da USP – Av. Prof. Luciano Gualberto, 1.289 – Cidade Universitária, São Paulo - Sala de Seminários.

O evento será desenvolvido em inglês e em português sem tradução.

Inscrições exclusivamente com Sra. Dorothy Nagato; no e-mail  wor...@workoutenergy.com.br

O workshop pretende investigar os fundamentos da modelagem de políticas específica para o setor de energia e suas correlações com as questões ambientais (enfocando principalmente as emissões de gases de efeito estufa) e as questões macroeconômicas.

Os conceitos básicos e as diferentes abordagens usadas na modelagem de políticas energéticas e ambientais serão explorados, desde os modelos tecnologicamente detalhados, do tipo bottom-up, até os modelos economicamente detalhados, do tipo top-down, com várias técnicas incluídas. A ênfase é colocada sobre as técnicas de equilíbrio econômico agregado, as quais são desenvolvidas a partir da utilização de aplicativos computacionais consagrados e que serão exercitados em sala de aula.

O conceitos de curva de aprendizado será explorado nos processos de modelagem como um meio de simular os custos futuros de novas tecnologias energéticas. A teoria microeconômica de produção é introduzida e integrada à modelagem, buscando-se uma representação realística da economia de energia e de suas interações.

O workshop segue a tradição do Programa de Pós-Graduação em Energia do IEE/USP e seu PRH-04, de promover Escolas Intensivas de Verão, com a integração de professores da USP e colegas internacionais, com aulas parcialmente em português e inglês, com vocações empíricas e que completam a formação dos participantes em diferentes tópicos da economia de energia e suas relações ambientais e sociais. Essas iniciativas são apresentadas de forma que os participantes possam se familiarizar com metodologias consagradas tanto no meio acadêmico como nos mercados de trabalho do planejamento energético.

Metas de Aprendizagem:

Obter maior compreensão das interações entre energia-economia-ambiente.

Desenvolver técnicas de modelagem com natureza interdisciplinar.

Aprofundar conhecimentos que combinem a teoria econômica com a prática empírica.

Compreender o conceito fundamental de curva de aprendizado e suas aplicações tecnológicas nos campos da energia e do meio ambiente.

Explorar as análises quantitativas dos impactos de políticas energéticas e ambientais, principalmente seus efeitos sobre o crescimento econômico.

Ganhar experiência prática em modelagem de políticas energéticas e ambientais, com exercícios realizados em sala de aula.

Público Alvo

O workshop é voltado principalmente para estudantes de graduação e pós-graduação em energia, economia, meio ambiente, engenharia e modelagem matemática, bem como a pesquisadores em administração de empresas, economia, planejamento e engenharia que trabalhem no setor de energia e/ou na administração pública. A participação é limitada em 30 alunos.

Programação

18/02/2013
08h30-09h00 - Credenciamento dos alunos inscritos
09h00-10h00 - Sessão de Abertura - Ildo Luis Sauer, IEE/USP
10h30-12h30 - Introdução à modelagem de sistemas energéticos - Adam Hawkes, Imperial College, London
14h30-18h30 - Fundamentos teóricos da análise de equilíbrio geral; equilíbrio geral versus parcial; trocas; produção e bem estar - Fernando Postali, FEA/USP

19/02/2013
08h30-10h00 - Modelo MARKAL/TIMES e suas aplicações - Adam Hawkes, Imperial College, London
10h30-12h30 - Exemplos de aplicações dos modelos no setor residencial e de transporte urbano - Luis Munuera, Imperial College, London
14h30-18h30 - Exemplo detalhado de utilização de modelos em processos políticos relacionados à questão climática global - Adam Hawkes, Imperial College, London

20/02/2013
 08h30-12h30 - O modelo brasileiro MESSAGE (MSG) - programação inteira mista destinada a formular e avaliar estratégias alternativas para o suprimento de energia. A experiência do passado e os desafios na construção e aplicação de MSG Brasil - Alexandre Szklo, PPE/COPPE/UFRJ
14h30-18h30 - Jogo interativo prático sobre Mecado de Carbono com apoio de modelos - Adam Hawkes, Imperial College, London e Luis Munuera, Imperial College, London

21/02/2013
08h30-12h30 - O modelo LEAP e sua utilização para a realização de estudos de cenários integrados Energia, Ambiente e Ecologia - Luiz Tadeo Siqueira Prado, IEE/USP e Decio Katsushigue Kadota, FEA/USP (a confirmar)
14h30-18h30 - programação a confirmar

22/02/2013
08h30-12h30 - O uso do MESSAGE em aplicações para a otimização do sistema energético brasileiro. Utilização do MESSAGE para análises dos impactos de novas tecnologias no setor de transporte - Bruno Borba, UFF


Ines Iwashita
Serviço Técnico de Relações Institucionais e Comunicação
Instituto de Eletrotécnica e Energia - IEE/USP
fones 11 3812-3352  e 97669-9026

Joaquim Machado

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Jan 19, 2013, 6:26:20 AM1/19/13
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Mayans Give Big Data a Big Break

The new collaborative environment is a data ecosystem that will transform the world in the current age.

(Page 1 of 1)

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    2013 will bring big challenges—even Big Data challenges—but we’re also likely to see collaborative action across R&D and translational research and into the clinic. [© Sergej Khackimullin - Fotolia.com]

    Since the Mayans were wrong and we’re all still here in January, what are we all going to be doing apart from celebrating the start of another 2,500-year Mayan calendar? For the life sciences industry it’s time to start implementing all the sage advice and strategy of the last two years on cost reduction and innovation capture and to begin instituting real change. Business as usual is so last Mayan calendar….

    The life sciences have had a 50-year party. But like all parties, when the food and drink start to run out, the festivities either need to move on or the partygoers need to take a break. 2013 sees the effect of the after-party gathering: the core group that meets the following morning for a breakfast at the diner and time together in the park. There will be some new friends in the gang and a number of old ones missing, but the sense of camaraderie and shared purpose is clear. Work together and the recovery will be faster and more fun.

    The group of oldest friends, pharma and biotech, are now joined by a much more eclectic, broader, outward looking group of CROs, academia, clinicians, and patients.

    This new group of interdependent friends knows they can change the world, and the sparky conversation is tantalizing and thrilling: patient-centered healthcare, virtualized R&D, biomarker-driven prescribing, and telemedicine. It’s a heady mix of small- and large-molecule therapeutics, technology, disease prevention, and a healthcare revolution.

    The conversation is driven by fundamentals among which are financial and human elements. First, the costs. Payers are paying more every year for healthcare. According to the Economist, U.S. healthcare costs rose to $2.6 trillion in 2010, more than 100 times the cost in 1960. For the pharmaceutical industry there are also some stark figures: a 25% increase in the cost of the R&D pipelines but with no added corporate value, noted a Deloitte/Thomson Reuters report in 2011.

    However the most seismic changes are not about national or industrial P&L. The rise of patient power is inexorable and the availability of data has changed the balance of power forever. 2012 saw the publication of Eric Topol’s brilliant book, “The Creative Destruction of Medicine.” This provides a fly-on-the-wall insight to the post-party debate and an indication of where this new band of brothers can take the future of healthcare worldwide. To read the book, it is well worth a missed night’s sleep and the overexpression of CYP1A1 to deal with the caffeine to understand the possibilities and hear the home truths that are now hitting home in every switched-on boardroom and consulting room.

    Switched on to what? The power of data. IBM recently stated that between 50% and 90% of the world’s data has been generated in the last two years. This is not simply the proliferation of pointless videos of poor unfortunates tripping over or teaching you how to juggle hammers. The availability of genomic data, on-line, crowd-reviewed journals, secure deidentified real-world clinical information, and telemedicine data are astonishing and bewildering. To make this new world of medicine work, everyone in this new group will need to be able to make sense of and use this global treasure.

    The new collaborative environment is a data ecosystem that did not exist even in the last Mayan calendar, but it will transform the world in the current age. Even limiting our view to the R&D environment demonstrates that there are major efforts that must now be transformed from the whiteboard to the scoreboard:

    • Distributed R&D: To really bring together virtualized R&D a scientifically-savvy data infrastructure must underpin the logistics and relationship building efforts that has been set up over recent years. Data and IP are the currency and the product of this disruptive way of working. Simple but sophisticated collaborative data systems will make “right-time” decision-making a reality and bind the parties together in precompetitive and discreet relationships.
    • What-if scenario planning: Sophisticated tools and data technologies are needed to aggregate and provide data-driven guidance to portfolio managers, budget holders, and collaborative decision-makers.
    • Translational medicine: Secure systems that can combine electronic medical records, tissue samples, image, and ‘omics data enable a next-generation science for medical research. This combination of data is new, multi-stakeholder. and of unprecedented value. This unique mixture, allied to domain understanding, analytics, and tech, which can genuinely bridge bench to bedside to boardroom, is enabling. Production systems are now changing how this science is performed and redefining what speed and depth of science is possible in this new discipline.

    These new resources are transformational for Academic Medical Centers, Health Services, pharmaceutical companies, and medical science. This was recognized most recently by the $160 million (GBP100M) project announced by the U.K. Government last month to create longitudinal, sequence-centered data for 100,000 U.K. patients, and the launch of the Innovative Medicines Inititive project, eTRIKS, to provide precompetitive data systems for a consortium of pharma and academia.

    So is all this then just Big Data? No. It’s about changes in practice, gaining deep insights into what data need to be collected, and relying on smart (not just Big) systems that make the data usable. Next-generation sequencing is certainly an important technology, creating terabytes of data per sequence. However, it will only release its full potential if the data consumers at the front line can make sense of it. This takes more than just algorithms and extensible (Cloud) computing power. It takes an understanding of the data and how it is really going to be used.

    The definition of big data is diffuse and fluid. It has been coined by some as a combination of volume, velocity, and variety. This missed a vital component without which the others are rendered impotent: quality or, as the alliterative are now starting to add on, veracity.

    It is well established in life sciences and clinical environments that there remain significant gaps in data, which make data comparisons, Big or not, of limited value. Our work across industry and healthcare environments drives changes in clinical and R&D practice that address these data gaps and focus upon getting collaboration to work across these multiple disciplines to achieve what is needed. Improve the quality, improve the decision. This was put well by James McGurk, Ph.D., when he said at an IDBS Translational Medicine Symposium in London: “The more difficult it is for others to understand your data, the more likely it will be used badly.”

    As the new calendar turns over, be it for 12 or 30,000 months depending upon your world view, we see a new group of friends setting out to change the world for the better. No doubt there will be big challenges, even Big Data challenges, but 2013 will see collaborative action across R&D and translational research and into the clinic. After a long night out, that is just the news we need.


Chris Molloy, Ph.D., (cmo...@idbs.com) is vp of corporate development at IDBS, a specialist software company focused on R&D data management. He was formerly COO of MerLion Pharmaceuticals.


Joaquim Machado

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Jan 19, 2013, 7:57:26 AM1/19/13
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Food versus Fuel: Native Plants Make Better Ethanol

New research reveals that native grasses and flowers grown on land not currently used for crops could make for a sustainable biofuel


 






 

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successional-vegetationBETTER BIOFUEL: The plants that grow naturally on fallow agricultural lands could make better biofuels than crops.Image: © J.E. Doll, Michigan State University

A mix of perennial grasses and herbs might offer the best chance for the U.S. to produce a sustainable biofuel, according to the results of a new study. But making that dream a reality could harm local environments and would require developing new technology to harvest, process and convert such plant material into biofuels such as ethanol.

Biofuels have become controversial for their impact on food production. The ethanol used in the U.S. is currently brewed from the starch in corn kernels, which has brought ethanol producers (and government ethanol mandates) into conflict with other uses for corn, such as food or animal feed. Already, corn ethanol in the U.S. has contributed to a hike in food costs of 15 percent, according to the Congressional Budget Office, and the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization blames corn diverted to biofuels for a global increase in food prices.

To see if nonfood plants could be a source of a biofuel the way corn is, researchers followed six alternative crops and farming systems in so-called marginal lands over 20 years, including poplar trees and alfalfa. Such marginal lands face challenges such as soil fertility and susceptibility to erosion.

The new analysis found that conventional crops such as corn had the highest yield of biomass that can be turned into biofuel on marginal lands, although their ability to reduce CO2 is harmed by tilling, fertilizing and other CO2-producing activities necessary to turn them into fuel. (Such factors have caused considerable scientific disagreement over whether ethanol from corn delivers any useful greenhouse gas reductions, although the researchers find that even corn provides some climate benefits as long as oil production and combustion is included in the comparison.)

In contrast, the grasses and other flowers and plants that grow naturally when such lands are left fallow—species such as goldenrod, frost aster, and couch grass, among others—can deliver roughly the same amount of biofuel energy per hectare per year if fertilized, yet also reducing CO2 by more than twice as much as corn. "When biofuel is produced from such vegetation, the overall climatic impact is very positive," says lead researcher Ilya Gelfand of Michigan State University. Theresearch was published in Nature on January 17. (Scientific American is part of Nature Publishing Group.)

By taking those field results and feeding them into a computer model that calculated how much such marginal land was available within 80 kilometers of a "potential biorefinery," Gelfand and colleagues found that 21 billion liters of cellulosic ethanolcould be produced in this way per year from roughly 11 million hectares of currently fallow land in 10 Midwestern states.

Such a glut of cellulosic biofuel, if realized, would reduce greenhouse gas emissions—compared with oil that otherwise would have been burned—by 44 teragrams (44 billion kilograms) per year. That is "the same as the CO2 emissions from 10 million medium-sized cars, each with an annual run of 20,000 kilometers," wrote climate researchers Klaus Butterbach-Bahl and Ralf Kiese of the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology in Germany in a commentary on the research, also published in Nature. It would also satisfy 25 percent of the 80-billion-liter target for cellulosic ethanol production in 2022 set by the U.S. government in 2007.

"It is good that the authors are attempting to focus on land that is not already used for food production," says agricultural expert Timothy Searchinger of Princeton University, who was not part of the study. But the research suggests that even if researchers maximized the capacity to grow biofuels on all marginal lands, "the amount of cellulosic ethanol it could produce is only enough to provide 1.5 percent of U.S. transportation fuel by 2020." And the expected yields are about 20 percent less than predicted by a U.S. Department of Energy analysis of biofuel potential in 2011.

Such cellulosic ethanol from native plants would also require technological breakthroughs to efficiently convert plant leaves, stems and other inedible parts into fuel. Whereas a few such cellulosic biorefineries are being built or exist at the prototype scale, none have the capacity to cope with such a mix of perennial grasses and herbs. In fact, one of the key needs for such sustainable biofuels to move forward remains "a profitable biorefining process," Gelfand notes, along with a better understanding of ecological impacts. As it stands, such cellulosic biorefineries get their materials either from the residue of conventional crops, such as corn stover, or from harvesting trees.

Turning marginal lands into biofuel farms could also have a negative impact on the local environment. Marginal areas are often currently set aside for conservation, both as a means to provide a habitat for wildlife as well as a way to protect it fromagricultural runoff into waterways.

And, even if such cellulosic ethanol became a reality, it might still come into conflict with food production. "If fuel became sufficiently valuable, it might well displace food crops, as is now the case with corn grain ethanol," Gelfand says. But "expanding fuel production to marginal lands not suitable for food production is a way to relieve the pressure on productive cropland to produce fuel."


Joaquim Machado

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Jan 19, 2013, 8:02:29 AM1/19/13
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Scientific American

Coal to Asia Emerges as New Front in Battle against Global Warming

Experts and environmentalists question whether shipping U.S. coal to China can be reconciled with the need to combat climate change

By Nathanael Massey and ClimateWire  | Thursday, January 17, 2013 | 17

coal trainCARBON CONUNDRUM: Shipping unused U.S. coal to China could prove an economic boon but also an environmental disaster.Image: Flickr/Randy Slavey

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PORT WESTWARD, Ore. -- This 900-acre industrial park features a horseshoe-shaped dock of timber and steel that juts out into the Columbia River, an hour's drive north of Portland. During World War II it shipped bullets and bombs across the Pacific. Now it's providing ammunition for a new battle: whether to export substantial amounts of coal from the western United States to Asia.

"The channel runs deep here. It's self-scouring, so you don't have to dredge it," explained Craig Allison, operations manager for the port, gesturing toward the dark water off the edge of the dock. "That makes this one of the few sites in the Northwest where you can handle oceangoing freight."

The site is one of five proposed export terminals for U.S. coal, mined from the inner mountain regions of Wyoming and Montana and bound for markets in energy-hungry Asia.

Taken together, the scattered projects offer a kind of lifeline to a U.S. coal industry being squeezed by low natural gas prices and tougher environmental rules, a combination that has eaten into domestic demand. At least three of the Powder River Basin's largest coal companies -- Peabody Energy Corp., Ambre Energy and Arch Coal Inc. -- have stakes in one or more of the five terminals.

Should all the projects come to completion, their combined shipping capacity of 150 million tons per year could more than double current U.S. coal export levels.

But the scale of the projects has also drawn strong push-back from environmental groups, Northwestern tribes and dozens of communities along the coal's 1,200-mile route to the ocean. Worried about the localized impacts these terminals' traffic could have on their quality of life, these groups have lobbied aggressively for more stringent and comprehensive environmental reviews that could delay the projects by months, even years.

After a year of tumultuous weather extremes, the export terminals raise difficult questions about what exports of carbon-heavy coal would mean for the United States' climate commitments. The country's carbon emissions stabilized last year, thanks primarily to the combined influences of natural gas use and a warm winter -- essentially, because the country is burning less coal.

"If you're just shipping that coal to China, have you really made any gains?" said Brett VandenHeuvel, executive director of Columbia Riverkeeper, a member of the Power Past Coal coalition, which opposes the terminals. "There's no doubt that China is going to keep burning coal for the next 30 years, but we're looking past that. The plants they build today in an era of cheap coal will keep them locked in for decades."

High-tonnage routes to the coast
Bulk commodities can reach Port Westward by two routes -- overland by rail or down the Columbia River by barge. Both options are currently under review.

Kinder Morgan, the largest terminal operator in the country, is conducting due diligence on plans to move between 15 million and 30 million tons per year to Port Westward by rail, there to be loaded onto oceangoing vessels.

Australian-owned Ambre Energy, meanwhile, is further along in its plans to move some 8 million tons of coal per year down the Columbia River by barge. After entering the river at the Port of Morrow, that coal would not touch land again until it crossed the Pacific but would be transferred directly onto freight vessels off the dock of Port Westward.

Aside from the terminals at the Port of Morrow and Port Westward, three more sites are currently passing through various levels of due diligence and permitting. Two are in Washington -- the Gateway Pacific Terminal near Bellingham and the Millennium Bulk Logistics Terminal near Longview -- with one more near Coos Bay, Ore.

Though more modest in scope, Ambre's Port of Morrow project is the furthest along of the five in terms of permitting and could come online as early as 2014, said Ambre Energy spokeswoman Liz Fuller.

"Logistically, most of our infrastructure challenges have been overcome at this point," she said. "We operate a little bit differently out here because culturally, the Northwest has very high standards for environmental safety, and we've incorporated those standards into our design."

The Army Corps of Engineers is currently conducting an environmental assessment for the Port of Morrow site and weighing the need for a lengthier, site-specific environmental impact statement (EIS).

So far, it has resisted calls from environmental groups, U.S. EPA, the governor of Oregon and a host of other environmental and civic groups to conduct a broad-gauge EIS for all five of the proposed projects.

Such a review would consider the combined effects of all five terminals on the Northwest and could even consider the climate impacts of burning U.S. fossil fuels abroad.

Price signals promote exports
This approach is rejected by proponents of the terminals, including the coal companies themselves. "A cumulative EIS would not be in keeping with what the Army Corps has required for similar projects in the past," Fuller said. "It would slow our project down by years."

Time is not something U.S. coal can afford. Thanks to low gas prices and stringent new EPA regulations, coal use in the United States has entered a steady downward trend, and production is following suit. The Energy Information Administration's most recent quarterly coal report puts production at 5.8 percent below the same quarter last year, and 14 percent below the same quarter in 2008.

The declines have been partially offset by a rise in exports, particularly to Europe (ClimateWire, Nov. 8, 2012). That trend may reverse, however, if slumping prices for European carbon credits rally this year, as many analysts expect.

And with many U.S. coal-fired power plants slated to retire over the coming decade, only Asian demand offers the kind of security energy companies need to make long-term investments in infrastructure (ClimateWire, Nov. 13, 2012).

Offshoring emissions?
Yet that reorganization is exactly what environmental groups opposing the coal terminals hope to block. Though proponents of the coal terminals say Asia's consumption is unlikely to be influenced by the absence or presence of additional U.S. supply, opponents insist that the United States has to be held accountable for the carbon it exports as well as the carbon it burns.

"Opening up huge new supplies of coal to China from the Powder River Basin would lead to lower prices -- it's a simple function of supply and demand," said Power Past Coal's VandenHeuvel. "There's the rational economic answer, but there's also a moral consideration: Do we really want to be driving down prices for coal at a moment where we should be trying to phase it out?"

How much an additional 150 million tons of coal per year would shift China's demand is difficult to determine. The country currently burns around 4.8 billion tons of coal per year, 96 percent of which is supplied domestically.

The picture is further complicated because policy, not demand, is the primary driver in setting coal's price in China, said Richard Morse, a partner at the energy consulting firm Supercritical Capital.

"Let's say you grant the argument that 150 million tons can have an influence on a 4-billion-ton market. Then you have to assert that Chinese energy planning is highly sensitive to coal prices," he said. "If you look at Chinese energy targets, or how the power sector is run, you see that it's actually fairly insensitive to power prices."

"China has been losing money on coal plants for years, but it keeps churning them out because that's the political directive from the state-owned energy companies," Morse said. "They don't have a lot of good alternatives."

Where the supply-and-demand argument makes more sense, he said, is in countries like Japan, which is seeking alternatives to nuclear power. The energy-hungry economies of Korea, Taiwan and to a lesser extent India, which rely on less regulated energy markets, will want a share of U.S. coal. These countries have few domestic energy alternatives of their own, Morse added.

Reprinted from Climatewire with permission from Environment & Energy Publishing, LLC. www.eenews.net, 202-628-6500


Joaquim Machado

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Jan 19, 2013, 8:07:17 AM1/19/13
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China Briefing is a monthly magazine and daily news service about doing business in China. We cover topics relating to the Chinese economy, the market in China, foreign direct investment and Chinese law and tax. It is written in-house by the foreign investment professionals atDezan Shira & Associates

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China Looks to Boost Bio-Industry

Jan. 15 – China is set to vigorously promote its bio-industry over the next few years in an effort to spur domestic consumption and facilitate technological innovation. The “Development Plan for the Bio-Industry (guofa [2012] No. 65, hereinafter referred to as ‘Plan’)” released by China’s State Council on December 29, 2012, has put forward the major development goals and main tasks of the industry by 2015. Detailed information can be found below.

Current situation

The bio-industry is currently one of the seven emerging industries that are of critical importance to the country’s future development. Its total output value has registered an average annual growth of 22.9 percent since 2006, reaching RMB2 trillion in 2011. Moreover, large companies with annual sales of over RMB10 billion have already emerged in key sectors such as bio-medicine, bio-agriculture, bio-manufacturing and bio-energy.

Major development objectives

According to the Plan, the bio-industry will be developed into one of the country’s pillar industries by 2020, with average annual growth of over 20 percent from 2013 to 2015; and the share of its added-value in the national GDP will double the 2010 level by 2015.

Main tasks

  • From 2013 to 2015, the average annual growth in output value generated by the bio-medical industry shall be above 20 percent, and a batch of enterprises with an annual output value of more than RMB10 billion will be cultivated.
  • By 2015, the annual output value of the bio-medical engineering industry shall reach RMB400 billion.
  • By 2015, the annual industrial output of the bio-agriculture industry shall reach RMB300 billion.
  • By 2015, the annual output of the bio-manufacturing industry shall reach RMB750 billion.
  • By 2015, the annual utilization volume of the bio-energy industry shall exceed 50 million tons of standard coal.
  • From 2013 to 2015, the annual output value of the bio-environmental industry shall increase by more than 15 percent each year, reaching RMB150 billion by 2015.
  • By 2015, the annual output value of the bio-service industry shall reach RMB150 billion.

You can stay up to date with the latest business and investment trends across China by subscribing toThe China Advantage, our complimentary update service featuring news, commentary, guides, and multimedia resources.

Related Reading

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Joaquim Machado

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WEF_IP_NVA_New_Models_for_Action_report.pdf

Joaquim Machado

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Les micro-algues : un biocarburant au rendement impressionnant (VIDÉO)

Huffington Post  |  Par Benjamin Hue Publication: 19/01/2013 16:29 EST  |  Mis à jour: 19/01/2013 16:29 EST
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Micro Algues
RECEVOIR LES ALERTES DU QUÉBEC:

Vous y penserez la prochaine fois que vous irez à la plage ou que vous mangerez japonais. Certaines algues sont désormais abonnées aux mouvements de capitaux à grande échelle. Et de là à parler d'un nouvel "or vert", ce n'est peut-être plus qu'une question de temps.

Début janvier 2013, une entreprise australienne a prévu de vendre 200 millions de dollars d'obligations en Europe pour financer son expansion au Texas et au Brésil. Le genre d'information qui fait le quotidien de l'actualité économique si ce n'est que l'entreprise en question, Algae Tech LTD est entièrement tournée vers l'exploitation des algues. Plus précisément, de micro-algues, afin de produire des biocarburants.

Le 17 janvier, bis repetita, côté américain cette fois. Le département de l’efficacité énergétique et des énergies renouvelables du ministère de l’Énergie a annoncé qu’il allait financer la recherche dans le biocarburant issu des algues à hauteur de 10 millions de dollars.

Le carburant du futur ?

Alors que l'ONU réclame l'arrêt du superéthanol en Europe, les micro-algues constituent en effet l'une des solutions les plus étudiées pour remplacer le pétrole.

Cet organisme microscopique que l'on trouve dans les lichens, les champignons ou la vase séduit de plus en plus de scientifiques et d'entrepreneurs soucieux de se tourner vers des produits qui n'entrent pas en concurrence avec les terres agricoles et la production de denrées alimentaires.

Les micro-algues affichent en effet un rendement jusqu'à dix fois supérieur à celui des agro-carburants traditionnels et ont l'avantage d'être à la fois faciles à cultiver, de nécessiter moins d'espace au sol et d'avoir une croissance rapide. Reste seulement à évaluer leur modèle économique et à anticiper l'effet d'une telle production sur l'environnement. En clair, il s'agit désormais de faire des économies d'échelle pour pouvoir concurrencer les énergies conventionnelles comme le pétrole ou le gaz.

Sur le principe, la méthode pour les synthétiser est simple. Il s'agit de transvaser ces algues invisibles à l'oeil nu (à peu près le diamètre d'un globule rouge) de façon à les accumuler dans des réservoirs de plus en plus grands. Elles sont ensuite récoltées pour en extraire une huile qui servira de carburant liquide. Mais elle est extrêmement coûteuse, 5 à 10 euros le litre de carburant d'après Jean-Philippe Steyer, un expert en biotechnologie de l'environnement interrogé par Le Point, et dévoreuse d'énergie issue du pétrole. De quoi expliquer les investissements massifs que semblent être en train d'entreprendre de plus en plus d'acteurs importants du secteur afin de libérer au plus vite tout le potentiel des micro-algues.

Un lampadaire écolo, capteur de CO2

Mais ce ne sont pas les seules qualités de ces organismes photosynthétiques microscopiques. Le panel d'applications possibles à partir de leur utilisation est presque aussi large qu'il existe de variétés de micro-algues.

Si les Aztèques mexicains pratiquaient déjà l'algoculture de la spiruline comestible Arthrospira au xvie siècle pour ses qualités nutritionnelles, elles sont aujourd'hui couramment vendues comme compléments alimentaires et comme aliments fonctionnels. La vente des produits dont elles rentrent dans la composition pèserait même près de 4 milliards d'euros à l'échelle mondiale selon Philippe Tramoy, biochimiste auteur de nombreuses études de marché dans le domaine.

À Libourne, un ingénieur leur a même trouvé une application qui pourrait bien révolutionner la lutte contre l'effet de serre en milieu urbain. Pierre Calleja, ingénieur biologiste à la tête de Fementalg, une société à la pointe du développement des micro-algues, a ainsi profité des qualités photosynthétiques du micro-organisme pour mettre au point un lampadaire capable de capter le CO2 selon un processus qui résulte des propriétés naturelles des algues, habituées à se nourrir de dioxyde de carbone.

Grâce aux micro-algues renfermées dans un tube fluorescent légèrement plus petit qu'un lampadaire, la lampe absorbe le gaz carbonique et rejette l'oxygène dans l'air dans des proportions significatives. Un lampadaire d’un volume de 1,5 mètres cubes peut par exemple filtrer une tonne de CO2 par an, la même quantité que peuvent absorber 150 à 200 arbres sur la même période. De quoi donner une nouvelle impulsion à la lutte contre le réchauffement climatique.

Certain d'avoir trouvé la parade ouvrant la voie à une compensation carbone inédite, l'ingénieur entend toujours attirer des partenaires prêts à investir pour son développement à grande échelle. Affaire à suivre.

Joaquim Machado

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Jan 19, 2013, 6:50:29 PM1/19/13
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Fecal Transplants: A Clinical Trial Confirms How Well They Work

A little more than a year ago, I wrote a piece in Scientific American about fecal transplants — replacing the stool in someone’s colon with stool donated by someone else — as a treatment for the pernicious, recurrent diarrhea caused by Clostridium difficile infection.

I have been a journalist for two decades, and some of my stories have won prizes, triggered hearings and legislation, and caused people to change their minds about significant social issues — but I don’t think anything I have written has ever proved as sticky with an audience as that 1,500-word column. In the 60 or so weeks since it was published, I have heard from more than 100 people — yes, that’s more than 1 per week — who are afflicted with C. diff, believe that a transplant could help them, but cannot find a doctor who agrees that the procedure has merit.

A paper published Wednesday evening in the New England Journal of Medicine may give those patients assistance, and change those doctors’ minds. It represents the first report from a completed randomized trial of fecal transplants, and it finds that the treatment worked much better than the powerful antibiotics that are usually given for C. diff infection — so much better, in fact, that the trial was ended early, because the monitoring board supervising the trial’s execution could not ethically justify withholding the transplants from more patients.

Here are the details: A group of Dutch and Finnish researchers enrolled patients with severe C. diff (defined as at least one relapse of infection after antibiotic treatment, plus at least three bouts of diarrhea per day or eight over two days) into three groups, who received either a fecal transplant, or one of two comparative treatments: either the standard course of vancomycin, a broad-spectrum, last-ditch antibiotic, for two weeks; or the same antibiotic course with bowel lavage (a high-volume enema that reaches deep into the colon and is used to clean things out before transplanting stool) added on the fourth or fifth day of taking the drugs. The fecal transplant was donor stool, screened for parasites and infectious organisms, diluted and strained, and given by a tube that snaked up through the nose and down through the stomach to the start of the intestine. (Edited to add: I should have said here that, while the nasogastric tube has been the preferred method in Europe, the US and Canadian attempts have all used either a classic colonoscopy/endoscopy set-up, or simply an enema kit.)

The investigators planned to enroll 120 patients, with the goal of judging them cured if they made it to 10 weeks from the beginning of any of the treatments without relapsing. In the end, they stopped the trial after 43 patients had been enrolled over 28 months — 17 for the transplants and 13 for either of the antibiotic-treatment arms — because the transplant patients were doing so much better.

Of 16 transplant patients (one was excluded for reasons unrelated to the trial), 13 were cured on their first infusion, and two more on a repeat round, making the transplant 94 percent effective. In the two drug arms, the rates were 31 percent in the vancomycin-only group (4 of 13) and 23 percent (3 of 13) in the group receiving vancomycin plus lavage.

There are two interesting footnotes to the trial experience. The first is that the investigators analyzed the bacterial content of the transplant patients’ stool before and after they received the infusions. Beforehand, their bacterial flora were not diverse, and afterward, they were, indicating the transplants had recreated a healthy, diverse bacterial ecosystem in the patients’ guts. The second is that the patients randomized to the drug-treatment arms apparently appreciated how well the patients in the transplant arm were doing: after relapsing, 15 of them subsequently went on to have what the paper calls “off-protocol” fecal transplants, and were cured of their C. diff as a result.

In science, everything always needs to be repeated, and every endorsement is always hedged — but really, I can’t see how this can be considered anything but a rousing success. As an accompanying editorial says:

The study is an important confirmation of the efficacy of (fecal microbiota transplantation) for recurrent C. difficile infection… The results … represent a clear precedent in which planned therapeutic manipulation of the human intestinal microbiota can lead to demonstrable, clinically important benefits, thereby bringing FMT to the mainstream of modern, evidence-based medical practice. (It) will encourage and facilitate the design of similar trials of intestinal microbiota therapy for other indications, such as inflammatory bowel disease, irritable bowel syndrome, prevention of colorectal carcinoma, and metabolic disorders, to name just a few.

It is important to say that this is not the first study to find a high rate of cure — almost always in excess of 90 percent — for fecal transplants, but it is probably the best-designed to be reported to date. (There is a list of some recent case series in my earlier post on this.) At least two other trials are now underway, in Canada and in the United States; that SciAm piece discusses the US one, which will be both randomized and also blinded. Already, leaders in gastroenterology have called on the specialty not only to make fecal transplants mainstream, but to make them the primary treatment for C. diff and other gut disorders — not the last resort after months of relapses, but the first thing they try.

There is huge demand for this procedure, illustrated not just by my anecdotal experience of hearing from readers, but also by a survey of patients published in Clinical Infectious Diseases last September. Researchers at Dartmouth reported on 192 people who responded to a structured survey:

When provided efficacy data only, 162 respondents (85%) chose to receive FMT, and 29 (15%) chose antibiotics alone. When aware of the fecal nature of FMT, 16 respondents changed their choice from FMT to antibiotics alone, but there was no significant change in the total number choosing FMT (154 [81%]; P = .15). More respondents chose FMT if offered as a pill (90%; P = .002) or if their physician recommended it (94%; P < .001)… Most respondents preferred to receive FMT in the hospital (48%) or physician’s office (39%); 77% were willing to pay out-of-pocket for FMT.

The main barrier to adoption, in most cases, seems to be physicians’ own distrust of the procedure, or distaste for it. Lawrence Brandt, one of the pioneers of fecal transplant in the US, wrote in Clinical Infectious Diseases last year:

Patients with (C. diff infection) and their accompanying family and friends who come to see me were highly knowledgeable and not “turned off” by the fecal nature of the fecal reconstitute; rather they were “turned on” by the possibility—indeed the likelihood—of cure. For many the major stumbling block has been the intransient negativism of their physicians, who told them, uninfluenced by any of the positive reported data, that FMT was “quackery,” “a joke,” “snake oil,” or other pithy labels that were discouraging but served only to delay, not dissuade, these perseverant individuals.

piece of research published just last week addresses that yuck factor. Two patients at Kingston General Hospital in Ontario who had refractory C. diff diarrhea were cured following the administration, not of feces, but of a feces substitute compounded from saline solution and fecal bacteria that were harvested from one donor and cultured. Both women recovered, and the microbial diversity of their colons repopulated as well. The authors called the study a “proof of principle”:

 A synthetic stool substitute approach has multiple advantages: the exact composition of bacteria administered is known and can be controlled; the bacterial species composition can be reproduced, should a future treatment be necessary; preparations of pure culture are more stable than stool, which some groups recommend should be collected fresh and instilled into the recipient within 6 hours of collection; an absence of viruses and other pathogens in the administered mixture can be ensured, thereby improving patient safety; and the administered organisms can be selected based on their sensitivity to antimicrobials, allowing an enhanced safety profile.

All true; and the existence of a “synthetic stool substitute” could entice more gastroenterologists who now distrust fecal transplants into being willing to perform them. (Though, if you think about it, isn’t gastroenterologists being turned off by feces somewhat odd?) And yet: We already know that fecal transplant works, using a substance that is ubiquitous, abundant, and effectively free. Because of those characteristics, feces are also unpatentable, which effectively guarantees that a pharma company will never become interested in backing fecal-transplant research. But if a feces substitute existed, that could be subject to patent — and we might find that a procedure that can be had for the several hundred dollars it takes to use an endoscopy suite (or much less than that, for the home version), has suddenly become prohibitively priced and available to only a few.

Update: NPR’s Shots health blog has a great interview with the Canadian team who came up with the synthetic substitute, amusingly dubbed “RePOOPulate.”

Cites:

Joaquim Machado

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Available online 17 December 2012

In Press, Corrected Proof — Note to users

Cover image
Research paper

Assessment of GE food safety using ‘-omics’ techniques and long-term animal feeding studies

  • 1 AgroParisTech, Chair of Evolutionary Genetics and Plant Breeding, 16, rue Claude-Bernard, 75005 Paris, France
  • 2 University Paris-Sud, CNRS, AgroParisTech, UMR 8079, Lab. Ecology, Systematics & Evolution, Building 360, 91405 Orsay cedex, France
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Despite the fact that a thorough, lengthy and costly evaluation of genetically engineered (GE) crop plants (including compositional analysis and toxicological tests) is imposed before marketing some European citizens remain sceptical of the safety of GE food and feed. In this context, are additional tests necessary? If so, what can we learn from them? To address these questions, we examined data from 60 recent high-throughput ‘-omics’ comparisons between GE and non-GE crop lines and 17 recent long-term animal feeding studies (longer than the classical 90-day subchronic toxicological tests), as well as 16 multigenerational studies on animals. The ‘-omics’ comparisons revealed that the genetic modification has less impact on plant gene expression and composition than that of conventional plant breeding. Moreover, environmental factors (such as field location, sampling time, or agricultural practices) have a greater impact than transgenesis. None of these ‘-omics’ profiling studies has raised new safety concerns about GE varieties; neither did the long-term and multigenerational studies on animals. Therefore, there is no need to perform such long-term studies in a case-by-case approach, unless reasonable doubt still exists after conducting a 90-day feeding test. In addition, plant compositional analysis and ‘-omics’ profiling do not indicate that toxicological tests should be mandatory. We discuss what complementary fundamental studies should be performed and how to choose the most efficient experimental design to assess risks associated with new GE traits. The possible need to update the current regulatory framework is discussed.

Joaquim Machado

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Jan. 14, 2013, 1:02 p.m. EST

10 things your office won’t say

How many ways are desk chairs and co-workers bad for your health?

By Jen Wieczner


Blend Images / Shutterstock.com

1. “You’re not as safe here as you might think.”

Cubicle dwellers might think that their desk jobs, if boring, are at least danger-free, but there are real occupational hazards at the office: There were 286 fatalities in administrative and support jobs in 2011, for instance, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (versus 721among people working construction).

Surprisingly, though — despite the lurking danger that increases in office security over the years might imply — the most common cause of death had nothing to do with office-security threats. Rather, they involved slipping, tripping or falling, which often happens when employees climb furniture or bookshelves attempting to reach files or other objects, says Dwayne Towles, an occupational safety and health consultant. On rare occasions, of course, Americans go to the office to never return home for more dramatic reasons, succumbing to tragedies ranging from violent homicides to freak accidents. Still, most offices witness less excitement: Real estate and law offices had only 10 deaths each in 2011. “The incident rates are low in an office environment, but that doesn’t mean people don’t get hurt,” Towles says.

2. “Feeling run down? Blame the building.”

Desk jockeys commonly joke that work makes them sick. But sometimes, they’re correct. An indefinite feeling of illness might actually be caused by the office itself. Occupational health consultants term the phenomenon “sick building syndrome” — though experts say they have learned to take the phrase with a grain of salt. Mold, odors, inadequate ventilation, chemicals and other pollutants can cause real symptoms such as headaches, coughs and fatigue while employees are at the office, usually going away when they return home. Such problems often stem from moisture trapped in walls during construction, which can plague newly constructed buildings as well as old. (Staring at screens can also cause something called computer vision syndrome, a condition where employees’ eyes become dry and tired, and that may be linked to glaucoma.) And while it’s currently trendy for companies to repurpose historic buildings like fire stations or grist mills into office space, it may make matters worse, as outdated HVAC systems can cause problems if not retrofitted properly, says Everett Mount, president of Safety Synergy, a New Jersey-based occupational health consulting company. “Sick building doesn’t really mean old building,” says Towles.

But some experts say employee sickness may often be psychological, with workers’ stress and frustration (say, fear of layoffs) manifesting as physical symptoms — and paranoia can quickly spread across the office. “I’ve seen people using indoor air quality to get out of a place where they don’t want to be,” says Mount, who has investigated a few buildings top-to-bottom following worker complaints and found no problem whatsoever. “’Sick building syndrome,’” he says,“is grossly overused.”

3. “You’re sitting on your worst enemy.”

Before you blame your health problems on your boss or back-stabbing co-worker, consider that the culprit might be right beneath you. Experts say the most dangerous aspect of an office job might be the simple fact that most people sit while doing it: “There’s nothing else I can think of that is impacting more people than sitting,” says Marc Hamilton, who studies the physiology of inactivity at the Pennington Biomedical Research Center. Studies suggest that the body loses 20% to 25% of its good cholesterol and becomes insulin-resistant in a full day of sitting, increasing the risk of diabetes, heart disease, obesity — and death.

Which professions are prospering?

A look at 2012's unemployment data shows it was a good year to be a metal worker or a credit analyst. Photo: Bloomberg.

The bad news: Recent research has shown that no amount of exercise can counteract the health damage caused by sitting, and people who exercise spend just as much time sitting as those who don’t. Plus, despite a booming ergonomics industry, which makes equipment specially designed to make people more comfortable at their desks (chairs that reduce lower-back pain and keyboards that ease carpal tunnel symptoms, for example), experts say the high-tech — and often expensive — gadgets can’t solve the problem that workers are chained to their chairs. Even desks allowing people to stand while they work aren’t a sustainable alternative to sitting: “After a while, they don’t use it; they just sit,” says Jos Verbeek of the Finnish Institute for Occupational Health and Safety.

4. “The dark side of ‘green’ buildings: noise and bugs.”

Regardless of your co-workers’ recycling practices, the American workforce has gone green: Any office building constructed in recent years is likely to meet a number of eco-friendly criteria, and may even boast a level of LEED certification (from the U.S. Green Building Council’s program for certifying “green” buildings).

But some critics say companies trying to do their part to save the earth may inadvertently be hurting their employees. Modern HVAC systems also have less white noise than old-fashioned radiators and air-conditioners, making workplaces quieter than employees would like. (A top complaint among cubicle dwellers is that they can hear their colleague fight with their spouse, credit card company and anyone else — from all the way across the office.) Meanwhile, large windows let in sunshine and warmth to reduce heating bills, but the extra light creates glare on computer screens, which strains employees’ eyes. And high-tech humidification systems often welcome unwanted guests. “Most insects, including bedbugs and roaches, like humid air, so you’re actually helping them along,” says Greg Baumann, vice president at pest-management firm Orkin.

5. “Your co-workers are gross.”

If you’re worried your co-worker isn’t pulling his weight, just remember that he may be contributing in other, less obvious ways. Humans contribute three-quarters of the bacteria at work — and men’s offices have roughly 50% more bacteria than women’s, according to a recent study from the University of Arizona and San Diego State University. But women can be guilty too: While this study looked at surfaces like desktops and keyboards, researchers previously swabbed common office items and found that women carried in more bacteria on their makeup cases, phones and purses (men’s most bacteria-ridden possession was their wallet).

While most of the germs are harmless, “if someone were sick who came into the office, they’re probably going to spread it around pretty quick,” says Scott Kelley, a biology professor at San Diego State University. To stay healthy, Kelley recommends that office workers avoid touching common surfaces or wipe down surfaces that co-workers also touch, such as bathroom door handles, conference tables and lunch areas. (The study found a surprising amount of bacteria resulting from employees not washing their hands after using the restroom.) But don’t go overboard, he says: “You shouldn’t be paranoid about your own space or your own desk — that would just be silly.”

6. “Your software’s bugs are nothing compared with the real-life critters lurking.”

Modern office workers have much bigger problems than a bad boss — or should we say smaller? From Google’s corporate offices to the bureaus of the Internal Revenue Service, even the most secure workplaces have fallen prey to increasingly brazen trespassers: bedbugs. A survey by the National Pest Management Association and the University of Kentucky found that 38% of extermination companies treated bedbugs in office buildings in 2011, compared with only 18% in 2010. The office environment is the ideal habitat for not only bedbugs but also roaches and other insects who thrive in the climate-controlled digs, feed on workers’ crumbs (or their flesh) and stretch their legs at night when all the humans go home (allowing them to survive longer undetected), says Orkin’s Baumann. Even bedbugs, which need human blood to survive and normally come out at night while their targets are sleeping, will alter their habits in offices and bite people during the daytime. The office safari doesn’t end there: Occupational safety consultants like Towles have seen a range of wildlife invade the workplace, including birds, rodents, small snakes and even venomous brown recluse spiders, lurking in office drawers and file storage areas. “That’s called a bad day,” Baumann says.

And employees have more than bug bites and diseases spread by pests to worry about — experts report seeing workers shunned by their colleagues after an infestation is found in their desk.

To prevent pests from infesting a cubicle, exterminators recommend ridding the desk of any unsealed food, washing dishes in the office and checking clothing and handbags for ride-along critters on the way to and from the office. Employees may inadvertently bring bugs from home into the office and vice versa, or pick them up while commuting on the subway, as crowded cities tend to be hotbeds for some pests. And if workers spot something sinister crawling in their cubicle, they should alert management right away — experts say most companies have now established protocols for handling such issues.

7. “Say goodbye to walls.”

Never thought you’d miss your cubicle? While experts say office walls have gradually been coming down, not everyone is cheering. Modern companies have moved away from the cube, and open office setups — with continuous desks and few private offices, if any — are becoming the norm, says James Mallon, executive VP of ergonomics consulting firm Humantech. Indeed, individual office space has shrunk 15% for executives and more than 20% for middle management since 1994, according to the International Facility Management Association. Managers believe the free-flowing format fosters collaboration, and as smartphones and laptops increasingly encourage staff to telecommute or work remotely, it has become less important for employees to have a desk of their own at the office. “People are tending to not be tied to that cubicle anymore,” Mallon says. But employees working from home on laptops and tablets are griping about more neck and shoulder pain, say experts, and supporting devices like iPads could contribute to musculoskeletal disorders in the wrist. (Bringing laptops in the office also means snares of power cords to trip over.) “More people are taking work home with them and working in a not-very-ideal position at home, so that’s compounding the problem,” says Towles.

8. “An open-plan office won’t cure your ills.”

Breaking down barriers at the office may actually create more problems than it solves, say experts. The biggest problem after the cubicle walls crumbled? Noise and lack of speech privacy, since there is little shielding workers’ from their colleagues’ phone conversations. (Cubicles weren’t a perfect solution, either; in fact, research has shown that the walls may have created an artificial feeling of privacy, causing employees to talk louder and thus annoying their co-workers even more.) The result can be detrimental to productivity: Without walls, co-workers freely drop in on each other, and each distraction costs additional minutes in recovery time, says research firm Basex. To cope, office workers are wearing headphones but turning up the volume loud enough to drown out distracting voices, “subjecting their hearing to levels that would be illegal in an industrial setting,” and potentially causing hearing loss over time, says Towles.

To restore the peace safely, experts recommend reinventing the office “door” in lieu of being able to shut an actual door — AECOM, an organizational strategy firm, advises setting up a hushed office zone that functions like the quiet car on a train, or using a version of a do-not-disturb sign to signal to co-workers whether or not an interruption is welcome.

9. “It’s not just your computer that’s freezing.”

Workplace consultants say there’s one point of business where it is virtually impossible to get employees to reach a consensus: the office temperature. Too hot or too cold is one of office workers’ most frequent gripes, say experts, and the complaints aren’t always a simple Goldilocks problem. While building engineers usually assume a full house, the amount of people in an office peaks at 30% capacity around 10:30 a.m., according to Mallon at Humantech. That means the body heat that building designers accounted for in their calculations usually isn’t there. “One of the biggest problems is that office buildings in North America are typical overcooled in the summertime and overheated in the winter,” says David Lehrer, a researcher at the University of California at Berkeley’s Center for the Built Environment. “It doesn’t make any sense.”

Indeed, a study of 100 office buildings by the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, which studies indoor environments, found that more than half were colder in the summertime than the recommended comfort zone, which starts at about 73 degrees Fahrenheit. Buildings were cooler on average in the summertime than the winter. The overcooling doesn’t just waste energy and make employees uncomfortable — it also decreases worker performance: The lab found that tasks like proofreading, text typing and simple arithmetic deteriorated when the temperature moved outside the comfort zone. Simply increasing temperature one degree from 67 to 68 degrees would increase work performance .43%, or add $430 worth of productivity for a $100,000 salary employee, the researchers calculated. Too warm isn’t good either: One study linked overheated indoor spaces to weight gain and obesity. Some companies are currently experimenting with giving employees more control over their own temperature, such as putting fans or feet warmers at workers’ desks.

10. “Beware of your co-worker the criminal.”

As employees come to work with more and more pricey pocket electronics like smartphones and iPads, those devices are also increasingly disappearing while workers are on the clock, say experts. Theft is the most common office crime, with wallets and phones often stolen simply because they are left out in the open, says Ray O’Hara, chairman of security organization ASIS International. And just making the robbery that easy may be enough to turn your co-worker into a criminal: “Janitors and guards get blamed for everything, but often it’s employees and contractors taking from others,” O’Hara says.

Office theft can range from stealing lunches (a small but incredibly aggravating crime, O’Hara says) to identity theft and intellectual property theft, which can be “much more damaging to a company than a missing credit card.” And with companies hiring more freelancers and part-time contractors instead of full-time staff, the transient nature of the current workplace may make it harder to spot the interlopers. While some employers use GPS tracking devices to recover company-licensed products that are stolen, employees can protect themselves by storing valuables inside a locked desk or cabinet — and remembering to take them home at night: “If you walk away and leave an iPad sitting on your desk, it may not be there when you get back,” O’Hara says.


Joaquim Machado

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Food, Fuel, and the Global Land Grab

Lester R. Brown

By Lester R. Brown

Growing demand for food and fuel has put pressure on the world’s agricultural lands to produce more. Now, a trend in “land grabbing” has emerged, as wealthy countries lease or buy farms and agribusiness in poorer countries to ensure their own future supplies. The result may be further economic disparities and even “food wars.”

World grain and soybean prices more than doubled between 2007 and mid-2008. As food prices climbed everywhere, some exporting countries began to restrict grain shipments in an effort to limit food price inflation at home. Importing countries panicked. Some tried to negotiate long-term grain supply agreements with exporting countries, but in a seller’s market, few were successful. Seemingly overnight, importing countries realized that one of their few options was to find land in other countries on which to produce food for themselves.

And the land rush was on.

Looking for land abroad is not entirely new. Empires expanded through territorial acquisitions, colonial powers set up plantations, and agribusiness firms try to expand their reach. Agricultural analyst Derek Byerlee tracks market-driven investments in foreign land back to the mid-nineteenth century. During the last 150 years, large-scale agricultural investments from industrial countries concentrated primarily on tropical products such as sugarcane, tea, rubber, and bananas.

What is new now is the scramble to secure land abroad for more basic food and feed crops—including wheat, rice, corn, and soybeans—and for biofuels. These land acquisitions of the last several years, or “land grabs” as they are sometimes called, represent a new stage in the emerging geopolitics of food scarcity. They are occurring on a scale and at a pace not seen before.

The “Grabbers”: Searching for Stable Food Supplies

Saudi Arabia, South Korea, China, and India are among the countries that are leading the charge to buy or lease land abroad, either through government entities or through domestically based agribusiness firms. Saudi Arabia’s population has simply outrun its land and water resources. The country is fast losing its irrigation water and will soon be totally dependent on imports from the world market or overseas farming projects for its grain.

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South Korea imports more than 70% of its grain, and it has become a major land investor in several countries. In an attempt to acquire 940,000 acres of farmland abroad by 2018 for corn, wheat, and soybean production, the Korean government will reportedly help domestic companies lease farmland or buy stakes in agribusiness firms in countries such as Cambodia, Indonesia, and Ukraine.

China is also nervous about its future food supply, as it faces aquifer depletion and the heavy loss of cropland to urbanization and industrial development. Although it was essentially self-sufficient in grain from 1995 onward, within the last few years China has become a leading grain importer. It is by far the top importer of soybeans, bringing in more than all other countries combined.

India has also become a major player in land acquisitions, with its huge and growing population to feed. Irrigation wells are starting to go dry, so with the projected addition of 450 million people by mid-century and the prospect of growing climate instability, India, too, is worried about future food security.

Among the other countries jumping in to secure land abroad are Egypt, Libya, Bahrain, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). For example, in early 2012 Al Ghurair Foods, a company based in the UAE, announced it would lease 250,000 acres in Sudan for 99 years on which to grow wheat, other grains, and soybeans. The plan is that the resulting harvests will go to the UAE and other Gulf countries.

Tracking the Trends

Accurate information has been difficult to find for those tracking this worldwide land-grab surge. Perhaps because of the politically sensitive nature of land grabs, separating rumor from reality remains a challenge.

At the outset, the increasing frequency of news reports mentioning deals seemed to indicate that the phenomenon was growing, but no one was systematically aggregating and verifying data on this major agricultural development. Many groups have relied on GRAIN (www.grain.org), a small nongovernmental organization with a shoestring budget, and its compilations of media reports on land grabs. A much-anticipated World Bank report, first released in September 2010 and updated in January 2011, used GRAIN’s online collection to aggregate land-grab information, noting that GRAIN’s was the only tracking effort that was global in scope.

In its report, the World Bank identified 464 land acquisitions that were in various stages of development between October 2008 and August 2009. It reported that production had begun on only one-fifth of the announced projects, partly because many deals were made by land speculators. The report offered several other reasons for the slow start, including “unrealistic objectives, price changes, and inadequate infrastructure, technology, and institutions.”

The amount of land involved was known for only 203 of the 464 projects, yet it still came to some 140 million acres—more than is planted in corn and wheat combined in the United States. Particularly noteworthy is that, of the 405 projects for which commodity information was available, 21% were slated to produce biofuels and another 21% were for industrial or cash crops, such as rubber and timber. Only 37% of the projects involved food crops.

Nearly half of these land deals, and some two-thirds of the land area, were in sub-Saharan Africa—partly because land is so cheap there compared with land in Asia. In a careful evidence-based analysis of land grabs in sub-Saharan Africa between 2005 and 2011, George Schoneveld from the Center for International Forestry Research reported that two-thirds of the area acquired there was in just seven countries: Ethiopia, Ghana, Liberia, Madagascar, Mozambique, South Sudan, and Zambia. In Ethiopia, for example, an acre of land can be leased for less than $1 a year, whereas in land-scarce Asia it can easily cost $100 or more.

The second most-targeted region for land grabs was Southeast Asia, including Cambodia, Laos, the Philippines, and Indonesia. Countries have also sought land in Latin America, especially in Brazil and Argentina. The state-owned Chinese firm Chongqing Grain Group, for example, has reportedly begun harvesting soybeans on some 500,000 acres in Brazil’s Bahia state for export to China. The company announced in early 2011 that, as part of a multibillion-dollar investment package in Bahia, it would develop a soybean industrial park with facilities capable of crushing 1.5 million tons of soybeans a year.

Unfortunately, the countries selling or leasing their land for the production of agricultural commodities to be shipped abroad are typically poor and, more often than not, those where hunger is chronic, such as Ethiopia and South Sudan. Both of these countries are leading recipients of food from the UN World Food Programme. Some of these land acquisitions are outright purchases of land, but the overwhelming majority are long-term leases, typically 25 to 99 years.

Food and Fuel Compete for Agricultural Land

In response to rising oil prices and a growing sense of oil insecurity, energy policies encouraging the production and use of biofuels are also driving land acquisitions. This results in either clearing new cropland or making existing cropland unavailable for food production.

The European Union’s renewable energy law requires 10% of transport energy to come from renewable sources by 2020. This law is encouraging agribusiness firms to invest in land to produce biofuels for the European market. In sub-Saharan Africa, many investors have planted jatropha (an oilseed-bearing shrub) and oil palm trees, both sources for biodiesel.

One company, U.K.-based GEM BioFuels, has leased 1.1 million acres in 18 communities in Madagascar on which to grow jatropha. At the end of 2010 it had planted 140,000 acres with this shrub. But by April 2012 it was reevaluating its Madagascar operations due to poor project performance. Numerous other firms planning to produce biodiesel from jatropha have not fared much better. The initial enthusiasm for jatropha is fading as yields are lower than projected and the economics just do not work out.

Sime Darby, a Malaysia-based company that is a big player in the world palm oil economy, has leased 540,000 acres in Liberia to develop oil palm and rubber plantations. It planted its first oil palm seedling on the acquired land in May 2011, and the company plans to have it all in production by 2030.

Thus, we are witnessing an unprecedented scramble for land that crosses national boundaries. Driven by both food and energy insecurity, land acquisitions are now also seen as a lucrative investment opportunity. Fatou Mbaye of Action Aid in Senegal observes, “Land is quickly becoming the new gold and right now the rush is on.”

Investing—or Speculating—in Land

Investment capital is coming from many sources, including investment banks, pension funds, university endowments, and wealthy individuals. Many large investment funds are incorporating farmland into their portfolios. In addition, there are now many funds dedicated exclusively to farm investments. These farmland funds generated a rate of return from 1991 to 2010 that was roughly double that from investing in gold or the S&P 500 stock index and seven times that from investing in housing. Most of the rise in farmland earnings has come since 2003.

Many investors are planning to use the land acquired, but there is also a large group of investors speculating in land who have neither the intention nor the capacity to produce crops. They sense that the recent rises in food prices will likely continue, making land even more valuable over the longer term. Indeed, land prices are on the rise almost everywhere.

Land acquisitions are also water acquisitions. Whether the land is irrigated or rainfed, a claim on the land represents a claim on the water resources in the host country. This means land acquisition agreements are a particularly sensitive issue in water-stressed countries.

In an article in Water Alternatives, Deborah Bossio and colleagues analyze the effect of land acquisition in Ethiopia on the demand for irrigation water and, in turn, its effect on the flow of the Nile River. Compiling data on 12 confirmed projects with a combined area of 343,000 acres, they calculate that if this land is all irrigated, as seems likely, the irrigated area in the region would increase sevenfold. This would reduce the average annual flow of the Blue Nile by approximately 4%.

Acquisitions in Ethiopia, where most of the Nile’s headwaters begin, or in the Sudans, which also tap water from the Nile, mean that Egypt will get less water, thus shrinking its wheat harvest and pushing its already heavy dependence on imported wheat even higher.

Land Grabs and Human Rights

Massive land acquisitions raise many questions. Since productive land is not often idle in the countries where the land is being acquired, the agreements mean that many local farmers and herders will simply be displaced. Their land may be confiscated, or it may be bought from them at a price over which they have little say, leading to the public hostility that often arises in host countries.

In addition, the agreements are almost always negotiated in secret. Typically only a few high-ranking officials are involved, and the terms are often kept confidential. Not only are key stakeholders such as local farmers not at the negotiating table, they often do not even learn about the agreements until after the papers are signed and they are being evicted. Unfortunately, it is often the case in developing countries that the state, not the farmer, has formal ownership of the land. Against this backdrop, the poor can easily be forced off the land by the government.

The displaced villagers will be left without land or livelihoods in a situation where agriculture has become highly mechanized and employs few people. The principal social effect of these massive land acquisitions may well be an increase in the ranks of the world’s hungry.

The Oakland Institute, a California-based think tank, reports that Ethiopia’s huge land leases to foreign firms have led to “human rights violations and the forced relocation of over a million Ethiopians.” Unfortunately, since the Ethiopian government is pressing ahead with its land lease program, many more villagers are likely to be forcibly displaced.

In a landmark article on African land grabs in the Observer, John Vidal quotes Nyikaw Ochalla, an Ethiopian from the Gambella region: “The foreign companies are arriving in large numbers, depriving people of land they have used for centuries. There is no consultation with the indigenous population. The deals are done secretly. The only thing the local people see is people coming with lots of tractors to invade their lands.” Referring to his own village, where an Indian corporation is taking over, Ochalla says, “Their land has been compulsorily taken and they have been given no compensation. People cannot believe what is happening.”

Hostility of local people to land grabs is the rule, not the exception. China, for example, signed an agreement with the Philippine government in 2007 to lease 2.5 million acres of land on which to produce crops that would be shipped home. Once word leaked out, the public outcry—much of it from Filipino farmers—forced the government to suspend the agreement. A similar situation developed in Madagascar, where a South Korean firm, Daewoo Logistics, had pursued rights to more than 3 million acres of land, an area half the size of Belgium. This helped stoke a political furor that led to a change in government and cancellation of the agreement.

Impacts of “Long-Distance Farming”

How productive will the land be that actually ends up being farmed? Given the level of agricultural skills and technologies likely to be used, in most cases robust gains in yields could be expected. As demonstrated in Malawi, simply applying fertilizer to nutrient-depleted soils where rainfall is adequate and using improved seed can easily double grain yields.

Perhaps the more important question is, What will be the effects on the local people? The Malawi program’s approach of directly helping local farmers can dramatically expand food production, raise the income of villagers, reduce hunger, and earn foreign exchange—a win-win-win-win situation. This contrasts sharply with the lose-lose-lose situation accompanying land grabs—villagers lose their land, their food supply, and their livelihoods.

There will be some spectacular production gains in some countries; there will undoubtedly also be failures. Some projects have already been abandoned. Many more will be abandoned simply because the economics do not pan out. Long-distance farming, with the transportation and travel involved, can be costly, particularly when oil prices are high.

Overall, while announcements of new land acquisitions have been popping up with alarming frequency, the actual development of acquired land has been slow. Investors tend to focus on the costs of producing the crops without sufficiently considering the cost of building the modern agricultural infrastructure needed to support successful development of the tracts of acquired land. In most sub-Saharan African countries, there is little of this infrastructure, which means the cost to an investor of developing it can be overwhelming.

In some countries, it will take years to build the roads needed to both bring in agricultural inputs, such as fertilizer, and move the farm products out. Beyond this, there is a need for a local supply of either electric power or diesel fuel to operate irrigation pumps. A full-fledged farm equipment maintenance support system is needed, lest equipment is left idle while waiting for repair people and parts to come from afar. Maintaining a fleet of tractors, for example, requires not only trained mechanics but also an on-site inventory of things like tires and batteries. Grain elevators and grain dryers are essential for storing grain. Fertilizer and fuel storage facilities have to be constructed.

Another complicating factor is navigating the various governmental regulations and procedures. For example, as almost all the equipment and inputs needed in a modern farming operation have to be imported, this requires a familiarity with customs procedures. In addition, various permits may be required for such things as drilling irrigation wells, building irrigation canals, or tapping into the local electrical grid if one exists.

When Saudi Arabia decided to invest in cropland, it created King Abdullah’s Initiative for Saudi Agricultural Investment Abroad, a program to facilitate land acquisitions and farming in other countries, including Sudan, Egypt, Ethiopia, Turkey, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, the Philippines, Vietnam, and Brazil. The Saudi Ministry of Commerce and Industry recently launched an inquiry to find out why things were moving at such a glacial pace. What it learned was that simply acquiring tracts of land abroad is only the first step. Modern agriculture depends on heavy investment in a supporting infrastructure, something that is costly even for the oil-rich Saudis.

There is also a huge knowledge deficit associated with launching new farming projects in countries where soils, climate, rainfall, insect pests, and crop diseases are far different from those in the investor country. There almost certainly will be unforeseen outbreaks of plant disease and insect infestations as new crops are introduced, particularly since so many of the land deals are in tropical and subtropical regions.

A lack of familiarity with the local environment brings with it a wide range of risks. The Indian firm Karuturi Global is the world’s largest producer of cut roses, which it grows in Ethiopia, Kenya, and India for high-income markets. The company has recently entered the land rush, jumping at an offer in 2008 to farm up to 740,000 acres of land in Ethiopia’s Gambella region. In 2011, the company planted its first corn crop in fertile land along the Baro River. Recognizing the possibility of flooding, Karuturi invested heavily in building dikes along the river. Unfortunately the dikes were not sufficient, and 50,000 tons of corn were lost to flash flooding. Fortunately for Karuturi, the company was large enough to survive this heavy loss.

The bottom line is that investors face steep cost curves in bringing this land into production. Even though the land itself may be relatively inexpensive, the food grown under these conditions and shipped to home countries will be some of the most costly food ever produced.

The flurry of large-scale land acquisitions that began in 2008, yielded only a few relatively small harvests as of 2012. The Saudis harvested their first rice crop in Ethiopia, albeit a very small one, in late 2008.

In 2009, South Korea’s Hyundai Heavy Industries harvested some 4,500 tons of soybeans and 2,000 tons of corn on a 25,000-acre farm it took over from Russian owners, roughly 100 miles north of Vladivostok. Hyundai had planned to expand production rapidly to 100,000 tons of corn and soybeans by 2015. But in 2012 it anticipated producing only 9,000 tons of crops, putting it far behind schedule for reaching its 2015 goal. The advantage for Hyundai was that this was already a functioning farm. The supporting infrastructure was already in place. Yet even if Hyundai reaches its 100,000-ton goal, this will cover just 1% of South Korea’s consumption of these commodities.

Another of the acquisitions that appears to be progressing is in South Sudan, where Citadel Capital, an Egyptian private equity company, has leased 260,000 acres for agriculture. In 2011 it began production with a 1,500-acre trial of chickpeas. The plan is to scale the area in chickpeas up to 130,000 acres in five years. The overall goal is to grow crops, eventually including corn and sorghum as well, for which there is a large local market and to produce them at well under the price of imports. This particular project is apparently intended to produce for local consumption. Unfortunately, this is not the case for the great majority of foreign acquisitions.

Resources on Food and Agricultural Land Use

Online:

Print:

  • The Global Farms Race: Land Grabs, Agricultural Investment, and the Scramble for Food Security, edited by Michael Kugelman and Susan L. Levenstein (Island Press, 2012)
  • The Land Grabbers: The New Fight over Who Owns the Earth by Fred Pearce (Beacon Press, 2012)
  • Rising Global Interest in Farmland: Can It Yield Sustainable and Equitable Benefits? by Klaus Deininger and Derek Byerlee (World Bank, 2011)

Links to data and additional resources may be found at Earth Policy Institute, www.earth-policy.org.

Will Foreign Land Grabbers Spark Local Revolts?

Land acquisitions, whether to produce food, biofuels, or other crops, raise questions about who will benefit. Even if some of these projects can dramatically boost land productivity, will local people gain from this? When virtually all the inputs—the farm equipment, the fertilizer, the pesticides, the seeds—are brought in from abroad and all the output is shipped out of the country, this contributes little to the local economy and nothing to the local food supply. These land grabs are benefiting the rich at the expense of the poor.

One of the most difficult variables to evaluate is political stability in the countries where land acquisitions are occurring. If opposition political parties come into office, they may cancel the agreements, arguing that they were secretly negotiated without public participation or support. Land acquisitions in South Sudan and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, both among the top failing states, are particularly risky. Few things are more likely to fuel insurgencies than taking land away from people. Agricultural equipment is easily sabotaged. If ripe fields of grain are torched, they burn quickly.

In Ethiopia, local opposition to land grabs appears to be escalating from protest to violence. In late April 2012, gunmen in the Gambella region attacked workers on land acquired by Saudi billionaire Mohammed al-Amoudi for rice production. They reportedly killed five workers and wounded nine others. Al-Amoudi’s firm Saudi Star Agricultural Development was growing rice on just 860 acres of its 24,700-acre lease as of mid-2012, but it intends eventually to obtain another 716,000 acres in the region, with much of the rice harvest to be exported to Saudi Arabia.

Formulating Strategies for Global Food Security

The World Bank, working with the UN Food and Agriculture Organization and other related agencies, has formulated a set of principles governing land acquisitions. These guiding principles are well conceived, but unfortunately, as critics like GRAIN point out, there is no mechanism to enforce them. The Bank does not seem willing to challenge the basic argument of those acquiring land, who continue to insist that it will benefit the people who live in the host countries.

Land acquisitions are being fundamentally challenged by a coalition of more than one hundred NGOs, some national and others international. These groups argue that the world does not need big corporations bringing large-scale, heavily mechanized, capital-intensive agriculture into developing countries. Instead, these countries need international support for local village-level farming centered on labor-intensive family farms that produce for local and regional markets and that create desperately needed jobs.

One important strategy would be to improve information collection on these international deals. A highly anticipated effort to compile information on large-scale land acquisitions, called the Land Matrix, was launched in April 2012. Its goal is to make data and descriptions of verified foreign land deals more accessible to research organizations, academics, and the general public. Unfortunately, while the project launch generated heavy media coverage, it soon became clear that the database had some of the same drawbacks as previous attempts. For example, certain large deals known for some time to have been canceled were still listed. The Land Matrix is an ongoing effort, accepting user feedback and submissions of new land acquisition examples, so it may prove a valuable tool as it is improved.

Energy policies could also have a great impact on ensuring food security. For instance, canceling biofuel mandates could quickly lower food prices by avoiding the massive conversion of food into fuel for cars.

It is becoming increasingly clear that future food security is integral to the future of global security as it is more broadly defined. As land and water become scarce, as the earth’s temperature rises, and as world food security deteriorates, a dangerous geopolitics of food scarcity is emerging. The conditions giving rise to this have been in the making for several decades, but the situation has come into sharp focus only in the last few years. The land acquisitions discussed here are an integral part of a global power struggle for control of the earth’s land and water resources.

About the Author

Lester R. Brown is president of Earth Policy Institute (www.earth-policy.org), a nonprofit, interdisciplinary research organization based in Washington, D.C.

This article is adapted with permission from his latest book, Full Planet, Empty Plates: The New Geopolitics of Food Scarcity (W. W. Norton & Company, 2012).

Joaquim Machado

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Nanobubble Vaccine May Soon Be On Every Crash Cart

Posted on January 20, 2013
Subject(s): 
Len Rosen's picture

Getting vaccinated with oxygen micro-bubbles may be the next big breakthrough in saving lives. When lungs or airways are compromised our bodies brain and major organs shut down because of the lack of oxygen. This condition is called hypoxemia. Current attempts to bypass the lungs have involved attempting to inject oxygen directly into the bloodstream. This has had limited success.

Researchers at Boston Children's Hospital, however, have been experimenting with a new way of delivering oxygen to the blood using microscopic nanobubbles of oxygen encased in a foamy lipid suspension that releases the gas directly when injected like a vaccine. In the image below you can see one of the microscopic nanobubbles in yellow, adjacent to some red blood cells.

So far the test subjects, rabbits with obstructed airways, have remained alive and stable without taking a breath for 15 minutes. The results of this research have been published in the journal, Science Translational Medicine. What does this mean for victims suffering from pneumonia, a heart attack, stroke, asthma, drowning or airway injuries? When administered the microscopic bubble infusion temporarily stops the hypoxemia, which can give a medical trauma team the opportunity to restore airway or lung function. From rabbits to larger animal trials and finally human clinical trials, we may soon see this discovery become a regular part of CPR and emergency medical procedures, saving countless lives.

The current maximum time of use for microscopic nanobubble injections is 30 minutes with serum volume being the limiting factor. The researchers, however, are working on increasing the ratio of microscopic bubbles to fluid to extend the therapy.

 

Micro bubbles

 

Joaquim Machado

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Joaquim Machado

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1. Excelente a matéria de capa da The Economist ( 12-18th january 2013 ) sobre  limites peceptíveis da Inovação.

2. WIRED ( UK Edition ) , com excelente artigo sobre um device médico que se aproxima ( para os aficionados ) do espantoso Tricorder de Star Trek dos primeiros tempos.

Abraço, 

Joaquim

Joaquim Machado

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James Homes – The Naval Diplomat

Thucydides, Japan and America

By James R. Holmes

JMSDF flies through open house festival

University of Georgia undergraduates used to look at me quizzically when I told them you can learn ninety percent of what you need to know about diplomacy and war by studying a war fought two millennia ago, in a postage-stamp-size theater, between alliances armed with—as my colleagues in Newport like to joke—spears and rowboats. Yet it’s true. War and politics are human endeavors. The dynamics of human interaction endure from age to age. The remainderis mere technological change.

That’s why Thucydides’ chronicle of the Peloponnesian War still captivates readers. Including policymakers, I hope. As Japanese and American emissaries revise the U.S.-Japan defense cooperation guidelines for the first time since 1998, they could do worse than crack open Thucydides’ history. Tokyo and Washington intend to open discussions early next month, presumably in hopes of adapting the guidelines to China’s military rise. A zero-based review of alliance relations ought to incorporate some historical perspective. Who better to consult than the father of history?

Thucydides proffers numerous insights into the workings—and dysfunctions—of alliances and coalitions. How lesser allies relate to greater ones—and vice versa—is of acute interest to him, as it should be for Washington and Tokyo. Alliance relations is about more than power. The strong cannot simply dictate to weaker partners, lest they provoke rebellion or passive-aggressive cooperation. Mutual accommodation is the rule among successful alignments.

The historian designated fear, honor, and interest the prime movers impelling human actions. Weaker parties can manipulate stronger ones using these basic motives, whereas the strong have options of their own. It’s a reciprocal relationship.

Before the outbreak of the Peloponnesian War, for instance, delegates from Corcyra and Corinth, two city-states waging a naval war, plead for help from Athens, the foremost sea power of the day. The Corcyraeans insist they have been wronged, appealing to justice; pledge future assistance, appealing to interest; and incite fear, warning against the consequences should Corinth prevail and Corcyra’s navy—the second-strongest in Greece—fall into Corinthian hands. Honor, interest, fear: they’re all there. The Corinthians deliver similar entreaties to discourage the Athenian assembly from backing their enemy.

After mulling things over, the Athenians resolve… to have it both ways. The assembly commits the city—tepidly—to Corcyra’s cause. Members vote to send a small detachment of warships to accompany the Corcyraean fleet yet forbid Athenian commanders to fight except in dire peril. Athenian mariners end up battling the Corinthians—who have taken league with Sparta, Athens’ great rival—anyway. Twenty-seven years of war ensue, with fateful repercussions for the Athenians, the leading democratic and commercial power of Greek antiquity.

As Thucydides observes, war is a harsh teacher. When they convene next month, it behooves Japanese and U.S. leaders to take a frank, Thucydidean look at their security pact. Like classical Athens, America could find itself dragged into conflict or war against a peer competitor if it commits itself too firmly to a smaller ally for secondary—to Washington—objectives. The law of unintended consequences applies. Or, like Corcyra, Japan maybe better off building up its own naval might, and thus its capacity to act independently, rather than entrusting its interests to a strong yet ambivalentpatron.

Washington would doubtless honor its promise to defend the Senkaku Islands, for instance. But it would fight less to perpetuate Japanese control of some flyspecks on the map than to preserve an alliance that anchors the U.S. forward presence in Asia. That’s a significant difference, implying different priorities and serious prospects for discord in stressful times. Discerning, candidly acknowledging, and working around such disparities will serve the allies well. Let’s take the long view of alliance politics.

Image credit: U.S. Department of Defense (Flickr)

Joaquim Machado

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Joaquim Machado

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Stop Using These 16 Terms to Describe Yourself

January 17, 2013

Picture this. You meet someone new. "What do you do?" she asks.

"I'm an architect," you say.

"Oh, really?" she answers. "Have you designed any buildings I've seen?"

"Possibly," you reply. "We did the new student center at the university..."

"Oh wow," she says. "That's a beautiful building..."

Without trying -- without blowing your own horn -- you've made a great impression.

Now picture this. You meet someone new. "What do you do?" he asks.

"I'm a passionate, innovative, dynamic provider of architectural services with a collaborative approach to creating and delivering outstanding world-class client and user experiences."

All righty then.

Do you describe yourself differently – on your website, promotional materials, or especially on social media – than you do in person? Do you use cheesy clichés and overblown superlatives and breathless adjectives?

Do you write things about yourself you would never have the nerve to actually say?

Here are some words that are great when other people use them to describe you – but you should never use to describe yourself:

1. "Innovative." Most companies claim to be innovative. Most people claim to be innovative. Most are, however, not. (I'm definitely not.) That's okay, because innovation isn't a requirement for success.

If you are innovative, don't say it. Prove it. Describe the products you've developed. Describe the processes you've modified.

Give us something real so your innovation is unspoken but evident... which is always the best kind of evident to be.

2. "World-class." Usain Bolt: world-class sprinter, Olympic medals to prove it. Lionel Messi: world-class soccer (I know, football) player, four Ballon d'Or trophies to prove it.

But what is a world-class professional or company? Who defines world-class? In your case, probably just you.

3. "Authority." Like Margaret Thatcher said, "Power is like being a lady; if you have to say you are, you aren't." Show your expertise instead.

"Presented at TEDxEast " or "Predicted 50 out of 50 states in 2012 election" (Hi Nate!) indicates a level of authority. Unless you can prove it, "social media marketing authority" might simply mean you spend way too much time worrying about your Klout score.

4. "Results oriented." Really? Some people actually focus on doing what they are paid to do? We had no idea.

5. "Global provider." The majority of businesses can sell goods or services worldwide; the ones that can't are fairly obvious.

Only use "global provider" if that capability is not assumed or obvious; otherwise you just sound like a small company trying to appear big.

6. "Motivated." Check out Chris Rock's response (not safe for work or the politically correct) to people who say they take care of their kids. Then substitute words like "motivated."

Never take credit for things you are supposed to do – or supposed to be.

7. "Creative." See particular words often enough and they no longer make an impact. "Creative" is one of them. (Use finding "creative" references in random LinkedIn profiles as a drinking game and everyone will lose -- or win, depending on your perspective.)

"Creative" is just one example. Others include extensive, effective, proven, influential, team player... some of those terms may truly describe you, but since they are also being used to describe everyone they've lost their impact.

8. "Dynamic." If you are "vigorously active and forceful," um, stay away.

9. "Guru." People who try to be clever for the sake of being clever are anything but. (Like in #8.) Don't be a self-proclaimed ninja, sage, connoisseur, guerilla, wonk, egghead... it's awesome when your customers affectionately describe you that way.

Refer to yourself that way and it's obvious you're trying way too hard to impress other people – or yourself.

10. "Curator." Museums have curators. Libraries have curators. Tweeting links to stuff you find interesting doesn't make you a curator... or an authority or a guru.

11. "Passionate." I know many people disagree, but if you say you're incredibly passionate about, oh, incorporating elegant design aesthetics into everyday objects, to me you sound over the top.

The same is true if you're passionate about developing long-term customer solutions. Try the words focus, concentration, or specialization instead.

Or try "love," as in, "I love incorporating an elegant design aesthetic in everyday objects." For whatever reason, that works for me. Passion doesn't. (But maybe that's just me.)

12. "Unique." Fingerprints are unique. Snowflakes are unique. You are unique – but your business probably isn't. That’s fine, because customers don't care about unique; they care about "better."

Show you're better than the competition and in the minds of your customers you will be unique.

13. "Incredibly..." Check out some random bios and you'll find plenty of further-modified descriptors: "Incredibly passionate," "profoundly insightful," "extremely captivating..." isn't it enough to be insightful or captivating? Do you have to be profoundly insightful?

If you must use over-the-top adjectives, spare us the further modification. Trust that we already get it.

14. "Serial entrepreneur." A few people start multiple, successful, long-term businesses. They are successful serial entrepreneurs.

The rest of us start one business that fails or does okay, try something else, try something else, and keep on rinsing and repeating until we find a formula that works. Those people are entrepreneurs. Be proud if you're "just" an entrepreneur. You should be.

15. "Strategist." I sometimes help manufacturing plants improve productivity and quality. There are strategies I use to identify areas for improvement but I'm in no way a strategist. Strategists look at the present, envision something new, and develop approaches to make their vision a reality.

I don't create something new; I apply my experience and a few proven methodologies to make improvements.

Very few people are strategists. Most "strategists" are actually coaches, specialists, or consultants who use what they know to help others. 99% of the time that's what customers need – they don't need or even want a strategist.

16. "Collaborative." You won't just decide what's right for me and force me to buy it?

If your process is designed to take my input and feedback, tell me how that works. Describe the process. Don't claim we'll work together -- describe how we'll work together.

That’s my list -- clearly subjective and definitely open to criticism.

So, more importantly, what do you think? What would you add or remove from my list?

The way we describe ourselves is critical to making a good first impression, so let others benefit from your perspective in the comments below.


Joaquim Machado

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Jan 24, 2013, 2:16:12 PM1/24/13
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AGRICULTURA GRÃOS 23/01/2013

Acordo proposto pela Monsanto divide lideranças

Empresa reafirma que direito de cobrar royalties vai até 2014; Famato diz que a cobrança expirou em 2010

por Globo Rural On-Line
 Shutterstock
Pagamento de royalty provoca queda de braço entre a Monsanto e a Famato, além de dividir lideranças nacionais

O pagamento de royalty pelo uso de sementes da soja transgênica Roundup Ready, resistente ao herbicida glifosato, provocou uma queda de braço entre a Monsanto, detentora da tecnologia, e a Famato (Federação de Agricultura e Pecuária de Mato Grosso, além de dividir as principais lideranças do agronegócio. Nesta quarta-feira (23/1), a Monsanto divulgou um comunicado, anunciando um acordo com “as principais associações de produtores do país, visando apoiar a introdução da próxima geração de produtos como a soja Intacta RR2PRO”. O comunicado afirma que a “CNA, Federações de Agricultura e a Monsanto apoiam a introdução de novas tecnologias para a soja no Brasil”. 

Segundo a Monsanto, o acordo assinado com estas entidades confirma “o sistema de cobrança que garante que as empresas de biotecnologia sejam remuneradas cada vez que a tecnologia é utilizada pelo agricultor em sementes certificadas e/ou salvas ou reservadas. As partes também concordam e reconhecem, segundo o comunicado, o valor que os direitos de propriedade intelectual e os royalties decorrentes desses direitos desempenham no estímulo de novos investimentos realizados pelas indústrias agrícolas.

Aos produtores que aderirem ao acordo, a empresa promete conceder uma licença que permite a aquisição da soja Intacta RR2 PRO, “que estará disponível na safra 2013/2014”, além da liberação do pagamento dos royalties da primeira geração da soja RR nas safras 2012/2013 e posteriores, desde que eles concordem com os pagamentos feitos nas safras anteriores. 

Confederação Nacional de Agricultura e Pecuária (CNA), junto com federações estaduais da Bahia, Goiás, Maranhão, Mato Grosso do Sul, Minas Gerais, Paraná, Piauí, Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina e Tocantins, confirmaram o acordo com a Monsanto, mas a Famato, que vem brigando com a multinacional desde 2010, não aceitou o acordo e ainda o classificou como "moralmente não aceitável".

Segundo a Famato, a soja Intacta RR2 (uma evolução da RR1) ainda não foi liberada para plantio nem aqui e nem naChina. Para a Federação de Mato Grosso, o direito de cobrança de royalties relativos ao uso da RR1 caducou em 2010. A Monsanto, porém, afirma que o direito de cobrança só expira em 2014. 

José Mário Schreiner, da Comissão de Grãos e Cereais da CNA disse à Globo Rural Online que a entidade decidiu apoiar a multinacional por entender que a cobrança é um direito legítimo do detentor da tecnologia, e que é preciso incentivar o desenvolvimento de tecnologias novas, que possam contribuir com a expansão do agronegócio nacional. "Esta será a nossa orientação. Porém, será uma decisão individual. Cada produtor vai avaliar se o acordo lhe será propício", disse Schreiner. "Ninguém é obrigado a fazer o acordo". 

Schreiner disse também que, ao acordar com a Monsanto, a entidade está reafirmando o caminho para buscar eintroduzir estas outras tecnologia e ainda, para que as futuras cobranças e discussões sobre o sistema de cobrança sejama aperfeiçoados. A presidente da entidade, a senadora Kátia Abreu, declarou, em nota, que o pacto foi selado após ampla discussão, que é justo e que atende às necessidades dos produtores de soja. 

Mato Grosso

Em Mato Grosso, a Famato e os Sindicatos Rurais do Estado já optaram por não selar nenhum pacto com a Monsanto. Ricardo Tomczyk, advogado das entidades mato-grossenses e vice-presidente da Aprosoja, disse que a proposta não é moralmente aceitável, mas que, mesmo com a negativa das entidades, a empresa ainda vai fazer a proposta individualmente aos produtores. 

Segundo ele, nesta terça-feira (22/1) uma Assembléia Geral foi realizada na sede da Famato para discutir a proposta e a decisão de não concordar com ela foi unânime. “Como cidadãos somos sempre cobrados para cumprir as leis. Só queremos que a empresa multinacional Monsanto 
cumpra o que prevê a lei brasileira”, afirma o presidente da Famato, Rui Prado

Também na terça-feira, a 4ª Câmara Cível do Tribunal de Justiça de Mato Grosso atendeu a um pedido da Famato e Sindicatos Rurais contra a Monsanto. Esta decisão garante o direito ao produtor mato-grossense de, caso haja o retorno da cobrança pela empresa, depositar em juízo os valores relativos ao pagamento de royalties pela tecnologia Roundup Ready (RR1) da soja, até o julgamento final da Ação Coletiva. “Se houver nova proposta, mais adequada, vamos avaliar, disse Tomczyk.


Joaquim Machado

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Adaptation to Starchy Diet Was Key to Dog Domestication

By Kate Wong | January 24, 2013
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Dog

The invention of agriculture catalyzed dog domestication, genome study suggests. Image: John Fehrenbach, via Flickr.

They work with us, play with us and comfort us when we’re down. Archaeological evidence indicates that dogs have had a close bond with humans for millennia. But exactly why and how they evolved from their wolf ancestors into our loyal companions has been something of a mystery. Now a new genetic analysis indicates that dietary adaptation played a critical role in dog domestication.

Scientists have two theories for how dog domestication began. One holds that humans captured wolf pups and tamed them for their hunting and guarding abilities. The other, more popular explanation proposes that the advent of agriculture and the attendant development of human settlements created new scavenging opportunities for animals bold enough to exploit them, and that wolves themselves thus initiated domestication. The new findings support this latter view, and offer insights into how dog ancestors were able to take advantage of this new resource.

Erik Axelsson of Uppsala University in Sweden and his colleagues analyzed DNA from 12 wolves and 60 dogs representing 14 diverse breeds, looking for regions of the dog genome that evolved under selection pressure during domestication. Their search identified a number of probable targets of selection, including some genes related to central nervous system development. This is not unexpected. Modern dogs are well known to differ from wolves in having reduced aggression and social-cognitive skills that allow them tocommunicate with humans in special ways. Mutations in some of the nervous system genes highlighted by this study may have produced some of those behavioral changes that made Fido our BFF.

Intriguingly, genes involved in the metabolism of starch showed up among the targets, too. In fact, the study revealed that during the domestication of dogs, selection acted on genes involved in all three of the stages of starch digestion, promoting mutations that facilitated adaptation from a meat-centric diet to one heavy on starch. “Our results show that adaptations that allowed the early ancestors of modern dogs to thrive on a diet rich in starch, relative to the carnivorous diet of wolves, constituted a crucial step in early dog domestication,” the authors write in a paper published in the January 24 Nature. “This may suggest that a change of ecological niche could have been the driving force behind the domestication process, and that scavenging in waste dumps near the increasingly common human settlements during the dawn of the agricultural revolution may have constituted this new niche.” (Scientific Americanis part of Nature Publishing Group.)

Given previous studies indicating that dog domestication began some 10,000 years ago in the Middle East, Axelsson and his collaborators conclude that their findings may suggest that the development of agriculture—which seems to have started at around that same time and in that same area—“catalyzed the domestication of dogs.”

Cats, too, are thought to have domesticated themselves by exploiting the same new niche that attracted wolves. No doubt they were drawn in part by the mice that set up shop in early agricultural settlements. But the intrepid felines seem to have dined on human leftovers as well. Although housecats have only a limited ability to metabolize carbohydrates, including starch, they possess a longer intestine than their wild counterparts do–presumably to help digest the lower-quality sustenance they get from table scraps and trash heaps compared to the all-meat diet they would be living on in the wild, according to geneticist Carlos Driscoll of the National Institutes of Health, an expert on cat domestication.

“Why would the cat (or wolf for that matter) stick around eating crap like bread crusts?” Driscoll muses. “Because it’s easier, and safer, than heading out into the wild and hunting.” In the wild “there is competition with other cats and also exposure to predators” such as leopards and hyenas, which humans would have kept away from their settlements,” he notes. And “the human environment is stable and year round, whereas wild populations of mice and rabbits and such prey are cyclical.” (Driscoll says that he and others are currently looking for signs of selection on carbohydrate metabolism in the cat genome.)

Still, the suggestion that the agricultural revolution kicked off dog domestication seems likely to generate controversy, not least because some evidence hints that domestication began well before farming did—including 33,000-year-old remains from the Altai Mountains in Siberia that are said to represent an early dog.

 
About the Author: Kate Wong is an editor and writer at Scientific American covering paleontology, archaeology and life sciences. Follow on Twitter @katewong.

Joaquim Machado

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COMUNICADO!!!!!
COMUNICADO DOS SINDICATOS GA[UCHOS AUTORES DA AÇÃO COLETIVA CONTRA A MONSANTO

COMUNICADO 

DOS SINDICATOS RURAIS GAÚCHOS AUTORES DO PROCESSO COLETIVO nº 1090106915-2 ANTE O ACORDO FEITO PELA CNA E FEDERAÇÕES DOS PRODUTORES RURAIS, em Brasília, dia 23.01.2013.
Inaceitável, Imoral e lesivo, foi o “acordo” assinado pela CNA, pela Farsul e outras Federações, em Brasília, dia 23.01.2013. Mais uma vez traídos, é o sentimento experimentado pelos Agricultores Gaúchos.
Esse acordo não pode obrigar ninguém, é oco, não serve para nada, senão tentar enganar produtores rurais e o próprio Judiciário.
Movimentaram-se 354 Sindicatos Patronais e de Trabalhadores Rurais em demanda coletiva contra a apropriação indébita que a Monsanto efetiva sobre a produção de grãos de pequenos, médios e grandes sojicultores brasileiros. Dezenas de outros Sindicatos subscreveram Cartas de Apoio, não se habilitando no feito, porque não quiseram retardar a solução do Processo Coletivo, movido junto a 15ª Vara Cível de Porto Alegre. Os Agricultores Gaúchos e seus Sindicatos, judicialmente, manifestaram sua irresignação.
No Processo, já com sentença favorável aos Agricultores, houve o reconhecimento do direito milenar de produzir sementes próprias e usufruir dos seus frutos. O culto juiz Giovanni Conti, determinou, inclusive, que os valores apreendidos pela Monsanto e as empresas cúmplices, sejam devolvidos com juros e correção monetária. Foi dito, então, que o direito que a CNA e as Federações subscritoras, estão entregando à Monsanto, a ela não pertence, é fruto de ilegalidade. 
Portanto, tal atitude, além de lesiva, enfrenta o Judiciário, eis que contrárias a determinações já escritas até pelo Superior Tribunal de Justiça brasileiro. Foi dito: a Monsanto não tem o direito de cobrar royalties ou indenizações nas safras 2012/2013 e 2013/2014. Logo, o acordo que propõe trocar o que a Monsanto não tem, para quitar condenação à devolução das cobranças passadas, e passar um cheque em branco para as futuras imposições, só beneficia a transacional.
O pior. Reconhecer direito à Monsanto, contra normas da Lei de Cultivares nº 9.456/97, é permitir que em não mais de 5 anos, todas as sementes tenham qualquer modificação patenteadas, muitas vezes sem qualquer interesse prático, para eternizar a exploração econômica dos Agricultores, e diminuir a soberania do País, eis que, nenhuma exportação poderá ser efetivada sem autorização da multinacional. 
É de estarrecer e causa perplexidade, ler manifestações dessas lideranças informando que tal acordo, é fruto de muita discussão com os interessados. Isso é tão verdade quanto uma nota de três reais. Nenhum Agricultor, que é esbulhado, foi chamado para debater seu direito, suas obrigações. O único Estado da Federação que se tem notícia ter feito Assembleia com os Sindicatos Rurais, para debate tal proposta, foi o Mato Grosso, e, unanimemente, rejeitaram-na!
Mas esses senhores que se sentaram à mesa farta, podem ter feito qualquer coisa, menos defender o interesse dos rurícolas e do País. Desprestigiaram decisões judiciais.
Parabéns aos representantes do Mato Grosso. Saibam que os Gaúchos não comungam com essa “barbaridade”, continuam firmes no Processo Coletivo proposto em abril de 2009, cuja sentença mostrou terem razão. Não pensem ou se enganem que a assinatura da Farsul representa o pensamento do povo gaúcho. Ao contrário, esse ato é isolado e sem nenhuma legitimidade. Só representa os interesses individuais de uma Diretoria. Não fala pelos Agricultores, é certo.
Essa brava gente gaúcha, não vende seus direitos, nem o dos outros! Continuarão, tenham certeza, firmes no Processo Coletivo contra a abusividade, a ilegalidade e a arbitrariedade que assola esta classe trabalhadora, como a história do Rio Grande do Sul, atesta.
Demonstramos com prova técnica e documental, a inconsistência e ilegalidade do procedimento da Monsanto, que a CNA e a FARSUL generosamente reverenciam e apoiam. Até agora tivemos êxito, sinceramente, confiamos que a 5ª Câmara Cível do TJRGS, irá prestigiar a decisão do Juiz, que ao longo dos anos assistiu a prova dos autos, aos debates acalorados, concluindo terem os Agricultores e a coletividade brasileira, razão.
Portanto, quando forem comercializar sua safra, não assinem qualquer documento endereçado à Monsanto, senão estarão dando quitação de tudo quanto lhes foi ilegalmente apropriado; e estarão liberando o mesmo procedimento para o futuro. 
Que a Justiça seja feita!
Néri Perin
Advogado dos Agricultores


Joaquim Machado

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ROYALTIES

Maggi e Homero apoiam posicionamento de MT sobre royalties

Senador Blairo Maggi e deputado Homero Pereira se pronunciaram durante lançamento da colheita em Goiás

Ascom Aprosoja

O senador Blairo Maggi e o deputado federal Homero Pereira, presidente da Frente Parlamentar da Agropecuária, apoiaram publicamente a decisão das entidades do agronegócio de Mato Grosso (FAMATO, Sindicato Rural e Aprosoja) de não assinarem acordo com a empresa Monsanto, durante o lançamento da colheita de soja em Rio Verde (GO).

Os produtores mato-grossenses entraram na Justiça para questionar o pagamento dos royalties pela soja Roundup Ready (RR1), cuja patente está vencida desde 2010 e, portanto, é de domínio público. “Graças ao apoio dessas lideranças os produtores têm duas opções para negociar e não ficam reféns da empresa”, afirmo Pereira.

Maggi afirmou que os produtores rurais de todo o país precisam se espelhar na organização sindical dos mato-grossenses, que não abriram mão de seus direitos. “A independência política vem da independência financeira”, disse o senador. E ressaltou que os agricultores querem pagar pela biotecnologia, mas não nos termos abusivos apresentados pela multinacional.

O presidente da Aprosoja-MT, Carlos Fávaro, lembrou aos produtores de Goiás e de todo o país que a multinacional está propondo acordos individuais por causa da Ação Coletiva iniciada por Mato Grosso e explicou porque as entidades desaconselham a assinatura. “Além de abrir mão da restituição da cobrança ilegal dos royalties, os termos do acordo nos prejudicam no futuro. Quem assinar estará autorizando a empresa a continuar com a cobrança atual (na moega), amplamente contestada pelo setor”, afirma. Ele ainda colocou à disposição dos produtores a assessoria jurídica das entidades para sanar dúvidas.

Outra opção do produtor rural de Mato Grosso é o depósito em juízo quando a Monsanto voltar a cobrar os royalties de quem não assinou o acordo individual. A decisão judicial publicada nesta terça (22) permite “que os produtores rurais procedam com o depósito judicial dos valores questionados”. “A Justiça deu o direito aos produtores de fazerem este depósito”, afirmou Fávaro.

 

Joaquim Machado

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IN MICROBIOTECHNOLOGY, ECOTOXICOLOGY AND BIOREMEDIATION

 
Front. Microbio., 25 January 2013 | doi: 10.3389/fmicb.2013.00005

Preparing synthetic biology for the world

  • 1Leukippos Institute, Berlin, Germany
  • 2School of Biological and Health Systems Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA
Synthetic Biology promises low-cost, exponentially scalable products and global health solutions in the form of self-replicating organisms, or “living devices.” As these promises are realized, proof-of-concept systems will gradually migrate from tightly regulated laboratory or industrial environments into private spaces as, for instance, probiotic health products, food, and even do-it-yourself bioengineered systems. What additional steps, if any, should be taken before releasing engineered self-replicating organisms into a broader user space? In this review, we explain how studies of genetically modified organisms lay groundwork for the future landscape of biosafety. Early in the design process, biological engineers are anticipating potential hazards and developing innovative tools to mitigate risk. Here, we survey lessons learned, ongoing efforts to engineer intrinsic biocontainment, and how different stakeholders in synthetic biology can act to accomplish best practices for biosafety.

Keywords: synthetic biology, biosafety research, containment of biohazards, risk assessment

Citation: Moe-Behrens GHG, Davis R and Haynes KA (2013) Preparing synthetic biology for the world. Front. Microbio4:5. doi: 10.3389/fmicb.2013.00005

Received: 23 October 2012; Accepted: 04 January 2013;
Published online: 25 January 2013.

Edited by:

David Nielsen, Arizona State University, USA

Reviewed by:

Lei Chen, Tianjin University, China
Tae Seok Moon, Washington University in St. Louis, USA

Copyright © 2013 Moe-Behrens, Davis and Haynes. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in other forums, provided the original authors and source are credited and subject to any copyright notices concerning any third-party graphics etc.

*Correspondence: Karmella A. Haynes, School of Biological and Health Systems Engineering, Arizona State University, 501 E Tyler Mall, 9709 Tempe, AZ 85287, USA. e-mail: karmell...@asu.edu

Joaquim Machado

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Knives Out: Turkey's and Armenia's War Over Food


inShare8 97

In the Caucasus, culinary nationalism is an extension of the region's long-simmering disputes.

armenia flag bannetr.jpg
A demonstrator sets fire to a Turkish flag as he attends a torch-bearing march marking the anniversary of the 1915 mass killings of Armenians in Ottoman Empire, in Yerevan on April 23, 2010. (Reuters)

There is perhaps nothing more closely bound up with one's national identity than food. Specific local dishes are often seen as the embodiment of various cultures and many nations promote their food as a celebration of national identity. Sometimes, however, a country's cuisine can also be used to highlight national rivalries.

Czechs, for example, sometimes affectionately (some would say condescendingly) refer to their Slovak cousins as "Halusky" after the typical gnocchi dish that comprises part of their national cuisine. Similarly, the English often disparagingly call their French neighbors "Frogs" because of the Gallic penchant for eating the legs of said amphibians.

Culinary flashpoints can also arise when neighboring nations all lay claim to the same regional dish. For instance, the Scots, English, and the Irish often bicker about whose fried breakfast is the original and the best of the species.

In the volatile Caucasus region, though, it seems that such food fights have now been taken to a whole new level. As Eurasianet.org reports, many Armenians are up in arms about a recent UNESCO decision to add the Anatolian stew "Keshkek" to its Intangible Cultural Heritage List on behalf of Turkey. They claim that "Keshkek" is actually an Armenian meal, which they call "Harissa."

Now a group of ethnographers from Turkey's eastern neighbor are actually compiling information on the dish to appeal the ruling by the UN's cultural agency.

According to the News.am website, Sedrak Mamulyan, the chairman of the "Development and Preservation of Armenian Culinary Traditions" organization, is intent on demonstrating that "the utensils, methods, and ingredients used for making...Harissa have a pure Armenian origin and it is a purely Armenian dish." The same organization has also attacked Georgia for commandeering "Khash." It insists that this tasty beef soup is in fact an Armenian national dish.

Armenia, meanwhile, has itself come under fire from Azerbaijan, which has accused its neighbor and regional nemesis of "cuisine plagiarism." Baku's National Security Ministry has even set up a National Cuisine Center to reinforce its claim to the nation's cuisine and, in particular, to help counter any Armenian efforts to appropriate what it feels are Azerbaijani dishes.
​​
The "Tolma" dish, which consists of meatballs wrapped in grape leaves, seems to be a particular bone of contention between the two countries, especially since Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev publicly announced last year that it was an Azeri national dish.

This provoked a furious response in Armenia and various initiatives have been launched to help save the country's national dishes from "occupants." This even includes holding an annual Tolma Festival to reinforce the idea that it is a typically Armenian food.

Whatever the upshot of these culinary claims and counterclaims, it sadly doesn't seem like these regional rivals will be sitting down to break bread with each other anytime soon. 




This post appears courtesy of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty.

Joaquim Machado

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The Guardian home
  

Quinoa brings riches to the Andes

Bolivian and Peruvian farmers sell entire crop to meet rising western demand, sparking fears of malnutrition
Quinoa harvest in Bolivia
A woman carries quinoa in Bolivia. The 'pseudo-grain' may be the most nutritious foodstuff in the world. Photograph: Laurent Giraudou/Corbis

A burst of colour on a monochromatic panorama, a field of flowering quinoa plants in the Bolivian desert is a thing of beauty. A plant ready for harvest can stand higher than a human, covered with knotty blossoms, from violet to crimson and ochre-orange to yellow.

Quinua real, or royal quinoa, flourishes in the most hostile conditions, surviving nightly frosts and daytime temperatures upwards of 40C (104F). It is a high-altitude plant, growing at 3,600 metres above sea level and higher, where oxygen is thin, water is scarce and the soil is so saline that virtually nothing else grows.

The tiny seeds of the quinoa plant are the stuff of nutritionists' dreams, sending demand soaring in the developed world. Gram-for-gram, quinoa is one of the planet's most nutritious foodstuffs. Once a sacred crop for some pre-hispanic Andean cultures, it has become a five-star healthfood for the middle classes in Europe, the US and increasingly China and Japan.

That global demand means less quinoa is being eaten in Bolivia andPeru, the countries of origin, as the price has tripled. There are concerns this could cause malnutrition as producers, who have long relied on the superfood to supplement their meagre diets, would rather sell their entire crop than eat it. The rocketing international price is also creating land disputes.

"Royal quinoa has given hope to people living in Bolivia's most destitute and forgotten region," says Paola Mejia, general manager of Bolivia'sChamber of Quinoa Real and Organic Products Exporters.

Royal quinoa, which only grows in this arid region of southern Bolivia, is to the grain what beluga is to caviar; packed with even more protein, vitamins and minerals than the common variety.

Averaging $3,115 (£1,930) per tonne in 2011, quinoa has tripled in price since 2006. Coloured varieties fetch even more. Red royal quinoa sells at about $4,500 a tonne and the black variety can reach $8,000 per tonne. The crop has become a lifeline for the people of Bolivia's Oruro and Potosi regions, among the poorest in what is one of South America's poorest nations.

It is quinoa's moment on the world stage. This year is the UN'sInternational Year of Quinoa as the UN Food and AgricultureOrganisation recognises the crop's resilience, adaptability and its "potential contribution in the fight against hunger and malnutrition".

Evo Morales, the Bolivian leader whose government suggested the special recognition for the grain, said: "For years [quinoa] was looked down on just like the indigenous movement To remember that past is to remember discrimination against quinoa and now after so many years it is reclaiming its rightful recognition as the most important food for life."

However, there are concerns the 5,000 year-old ancestral crop is being eaten less by its traditional consumers: quinoa farmers. "They have westernised their diets because they have more profits and more income," says Mejia, an agronomist. "Ten years ago they had only an Andean diet in front of them. They had no choice. But now they do and they want rice, noodles, candies, coke, they want everything!"

Daysi Munoz, who runs a La Paz-based quinoa farming collective, agrees. "As the price has risen quinoa is consumed less and less in Bolivia. It's worth more to them [the producers] to sell it or trade it for pasta and rice. As a result, they're not eating it any more."

Bitter battles are being fought over prime quinoa-growing land. Last February dozens of people were hurt when farmers fought with slings and sticks of dynamite over what was once abandoned land.

Many people who migrated to cities in search of a better life are now returning to their arid homeland to grow royal quinoa, says Mejia. Most land is communally owned, she adds, so "the government needs to set out the boundaries or there will be more conflicts".

In the village of Lacaya, near Lake Titicaca, the farmers have recently sown quinoa. It grows faster in the wetter conditions but the varietyquinua dulce is less sought after than royal quinoa.

Under the perpendicular rays of the intense altiplano sun, Petrona Uriche's face is heavily shadowed by her felt bowler hat. She says in the three years her village has been farming quinoa it has become the biggest earner. "We produce quinoa just for export, it's more profitable," she said. An 11.5kg arroba sack of quinoa can fetch eight times more than it did a few years ago, around $2 a kg, she adds.

But the Bolivian government – which like its neighbour Peru is heavily promoting quinoa nationally to combat malnutrition – insists Bolivians are eating more of the grain. Annual consumption per person has increased fourfold from 0.35kg to 1.11 kg in as many years "in spite of the high international prices", Victor Hugo Vásquez, Bolivia's vice-minister for rural development and agriculture, said.

Previous government figures, however, indicated domestic consumption had dropped by a third in five years.

Judging by the supermarket shelves in Bolivia's de facto capital, La Paz, where quinoa-based products from pizza crusts and hamburgers to canapes and breakfast cereals are displayed, Bolivia's growing middle class appear to be the principal consumers.

Meanwhile in the Peruvian capital, Lima, shoppers at food markets complain quinoa is becoming a luxury product. Selling at around 10 Peruvian soles per kg (£2.44) it costs more than chicken (7.8 soles per kg) and four times as much as rice. Official figures show domestic consumption has dropped.

"Unfortunately in poorer areas they don't have access to products such as quinoa and it's becoming more and more expensive," Peru's vice-minister for agriculture, Juan Rheineck, said at a breakfast for under-fives at the Casa de los Petisos children's home in Lima. The children are fed boiled eggs and quinoa and apple punch, part of a government programme to promote nutritious breakfasts. "That's what we have to avoid, we have to produce better and more," he said.

Peru's government cut chronic malnutrition in under-fives nationally to 16.5% in 2011 but it is still widely prevalent in poorer Andean regions. According to the World Bank, 27.2% of under-fives in Bolivia suffered chronic malnutrition in 2008.

Peru's telegenic first lady, Nadine Heredia, is championing a colourful campaign to promote the Andean diet, of which quinoa is a key element, to combat infant malnutrition. In 2012 Peru banked nearly $35m from quinoa exports, tripling what it earned three years ago. In Bolivia exports tripled to around 23,000 tonnes, contributing some $85m to the country's economy,Vásquez said.

But experts say both countries need to boost production to meet the rising external demand and provide the grain at lower prices for internal consumption. Bolivia, which produces nearly half the global supply, says it has given more than $5m in credits to 70,000 quinoa producers and wants to industrialise production to bring added value rather than just exporting the raw material.

Hydrocarbons and minerals are Bolivia's two key exports, but Mejia believes if the country aggressively promoted quinoa agriculture "in 10 years it could easily surpass the income from gas and minerals".

What is quinoa?

Quinoa (Chenopodium quinoa willd) is actually a "pseudo-grain", not belonging to the true grass family but a member of the goosefoot plant family, which includes spinach and sugarbeet.

Its exceptional nutritional qualities led Nasa to include it as part of its astronauts' diet on long space missions. A 1993 Nasa technical paper says: "While no single food can supply all the essential life sustaining nutrients, quinoa comes as close as any other in the plant or animal kingdom."

Quinoa is the only plant food that contains all 10 essential amino acids for the human diet. Its protein content (between 14%-18%) surpasses that of wheat, rice, maize and oats, and can be a substitute to animal protein. Its calorific value is greater than that of eggs and milk and comparable only to that of meat.

It is a source of vitamin E, vitamin B2 (riboflavin) and contains more minerals such as calcium, potassium, magnesium and phosphorus than other grains.

Recent research found quinoa contains phytoestrogens, which are said to prevent or reduce osteoporosis, arteriosclerosis, breast cancer and other conditions that can be caused by lack of oestrogen after the menopause.

• This article was amended on 15 January 2013 to remove the following line: Studies at Kings College London have shown quinoa helps coeliacs (people intolerant to gluten) to regenerate gluten tolerance. This was removed because there is debate about the accuracy of the statement.

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When do close ties between politicians and business people become problematic?
 
INSTITUTE FOR SECURITY STUDIES
Published 25 Jan 2013
 

Recently, South African President Jacob Zuma was accused of blatantly promoting corruption in South Africa. In his words, ‘We’re not forcing people ... you can support and be a supporter, but if you go beyond that and become a member, [and] if you`re a businessman, your business will multiply. Everything you touch will multiply. I`ve always said that a wise businessperson will support the ANC … because supporting the ANC means you`re investing very well in your business.’ This statement was made at a gala dinner celebrating the 101st anniversary of the African National Congress (ANC), attended by the political elite and some of the wealthiest and most powerful business people in South Africa. Business leaders paid hundreds of thousands of rands for tables at the event, which also served as a fund-raising vehicle. In total, R21,4 million was raised for the ANC’s coffers.

Although ANC spokesperson Jackson Mthembu tried, unsuccessfully, to spin this statement as simply an expression of African culture, the President’s words raises a number of worrying questions. For example, how exactly does providing monetary support to the ANC result in a particular business ‘multiplying’? Why would investing in the ANC be a ‘wise’ business decision compared to for example, investing in skilled staff, better technology or additional marketing? At face value it sounds strange, but there are plenty of examples that provide context to President Zuma’s statement.

The Mail and Guardian reported on 18 January 2013 that Edison Power, a company owned by Durban-based businessman Vivian Reddy, had been awarded a contract to the tune of R1,25 billion for the supply of smart meters to the City of Johannesburg. The newspaper alleged that this company had won the contract irregularly because of evidence that Edison’s bid was not the lowest, it had no experience in this type of business, it would not source any components of the electricity meters from local businesses, and a letter informed Edison that it had won the bid before the decision was made. Interestingly, Reddy is a long-standing benefactor of President Zuma, having generously contributed to the costs of expanding his private homestead in Nkandla. Reddy also ‘invests’ heavily in the ANC and paid R450 000 for a seat at the same table as President Zuma at the recent gala.

A further example of how investing wisely in senior ANC officials can pay off handsomely was exposed in the City Press on 20 January 2013. The Gupta family, owners of the giant Sahara Computers company, have invested considerably in the Zuma family. They employ two of his children and his fourth wife, Bongi Ngema-Zuma. Moreover, on 30 November 2012, the Mail and Guardian detailed how the Guptas were assisting Ngema-Zuma with paying off the loan on her luxury Waterkloof Ridge home to the tune of R80 000 a month. On 20 January 2013, the City Press detailed how the New Age newspaper, owned by the Guptas, had received sponsorship for its business breakfasts from various parastatals. According to the report, Transnet paid R17,5 million for 18 sessions, Eskom reportedly paid R7,2 million for six sessions, and Telkom, which is partially owned by the state, paid R12 million for 12 sessions. Despite the costs of the breakfasts being covered by those who paid to attend, the New Age newspaper, a private commercial company, made R36,7 million from state-owned enterprises. The South African Broadcasting Corporation (SABC), which has faced a cash crunch in the past years, has been televising the breakfasts free of charge. It usually charges R18 000 for a 30-second slot.

All of this appears to be a continuation of President Zuma’s approach to business as was revealed in substantial detail during the corruption trial of Shabir Shaik. Shaik gave money to the then Deputy President Zuma, who in turn used his official position in government and the ANC to promote and lobby for Shaik’s businesses. It was also found that Zuma also agreed to protect the French arms company Thomson-CSF/Thint from corruption investigations for an investment of R500 000 a year. It is not too surprising then that many wealthy business people have sought access to senior ANC leaders so as to obtain lucrative state tenders. ANC Deputy President Kgalema Motlanthe himself has warned of those who were ‘attracted to join the ANC as a bee is attracted to a pot of honey’ and ‘come with a view that they will use access to power for personal benefit’. Clearly this does not worry enough of those in the ruling elite as little is being done to address it. But what are the consequences for South Africa?

It means that the vast majority of South Africans who are not able to ‘invest’ in the ANC will not have the same influence over its decisions as those who can give generously. Essentially, the interests of the poor and marginalised will always play second fiddle to those of elites who can afford to give large amounts of money to the ANC and its officials. Businesses that cannot compete fairly can opt to purchase influence, as the Shaik trial demonstrated. This undermines the extent to which innovative, honest businesses can compete and can lock honest business people out of state contracts. It is this state of affairs that starts to explain why South Africa fell 10 places to 64th on the Transparency International Corruption Perception Index of 2012, the country’s lowest ranking since the index began in 1997.

President Zuma’s remarks were attacked by many, including Advocate Paul Hoffman of the Institute of Accountability in South Africa, who stated that, ‘This is no way to run a country … it is unethical and unsustainable’, and went on to say that President Zuma was essentially offering businesses a ‘get-rich-quick kind of arrangement’. Democratic Alliance parliamentary leader Lindiwe Mazibuko said that, ‘With high levels of corruption already costing the economy billions of rand, hurting the poor and vulnerable the hardest, such a comment is deeply irresponsible’, and she indicated she would ask President Zuma to retract the statement.

The president’s statement certainly raises questions as to whether the political will exists to aggressively deal with corruption, which is at the heart of a number of governance-related challenges facing the country. However, if South Africa continues on a path where corrupt behaviour in government and the private sector is condoned at worst or ignored at best, the country will lose much-needed resources and the poor will continue to suffer. It will then be only a matter of time before it is increasingly realised that the ANC slogan of ‘a better life for all’ means very little to those in power.

Written by Hamadziripi Tamukamoyo,  Researcher,  Governance, Crime and Justice Division,ISS Pretoria office

Edited by: ISS, Institute for Security Studies

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Researchers Turn DNA Into Digital Storage Medium

DNA Double Helix
The next great digital storage medium may be us—or our DNA, to be precise.
Deoxyribonucleic acid stores the code that makes us humans and not, say, flatworms. Which is to say that DNA is remarkably evolved storage media that can pack in all the variety and complexity of organic life in just a small amount of biological matter.
But turning DNA into storage for digital and not biological information is tough because it's proven difficult to encode efficiently and reliably using artificial means, say researchers at the EMBL-European Bioinformatics Institute (EMBL-EBI).
Scientists have already figured out how to read the data stored in long dormant DNA, but now those researchers say they've worked out a way to write it in such a way that overcomes earlier hurdles.
In the latest issue of Nature EMBL-EBI researchers Nick Goldman and Ewan Birney explain that their breakthrough could make it possible to "store at least 100 million hours of high-definition video in about a cup of DNA."
"We already know that DNA is a robust way to store information because we can extract it from wooly mammoth bones, which date back tens of thousands of years, and make sense of it. It's also incredibly small, dense and does not need any power for storage, so shipping and keeping it is easy," Goldman said in a statement.
There have been a couple of challenges to storing digital data as DNA, the scientists said, noting that until now it's only been possible to create short strings of DNA and the repeatability of DNA letters in a string can make it difficult to both write and read.
Goldman and Birney said they enlisted the help of bio-analytics instrument maker Agilent Technologies, a former lab of Hewlett-Packard, to help synthesize DNA from encoded digital information—in this case, an MP3 of Martin Luther King's "I Have a Dream" speech, a .txt file of Shakespeare's sonnets, a .pdf file containing James Watson and Francis Crick's original paper describing the structure of DNA, and a final file describing the encoding itself.
"We knew we needed to make a code using only short strings of DNA, and to do it in such a way that creating a run of the same letter would be impossible," Goldman explained.
"So we figured, let's break up the code into lots of overlapping fragments going in both directions, with indexing information showing where each fragment belongs in the overall code, and make a coding scheme that doesn't allow repeats. That way, you would have to have the same error on four different fragments for it to fail—and that would be very rare."
The result, according to Agilent's Emily Leproust, who helped synthesize the data into DNA, was "hundreds of thousands of pieces of DNA" that looked "like a tiny piece of dust." Agilent sent the synthesized sample back to the researchers at EMBL-EBI, where they sequenced it and said they decoded the files without errors.
"We've created a code that's error tolerant using a molecular form we know will last in the right conditions for 10,000 years, or possibly longer. As long as someone knows what the code is, you will be able to read it back if you have a machine that can read DNA," Goldman said.
So can we toss out our hard disk drives and SSDs? Probably not too soon, but the researchers said they believed working out several practical matters could result in a "commercially viable DNA storage model."


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January 28, 2013

Biotech Firms, Billions at Risk, Lobby States to Limit Generics

By ANDREW POLLACK

In statehouses around the country, some of the nation’s biggest biotechnology companies are lobbying intensively to limit generic competition to their blockbuster drugs, potentially cutting into the billions of dollars in savings on drug costs contemplated in the federal health care overhaul law.

The complex drugs, made in living cells instead of chemical factories, account for roughly one-quarter of the nation’s $320 billion in spending on drugs, according to IMS Health. And that percentage is growing. They include some of the world’s best-selling drugs, like the rheumatoid arthritis and psoriasis drugs Humira and Enbrel and the cancer treatments Herceptin, Avastin and Rituxan. The drugs now cost patients — or their insurers — tens or even hundreds of thousands of dollars a year.

Two companies, Amgen and Genentech, are proposing bills that would restrict the ability of pharmacists to substitute generic versions of biological drugs for brand name products.

Bills have been introduced in at least eight states since the new legislative sessions began this month. Others are pending.

The Virginia House of Delegates already passed one such bill last week, by a 91-to-6 vote.

The companies and other proponents say such measures are needed to protect patient safety because the generic versions of biological drugs are not identical to the originals. For that reason, they are usually called biosimilars rather than generics.

Generic drug companies and insurers are taking their own steps to oppose or amend the state bills, which they characterize as pre-emptive moves to deter the use of biosimilars, even before any get to market.

“All of these things are put in there for a chilling effect on these biosimilars,” said Brynna M. Clark, director of state affairs for the Generic Pharmaceutical Association. The limits, she said, “don’t sound too onerous but undermine confidence in these drugs and are burdensome.”

Genentech, which is owned by Roche, makes Rituxan, Herceptin and Avastin, the best-selling cancer drugs in the world. Amgen makes Enbrel, the anemia drugs Epogen and Aranesp, and the drugs Neupogen and Neulasta for protecting chemotherapy patients from infections. All have billions of dollars in annual sales and, with the possible exception of Enbrel, are expected to lose patent protection in the next several years.

The trench fighting at the state level is the latest phase in a battle over the rules for adding competition to the biotechnology drug market as called for in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010.

A related battle on the federal level is whether biosimilars will have the same generic name as the brand name product. If they did not, pharmacists could not substitute the biosimilar for the original, even if states allowed it.

Biosimilars are unlikely to be available in the United States for at least two more years, though they have been on the market in Europe for several years. And the regulatory uncertainty appears to be diminishing enthusiasm among some companies for developing such drugs.

“We’re still dealing with chaos,” said Craig A. Wheeler, the chief executive of Momenta Pharmaceuticals, which is developing biosimilars. “This is a pathway that neither industry nor the F.D.A. knows how to use.”

Biotech drugs, known in the industry as biologics, are much more complex than pills like Lipitor or Prozac.

That makes it extremely difficult to tell if a copy of a biological drug is identical to the original. Even slight changes in the cells that make the proteins can change the drug’s properties.

The 1984 law governing generics does not cover biologicals, which barely existed then. That is why it was addressed in the 2010 law.

One reason generic pills are so inexpensive is that state laws generally allow pharmacists to substitute a generic for a brand-name drug unless the doctor explicitly asks them not to. That means generic drug manufacturers need not spend money on sales and marketing.

The bills being proposed in state legislatures would expand state substitution laws to include biosimilars. So Amgen and Genentech say the bills support the development of biosimilars.

But the bills would impose restrictions that do not apply to chemically produced pills. For a substitution, they say, the Food and Drug Administration must find a biosimilar “interchangeable” with the branded product. The F.D.A. has said interchangeability will be a higher standard than merely being similar to the branded product.

Some of the bills would also require patient consent for the substitution, for the pharmacist to notify the doctor if a switch is made and for the pharmacist and doctor to maintain records of the switch for years.

Backers say these safeguards are necessary to enable the tracing of any safety problems that might arise with a biosimilar.

“These are really complex, highly sensitive molecules,” said State Senator Patricia Vance of Pennsylvania, who plans to introduce a bill. “We want to make sure we are not hurting people.”

The generic drug association and insurers do not object to limiting substitution to drugs declared interchangeable by the F.D.A.

But they say that once the F.D.A. makes that determination, the other restrictions are unnecessary and are there merely to deter substitution.

Gillian Woollett, who tracks biosimilars for Avalere Health, a Washington advisory firm, said extra restrictions on substitution could put the state bills into conflict with the federal law, which defines interchangeability as meaning that a biosimilar can be substituted without the involvement of the prescribing doctor.

Ms. Woollett said the lobbying efforts by the biotech companies, which she characterized as “putting a few more tree trunks on the road,” might not make much difference as long as insurers have policies encouraging use of the biosimilars. She noted that only a small percentage of biologicals are dispensed through retail pharmacies. Most are infused or injected in a hospital or doctor’s office. That has not reduced the intensity of the skirmishes in state houses.

Dr. John O’Bannon III, a Republican delegate who introduced the bill that was passed last week in the Virginia House, said he did so because as a practicing neurologist, he was familiar with biologicals. Then he added, “The Amgen folks actually did come and talk to me.”

Amgen gave $22,000 to Virginia state legislators in both 2011 and 2012, more than double the $11,000 it gave in 2010, according to the Virginia Public Access Project. Dr. O’Bannon received $1,500 over the last two years.

In North Dakota, a bill has cleared a committee in the State Senate, though it was amended to remove some restrictions.

“Genentech was the one that brought the bill to me,” said State Senator Dick Dever, a Republican, who introduced the bill.

In Indiana on Monday, the House Public Health Committee approved a bill, but lawmakers, responding to objections from the generic association, removed the requirement that patients consent to any substitution. Ed Clere, chairman of the committee and author of the bill, said the bill “doesn’t do anything to prevent or discourage the use of biosimilars.” He said the bill had been brought to him by Genentech and supported by Eli Lilly, which is based in Indiana.

Also supporting the push for such legislation is the Alliance for Safe Biologic Medicines.

This is not the first time drug companies have turned to states to try to blunt generic competition. In the late 1990s, DuPont Merck Pharmaceutical pushed for laws that would restrict substitution for its blood-thinning drug Coumadin, known generically as warfarin, on the grounds that the drug was extremely difficult to use safely.



Joaquim Machado

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Dr. Paulo Manoel Protásio nos envia este excelente material:

 
  O Futuro em 1954

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Dra. Maria José Sampaio nos envia esta interessante referência:


Belfer
 Center for Science and International Affairs
February 1, 2013
 
 
Graham Allison and Robert Blackwill Explore Global Insights of "Grand Master" Lee Kuan Yew in New Book
Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master's Insights on China, the United States, and the World – published today by MIT Press
 
 
 
 
 
For Immediate Release: February 1, 2013
CAMBRIDGE, MA – When Lee Kuan Yew speaks, who listens? Presidents, prime ministers, chief executives, and all who care about global strategy.
Graham Allison and Robert D. Blackwill, two leading strategic thinkers, asked Lee Kuan Yew the toughest questions that matter most to thoughtful Americans weighing the challenges of the next quarter century. The result is their new book, Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master’s Insights on China, the United States, and the World – published today.
Drawing on their in-depth interviews with Lee as well as his voluminous writings and speeches, the authors, with assistance from Belfer Center associate Ali Wyne, extract the essence of Lee’s visionary thinking. The questions and answers that constitute the core of the book cover topics such as the futures of China and the United States, U.S.-China relations, India, and globalization.
Asked whether Chinese leaders are serious about displacing the United States as the number-one power in the world, Lee says, "Of course. Why not?" Observing that "their reawakened sense of destiny is an overpowering force," he asks, "How could they not aspire to be number one in Asia, and in time the world?" He affirms the United States’ position as the world's sole superpower but expresses dismay at the vagaries of its political system. He offers strategic advice for dealing with China and goes on to discuss India's future, geopolitics and globalization, and democracy. Lee also offers candid judgments on multiculturalism, the welfare state, education, and the free market.
In his foreword to the book, Henry A. Kissinger writes: "I’ve had the privilege of meeting many world leaders over the past half-century; none, however, has taught me more than Lee Kuan Yew, Singapore’s first premier and its guiding spirit ever since. It will not take long for readers to discover why Lee is not only one of the seminal leaders of our period, but also a thinker recognized for his singular strategic acumen."
Fareed Zakaria, journalist and author of The Post-American World, writes: "This book includes some of [Lee’s] most penetrating and insightful analyses of today’s global issues, and is a must-read for anyone trying to understand the future of world politics."
TIME Magazine’s February 4 edition includes an excerpt from the book, introduced by Asia editor Zoher Abdoolcarim: "Lee's powerful intellect is captured in a new book, Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master's Insights on China, the United States, and the World…[As] the book, and the adaptation here of the China chapter, reveal, Lee is as sharp, direct and prescient as ever." He adds: "Over the years Lee has been called many things — unflattering as well as admiring. But perhaps the single most fitting description is: The Man Who Saw Tomorrow."
Graham Allison is Douglas Dillon Professor of Government and Director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at the Harvard Kennedy School. Robert D. Blackwill is Henry A. Kissinger Senior Fellow for U.S. Foreign Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations. Ali Wyneis an associate with the Belfer Center.
  • Lee Kuan Yew is published by MIT Press and available for purchase here
  • Reviews and praise of the book are found here
  • Hear Graham Allison talking Lee Kuan Yew’s visionary thinking related to China on Harvard Kennedy School’s PolicyCast on iTunesSoundCloud, or as a direct MP3 download or on PolicyCast's Tumblr site.
Contact: Sharon Wilke, Associate Director of Communications, Belfer Center; Sharon...@harvard.edu; 617-495-9858
 
 
Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. 79 JFK Street, Cambridge, MA 02138
Email: belfer...@hks.harvard.edu Phone: 617-495-1400

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Home › Features › Essays › Environmental Alarmism, Then and Now

Environmental Alarmism, Then and Now

The Club of Rome’s Problem -- and Ours
RESPONSE
The warnings of The Limits to Growthwere far more prescient than BjørnLomborg suggests, argue several critics, including two of the book’s authors. No they weren’t, Lomborg insists. 
 

 

RESPONSE
Bjørn Lomborg’s recent essay on environmental alarmism overlooked a number of grave threats to the planet, most notably overconsumption. As poorer countries grow out of poverty, the developed world must scale back how rapidly it devours natural resources.

Forty years ago, humanity was warned: by chasing ever-greater economic growth, it was sentencing itself to catastrophe. The Club of Rome, a blue-ribbon multinational collection of business leaders, scholars, and government officials brought together by the Italian tycoon Aurelio Peccei, made the case in a slim 1972 volume called The Limits to Growth. Based on forecasts from an intricate series of computer models developed by professors at MIT, the book caused a sensation and captured the zeitgeist of the era: the belief that mankind's escalating wants were on a collision course with the world's finite resources and that the crash would be coming soon.

The Limits to Growth was neither the first nor the last publication to claim that the end was nigh due to the disease of modern development, but in many ways, it was the most successful. Although mostly forgotten these days, in its own time, it was a mass phenomenon, selling 12 million copies in more than 30 languages and being dubbed "one of the most important documents of our age" by The New York Times. And even though it proved to be phenomenally wrong-headed, it helped set the terms of debate on crucial issues of economic, social, and particularly environmental policy, with malign effects that remain embedded in public consciousness four decades later. It is not too great an exaggeration to say that this one book helped send the world down a path of worrying obsessively about misguided remedies for minor problems while ignoring much greater concerns and sensible ways of dealing with them.

THAT '70S SHOW

If the 1950s and early 1960s had been a period of technological optimism, by the early 1970s, the mood in the advanced industrial countries had begun to turn grim. The Vietnam War was a disaster, societies were in turmoil, economies were starting to stagnate. Rachel Carson's 1962 book Silent Spring had raised concerns about pollution and sparked the modern environmental movement; Paul Ehrlich's 1968 book The Population Bomb had argued that humanity was breeding itself into oblivion. The first Earth Day, in 1970, was marked by pessimism about the future, and later that year U.S. President Richard Nixon created the Environmental Protection Agency to address the problem. This was the context in which The Limits to Growth resonated; its genius was to bring together in one argument the concerns over pollution, population, and resources, showing how so-called progress would soon run into the natural world's hard constraints.

Founded in 1968 and grandly declaring itself to be "a project on the predicament of mankind," the Club of Rome had set as its mission the gathering of the world's best analytic minds to find a way "to stop the suicidal roller coaster man now rides." This led it to Jay Forrester, an MIT professor who had developed a computer model of global systems, called World2, that allowed one to calculate the impact of changes in several variables on the planet's future. The club appointed a team led by two other MIT researchers, Donella Meadows and Dennis Meadows, to create an updated version, World3, and it was the output of this model that was presented in book form in The Limits to Growth. In an age more innocent of and reverential toward computers, the reams of cool printouts gave the book's argument an air of scientific authority and inevitability; hundreds of millions of logical microcircuits seemed to banish any possibility of disagreement.

The model was neither simple nor easy to understand. Even the graphic summary was mind-numbingly convoluted, and the full specifications of the model were published a year later, in a separate book of 637 pages. Still, the general concept was straightforward. The team "examined the five basic factors that determine, and therefore, ultimately limit, growth on this planet -- population, agricultural production, natural resources, industrial production, and pollution." Crucially, they assumed that all these factors grow exponentially -- a step so important that the whole first chapter of the book is dedicated to explaining it. They asked readers to consider the growth of lilies in a pond:

Suppose you own a pond on which a water lily is growing. The lily plant doubles in size each day. If the lily were allowed to grow unchecked, it would completely cover the pond in 30 days, choking off the other forms of life in the water. For a long time the lily plant seems small, and so you decide not to worry about cutting it back until it covers half the pond. On what day will that be? On the twenty-ninth day, of course. You have one day to save your pond.


In the standard scenario, shown in Figure 1, the authors projected the most likely future that would play out for humanity. With the years 1900 to 2100 on the horizontal axis, the graph shows levels of population, pollution, nonrenewable resources, food, and industrial output on the vertical axis. As death rates drop significantly (because of improvements in medical knowledge) and birthrates drop slightly, population increases. As each person consumes more food and products, meeting the total demand "requires an enormous input of resources." This depletes the resource reserves available, making it ever harder to fulfill next year's resource demands, and eventually leads to the collapse of the economic system. Because of lags in the effects, population keeps growing until a staggering increase in the death rate driven by a lack of food and health services kills off a large part of civilization. The culprit is clear: "The collapse occurs because of nonrenewable resource depletion."

What if the world gets better at conserving resources or finding new ones? It doesn't matter. Run the model again with double or infinite resources, and a collapse still occurs -- only now it is caused by pollution. As population and production explode, pollution does, too, crippling food production and killing off three-quarters of the population. 

What if pollution is kept in check through technology and policy? It still doesn't matter. Run the model again with unlimited resources and curbs on pollution, and the prediction remains bleak. As production soars, the world's population does, too, and with it demands for food. Eventually, the limit of arable land is reached, and industry is starved as capital is diverted into ever-feebler attempts to increase agricultural yields. With food production back at the subsistence level, death rates shoot up, and civilization is again doomed.

The authors concluded that the "basic behavior mode of the world system is exponential growth of population and capital followed by collapse." And "when we introduce technological developments that successfully lift some restraint to growth or avoid some collapse, the system simply grows to another limit, temporarily surpasses it, and falls back." 

Unlike previous gloomy forecasts, this one offered no easy way out. Carson wanted to stop the use of pesticides; Ehrlich wanted to slow population growth. But The Limits to Growth seemed to show that even if pollution and population growth were controlled, the world's resources would eventually be exhausted and food production would decline back to the subsistence level. The only hope was to stop economic growth itself. The world needed to cut back on its consumption of material goods and emphasize recycling and durability. The only hope to avoid a civilizational collapse, the authors argued, was through draconian policies that forced people to have fewer children and cut back on their consumption, stabilizing society at a level that would be significantly poorer than the present one. 

Since most people saw such a solution as wildly unrealistic, the real takeaway was simple: the world was screwed. And so Time magazine's 1972 story on The Limits to Growth was headlined "The Worst Is Yet to Be?" It read:

The furnaces of Pittsburgh are cold; the assembly lines of Detroit are still. In Los Angeles, a few gaunt survivors of a plague desperately till freeway center strips, backyards and outlying fields, hoping to raise a subsistence crop. London's offices are dark, its docks deserted. In the farm lands of the Ukraine, abandoned tractors litter the fields: there is no fuel for them. The waters of the Rhine, Nile and Yellow rivers reek with pollutants.

Fantastic? No, only grim inevitability if society continues its present dedication to growth and "progress."


The Limits to Growth got an incredible amount of press attention. Science gave it five pages, Playboy featured it prominently, and Life asked whether anyone wanted to hear "the awful truth." Publications such as The Economist and Newsweek chimed in with criticisms, but in 1973, the oil embargo made the book look prescient. With the oil shock and soaring commodity prices, it seemed that the world was fast-forwarding to the Club of Rome future.

OOPS

Forty years on, how do the predictions stack up? Defenders like to point out that The Limits to Growth carefully hedged its bets, with its authors claiming that they were not presenting "exact predictions" and that they were "deliberately . . . somewhat vague" on time frames because they wanted to focus on the general behavior of the system. But this is sophistry. It was obvious from the way the book was both presented and understood that it made a number of clear predictions, including that the world would soon run out many nonrenewable resources. 

Assuming exponentially increasing demand, The Limits to Growth calculated how soon after 1970 various resources would be exhausted. Their conclusion was that before 2012, the world would run out of aluminum, copper, gold, lead, mercury, molybdenum, natural gas, oil, silver, tin, tungsten, and zinc -- 12 of the 19 substances they looked at. They were simply and spectacularly wrong.

They singled out mercury, claiming that its known global reserves in 1970 would last for only 13 years of exponential growth in demand, or 41 years if the reserves magically quintupled. They noted that "the prices of those resources with the shortest static reserve indices have already begun to increase. The price of mercury, for example, has gone up 500 percent in the last 20 years." Since then, however, technological innovations have led to the replacement of mercury in batteries, dental fillings, and thermometers. Mercury consumption has collapsed by 98 percent, and by 2000, the price had dropped by 90 percent. 

They predicted that gold might run out as early as 1979 and would certainly do so by 1999, based on estimations of 10,980 tons of known reserves in 1970. In the subsequent 40 years, however, 81,410 tons of gold have been mined, and gold reserves are now estimated to be 51,000 tons.

Known reserves of copper in 1970 came to 280 million tons. Since then, about 400 million tons have been produced globally, and world copper reserves are now estimated at almost 700 million tons. Since 1946, new copper reserves have been discovered faster than existing copper reserves have been depleted. And the same goes for the other three most economically important metals: aluminum, iron, and zinc. Despite a 16-fold increase in aluminum consumption since 1950, and despite the fact that the world has consumed four times the 1950 known reserves in the years since, aluminum reserves now could support 177 years of the present level of consumption. The Limits to Growth also worried about running out of oil (in 1990) and natural gas (in 1992). Not only have those not run out, but their reserves, measured in terms of years of current consumption, are larger today than they have ever been since 1970, even though consumption has increased dramatically.

WHAT THEY MISSED

The basic point of The Limits to Growth seemed intuitive, even obvious: if ever-more people use ever-more stuff, eventually they will bump into the planet's physical limits. So why did the authors get it wrong? Because they overlooked human ingenuity.

The authors of The Limits to Growth named five drivers of the world system, but they left out the most important one of all: people, and their ability to discover and innovate. If you think there are only 280 million tons of copper in the ground, you'll think you'll be out of luck once you have dug it out. But talking about "known reserves" ignores the many ways available resources can be increased.

Prospecting has improved, for example. As recently as 2007, Brazil found the Sugar Loaf oil field off the coast of São Paulo, which could hold 40 billion barrels of oil. Extraction techniques have also been improving. The oil industry now drills deeper into the ground, farther out into the oceans, and higher up in the Arctic. It drills horizontally and uses water and steam to squeeze out more from existing fields. 

And shale gas can now be liberated with new fracking technology, which has helped double U.S. potential gas resources within the past six years. This is similar to the technological breakthrough of chemical flotation for copper, which made it possible to mine ores that had previously been thought worthless, and similiar to the Haber-Bosch process, which made nitrogen fixation possible, yielding fertilizers that now help feed a third of humanity.

Aluminum is one of the most common metallic elements on earth. But extracting it was so difficult and expensive that not so long ago, it was more costly than gold or platinum. Napoleon III had bars of aluminum exhibited alongside the French crown jewels, and he gave his honored guests aluminum forks and spoons while lesser visitors had to make do with gold utensils. Only with the invention of the Hall-Héroult process in 1886 did aluminum suddenly drop in price and massively increase in availability. Most often, however, ingenuity manifests itself in much less spectacular ways, generating incremental improvements in existing methods that cut costs and increase productivity.

None of this means that the earth and its resources are not finite. But it does suggest that the amount of resources that can ultimately be generated with the help of human ingenuity is far beyond what human consumption requires. This is true even of energy, which many think of as having peaked. Costs aside, for example, by itself, the Green River Formation in the western United States is estimated to hold about 800 billion barrels of recoverable shale oil, three times the proven oil reserves of Saudi Arabia. And even with current technology, the amount of energy the entire world consumes today could be generated by solar panels covering just 2.6 percent of the area of the Sahara.

Worries about resources are not new. In 1865, the economist William Stanley Jevons wrote a damning book on the United Kingdom's coal use. He saw the Industrial Revolution relentlessly increasing the country's demand for coal, inevitably exhausting its reserves and ending in collapse: "It will appear that there is no reasonable prospect of any release from future want of the main agent of industry." And in 1908, it was Andrew Carnegie who fretted: "I have for many years been impressed with the steady depletion of our iron ore supply. It is staggering to learn that our once-supposed ample supply of rich ores can hardly outlast the generation now appearing, leaving only the leaner ores for the later years of the century." Of course, his generation left behind better technology, so today, exploiting harder-to-get-at, lower-grade ore is easier and cheaper.

Another way to look at the resource question is by examining the prices of various raw materials. The Limits to Growth camp argues that as resource constraints get tighter, prices will rise. Mainstream economists, in contrast, are generally confident that human ingenuity will win out and prices will drop. A famous bet between the two groups took place in 1980. The economist Julian Simon, frustrated by incessant claims that the planet would run out of oil, food, and raw materials, offered to bet $10,000 that any given raw material picked by his opponents would drop in price over time. Simon's gauntlet was taken up by the biologist Ehrlich and the physicists John Harte and John Holdren (the latter is now U.S. President Barack Obama's science adviser), saying "the lure of easy money can be irresistible." The three staked their bets on chromium, copper, nickel, tin, and tungsten, and they picked a time frame of ten years. When the decade was up, all five commodities had dropped in price, and they had to concede defeat (although they continued to stand by their original argument). And this was hardly a fluke: commodity prices have generally declined over the last century and a half (see Figure 2). 

In short, the authors of The Limits to Growth got their most famous factor, resources, spectacularly wrong. Their graphs show resource levels starting high and dropping, but the situation is precisely the opposite: they start low and rise. Reserves of zinc, copper, bauxite (the principal ore of aluminum), oil, and iron have all been going spectacularly up (see Figure 3).

MORE, MORE, MORE

What of the other factors in the analysis? Their devastating collapse was predicted to occur just after 2010, so it may be too soon for that to be definitively falsified. But the trends to date offer little support for the gloom-and-doom thesis.

The growth in industrial production per capita to date was slightly overestimated by The Limits to Growth, possibly because resources have gotten cheaper rather than more expensive and more and more production has moved into the service industry. But mainstream forecasts of long-term GDP growth, a plausible proxy, are positive as far as the eye can see, in sharp contrast to what The Limits to Growth expected. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, for example, the only major group to have set out informed GDP scenarios through 2100, estimates that global GDP per capita will increase 14-fold over the century and increase 24-fold in the developing world.

The amount of population growth was somewhat underestimated, mainly because medical advances have reduced death rates even faster than expected (despite the unforeseen HIV/AIDS crisis). But the population growth rate has slowed since the late 1960s, unlike the World3 predictions, because birthrates have fallen along with development.

And predictions about the last two factors, agricultural production and pollution, were way off -- which is important because these were the two backup drivers of collapse if a scarcity of resources didn't do the job. Global per capita food consumption was expected to increase by more than 50 percent in the four decades after 1970, peak in 2010, and then drop by 70 percent. Calorie availability has indeed increased, if not quite so dramatically (by somewhat more than 25 percent), but the collapse of the food supply is nowhere in sight, and there is every reason to believe that the gains will continue and be sustainable. Malnutrition has not been vanquished, and the absolute number of people going hungry has in fact increased slightly recently (in part because some crops have been diverted from food to biofuel production due to concerns about global warming). But over the past 40 years, the fraction of the global population that is malnourished has dropped from 35 percent to less than 16 percent, and well over two billion more people have been fed adequately. The world is nowhere close to hitting a ceiling on the usage of arable land; currently, 3.7 billion acres are being used, and 6.7 billion acres are in reserve. Nor have productivity gains maxed out. The latest long-range UN report on food availability, from 2006, estimated that the world would be able to feed ever-more people, each with ever-more calories, out to midcentury.

As for its pollution predictions, The Limits to Growth was simultaneously scary and vague. Pollution's increase was supposed to trigger a global collapse if the decrease of food or resources didn't do so first, but how exactly pollution was defined was left unclear. Individual pollutants, such as DDT, lead, mercury, and pesticides, were mentioned, but how those could kill any significant number of people was unspecified, making it a bit tricky to test the prediction. Air pollution might be considered a good proxy for overall pollution, since it was the biggest environmental killer in the twentieth century and since the Environmental Protection Agency estimates that its regulation produces 86-96 percent of all the social benefits from environmental regulation more generally. In the developing world, outdoor air pollution is indeed rising and killing more people, currently perhaps over 650,000 per year. Indoor air pollution (from using dirty fuels for cooking and heating) kills even more, almost two million per year (although that number has been decreasing slightly). 

Even in the developed world, outdoor air pollution is still the biggest environmental killer (at least 250,000 dead each year), although environmental regulation has reduced the death toll dramatically over the past half century. Indoor air pollution in the developed world kills almost nobody. Whereas the Club of Rome imagined an idyllic past with no pollution and happy farmers and a future world choked by fumes and poisons from industrialization run amok, the reality is quite different. Over the last century, pollution has neither spiraled out of control nor gotten more deadly, and the risk of death from air pollution is predicted to continue to drop (see Figure 4).

WHO CARES?

So the Limits to Growth project got its three main drivers spectacularly wrong and the other two modestly wrong. The world is not running out of resources, not running out of food, and not gagging on pollution, and the world's population and industrial output are rising sustainably. So what? Why should anyone care now? Because the project's analysis sunk deep into popular and elite consciousness and helps shape the way people think about a host of important policy issues today.

Take natural resources and the environment. Ask someone today whether he cares about the environment and what he is doing about it, and you are likely to hear something like, "Of course I care; I recycle." The caring part is all to the good and a major positive change from a few decades ago. But the recycling part is often just a feel-good gesture that provides little environmental benefit at a significant cost.

Recycling is not a new idea. It made sense for companies and people to recycle precious commodities long before the Limits to Growth project came along, and they did so. Copper, for example, was recycled at a rate of about 45 percent throughout most of the past century, for purely practical, and not environmental, reasons. Why wasn't the rate higher? Because some used copper comes in great bundles and is easy to reprocess, making the recycling effort worthwhile, whereas other used copper is dispersed in small, hard-to-get-at pieces, making recycling inefficient. 

When people think of recycling today, however, they often think of paper. This, too, is not a new idea; trash has been a resource for centuries, with the extent of its culling and reprocessing depending on the current market prices of the goods in question. Throughout the past century, about 30-50 percent of all paper was recycled, before the advent of public information campaigns or peer pressure.

But now, in the wake of jeremiads such as The Limits to Growth, recycling tends to be seen less as an economic question and more as a matter of personal and civic virtue. Children learn to "reduce, reuse, and recycle" as part of their official moral education. They are told that by doing so, they are "saving trees." Yet in fact, well-managed forests for paper production in countries such as Finland and Sweden are continuously replanted, yielding not fewer trees but more. Artificially encouraging the recycling of paper lowers the payoff for such forests, making them more likely to be converted into agricultural or urban land. Nor does recycling paper save the rain forests, since it is not made with tropical timber. Nor does recycling paper address a problem of municipal waste: incineration can recapture much of the energy from used paper with virtually no waste problems, and even without incineration, all U.S. municipal waste from the entire twenty-first century could be contained in a single square dump that was 18 miles on each side and 100 feet high. 

The effort to recycle substances such as paper and glass, however, consumes money and manpower, which are also scarce resources and could be expended on other socially valuable efforts, such as building roads or staffing hospitals. And so as the price of paper has declined and the value of human work has risen dramatically, today we pay tribute to the pagan god of token environmentalism by spending countless hours sorting, storing, and collecting used paper, which, when combined with government subsidies, yields slightly lower-quality paper in order to secure a resource that was never threatened in the first place.

What is true about resources, moreover, is also true about two of the other supposed drivers of collapse, population and pollution. Spurred by analyses such as that presented in The Limits to Growth, much time and effort over the years has been diverted from useful activities to dubious or even pernicious ones. The specter of an ever-increasing population chewing up ever-dwindling resources, for example, helped scare people into draconian responses such as the one-child policy in China and forced sterilizations in India. These actions were not warranted, and other policies could have done a better job, at lower cost and with more preferable outcomes. Increasing education for women, reducing poverty, and ensuring higher economic growth, for example, would have reduced family sizes with many more ancillary benefits.

Scary scenarios of pollutants such as DDT and pesticides killing off humanity, meanwhile, have led to attempts to ban them and to the widespread growth of the organic-food movement. But although it is true that the use of such products has costs -- in large doses, DDT is likely harmful to birds, and even well-regulated pesticides probably cause about 20 deaths each year in the United States -- it also yields substantial benefits. DDT is the cheapest and one of the most effective ways to tackle malaria. The ban on DDT in much of the developed world (which in itself might have made sense) led to pressures from nongovernmental organizations and aid agencies for bans elsewhere, and these campaigns, now abandoned by the World Health Organization, have likely contributed to several million unnecessary deaths.

In the developed world, the push to eliminate pesticides has ignored their immense benefits. Going completely organic would increase the cost of agricultural production in the United States by more than $100 billion annually. Since organic farming is at least 16 percent less efficient, maintaining the same output would require devoting an additional 50 million acres to farmland -- an area larger than the state of California. And since eating fruits and vegetables helps reduce cancer, and since organic farming would lead to higher prices and thus lower consumption, a shift to purely organic farming would cause tens of thousands of additional cancer deaths. 

Paying more than $100 billion, massively increasing the amount of the country's farmland, and killing tens of thousands of people seems a poor return for avoiding the dozens of American deaths due to pesticides annually. Yet this is how the Limits to Growth project and similar efforts have taught the world to think, making people worry imprudently about marginal issues while ignoring sensible actions for addressing major ones.

DO THE RIGHT THING

The problematic legacy of The Limits to Growth is not just the unnecessary recycling of paper and a fascination with organic produce. More generally, the book and its epigones have promulgated worst-case environmental-disaster scenarios that make rational policymaking difficult.

Alarmism creates a lot of attention, but it rarely leads to intelligent solutions for real problems, something that requires calm consideration of the costs and benefits of various courses of action. By implying that the problems the world faces are so great and so urgent that they can be dealt with only by massive immediate interventions and sacrifices -- which are usually politically impossible and hence never put into practice -- environmental alarmism actually squelches debate over the more realistic interventions that could make a major difference.

One of the most insightful original reviews of The Limits to Growth, by the economist Carl Kaysen in these pages, actually, was cleverly titled "The Computer That Printed Out W*O*L*F*." After mercilessly picking apart the flaws in the book's argument, it noted that in the fable of the boy who cried "wolf," "there were in the end, real wolves," just as "in the world today, there are real and difficult problems attendant on economic growth as we now experience it." The challenge is differentiating between false alarms and real ones and then coming up with prudent efforts at risk management. 

Take pollution. Thanks to works such as Silent Spring and The Limits to Growth, worrying about pesticides captured much of the early environmental debate and virtually monopolized the policy agenda of the Environmental Protection Agency during the 1970s. Unfortunately, this did nothing to address the real wolf of indoor and outdoor air pollution. The latter may still kill some 135,000 Americans each year -- more than four times the number who die in traffic accidents. But because it is less interesting and has no celebrity backers, it remains an ignored wolf -- as is indoor pollution, which kills about two million people annually in the developing world. 

But the Club of Rome did not just distract the world's attention. It actually directed that attention in precisely the wrong direction, identifying economic growth as humanity's core problem. Such a diagnosis can be entertained only by rich, comfortable residents of highly developed countries, who already have easy access to the basic necessities of life. In contrast, when a desperately poor woman in the developing world cannot get enough food for her family, the reason is not that the world cannot produce it but that she cannot afford it. And when her children get sick from breathing in fumes from burning dung, the answer is not for her to use environmentally certified dung but to raise her living standards enough to buy cleaner and more convenient fuels. Poverty, in short, is one of the greatest of all killers, and economic growth is one of the best ways to prevent it. Easily curable diseases still kill 15 million people every year; what would save them is the creation of richer societies that could afford to treat, survey, and prevent new outbreaks. 

By recommending that the world limit development in order to head off a supposed future collapse, The Limits to Growth led people to question the value of pursuing economic growth. Had its suggestions been followed over subsequent decades, there would have been no "rise of the rest"; no half a billion Chinese, Indians, and others lifted out of grinding poverty; no massive improvements in health, longevity, and quality of life for billions of people across the planet. Even though the Club of Rome's general school of thought has mercifully gone the way of other 1970s-era relics, such as mood rings and pet rocks, the effects linger in popular and elite consciousness. People get more excited about the fate of the Kyoto Protocol than the fate of the Doha Round -- even though an expansion of trade would do hundreds or thousands of times as much good as feeble limitations of emissions, and do so more cheaply, quickly, and efficiently for the very people who are most vulnerable. It is past time to acknowledge that economic growth, for lack of a better word, is good, and that what the world needs is more of it, not less.

Joaquim Machado

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Feb 2, 2013, 9:25:06 PM2/2/13
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Joaquim Machado

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Visualizing World Economic Forum Outcomes

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Sailing Towards a Circular Economy – The Values Context

As the World Economic Forum 2013 comes to a close I came across a BusinessWeek article that had the graphic below that made me laugh.

Visualizing World Economic Forum Outcomes

I’m not sure whether that’s a good thing or a bad thing. Oh well, I guess if nothing else a good laugh is beneficial for my health, but it remains to be seen whether any positive benefits (other than connecting some of the smartest (or wealthiest) people on the planet) will be created for the world as a result of the World Economic Forum 2013 taking place.

They did employ some live graphic sketching artists which resulted in the below images. If you want you can get larger versions on the World Economic Forum’s Flickr Photostream.

World Economic Forum 2013 Panel Discussion

World Economic Forum 2013 Social Dimensions

World Economic Forum 2013 Perspectives 2020

World Economic Forum 2013 Lessons Learned

Hope you enjoyed them!

As someone who makes his living writing and speaking about innovation I guess it is good to at least see the word innovation appear so many times (even if few people take the time to stop and define what they really mean by the term). It still sounds good.

But what do you think, is the World Economic Forum a waste of time and damaging to the ozone layer, or essential for the advancement of society?

FULL DISCLOSURE: This post was written while making my own little hole in the ozone layer on my way back to Seattle after finishing a workshop on crowdsourcing for a global brewer.

Joaquim Machado

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WEF_GAC_GlobalAgendaOutlook_2013.pdf

Joaquim Machado

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WEF_IP_NVA_New_Models_for_Action_report.pdf

Joaquim Machado

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4 February 2013 Last updated at 14:11 GMT

Richard III dig: DNA confirms bones are king's

The skeleton is 'beyond reasonable doubt' the remains of Richard III

A skeleton found beneath a Leicester car park has been confirmed as that of English king Richard III.

Experts from the University of Leicester said DNA from the bones matched that of descendants of the monarch's family.

Lead archaeologist Richard Buckley, from the University of Leicester, told a press conference to applause: "Beyond reasonable doubt it's Richard."

Richard, killed in battle in 1485, will be reinterred in Leicester Cathedral.

Mr Buckley said the bones had been subjected to "rigorous academic study" and had been carbon dated to a period from 1455-1540.

Dr Jo Appleby, an osteo-archaeologist from the university's School of Archaeology and Ancient History, revealed the bones were of a man in his late 20s or early 30s. Richard was 32 when he died.

His skeleton had suffered 10 injuries, including eight to the skull, at around the time of death. Two of the skull wounds were potentially fatal.

One was a "slice" removing a flap of bone, the other caused by bladed weapon which went through and hit the opposite side of the skull, a depth of more than 10cms (4ins).

'Feminine build'

Dr Appleby said: "Both of these injuries would have caused an almost instant loss of consciousness and death would have followed quickly afterwards.

Continue reading the main story

Who was Richard III?

The earliest surviving portrait of Richard III in Leicester Cathedral
  • Richard was born at Fotheringhay Castle in Northamptonshire, where Mary Queen of Scots was later executed
  • As Duke of Gloucester, Richard took a rampant white boar as his sign
  • His coronation took place in Westminster Abbey, in a ceremony very similar to HM the Queen's
  • Richard had one of the shortest reigns in English history - 26 months
  • He was the last English king to die in battle, killed by the forces of the future Henry VII

Source: BBC History

"In the case of the larger wound, if the blade had penetrated 7cm into the brain, which we cannot determine from the bones, death would have been instantaneous."

Other wounds included slashes or stabs to the face and the side of the head.

Richard III was portrayed as deformed by some Tudor historians and indeed the skeleton's spine is badly curved, a condition known as scoliosis. However, there was no trace of a withered arm or other abnormalities seen in the more extreme characterisations of the king.

Without the scoliosis, which experts believe developed as a teenager, he would have been about 5ft 8ins (1.7m) tall, but the curvature would have made him appear "considerably" shorter.

Dr Appleby said: "The analysis of the skeleton proved that it was an adult male but was an unusually slender, almost feminine, build for a man.

"Taken as a whole the skeletal evidence provides a highly convincing case for identification as Richard III."

Richard was a royal prince until the death of his brother Edward IV in 1483. Appointed as protector of his nephew, Edward V, Richard instead assumed the reins of power.

Edward and his brother Richard, known as the Princes in the Tower, disappeared soon after. Rumours circulated they had been murdered on the orders of their uncle.

Challenged by Henry Tudor, Richard was killed at Bosworth in 1485 after only two years on the throne.

DNA trail

He was given a hurried burial beneath the church of Greyfriars in the centre of Leicester.

Mr Buckley said the grave was clumsily cut, with sloping sides and too short for the body, forcing the head forward.

Continue reading the main story

University of Leicester findings

• Wealth of evidence, including radiocarbon dating, radiological evidence, DNA and bone analysis and archaeological results, confirms identity of last Plantagenet king who died over 500 years ago

• DNA from skeleton matches two of Richard III's maternal line relatives. Leicester genealogist verifies living relatives of Richard III's family

• Individual likely to have been killed by one of two fatal injuries to the skull - one possibly from a sword and one possibly from a halberd

• Ten wounds discovered on skeleton - Richard III killed by trauma to the back of the head. Part of the skull sliced off

• Radiocarbon dating reveals individual had a high protein diet - including significant amounts of seafood - meaning he was likely to be of high status

• Radiocarbon dating reveals individual died in the second half of the 15th or in the early 16th Century - consistent with Richard's death in 1485

• Skeleton reveals severe scoliosis - onset believed to have occurred at the time of puberty

• Although around 5ft 8in tall (1.7m), the condition meant King Richard III would have stood significantly shorter and his right shoulder may have been higher than the left

• Feet were truncated at an unknown point in the past, but a significant time after the burial

• Corpse was subjected to "humiliation injuries" - including a sword through the right buttock

• Individual had unusually slender, almost feminine, build for a man - in keeping with contemporaneous accounts

• No evidence for "withered arm" - as portrayed by Shakespeare

• Possibility that the hands were tied

• Grave was hastily dug, was not big enough and there was no shroud or coffin

"There was no evidence of a coffin or shroud which would have left the bones in a more compact position.

"Unusually, the arms are crossed and this could be an indication the body was buried with the wrists still tied," he added.

The church was demolished during the Reformation in the 16th Century and over the following centuries its exact location was forgotten.

Despite this, a team of enthusiasts and historians traced the likely area - and, crucially, also found a 17th-generation descendant of Richard's sister with whose DNA they could compare any remains recovered.

Genealogical research eventually led to a Canadian woman called Joy Ibsen. She died several years ago but her son, Michael, who now works in London, provided a sample.

The researchers were fortunate as, while the DNA they were looking for was in all Joy Ibsen's offspring, it is only handed down through the female line and her only daughter has no children. The line was about to stop.

But the University of Leicester's experts had other problems.

Dr Turi King, project geneticist, said there had been concern DNA in the bones would be too degraded: "The question was could we get a sample of DNA to work with, and I am extremely pleased to tell you that we could."

She added: "There is a DNA match between the maternal DNA of the descendants of the family of Richard III and the skeletal remains we found at the Greyfriars dig.

"In short, the DNA evidence points to these being the remains of Richard III."

In August 2012, an excavation began in a city council car park - the only open space remaining in the likely area - which quickly identified buildings connected to the church.

The bones were found in the first days of the dig and were eventually excavated under forensic conditions.

Details of the reburial ceremony have yet to be released, but Philippa Langley from the Richard III Society said plans for a tomb were well advanced.

She said of the confirmation: "I'm totally thrilled, I'm overwhelmed to be honest, it's been a long hard journey. I mean today as we stand it's been nearly four years.

"It's the culmination of a lot of hard work. I think as someone said to me earlier it's just the end of the beginning.

"We're going to completely reassess Richard III, we're going to completely look at all the sources again and hopefully there's going to be a new beginning for Richard as well."


Joaquim Machado

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Feb 4, 2013, 9:39:15 AM2/4/13
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Methinks New Orleans, one of the Naval Diplomat's haunts from way back, did itself proud during Super Bowl week. Denizens of Nawlins appear to be in a buoyant mood. As well they should. Best I can tell, the city has been on the upswing ever since Hurricane Katrina seven-plus years ago. Parts of town doubtless remain to be rehabilitated. But the downtown area — its public face — looked splendid a couple of years back, when last I trod the streets of Jackson Square and the French Quarter.

So much for the shout-out. Several years had elapsed between that visit and my previous one, which was around this time in 2005. Sometimes you only notice obvious things about a place after being away from it awhile. One such thing I noticed about New Orleans while traipsing around downtown is that it's a Caribbean city, not a Southern one. Mobile, Houston, my adopted hometown, Pensacola — Southern. But with its palm trees and easygoing culture, New Orleans reminds me as much of Montego Bay or St. Thomas as it does Southern icons like Atlanta or Nashville.

Why? The Mississippi River helps account for the disparity. The Miz'sipi admits shipping to the continental heartland of North America. Shipping from everywhere: the brine is a medium that places every seaport in contact with every other port across the globe. The sea lanes connect New Orleans to the Atlantic, usually via the Straits of Florida, and to the Pacific via the Panama Canal. But the greater Caribbean basin (including the Gulf of Mexico) is the city's extended neighborhood. It's hardly surprising that food from Caribbean nations is ubiquitous at such a maritime crossroads — jerk chicken, anyone? — or that some of the region's wackier cultural trappings, like carnival season or voodoo, are there to add zest to the city's life.

In his recent book The Revenge of Geography, international man of mystery Robert Kaplan reminds readers that there is, and always has been, a pronounced north-south axis to America's national worldview. Kaplan quips that the lyric from "America the Beautiful" — "from sea to shining sea" — misleads by encouraging Americans to think in purely horizontal, east-west terms.

And so it does. We forget about the vertical dimension, and indeed about geography altogether. History largely spared us the travails of fighting on our own ground or in our near abroad. So we seldom think of our hemisphere as a potential battleground, a place about which we must think strategically. You would be astounded how many knowledgeable Americans insist geography no longer matters in international affairs.

But the New World was once some of the world's most contested turf. Mineral riches beckoned Spaniards. The sugar islands were a priceless economic asset for centuries before the Panama Canal was dug. During our Revolutionary War, Great Britain's King George III ordered the Royal Navy to keep a fleet on station in the Caribbean even if it meant an invasion of the British Isles. When the canal opened, shortening voyages between Atlantic and Pacific by thousands of miles, the United States' strategic gaze took on a southerly vector to complement its perennial eastward one. Yale's Nicholas Spykman went so far as to say the republic swiveled southward on its axis.

While it won't have the same Copernican impact on Americans' outlook, the canal is undergoing a refit and expansion in time for its 2014 centennial. Gulf Coast seaports like New Orleans and Houston stand to benefit enormously once that waterway can accommodate mammoth freighters and tankers. Shippers may well offload their wares down South and ship them overland rather than journeying on to East Coast ports, with all the additional costs longer voyages exact. Having grown up along those shores, I can only say — yippee! Look south, America.

Image credit: U.S. Navy (Flickr)

Joaquim Machado

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Feb 4, 2013, 9:43:14 AM2/4/13
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Le squelette de Richard III a bien été authentifié à Leicester (PHOTOS)

Le HuffPost avec AFP  |  Publication: 04/02/2013 09:32 EST  |  Mis à jour: 04/02/2013 09:32 EST
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RECEVOIR LES ALERTES DU QUÉBEC:

GRANDE-BRETAGNE - Cinq siècles plus tard, les Anglais ont retrouvé leur roi. Des scientifiques de l'université de Leicester ont annoncé ce lundi 4 février avoir résolu le mystère du "roi du parking" : le squelette déterré en septembre sous un parking de Leicester (au centre de l'Angleterre) est bien celui du roi Richard III.

Au vu des tests ADN, "la conclusion de l'université de Leicester est que, au-delà de tout doute raisonnable, le corps exhumé en septembre 2012 (....) est bien celui de Richard III, dernier roi Plantagenêt en Angleterre", a déclaré le responsable des recherches archéologiques Richard Buckley sous une salve d'applaudissements. La dépouille du souverain sera inhumée dans la cathédrale de la ville, a assuré l'université coupant court aux destinations évoquées dans le passé: la cathédrale de York et l'abbaye de Westminster à Londres.

richard iii

Le mystère du "roi du parking"

On savait jusqu'à présent que le monarque avait péri en 1485, défait par les Tudor les armes à la main à la bataille de Bosworth Field, à proximité de Leicester (centre de l'Angleterre). Un décès qui avait mis un terme à la guerre dite "des deux roses" entre les deux dynasties. Mais sa dépouille n'avait jamais été retrouvée. D'après certains écrits, le roi reposait dans une chapelle franciscaine, rasée au XVIe siècle. La rumeur disait aussi que son corps avait été jeté dans une rivière.

Fin août, des experts du département d'archéologie de l'université de Leicester avaient entrepris de fouiller sous le macadam d'un parking du centre-ville. Début septembre,ils avaient découvert le cadavre bien conservé d'un homme, présentant des indices troublants: une colonne vertébrale déformée et des blessures s'apparentant aux coups mortels infligés sur un champ de bataille. Le "mystère du roi du parking" avait lors mis en ébullition la communauté scientifique et fait les délices des tabloïds britanniques.

richard iii

Immortalisé par William Shakespeare sous les traits d'un tyran bossu ayant fait trucider deux neveux qui lui barraient l'accès au trône d'Angleterre, Richard III est resté dans la postérité comme un individu détestable. Les scientifiques espèrent désormais que cette découverte sera l'occasion de porter un nouveau regard sur ses deux ans de règne.

Joaquim Machado

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Identification boosts conflicts

pecore-e-lupo

Identification boosts conflicts.

A managerial paradox

A critical and complex perspective in managing business organizations’ identities dynamics

Dario Simoncini, Marinella De Simone

NUOVA ATLANTIDE 2012/2, pagg. 101:118

Abstract

In business organizations people are often engaged in groups within which they are solicited to identify themselves, stressing similarities with in-group members, in opposition with other groups with different traits, implementing a divide between people involved in different identifications. Power, control and conflict dynamics between social groups are widespread in our business organizations; a growing interest is witnessed in studying these dynamics from a Critical Management Studies (CMS) perspective. These studies are unified by an anti-performative stance, and a commitment to reflexivity; according to these stance and commitment, our aim in this paper is to start a critical reflection in organizational and management studies upon the business widespread practice of identity regulation and identification.

Identity and identification are basically considered in organizational studies as interchangeable concepts belonging to the same conceptual domain: identification with a group or, in general, with the organization tends to be a form of ‘reification’ of the social group and of the firm itself, considering them as real entities. Groups and organizations are somewhat crystallized by their topic elements, thus the necessity to stress similarities and sharpen others’ differences, creating boundaries to separate one from the other and trying to idealize one’s membership as a way of self-enhancement.

Our claim is that identification boosts conflicts, and we suggest to address identities dynamics from a complex perspective, focusing on the processes instead of the entities, allowing ‘relational identities’ to emerge from interactions of the agents involved in the organization.

We start focusing on identification and identity issues in business organizations and their general application in management practices; in the second part of the paper, we explore from a critical perspective the implications deriving from these managerial practices and how these practices may foster conflicting relations with their inclination towards a positivist and reductionist approach. Finally, we consider what constitutes a new approach, founded on addressing power, control and conflict dynamics from a complex perspective to overcome possible conflicts between groups and generations in business organizations.

  1. 1.       Introduction

Power, control and conflict dynamics between social groups are widespread in our business organizations. A growing interest is witnessed in studying these dynamics from a Critical Management Studies (CMS) perspective. These studies are unified by an anti-performative stance, and a commitment to reflexivity; they observe how the dominance of a positivist and reductionist epistemology averts the enaction of a ‘critical reflexivity’ both in management and organizational studies and practices. CMS have been pointing out how organizational theory has focused primarily on a bureaucratic and engineering approach, whereas organizational culture studies  have found increasing interest, remaining nonetheless de-coupled from main organizational literature, which is still anchored to a mechanistic approach. Since the 1900s, management theories and practices have been conditioned to look at systems as machines, regarding factories as large machines and people within factories as part of these machines,  and the work that they do to be planned in advance, under the stance of a division and control widespread practice. Even much work on culture has long been confined to an engineering approach, where its constituent elements – employees and managers – have been treated as building blocks in organizational design.

According to CMS, management and organizational practices remain thus tied to a claimed objective point of view, where technicalities and coordination/control systems are essential to govern organizations (Alvesson, Deetz, 2000). A fundamental aspect therefore concerns the paradigmatic references of managerial and organizational studies, as the latter can no more be considered as de-contextualized from the culture in which they are nested. Thus our culture is well-rooted in a positivist paradigm, where, as Adler, Forbes and Willmott state: “Positivism is an approach which assumes that: (a) there is an objective external reality awaiting discovery and dissection by science; (b) scientific method gives privileged access to reality; (c) language provides a transparent medium for categorization, measurement and representation; (d) the observer scientist occupies a position outside and above reality from which he (rarely she) develops and validates robust theories about reality.” (Adles, Forbes, Willmott, 2007). A claim for a universal ‘scientific’ method – based on rationality, cause-effect relations, value-free technicalities, input-output modalities, objective analysis, etc. – has removed from any level of studies, from schools to academies, and from any level of business practices different perspectives based on different values.

CMS observes how the dominance of a positivist and reductionist  epistemology averts the enaction of a ‘critical reflexivity’ both in management and organizational studies and practices (Alvesson, Willmott, 1992; Taskin, Willmott, 2008). As Willmott states for critical reflexivity: “By this, I mean a capacity to recognize the inescapably partial and constructed foundation of all knowledge claims about management and/or organization. It involves an awareness of the contingencies of knowledge production, embedded as knowledge inescapably is in particular traditions, disciplines, methodological protocols, temporal contexts, etc.” (Willmott, 2008a).There is a form of ‘self-understanding’ of management as a neutral technical activity which marginalizes the analysis of power, control and conflict dynamics inside – and outside – business organizations (Simoncini, De Simone, 2010a; Clegg, Courpasson, Phillips, 2006). Furthermore, business organizations are themselves considered as neutral instruments, regardless to their effects in an enlarged context where other stakeholders are involved, for achieving their specific, economic-valued goals.

During the last decades, new organizational architectures have been emerging in our business communities due to a more dynamic and interconnected environment: the flattening of hierarchies, intertwined with ever more networked organizations, involves more commitment both in workplace relationships and in an enlarged stakeholders’ environment. Governance and management of organizations have required to transcend the concept of looking at everything like a machine, and to design systems that allow people to move from a mechanistic  to a more humanistic environment. Management studies are ultimately engaged in an attempt of providing different tools and methods to solve one of management’s central problem: the control of increasingly complex organizations (Barley, Kunda, 1992), as bureaucratic controls have demonstrated both their inability in responding to an intensified, global competitive pressure and their incapacity of being adaptive to an ever changing environment (Willmott, 1992).

In more recent studies, cultural and psychological issues have become more and more influential,  introducing soft and informal skills – as intuition, leadership, team-building, vision – to manage and govern organizations. The focus has been shifted from a hard approach – rational decision making, external formal stimuli – to a soft approach, where individuals are considered the main constituents of organizations. Business organizations are becoming more ‘organic’, and less ‘mechanic’.

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BLOOMBERG – 50 MOST INNOVATIVE COUNTRIES

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Joaquim Machado

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COMMENT

LONG ENGAGEMENTS

by George PackerFEBRUARY 11, 2013

After four exhausting years, Hillary Clinton leaves the State Department with an impressive record of air miles logged, town-hall meetings held, important but neglected issues highlighted, international crises defused, gaffes avoided, citizens of the United States and the world wowed, and White House policies capably carried out. When Clinton and President Obama recently sat down for an interview on “60 Minutes,” they all but held hands, swearing deathless affection and respect, and they seemed to mean it. But Clinton was denied the chance to be a truly great Secretary of State—another George C. Marshall or Dean Acheson—by both history and the President she served.
Last year, Denis McDonough, a top White House adviser, described Clinton’s role as “the principal implementer” of Obama’s foreign policy. On a few occasions, her advice helped to tip the scales—the 2009 surge in Afghanistan, which she strongly supported, was one—but she and her department were never trusted with the policy blueprints. From Iran and Israel to nonproliferation and human rights, the President has kept policymaking inside the White House, tightly held by a small circle of political advisers.
This shouldn’t matter, except maybe to Washington insiders, as long as the policies were the right ones. By the standard of the Hippocratic oath, they have been. Judging from last fall’s campaign, the biggest preventable foreign-policy disaster of Barack Obama’s first term was the killing in Benghazi of the U.S. Ambassador to Libya and three other Americans. Benghazi was a tragedy for which the State Department bore much responsibility; but, after the Bush years, the rest of the Administration’s record is no minor achievement. Obama and Clinton inherited two unwinnable wars, a toxic international atmosphere in which America was reviled where it wasn’t ignored, and a badly diminished stock of national power.
The criticism that there is no encompassing “Obama doctrine” misses the point. Geopolitics today is too complex, messy, and various to be bent to America’s will by an overarching doctrine like containment, or a massive initiative like the Marshall Plan, or a single breakthrough like Nixon’s trip to China. A doctrine was what put the country in a deep hole; climbing out required restraint, flexibility, and opportunism. A first-term Secretary of State with one grand strategic vision wouldn’t have matched the demands of the moment, which called for a fox, not a hedgehog. Clinton’s true legacy might be the countless public events that she held from Lahore to Kinshasa, where thousands of ordinary people got to question the U.S. Secretary of State, and where the topic was often something like women’s rights or access to clean water. These efforts were sometimes derided as soft, and marginal to real foreign policy, but Clinton—who is, after all, a politician—knew that she would have to be seen listening in order to help regain the world’s respect. That and four years of carefully calibrated Presidential rhetoric and support for multilateralism have gone a long way to restoring America’s legitimacy as the leading global actor.
If there is one idea that sums up Obama’s approach to foreign policy, it’s engagement. “We will extend a hand if you are willing to unclench your fist,” he proclaimed in his first Inaugural, and in his second (which barely touched on foreign policy) he said, “We will show the courage to try and resolve our differences with other nations peacefully. Not because we are naïve about the dangers we face, but because engagement can more durably lift suspicion and fear.” But, in his first term, Obama didn’t live up to the promise of engagement. When the world proved recalcitrant, the President was too disengaged to do it himself, and he didn’t give his Secretary of State the chance.
On Afghanistan, the White House pursued a military strategy for more than two years without enabling the Administration’s diplomats to negotiate seriously with the Taliban or work out a regional framework for peace; then Obama announced a deadline for withdrawal, which removed the incentive for America’s enemies in Afghanistan to compromise. On Iran, the State Department has played little role, while the President’s two-track policy of talks and sanctions soon narrowed to one, bringing Iran no closer to abandoning its nuclear ambitions. On Israel and Palestine, there has been practically no diplomacy at all.
The standard debates in American foreign policy—realism vs. idealism, heavy footprint vs. light footprint—don’t get to the heart of the problem with Obama’s foreign policy. It’s not that diplomatic engagement is the wrong approach; it’s just that the President’s first four years have given us the idea of diplomacy more than the thing itself. In a forthcoming book, “The Dispensable Nation: American Foreign Policy in Retreat,” Vali Nasr, a former adviser under Hillary Clinton and the late Richard Holbrooke, argues that, from North Africa to Afghanistan and Pakistan, the White House has relied too much on the military and the C.I.A. (mainly in the form of drones) to guide policy: “These agencies’ solutions were not, and could never be, a substitute for the type of patient, long-range, credible diplomacy that garners the respect of our allies and their support when we need it.” In Nasr’s view, a White House that feared being called soft and wanted to keep intractable foreign entanglements out of the news turned to Clinton only after things had fallen apart, as in Pakistan at the end of 2011, when she moved to repair a relationship that had degenerated into outright antagonism.
Obama and Clinton wanted to “pivot” away from the Middle East, toward the Pacific, but a bloody hand keeps reaching out to pull America back. Sixty thousand people have died in Syria’s civil war, Egypt is on the brink of state collapse, and the region is moving toward Sunni-Shiite confrontation. These are not problems that can be addressed by drone strikes and fitful diplomacy. The President is wise to acknowledge America’s inability to solve them by itself—“We are not going to be able to control every aspect of every transition and transformation,” he said on “60 Minutes”—but a tragic sense of limitation is not a substitute for real, prolonged engagement, which always carries the risk of failure. Whether Obama believes that America can or should shape the outcome, the greater Middle East will remain an American problem, and he will need to give his next Secretary of State, John Kerry, the authority that he denied his last one, to put the country’s prestige on the line by wading deep into the morass. 
ILLUSTRATION: TOM BACHTELL


Read more: http://www.newyorker.com/talk/comment/2013/02/11/130211taco_talk_packer?printable=true&mbid=nl_Weekly%20(40)#ixzz2JycjaWXR

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TECHNOLOGY

ESA and architects team up to design method of 3D-printing lunar bases

01 February 13

Last week on Wired.co.uk we covered the Dutch architects who are planning on building the world's first 3D-printed house. It turns out that the European Space Agency (ESA) and architecture firm Foster + Partners have also been working on the same idea -- though they'll be building lunar colonies using 3D-printed bricks made out of moon dust.

Using an inflatable dome as a base, a giant 3D printer -- based on the same one developed by Enrico Dini that will be used by Universe Architecture to build the house in Amsterdam -- will build up a 1.5m wall over it that would protect a team of up to four astronauts from space radiation and meteorite impacts. It'll do this by building rock out of moon dust, and while the ESA has picked out a site at the Moon's south pole, the ultimate aim is to build bases on Mars.

Foster + Partners won a competition run by the ESA to conduct research into 3D printing in space, and the 1.5 tonne sample brick they've built is the culmination of their work (and the work of consortium partners the Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna and Alta) so far. Wired.co.uk spoke to Xavier de Kestelier, co-head of Foster + Partners' specialist modelling group, about building houses on the Moon.

He said: "[We looked] into previous research that has been done. They brought moon dust back in the 60s and 70s and there's been a lot of testing on that, so we know pretty well what moon dust is and how it behaves. So we're actually looking at the environment parameters -- gamma radiation, temperature fluctuations, meteorite impacts -- and we've made some good guesses as to what kind of protection you would need from printed material. From that we were able to calculate the thickness for the dome structure.

"The Moon doesn't protect us from radiation like the Earth does with its magnetic field and atmosphere, so it doesn't hit you straight away. During solar flares there's a much higher element of gamma radiation, so we actually start looking at a dome structure that can protect you from that, and the thickness that we need for that is 1.5m. Then there are other factors, for example meteorite impact. Meteorites can't burn up in the atmosphere of the Moon because there is none, which means they hit the Moon's surface at a speed of roughly 18km/s. Compare that to a bullet, which is roughly 2km/s. Don't think it rains meteorites there, but you have a high probability."

The different stresses that came into play in the model, and the flexibility of the 3D printing process, gave de Kestelier and his team the chance to develop a unique "bubble" structure -- the Moon bricks that they settled on have periodic holes in them filled with soft regolith.

He explained: "You have the 'bubble', or the foam structure, with hard walls while inside. It's not empty, you'd have loose regolith inside. So if something hits it then it would hit a hard wall, soft material, hard material, soft material -- like a sandbag between concrete."

The dome will be around two storeys high, providing four astronauts with a large space within which to work. The buildings are inherently modular, as their architecture is directly influenced by the existing design of space stations orbiting Earth.

De Kestlier explained: "When we started this project we thought, 'let's look at the current architectural shapes and geometry of space stations'. We don't have any on the Moon, but we have the International Space Station, we have Mir, we have Skylab. They're always cylindrical elements connected to each other with certain geometries, and that's because it's the maximum space you can fit into a rocket. They're quite standardised. But internally these things aren't great spaces to live in, so we started looking at research done in the past on inflatables, because with an inflatable, it's much lighter. Every kilo you bring to the Moon is hugely expensive, so if you have more space with less material, the better. [With this] we only have to print small bits for the dome structure, but also for the living space itself, we have just a cylindrical element, and out of the cylindrical element we have a dome shape coming out."

Wired.co.uk also reported last month on Nasa's contract with Bigelow Industries to test an inflatable extension to the International Space Station. Inflatable modules appear to be a cheaper way of constructing habitable areas in space, while at the same time they have the benefit of being made of material that doesn't ionise when radiated, like metal. Their thinner skins can actually provide astronauts with greater protection from space radiation than thicker metal ones.

The site identified for the printed structure is at the Moon's south pole, on the edge of the Shackleton Crater -- a position that receives almost constant sunlight, and which is in direct line of sight of Earth for radio contact for most of each day. The eventual goal for the ESA, though, is to test this technology and get it ready for use in manned missions to Mars.

De Kestelier said: "As an architect, we are educated in thinking about materials all with a particular geometry. If I think steel, I think of an I-beam. It comes with a certain shape and geometry that is inherent to these materials. But when you start to 3D-print you have to think that geometry is now free. Look at nature -- nature doesn't have I-beams. I think for me that's hopefully where the future lies in 3D printing."

Joaquim Machado

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SCIENCE

Genetically modified tobacco produces cheap, effective rabies treatment

01 February 13
Image1

A team of molecular immunology researchers has genetically modified tobacco plants to produce highly effective rabies antibodies.

"The reason that most of us in the field are working with plants, is that we all believe that there are huge cost advantages to manufacturing in plants, and that the technology involved is readily transferable to developing countries,"Julian Ma, chair of the Hotung Molecular Immunology Unit at St George's, University of London, which trialled the technique, told Wired.co.uk. "We believe that production 'in the region, for the region' is an important concept for pharmaceuticals for the future."

According to the World Health Organisation more than 55,000 people die after contracting rabies every year. Most of these deaths occurred in Asia and Africa, in areas where swift access to post-exposure vaccines is limited due to the high cost of manufacturer. "For at least three decades WHO has fought to break the "cycle of neglect" affecting rabies prevention and control particularly in low- and middle-income countries," the international body states.

Work by the Hotung Molecular Immunology Unit could be one of the first steps to changing that, with its vision for fields of cheap, easily accessible antidotes.

Ma and his team demonstrated two methods for introducing the antibody in their paper published 31 January: to genetically modify plants to produce the murine monoclonal antibody, or by agroinfiltration, whereby new genes are introduced into the plant cells. The first method, Ma tells Wired.co.uk, is technically simple, easy to scale up but you obviously have to wait for the plants to grow. "The latter is technically more demanding, but extremely fast for producing moderate amounts of antibody."

Before introducing the antibody, the team had to remove some non-human elements from it via molecular engineering -- the antibody is derived from members of the rat and mouse family (murine) so they eliminated parts of the sequence that the body could potentially reject.

"It is not necessarily a concern, particularly in the case of a life saving intervention as in rabies," Ma told Wired.co.uk. "However, it is preferable to eliminate the parts of the protein that would be recognised by our immune systems as being non-human."

What makes the tobacco plant solution perhaps most attractive, is the ease with which the antibody can be extracted when needed. All you'd need to do it grind the leaves in a solution then purifying it using a technique such as affinity chromatography.

"Tobacco is certainly not the only plant that could be used, but it does have many advantages," Ma told Wired.co.uk. "It is very easy to work with from a biotechnology point of view. Perhaps more importantly, when thinking about future production, it is not a food crop (so we do not have to be concerned about our genes or antibodies flowing into the food chain), but it is a major world crop, for which a considerable amount of horticultural expertise has already been developed."

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TECHNOLOGY

EU data protection reform could start 'trade war', US official says

01 February 13
Image1

Ars TechnicaBrussels, Belgium -- Back in 1998, British comedian Eddie Izzard quipped on hisDress to Kill tour that the European Union was "500 million people, 200 languages. No one's got a clue what they're saying to each other. It's the cutting edge of politics in a very extraordinarily boring way." Fifteen years on, it's easy to understand how prescient his words were.

But after spending two days in the Belgian capital, it's clear that digitally-minded officials, activists, lobbyists and members of the European Parliament are focused squarely on what could become a massively important change to the European Union's rules concerning data protection. What's more, they have the attention of US tech firms as well.

As reported over a year ago, justice commissioner Viviane Reding of the European Commission proposed a "comprehensive reform" to existing data protection law, which would regulate how online service companies are allowed to keep information on their customers. Right now, anyone who cares about European tech issues has their eye on this ongoing legislation as it makes its way through various Brussels bodies. The legislation is not expected to take effect until 2016.

And by all accounts, lobbying pressure from US government representatives and their corporate allies is intensifying at an unprecedented level as the draft amendments for data protection reform make their way through various committees pushing to strengthen what the European Commission has proposed. One economic officer in the US Foreign Service even commentedthis week (Google Translate) that the current reform draft could "instigate a trade war" with the US.

Some European legislators don't mind the attention. "With this regulation, we really try to impact the US debate," Jan Philip Albrecht, a Green Party member of the European Parliament (MEP) from northern Germany, told Ars. He hopes that the entire parliament will vote on the reforms before the next European Parliamentary election in June 2014.

Albrecht is the "rapporteur," or parliamentary liaison between his Committee on Civil Liberties, Justice, and Home Affairs (LIBE) and the European Commission on this issue. Albrecht acknowledged that US tech companies like Google, Facebook, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and others would be among the most directly affected should these new reforms that he has proposed take effect.

"[Of course, reform isn't affecting the US] directly, but we hope that there would be a debate in the US about if it could be a good example for the US to follow?" he added.

In this case, a new regulation would offer major improvements over current law. The data protection reforms as proposed by the Commission would consolidate existing data protection rules, would require data breach notification within 24 hours, and would include a "right to be forgotten" clause, allowing citizens to "delete their data if there are no legitimate grounds for retaining it".

At present, the data protection reform bill could also make data portability easier -- moving data from LinkedIn to Facebook -- and could impose new fines of between one and four percent of global revenues for companies that violate the EU's rules.

At present, tech companies doing business across the EU must pay attention to the rules in all of the 27 member states (soon to be 28, when Croatia accedes to the union later this year). Commissioner Reding has stated that allowing companies to deal with the data protection authority in the main EU country where they have their establishment would collectively save businesses around €2.3 billion (£2 billion) a year. In the case of Facebook, for example, that would be Ireland, where the company has declared its international headquarters.

Control over personal data

This month, MEP Albrecht published his draft response to the Commission's proposal -- and that's certainly ruffled some feathers.

Here's one of the most noteworthy additions that he put forth in his 215-pagedraft (PDF) expanding on what the Commission had initially proposed:

The right to the protection of personal data is based on the right of the data subject to exert the control over the personal data that are being processed. To this end the data subject should be granted clear and unambiguous rights to the provision of transparent, clear and easily understandable information regarding the processing of his or her personal data, the right of access, rectification and erasure of their personal data, the right to data portability and the right to object to profiling. Moreover the data subject should have also the right to lodge a complaint with regard to the processing of personal data by a controller or processor with the competent data protection authority and to bring legal proceedings in order to enforce his or her rights as well as the right to compensation and damages resulting of an unlawful processing operation or from an action incompatible with this Regulation. The provisions of this Regulation should strengthen, clarify, guarantee and where appropriate, codify those rights.

Beyond his formal response, the 30-year-old German legislator has endorsed a new petition (the "Brussels Declaration") from civil liberties groups, digital rights associations, and many of Europe's technorati.

"We are outraged, because we, the citizens, are now kept in hundreds of databases, mostly without our knowledge or consent," the petition thunders. "Over 1,200 companies specialise in trading our personal data, mostly without our knowledge or consent, every time we browse the internet over 50 companies now monitor every click, mostly without our knowledge or consent, we are constantly being categorised and judged by algorithms and then treated according to the 'perceived value' we may or may not bring to business without our knowledge and consent, and lobbying is currently replacing European citizens' voices and manifest concerns."

Signatories to the petition include groups like Bits of Freedom (Netherlands), Electronic Privacy and Information Centre (USA), European Digital Rights, Privacy International (UK), the Chaos Computer Club (Germany), La Quadrature du Net (France), and well-known European activists, includingSmári McCarthy (Iceland), and Max Schrems (Austria).

Pirate-by-proxy

While it may seem surprising that a Green Party MEP is spearheading the parliamentary response to the data protection reform, that doesn't surprise the European Parliament's eldest and one of its most-respected tech-savvy MEPs:Christian Engström, a Pirate Party member from Sweden who was elected to the body in 2009.

"I would consider [Albrecht] as a Pirate," he told Ars from his Brussels office. "I recognise a Pirate when I see one."

The Pirate Party, easily Europe's smartest party on tech issues, has had some headway in Sweden, Germany, Switzerland and a handful of other European states (and a little bit in the US). But it has struggled in recent months as its political novelty seems to have worn off a bit.

Engström made the case that the Pirate Party is in a similar position to where the Greens were 40 years ago -- representing a fairly fringe area of policy but pressuring other, larger parties to carve out their own position. "If we want anything to happen, the Pirates are not going to get a majority in any parliament in the world," he observed. "It's sad, but it's a fact of life. If we want positive legislations we want people to copy our ideas, but we're Pirates, so copying is good."

For the moment, there are only two Pirates (Engström and his 25-year-old colleague, Amelia Andersdotter, who is also from Sweden) out of the entire 753-member body -- less than one percent of the entire EU parliament.

But, Engström says that being part of the liberal parliamentary group, TheGreens-European Free Alliance, may help their views be heard by a wider audience. "Now we're in the Green group, to adopt the Pirate Party, [so we're] up to seven percent," he said with a grin.

Andersdotter is also causing quite a stir as the youngest member of the entire European Parliament. Plus, she has created her own reality web series, dubbed"#exile6e", named after the section of the parliamentary staff offices where she and her entourage are located, separated from Engström.

An episode published 11 days ago, entitled "Data Protection" shows Andersdotter working the minutiae of legislative life -- from hand-signing documents 224 times to speaking on data protection in the council chambers. Both Andersdotter and Engström sit on the secondary committees that are consulting on the data protection reform process, and seem to have full confidence that their views will be represented as the process advances.

Washington fires back

Established industry has been equally forceful in its opposition. Erika Mann, aformer 15-year MEP also from Germany who is now the head of Facebook's Brussels-based policy office, told the media in January that her employer was "concerned that some aspects of the report do not support a flourishing European Digital Single Market and the reality of innovation on the internet".

Eduardo Ustaran, a London-based lawyer and head of the privacy and information law group at Field Fisher Waterhouse, warned recently that as-is, proposed legislation could mean the end of free online services like Facebook and Gmail.

"If they weren't able to use your data in the way that is profitable or useful for them for advertising purposes, then either the user has to pay for it or stop using the service," he told ZDNet this month.

But it's more than just the industry that's upset. US officials are making their voices heard in Brussels and other European capitals.

In January Stockholm hosted a "data protection debate," with many speakers from the US government including the Chamber of Commerce and the US Chamber of Commerce in the EU, and industry officials, all of whom are expressing deep concern that Brussels may force substantial changes to tech companies' business models. The Stockholm debate was one of "ten other data protection events" held across the EU.

This week, John Rodgers, an economic officer in the US Foreign Service, spoke in Berlin (Google Translate), noting that a vast right to delete such personal information was not technically feasible and would pose a huge problem for all globally-minded companies. Most surprisingly, Rodgers warned that the data protection reform as currently conceived could "instigate a trade war".

According to reporting by the German tech news site, Heise Online, Rodgers reminded the crowd that US and European laws have very different standards when it comes to data protection. "We have the right to privacy in our constitution, which, however, represents no fundamental right to privacy," he noted.

Even earlier, back in early December 2012, the US ambassador to the European Union, William Kennard, expressed concern at a Brussels conference that Americans and US companies would be adversely affected if proposed EU data protection reforms go through as-is.

"Both the proposed regulation and the proposed directive address the transfer of personal data to third countries and international organisations, providing that an 'adequacy' determination by the Commission would be the primary means of efficiently and effectively exchanging data and information," he warned.

"As currently drafted, the criteria to be considered by the Commission in making such an 'adequacy' determination would include comparisons to a European-style system of data protection. The provisions do not recognise the existence of privacy protection systems that are structured differently, but ensure an equally high level of protection and enforcement, like those in the US."

Outside observers say that they are shocked with the level of attention that Americans have paid to this legislative process.

"Nothing, not even ACTA, caused the US to lobby on this scale in Brussels," said Joe McNamee, of European Digital Rights (EDRI), in an email to Ars. "What is even more surprising is that demonstrably false arguments are sometimes being used, undermining the excellent reputation for professionalism that the US representatives have always had. This is damage that won't easily be undone."

For the moment though, the European Parliament's digital caucus -- through its Pirate, Green, and other members -- remain optimistic that their counterparts from other countries and other parties are becoming increasingly aware of their interests.

"In the long run, technology wins over politics," Engström said.

This story originally appeared on Ars Technica







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CULTURE

Film's narrative dictated by biosensor data from audience

30 January 13

Artist Alexis Kirke has written and directed a film that can have one of four potential endings, chosen based on biosensor data coming from members of the audience.

The 15-minute story -- called Many Worlds -- centres around two students Charlie and Olivia who go to their friend Connie's house for her 19th birthday. They find a sealed, coffin-sized box in her bedroom with no sign of their friend. It appears as though Connie, a physics student, has sealed herself into the box with a cyanide gas-capsule connected to a Geiger counter. At any point a burst of cosmic rays in the atmosphere could trigger the cyanide and kill Connie; in fact it could have already happened.

Members of the audience wear sensors to measure perspiration, muscle tension, heart rate and brainwave activity. Then the film adjusts depending on the levels of excitement detected by the sensors -- if the audience is calm, then they are given a more dramatic scene, and if they are already very tense or nervous, then they might be shown a calmer scene. The action branches at a number of different points to eventually deliver one of four alternative endings.

Kirke, who is also a composer, says: "I'm pretty familiar with the science literature about these readings. And I'm confident in how to manipulate the audience's emotions with my soundtrack depending on the route they subconsciously 'choose' through the film."

In the first performance, on 23 February as part of the Peninsula Arts Contemporary Music Festival, there will be four different volunteers in the audience, each wearing a different sensor. However, Kirke told Wired.co.uk that he hopes that in future productions there will be more volunteers each wearing all of the sensors.

The script was based on Schrodinger's quantum suicide thought experiment. Kirke had wanted to explore the idea of how the observer affects the observed for a while as part of his research at Plymouth University's Interdisciplinary Centre for Computer Music.

"I published a paper on music generated by emotion detected in brainwaves a few years ago," he said, before being struck by the idea of creating a script influenced by the observers.

He told Wired.co.uk that the biggest challenge was thinking of four satisfactory endings to the film. "I had to come up with four endings that wouldn't embarrass me!"

As it was his first film, Kirke relied heavily on the input of director of photography Rishi Pruthi and sound supervisor Duncan Williams, as well as the executive producer Amanda Bluglass.

Kirke is now convinced that this is the future of film-making. "I've been reading the history of Industrial Light and Magic and it seems inevitable that films will start to react to the audience." He mentions the rise of technologies such as computer-aided editing and soundtracks and says that within ten years we'll be able to create movies that have a framework but adapt to the audience in real time.

"In-cinema cameras pointing at a cinema audience can pick up if they restless or scared and the films will react intelligently."

Joaquim Machado

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WIRED

Superomniphobic Material Vigorously Repels All Fluids

Dr. Anish Tuteja has developed a coating that will repel just about any liquid.

You may have heard of oleophobic coatings (which reduce smudges on your touchscreen) or hydrophobic coatings (which repel water). Working with a team at the University of Michigan, he’s developed a new coating for material that will repel both Newtonian and non-Newtonian fluids of just about any kind. They’re calling it superomniphobic.

Bouncing droplet

A bouncing droplet. Photo courtesy University of Michigan

According to Dr. Tuteja, the key to making fluids bounce off a material is to trap pockets of air between the fluid at the surface. This starts as a chemistry problem (you want a material with low surface energy) but quickly becomes a physics problem. “With chemistry we can cause water to bead up but not oil,” he says. “To get to the next step you have to design the geometry or the shape of the coating.”

To create the coating, the team takes a polymer solution and applies an electric field to it. By tuning the concentration of the polymer solution, they can change how the solution breaks up into microscopic droplets. These droplets are then deposited on the surface, and Dr. Tuteja says they can coat any material.

The result is a hierarchical texture, where a highly porous surface is itself made up of nanopores. There are so many millions of tiny pockets of air trapped under the droplet that the fluid and the surface barely come into contact at all. Dr. Tuteja says they’ve left samples submerged for up to two months. They come out completely dry.

The coating up close

The coating up close and then up closer. On the left we see a magnification of the coating after it’s been applied to a steel screen mesh. You can see that it looks kind of fuzzy. On the right we see it at micro scale and how it’s even fuzzier than it first seemed. Photos courtesy University of Michigan

OK, so is this stuff magical? Not so, says Dr. Tuteja, for while it’s basically invulnerable to fluids (including monsters like hydrochloric acid) thanks to its properties at the nano scale, it’s very vulnerable at the mechanical scale. “Durability remains a big issue. It’s easy to peel this one off,” he says.

The good news is they are working on a more durable coating. It’s made using similar principles but the polymers and the manufacturing process are different. Applications for such a material run from protecting gadgets in the field to making coatings for boats that reduce drag as they slice through the water.

It’s all part of a series of investigations that Dr. Tuteja says the team has been running for five years since he was a post doc at MIT. As they progress, some materials can be commercialized quickly, while others help them learn new principles for application to the next project. “All the work we do in my lab is to a particular application,” he says. “We try to think of novel ways to solve a particular problem. We try to figure out if there is a better way to address that and find the scientific principles along the way.”

“It’s a very visual field, you immediately know whether you have succeeded or failed.”

Witness a whole bunch of colored deadly liquids bounce off the coating. Photo courtesy University of Michigan

Joaquim Machado

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          Filabot Turns Your Plastic Junk Into Material for 3-D Printers


          Filabot rear

          It’s all too easy for forget the first two R’s before “recycle”: “reduce” and “re-use.” By letting makers reuse their plastic scrap, Filabot helps skip the recycle box. Photo: Whitney Trudo


          Filabot promises to help turn your plastic crap into 3-D printed fanciness, alleviating one of the biggest sustainability problems for 3-D printing.

          Just over a year ago, Tyler McNaney was on break from college. “I was surfing the internet as most college kids do, and I saw a video of 3-D printing,” he says. “I was amazed and I learned all I could about it.” Soon after, he owned one of his own. Not much longer after that, he decided he wanted to make his own filament for it. Sadly, he was low on cash. So he launched Filabot on Kickstarter.

          For desktop 3-D printers to work, they need some kind of material to work with. Most contemporary printers use plastic filament, available in spools from various suppliers. Filabot reduces the need for that stuff. Instead you can grind up household plastics or even past projects to make new lines.

          Think a meat grinder on top of a pasta maker and you get the general idea. “Plastic extrusion is nothing new,” says McNaney in the Kickstarter pitch video. “The only thing we’d like to do is adapt it to the desktop environment.”

          The need for something like this is enormous. The whole point of 3-D printing is that you can do rapid prototyping and customization of parts. This means that you can expect any given project to have lots of unwanted prototypes, to say nothing of failed prints or other errors. Go into any vibrant makerspace and you’ll find dozens of demo objects, broken parts and failed experiment lying around, the detritus of tinkering with objects. It’s similar to how in the early days of computerized workspaces, the “paperless office” resulted in more paper being consumed as workers reprinted documents over and over.

          “I am working on this because this is the next system that is needed for at-home manufacturing,” says McNaney. “3-D printing is in its infancy, and when coupled with a Filabot a 3-D printer will be a complete closed-loop recycling system on your desk, office or school. I also see a lot of potential for helping out third-world countries. With a Filabot and a 3-D printer people can now make things as simple as a fork or cup.”

          Unlike some of the more outlandish promises about how 3-D printing might save the world, McNaney’s project has a point. The world is awash in disposable plastic containers like soda and water bottles. Wouldn’t it be wonderful if that junk could be re-used on site?

          McNaney says the team is working on testing and documenting the range of plastic that will work. “The range of materials keeps growing. Filabot is expected to process most of the thermoplastics,” he says. “So far the plastics that work are HDPE, LDPE, ABS, NYLON. More to come on the different types that work.” They don’t process PVC because of toxicity concerns.

          The project was funded in January 2012. A year later, McNaney says they’re getting ready to launch. “Right now we have the working system, but we are making this working system production-ready.” This means preparing the enclosures and extruder parts for final assembly.

          Just before the holidays, McNaney released an update showing how even imperfectly made filaments worked fine when passed through a printer. “I was surprised to find that air bubbles and undersized diameter do not really affect the outcome of the part,” he says.

          Looking ahead, McNaney says he hopes that advancements in 3-D printer extruders will allow for an even bigger range of plastics and a higher tolerance for imperfect filaments.

          Meanwhile, maybe it’s time to start saving up your plastic junk.

          Joaquim Machado

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          Weapons of Mass Creation: Portable 3-D Printers Have Arrived


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          Playing off the modern fear of suitcase bombs, Gilloz calls his tool a "weapon of mass creation."

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          William Shakespeare is credited with coining the term ‘luggage’ in Henry IV in 1597. It took over 400 years before someone figured out it would be easier if the baggage had wheels. (The first wheeled carry-on was sold in 1970.) But it has only taken four years for a designer to create a carrying case for a 3-D printer.

          That designer is Emmanuel Gilloz, a 24-year-old Frenchman who built the FoldaRap. Gilloz’s portable machine is a variant of the RepRap model that inspired the MakerBot and a variety of other popular 3-D printers. While other machines are optimized for resolution or build-size, Gilloz focused on convenience and portability. Wired caught up with him to hear more about the project.

          Wired Design: Why was portability so important to you?

          Emmanuel Gilloz: Constraints are great, I’m fond of origami, and I always try to make things that can be folded.

          Most importantly I don’t have a car, and I moved a lot in the past two years. Bringing my machine to events or meetups meant I had to carry a big, heavy thing that wasn’t made for that kind of usage. Even the RepRap Huxley becomes heavy when you hold it for a long time, so as a designer and frustrated user I designed one tailored to my need.

          Wired Design: What was the biggest design challenge you’ve had to overcome?

          Gilloz: The biggest challenges were designing the hinge mechanism and finding the suppliers of all the non-printed parts. That kind of information is quite time-consuming to obtain, almost like chasing a treasure. It’s an even greater reason to share it in the wiki, because those who try to self-source a RepRap are not all interested in that type of hunt.

          Wired Design: What other improvements would you like to see in RepRap 3-D printers?

          Gilloz: Technically I’m quite happy with the RepRaps as they are. Their big advantage is the continuous improvement and modularity that makes each year’s machines more reliable, faster, simpler to build, and more capable.

          From the RepRap family tree I see three trends: performance, self-replication, and simplicity. Simplicity is my favorite, I thrive for it. The choice to use some components rather than others can greatly simplify things.

          In 10 years we will have even more awesome bots, if we remember to share our ideas. I’m trying to address that with the FoldaRap by showing the entire design process and mentioning all the suppliers.

          Wired Design: Are there any other fabrication tools that excite you?

          Gilloz: Paste extruders, powder sinterers, lasers (I want to make a foldable one), open source ecology … everything that contributes to make us more independent. In the long term it’s a matter of resilience and survival, being able to make stuff and empowering everyone else to.

          I grew up with MacGyver and reading the US Army Survival Guide and did I mention making stuff is the coolest way to learn things and have fun?

          Wired Design: How important do you think aesthetics are in 3-D printing?

          Gilloz: We often heard people saying the bare threaded rods (on RepRap 3-D printers) look too “garage-made” for them, but they also have their charm. We will see how the 3D Systems Cube does with the opposite approach.

          Personally I think that with the right amount of work in collecting the information of how to source, build, and run a 3-D printer it can be made as attractive as a mass-produced solution, but we do need more designers in DIY. It will be a good part of my future efforts.

          This interview was edited and condensed for clarity. All photos courtesy of Emmanuel Gilloz.

          Joaquim Machado

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          Guardian Environment Network

          Will 3D printers make food sustainable?

          Andrew Purvis investigates whether 3D printers, artificial meat and GM can reduce food's future environmental footprint
          Dr Mark Post holds samples of artificial meat
          Dutch scientist Mark Post holds samples of in-vitro meat, grown in a laboratory. Photograph: Francois Lenoir /Reuters

          Before the end of the year, if Professor Mark Post of Maastricht University gets his way, the world's first test-tube burger will be flame-grilled by Heston Blumenthal at The Fat Duck in Bray and served to a celebrity guest. Meals at this restaurant don't come cheap, but this one will be the climax of a €250,000 research project – and a milestone in Post's quest to find new ways of feeding the world, without destroying the planet.

          His petri-dish patty will be made from a mixture of fat and cow muscle grown from stem cells in a culture of foetal calf serum (that's blood plasma without the clotting agents) – a technology trialled in February. It may sound less appetising than a Big Mac – but it could bring huge environmental benefits. Producing beef this way results in a 96% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions compared to rearing animals, and uses 45% of the energy, 1% of the land and 4% of the water associated with conventional beef production.

          Meanwhile, at Cornell University in New York, PhD candidate Jeffrey Lipton has developed a 3D food printer that lays down liquid versions of foods, dot by dot and layer by layer, to build up edible meals. "So far we have printed everything from chocolate, cheese and hummus to scallops, turkey and celery", he says. At present, the technology uses liquid or melted versions of conventionally produced ingredients, but the aim is to create a range of 'food inks' made from hydrocolloids – substances that form gels with water. Homaru Cantu, a chef who has used the printer to make sushi, thinks this could have big implications for sustainability, not least because there would be no prepping of fresh ingredients, and therefore no food waste. "Imagine", he says, "being able to grow, cook or prepare foods without the negative industrial impact – from fertilisers to packaging. The production chain for food would nearly be eliminated."

          It's a brave new world of scientific endeavour, but are these technologies sustainable? Will they deliver food that is better for us, produced at lower cost to the environment, and distributed more efficiently or traded more equitably? As Western-style diets become more popular in growing economies, can they help us meet demand without further depleting our resources? And on a practical note, can they be scaled up in an affordable way – enough to make a real difference?

          "Technologically, it will be possible to replace all conventional meat production with cultured meat", says Hanna Tuomisto, the Oxford University researcher who analysed the environmental benefits of Post's method. "However, there are political, funding and regulatory issues. Livestock farmers don't like it because it threatens their jobs, but we're not going to get rid of all conventional production overnight. Global demand for meat is rising all the time, so this cultured meat might help satisfy only that additional demand."

          Dr Lipton's food printer could also go global; he believes it will become as commonplace in kitchens as the food mixer. Kathy Groves, a consultant microscopist atLeatherhead Food Research in Surrey, can see the appeal. "It would save us an awful lot of hassle in product innovation, manufacture and troubleshooting", she says. "It's efficient, and you get a consistent product – but food is nicely variable, that's the point, so I'm not sure it will take off.

          In her view, the advance most relevant to sustainable development is nanotechnology – using tiny particles, less than a billionth of a metre across, to engineer everything from packaging and agrochemicals to health foods. In Germany, the R&D firm Aquanova has developed a nano-based carrier system, called NovaSOL, for introducing nutrients into foods and drinks in a way that makes them more absorbable. Chemical company BASFis doing the same with lycopene from tomatoes, known to combat cancer. In Australia, 'micro-encapsulation' – surrounding tiny particles or droplets with a coating – has been used to mask the taste and odour of tuna fish oil added to the 'UP' bread range sold by brand Tip Top, boosting omega-3 intake.

          But where nanotechnology has the biggest potential, Groves reckons, isn't in nutritional benefits, but in 'smart' packaging that promises to cut food waste. The packaging changes colour when food deteriorates, taking the guesswork out of shelf life. Smarter still is a label with an invisible X printed in a nano-silver compound. "When food, especially meat, starts to deteriorate due to microbial activity, hydrogen sulphide is released", says Dr Qasim Chaudhry, Principal Research Scientist at the Food and Environment Research Agency. "This reacts with silver and the X becomes visible." The Waste and Resources Action Programme (WRAP) estimates that 800,000 tonnes of food, worth £2 billion, is thrown away in Britain each year in the mistaken belief that it has gone off. Smart labelling could prevent that.

          Equally promising are nano-formulated pesticides and fertilisers which could, paradoxically, reduce pollution. Nano-sized particles have a much larger surface area, per weight equivalent, than conventional materials, making then more reactive. "You need less, and a smaller amount [of agrochemical] can cover a much larger area", Chaudhry says. Similarly, nano-sized additives in animal feed could improve the absorption of mineral supplements such as copper and zinc, meaning less would be excreted to pollute land and water.

          One drawback is uncertainty over safety. "Relatively little is known about the way nanomaterials behave when ingested as food", says Dr Sandy Lawrie, Head of Novel Foods at the Food Standards Agency. "Nano-forms of a given substance may behave differently to other, larger forms of the same thing." Before products could be marketed in the EU, they would have to undergo a thorough safety assessment on a case-by-case basis – though materials in packaging, which do not migrate into food, would be treated more leniently.

          Another drawback is the likelihood of public opposition, as with genetic modification (GM). Research carried out by the Food Standards Agency in 2010-11 showed that people are more accepting of nano-foods with a clear health benefit than they are of applications such as improving texture or flavour, which they see as trivial.

          However, it is the tried and tested methods of plant genetics and husbandry, practised over centuries, which have paid most dividends for the environment. At the National Institute of Agricultural Botany (NIAB), trait identification work and 'pre-breeding' (incorporating those traits into new breeding materials) have produced a wheat variety that flowers earlier in the year. This means grain takes root when there is moisture around – a boon in drier, warmer climates, and potentially in Britain, too, where drought could spell disaster for farmers this summer.

          Trials conducted with the John Innes Centre in Norwich have shown the benefits. "They are significant", says Ros Lloyd of NIAB, "delivering yield increases of up to 33% in southern Europe" – with a corresponding decrease in GHG emissions per tonne. Since the 1960s, wheat yields have risen from 1,400kg to 6,000kg per hectare, even without GM. "It's very important," Lloyd says, "that we improve awareness among policy-makers, researchers, agri-food businesses and consumers of the enormous benefits on offer from harnessing [through innovative breeding programmes] the genetic potential of plants."

          Certainly, no innovative approach to the future of our food will reach any scale without successful campaigns to engage everyone from policy-makers to consumers. For Dan Crossley, an expert on sustainable food systems at Forum for the Future, the risk is that some technologies erode the value of food and make people even more disconnected from their dinner. "We shouldn't underestimate the power of vibrant food cultures", he says. "I'm very open to the idea that some of our ingredients might come from Petri dishes or printers in the future, but I'd shy away from believing these sorts of technologies will solve our global food crisis on their own. That's why I'd like to see technology used to reconnect people with what they eat."

          This is exactly what Ed Dowding has set out to do with Sustaination – a web and smartphone platform that puts producers in touch with local buyers. To his mind, "If lots of change is necessary, the one thing everyone is going to need is information." Dowding's idea is to build up a network of growers, distributors and community centres based on a local hub model. "We have a browsable map", he explains, "so you can see not only who a business trades with, but who [their] connections trade with as well."

          The efficiency gains will be impressive, with more food going where it's wanted, and less waste all along the supply chain. Add open sourcing (so that people can share their top finds), live status updates ('I'm cropping 20kg of peppers this week, at £1 a kilo') and fair market prices – based on data, not guesswork – and it's a potent tool for getting fresh, locally grown food on the shelf and the table. Which may well be one of the most appetising items on our future menu.

          Try these at home

          Anyone who's failed to keep a basil plant alive by a kitchen window will know the challenges of indoor gardening. Urban homes just don't seem well suited to growing food, but two low-tech, yet innovative, ideas aim to solve that problem.

          Windowfarms, which raised $250,000 on Kickstarter, is a hydroponic system you can install at home. Plants are stacked vertically by windows in recycled plastic bottles, while a pump circulates nutrients directly to their roots, which are suspended in clay. The system is automated, and so your basil faces much better odds of becoming pesto.

          Windowfarms kits are available to buy from $99, but plans to help you build your own are also freely available. That's because Windowfarms is also an experiment in open-source research and development.

          Dubbed 'R&D-I-Y', the Windowfarms design evolves through versions, which feature contributions from a community of more than 28,000 globally. Much like software, this crowd-sourced approach rapidly increases the rate at which the design improves through innovation and testing.

          The community itself is self-organising, and encourages testing of others' ideas. As Britta Riley, Founder of Windowfarms, says in her talk to the TEDx Manhattan conference: "In our culture, it is better to be a tester who supports someone else's idea than it is to be just the idea guy."

          That said, being 'the idea guys' hasn't gone badly for former UC Berkley students Alex Velez and Nikhil Arora, who developed a way to grow (edible) mushrooms from waste coffee grounds. Their business, Back to the Roots, collects waste from coffee shops and then sells kits to grow these mushrooms at home. Each $20 kit can produce up to one and a half pounds of gourmet mushrooms.

          The secondary waste created by producing these kits – a mix of coffee grounds and mushroom roots – has value of its own, as Velez and Arora discovered when they tried to give away their increasing piles of it on Craigslist. On quizzing recipients on their need for this 'waste', Back to the Roots discovered it could be used as a high-quality soil enhancer, so they now sell that, too. One source of 'waste' has become two valuable products. – Michael Ashcroft

          Joaquim Machado

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          Joaquim Machado

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          Sainsbury's Shop Front

          Sainsbury’s Recognises the Potential of 3D Printing to Change the Landscape of Retail

          Rachel Park BY RACHEL PARK ON  · CONSUMERS,INDUSTRY NEWSRETAIL 1 COMMENT

          As one of the UK’s big four supermarket chains, you would expect Sainsbury’s to be on the ball in terms of looking to maintain and improve market share. But these days that goes beyond groceries, clothes and DVDs — way beyond! It turns out that the IT department at Sainsbury’s is also developing a strategy centred around 3D printing and the impact that the company believes this technology will have on the retail sector in general and ‘SUPER’markets in particular.

          Rob Fraser is IT director for Sainsbury’s and while giving a presentation at the recent BETT show in London, he gave the audience some insight into the changes he believes are coming with 3D printing, and how Sainsbury’s are preparing to meet this challenge head on. Unsurprisingly, the focal point for this is how customer requirements are changing based on customization options, and his specific expample was iPhone cases — the Samsung and Nokia cases had not been released at the time, which only serves to bolster his point.

          Fraser said: “We have to prepare for the fact that consumers may soon not want to buy pre-packaged iPhone cases of the shelf, but build and design their own.”

          While Fraser has been aware of 3D printing for some years, it is important to note that his comments are forward looking, but the belief is that 3D printing is coming and it is coming in a big way. But this brings challenges, according to Fraser: “The big challenge is we don’t know what’s coming but we have to prepare for it. Technology is changing at a rate we can’t predict, and if we can predict it, it’s already been established. The technologies we can’t predict will be with us in five years’ time.”

          Personally, I’m not quite convinced that his timeline is correct, but this is a fascinating development following the MCor + Staples announcement at the end of last year and I expect some of the 3D printer manufacturers are already aligning themselves to provide hardware and support. The mainstream retail environment is going to be very different from anything that has gone before.

          Sainsbury’s is planning to reveal more information about how 3D printing will be embraced within its corporate strategy later this year. The corporation’s “Try Something New Today” tagline, may soon take on a whole new meaning!

          Source: V3

          Recommended articles:

          Rachel Park
          ABOUT THE AUTHOR

          Rachel Park

          Rachel Park is an accomplished freelance writer and editor focusing on 3D printing and associated technologies. With more than 16 years’ experience working in this emerging and dynamic market, Rachel has gained exceptional insight into the latest technologies, their applications and adoption. With a broad knowledge of the industry itself and an exceptional contact network Rachel is a passionate advocate of what 3D printing is capable of now and enjoys debating its future potential with cynics and idealists alike. Rachel is a BA (Honors) graduate in English.


          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 5, 2013, 9:42:21 AM2/5/13
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          Três artigos espetaculares da WIRED 21.02 ( february 2013 ):

           
          1.   C8 H10 N4 O2 : inside the overstimulated, underregulated, multinational CAFFEINE industry.

          2.   MUTANTS : Lethal bacterium and Superbugs' DNA - how to track down a killer. 

          3.  THE SIMPLE COMPLEX: Why Subtraction is the hardest Math in Product Design.

          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 5, 2013, 9:59:38 AM2/5/13
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          Synth Bio Webinars 

          Learning Made Easier with Synthetic Biology Webinars

          Inquire, Understand, and Break Through to Discovery

          At Life Technologies, we believe synthetic biology will change the way we create energy, produce food, optimize industrial processing, and detect, prevent, and cure diseases—improving the human condition and the world around us. We’re committed to offering unparalleled technology and solutions to the research community. With our platform of synthetic biology products, we intend to understand and answer some of life’s most challenging questions. Through design and engineering, our scientists enable researchers to study, alter, create, and re-create highly complex pathways, DNA sequences, genes, and natural biological systems. In the synthetic biology webinar series from Life Technologies, our scientists cover the different challenges that synthetic biology researchers encounter and address the solutions available to help them achieve their next breakthroughs.

          Stay at the forefront of synthetic biology breakthroughs, register for a live webinar, or view our library of past webinars at your leisure. New webinars are added monthly, so subscribe now and be among the first to learn about the latest advances in synthetic biology research.

          Register & Listen to Webinars

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          Plant genetic engineering
          This webinar introduces the newest genome editing technology for plants, GeneArt® Precision TALs. The scientific presentation also covers other cloning and algae engineering technologies, such as Gateway® and GeneArt® gene synthesis, to support your quest to engineer the next generation of crops.

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          Plant sequencing
          In a paper in the journal Plant Physiology, Dr. Franziska Turck and her team explained how they recently introduced deep candidate resequencing (dCARE) to their Arabidopsis mutant identification pipeline using the Ion PGM™ Sequencer. In this webinar, learn Dr. Turck’s opinion about the application of the isogenic mapping approach for plant gene identification, and how the fast and cost-effective barcoding Ion PGM™ System improves her deep sequencing workflow.

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          Genetic analysis solutions for plant science
          This webinar discusses scientific examples from key plant biotechnology applications such as transcriptome sequencing, plant genotyping and marker-assisted selection, plant genetic engineering, and GMO testing. The examples are followed by a presentation on how our simple, scalable, and affordable genetic analysis solutions can have the greatest impact for plant researchers.

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          Gateway® Technology
           


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          Joaquim Machado

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          NEWS

          Beebus virus targets aerospace and defence

          Security researchers have discovered a new threat that targets companies in the aerospace and defence industries that appears to have links with attacks originating from China.

          The virus, dubbed Beebus, uses malicious email attachments that exploit vulnerabilities in PDF and .doc files to infect computers within target companies, according to researchers at security firm FireEye.

          Those behind the Beebus campaign have also used drive-by downloads to infect computers. These attacks are invisible and do not require victims to do anything except visit an infected website, which could be a legitimate site that has been compromised by the attackers.

          Beebus uses a well-documented vulnerability in the Microsoft Windows operating system (OS) known as DLL search order hijacking.

          According to the researchers, Beebus drops a DLL called ntshrui.DLL in the C:\Windows directory to achieve persistence.

          The malware communicates with a remote command and control server, first encrypting the data it collects. It then waits for commands from the C&C server in response to the data sent out.

          Beebus has modules designed to capture information about the system such as OS and processor. It can also capture information such as process ID, process start time, and current user information.

          Another module is designed to download and execute additional payloads and updates

          According to the researchers, the Beebus campaign has been targeting companies in the aerospace and defense industry in waves.

          Based upon correlations with other attacks, the researchers believe Beebus to be yet another one of the tools, techniques and procedures associated with threat actors based in China.


          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 7, 2013, 9:03:18 AM2/7/13
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          Fernando Reinach
          Início do conteúdo

          Seca e fim da civilização maia

          07 de fevereiro de 2013 | 2h 07
          Fernando Reinach - O Estado de S. Paulo
          Se você tem dificuldade de imaginar como uma flutuação climática pode destruir uma civilização, imagine o que aconteceria em São Paulo se uma seca violenta fizesse com que os reservatórios de água que abastecem a cidade ficassem incapazes de enviar sequer uma gota para a cidade durante um ano. A população teria de ser realocada e provavelmente viveríamos uma crise política e econômica. 

          Há anos historiadores suspeitam que uma seca extremamente violenta foi uma das causas da extinção da civilização maia. Agora, os cientistas conseguiram mapear as variações climáticas que ocorreram durante quase 2.050 anos - começando 40 antes do nascimento de Cristo e terminando em 2006 - e puderam correlacionar essas mudanças climáticas ao surgimento, apogeu e o desaparecimento da civilização maia.

          A caverna de Yok Balum fica em Belize a 1,5 quilômetro de Uxbenká, uma cidade maia. Nas suas imediações, submetidos aos mesmo regime de chuvas, estão outros grandes centros da cultura maia. Essa caverna, localizada 366 metros acima do nível do mar, é rica em estalagmites. 

          As estalagmites surgem no solo das cavernas quando gotas de água caem do teto regularmente, exatamente no mesmo no mesmo local, durante milhares de anos. Cada gota contém minerais dissolvidos na água. Quando a água da gota evapora, os minerais se depositam no topo da estalagmite. 

          Imagine que a cada hora uma gota de água caia no topo da estalagmite e evapore, adicionando uma nova camada de minerais. Imagine agora que esse processo ocorra ininterruptamente durante milhares de anos. O resultado é a formação de uma estrutura na forma de dedo (algumas têm metros de altura) onde cada camada contém os minerais presentes na gota d'água que caiu naquela hora, daquele dia, daquele ano. Por esse motivo, as estalagmites são um registro temporal extremamente confiável do clima de uma região.

          Em 2006, cientistas coletaram uma estalagmite de 56 centímetros de comprimento na caverna de Yok Balum. Os 45 centímetros do topo da estalagmite foram fatiados como se fosse um salame. Cada fatia tinha 0,1 milímetro de espessura. Usando um método que mede a quantidade de urânio e tório, os cientistas puderam determinar a idade de cada uma dessas fatias. As mais de cima se formaram em 2006, antes da estalagmite ser coletada, mas as mais de baixo haviam sido formadas 40 anos antes de Cristo nascer. 

          Durante 2.050 anos, gota a gota, a composição da água que pinga nessa caverna estava registrada nesses 45 centímetros de estalagmite. De posse da idade de cada fatia, outra amostra de cada fatia foi utilizada para determinar a presença do isótopo 18 do oxigênio. Uma maior quantidade desse isótopo está relacionada a uma maior quantidade de chuva na época em que a fatia foi formada; uma quantidade menor do isótopo indica menos chuva. 

          Correlacionando os dados de idade e de quantidade de chuva em mais de 4,2 mil fatias, foi possível fazer um gráfico que indica quanto choveu, a cada semestre, naquela região desde 40 anos antes do nascimento de Cristo até o presente. As duas maiores secas que ocorreram na região após a chegada dos europeus (em 1535 e em cinco anos entre 1765 e 1800) aparecem claramente no gráfico. 

          O passo seguinte foi colocar no mesmo gráfico os diversos eventos da civilização maia. Lembre que os maias possuíam um sistema de calendário extremamente sofisticado, onde registravam os eventos políticos e a construção de pirâmides e outras obras. 

          O período áureo da civilização maia surgiu por volta dos anos 300, mas os centros urbanos e a construção dos monumentos se iniciou por volta do ano 400, após uma grande seca que ocorreu entre 400 e 425. Após essa seca, o número de cidades cresceu muito, atingindo o máximo por volta do ano 780. 

          Durante esses 360 anos, não houve secas na região. A primeira seca importante, que durou 15 anos, ocorreu em 820 e coincide com a não construção de novas cidades. Após essa seca, as chuvas voltaram em intensidade menor até o ano 910 e novas cidades apareceram nesse século. Uma seca forte que durou dez anos, iniciada em 910, marcou o fim das grandes construções. 

          A civilização maia ainda viveu na região até o ano 1000, quando veio o pior período de seca, que durou quase cem anos. Durante essa seca prolongada, o período clássico da civilização maia acabou e logo depois a cultura maia desapareceu.

          Essa descoberta corrobora a suspeita levantada por historiadores que a falta de água foi um dos fatores que explicam o fim da civilização maia. Além de demonstrar que secas fortes e raras podem dizimar civilizações, esse trabalho é um bom exemplo de como estudos climáticos estão aos poucos sendo incorporados à história das civilizações. 

          No banho, enquanto ensaboa o cabelo com a torneira aberta, lembre que os maias, que reinaram por mais de 800 anos na região do México, tiveram as chuvas a seu favor durante 400 anos, mas bastou uma seca rara e forte para eles desaparecerem. A civilização ocidental descobriu a América e se instalou por aqui faz aproximadamente 500 anos - e, por enquanto, teve o clima a seu favor. 

          * Fernando Reinach é biólogo. E-mail: fern...@reinach.com.

          Joaquim Machado

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          The Trade Post banner

          Why Is Trade More Costly For Poor Countries? A New Database Gives Us Some Answers

          SUBMITTED BY JEAN-FRANÇOIS ARVIS, CO-AUTHORS: BEN SHEPHERDJULIA OLIVER ON WED, 2013-02-06 09:28
          Airplanes on a runway. Source: World Bank.It is far more expensive for Tunisia to trade manufactured goods with its next-door neighbor, Algeria, than to trade them with distant France. Similarly, the cost of trading agricultural goods between neighbors Algeria and Morocco is more than twice as high as it is between Algeria and Spain. What hinders countries that are so close to each other – and that share common languages and elements of culture – from exchanging goods?
          This is one of the questions we sought to answer in developing a new trade costs database, which is a joint project between the World Bank and the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP). In constructing the database, we were initially motivated by a need to provide understandable estimates of trade costs to clients in North Africa. But the database has broader reach: being able to measure and explain the intensity of trade is of practical importance for many countries and for many aspects of our work at the Bank.
          The database uses a new method for measuring trade costs that is more precise than previous calculations and can be used to create profiles of individual countries. It covers the agriculture and manufacturing sectors in 178 countries and shows that it is often more difficult for poor countries to trade with each other – even if they are neighbors – than it is for them to trade with distant countries that are wealthy. It also reveals that between 1995 and 2010, developing countries made slower progress in reducing trade costs than rich countries. With this new resource, we hope to help policymakers pinpoint areas where trade costs are high and diminish the barriers that make trade expensive.
          The calculation of “trade costs” is a measurement of the trade-depressing effect of separation between countries. That separation comes in two forms. One is basically immutable, such as distance – the farther countries are from one another, the more expensive transportation is between them and the more difficulty they will have exchanging information – or the lack of a common language. The other form of separation is a more abstract idea and can be conceived of as the “thickness” of borders between countries. It is made up of elements that are easier to control with policy changes, such as logistics performance, international connectivity (existence of a shipping or airline “hub”), tariffs or non-tariff measures.
          Our goal was to show where trade costs are high (between which countries), so policymakers could better pinpoint the problems. The approach we took, which is described more in detail in a Policy Research Working Paper and an Economic Premise published by the World Bank, differs from the gravity model, a commonly-used econometric method that uses proxies for factors such as geographic distance and other sources of trade costs. Using some recent ideas in the literature, including our own work on connectivity metrics for global networks, we turned the problem on its head. Rather than using empirical methods to estimate how much trade is reduced compared to its potential, we used an “inverse gravity” method that infers trade costs from observed patterns of trade and production across countries. It follows this reasoning: When a country sells relatively more of its production to foreigners than to residents, it must be because international trade costs have fallen relative to domestic trade costs, and vice versa. The database we compiled includes not only bilateral trade data, which is available through the World Bank’s World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS) server, but information about domestic production. This approach provides a direct and theoretically consistent decomposition of bilateral trade flows based on three factors: two measuring the attraction of each country and a third measuring the “impedance” or hindrance of trade between the two countries.
          We found that the two most important factors determining “thickness of borders” trade costs are maritime transport connectivity and logistics performance. Poorer countries tend to have higher levels of trade costs than do richer countries, in both manufactured and agricultural goods. For manufacturing, trade costs have fallen fastest in high-income countries and considerably more slowly in the lower-income groups. In agriculture, by contrast, trade costs have remained relatively flat across income-groups.
          The trade costs database provides users with a direct reading of patterns between countries or in a region and allows leaders to compare country performance. It can show which regional trade agreements are working to make trade easier and which are not. It can also indicate where costs are high and likely to be affected by policy measures. Used along with other tools, such as trade facilitation and trade policy assessments, the database can help draw a powerful picture of the flaws that need mending in the international trade network.

          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 8, 2013, 10:01:50 PM2/8/13
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          A Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo, FAPESP, no âmbito do
          Programa BIOTA-FAPESP Educação, convida para o primeiro encontro do

          Ciclo de Conferências 2013
          Biodiversidade – Conceito, Valores e Ameaças

          O objetivo deste ciclo é caracterizar a biodiversidade dos principais biomas brasileiros,
          apontar as ameaças em cada região e traçar experiências e iniciativas de uso sustentável
          desse patrimônio natural


          Data: 21 de Fevereiro de 2013
          Horário: 13h30 às 16h00

          Local: FAPESP – Rua Pio XI, 1500 – Alto da Lapa

          Informações atualizadas em: 
          www.fapesp.br/eventos/biota_biodiversidade

          Confirmação de presença: 
          www.fapesp.br/eventos/biota_biodiversidade/inscricao

          Informações
          FAPESP - Gerência Adjunta de Eventos
          Tel.: (11) 3838-4394
          r...@fapesp.br

          Sugestões de estacionamento:
          Pio Park – Rua Pio XI, 1320
          Tonimar – Rua Jorge Americano, 89

          Programa
          13:30
          Credenciamento e Café de boas vindas
          13:50
          Abertura
          14:00
          O contexto histórico da definição conceitual de biodiversidade
          Thomas M. Lewinsohn – IB/UNICAMP
          14:45
          A fragmentação de habitats como principal ameaça à biodiversidade
          Jean Paul Metzger – IB/USP
          15:30
          Intervalo
          16:00
          O Programa BIOTA-FAPESP como exemplo de um Programa de Pesquisa em Caracterização, Conservação e Uso Sustentável da Biodiversidade
          Carlos A. Joly – IB/UNICAMP

          Joaquim Machado

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          Indispensável a leitura do livro:

          REALITY IS BROKEN: why games make us better and how they can change the world
          Author: Jane McGonigal
          Penguin Books, 2011

          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 10, 2013, 3:04:07 PM2/10/13
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          Cell circuits remember their history

          Engineers at MIT have developed genetic circuits in bacterial cells that not only perform logic functions, but also remember the results.
          Photo - Image: Liang Zong and Yan Liang
          MIT engineers design new synthetic biology circuits that combine memory and logic.
          Anne Trafton, MIT News Office
          February 10, 2013
          MIT engineers have created genetic circuits in bacterial cells that not only perform logic functions, but also remember the results, which are encoded in the cell’s DNA and passed on for dozens of generations.

          The circuits, described in the Feb. 10 online edition of Nature Biotechnology, could be used as long-term environmental sensors, efficient controls for biomanufacturing, or to program stem cells to differentiate into other cell types.

          “Almost all of the previous work in synthetic biology that we’re aware of has either focused on logic components or on memory modules that just encode memory. We think complex computation will involve combining both logic and memory, and that’s why we built this particular framework to do so,” says Timothy Lu, an MIT assistant professor of electrical engineering and computer science and biological engineering and senior author of the Nature Biotechnology paper.

          Lead author of the paper is MIT postdoc Piro Siuti. Undergraduate John Yazbek is also an author. 

          More than logic

          Synthetic biologists use interchangeable genetic parts to design circuits that perform a specific function, such as detecting a chemical in the environment. In that type of circuit, the target chemical would generate a specific response, such as production of green fluorescent protein (GFP).  

          Circuits can also be designed for any type of Boolean logic function, such as AND gates and OR gates. Using those kinds of gates, circuits can detect multiple inputs. In most of the previously engineered cellular logic circuits, the end product is generated only as long as the original stimuli are present: Once they disappear, the circuit shuts off until another stimulus comes along. 

          Lu and his colleagues set out to design a circuit that would be irreversibly altered by the original stimulus, creating a permanent memory of the event. To do this, they drew on memory circuits that Lu and colleagues designed in 2009. Those circuits depend on enzymes known as recombinases, which can cut out stretches of DNA, flip them, or insert them. Sequential activation of those enzymes allows the circuits to count events happening inside a cell.

          Lu designed the new circuits so that the memory function is built into the logic gate itself. With a typical cellular AND gate, the two necessary inputs activate proteins that together turn on expression of an output gene. However, in the new circuits, the inputs stably alter regions of DNA that control GFP production. These regions, known as promoters, recruit the cellular proteins responsible for transcribing the GFP gene into messenger RNA, which then directs protein assembly.

          For example, in one circuit described in the paper, two DNA sequences called terminators are interposed between the promoter and the output gene (GFP, in this case). Each of these terminators inhibits the transcription of the output gene and can be flipped by a different recombinase enzyme, making the terminator inactive. 

          Each of the circuit’s two inputs turns on production of one of the recombinase enzymes needed to flip a terminator. In the absence of either input, GFP production is blocked. If both are present, both terminators are flipped, resulting in their inactivation and subsequent production of GFP. 

          Once the DNA terminator sequences are flipped, they can’t return to their original state — the memory of the logic gate activation is permanently stored in the DNA sequence. The sequence also gets passed on for at least 90 generations. Scientists wanting to read the cell’s history can either measure its GFP output, which will stay on continuously, or if the cell has died, they can retrieve the memory by sequencing its DNA.

          Using this design strategy, the researchers can create all two-input logic gates and implement sequential logic systems. “It’s really easy to swap things in and out,” says Lu, who is also a member of MIT’s Synthetic Biology Center. “If you start off with a standard parts library, you can use a one-step reaction to assemble any kind of function that you want.”

          Long-term memory

          Such circuits could also be used to create a type of circuit known as a digital-to-analog converter. This kind of circuit takes digital inputs — for example, the presence or absence of single chemicals — and converts them to an analog output, which can be a range of values, such as continuous levels of gene expression. 

          For example, if the cell has two circuits, each of which expresses GFP at different levels when they are activated by their specific input, those inputs can produce four different analog output levels. Moreover, by measuring how much GFP is produced, the researchers can figure out which of the inputs were present.

          That type of circuit could offer better control over the production of cells that generate biofuels, drugs or other useful compounds. Instead of creating circuits that are always on, or using promoters that need continuous inputs to control their output levels, scientists could transiently program the circuit to produce at a certain level. The cells and their progeny would always remember that level, without needing any more information. 

          Used as environmental sensors, such circuits could also provide very precise long-term memory. “You could have different digital signals you wanted to sense, and just have one analog output that summarizes everything that was happening inside,” Lu says.

          This platform could also allow scientists to more accurately control the fate of stem cells as they develop into other cell types. Lu is now working on engineering cells to follow sequential development steps, depending on what kinds of inputs they receive from the environment. 

          Michael Jewett, an assistant professor of chemical and biological engineering at Northwestern University, says the new design represents a “huge advancement in DNA-encoded memory storage.”

          “I anticipate that the innovations reported here will help to inspire larger synthetic biology efforts that push the limits of engineered biological systems,” says Jewett, who was not involved in the research.

          The research was funded by the Office of Naval Research and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency.



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          Joaquim Machado

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          60-Second Earth

          Roses Raise Environment Concerns

          From water use to carbon emissions, raising and distributing roses has an environmental impact worse than many other crops. David Biello reports.

           






           

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          Millions of roses get handed out on Valentine's Day. But growing roses has an environmental impact worse than many other crops.

          Start with climate change: most roses in the U.S. and Europe are imported from warmer climes. All that flying and trucking adds thousands of metric tons of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere.

          Then there's all the water needed to, well, waterthe flowers. And the runoff fouled by copious quantities of pesticides needed to make the roses look perfect.  

          There's also the wildlife and workers poisoned by all that fumigation. Add to that habitat destruction where floral plantations displace native forest and wetlands.

          Finally, there's the refrigeration needed to keep those blooms fresh. The electricity is often produced by burning fossil fuels, and the refrigerant gases also exacerbate climate change.

          A more sustainable and, possibly, more romantic approach is to go with flowers certified by outfits like VeriFlora or, even better, whatever flowers are in season locally. Of course, that's not much help for those of us in wintry climes. Maybe try writing a poem. Let’s see: Roses are red, violets are blue…

          Joaquim Machado

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          February 10, 2013

          science

          Edition: U.S. 

          Picasso Paint Mystery Solved: High-Energy X-Rays Reveal Masterpiece Created With House Paint

          The Huffington Post  |  By Meredith Bennett-Smith Posted: 02/10/2013 10:20 am EST  |  Updated: 02/10/2013 10:20 am EST
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          Picasso House Paint
          GET SCIENCE ALERTS:

          Scientists and art experts have teamed up to help solve a longstanding debate about Picasso's methods and materials.

          The team, nicknamed "Picasso CSI," developed a special, high-energy X-ray nanoprobe for the project, according to an Argonne National Laboratory press release.

          "The nanoprobe is designed to advance the development of high-performance materials and sustainable energies by giving scientists a close-up view of the type and arrangement of chemical elements in material," the release reads, in part.

          The collaboration used experts from both the Art Institute of Chicago and Argonne National Laboratory. Its results were published last month in the journal Applied Physics A: Materials Science & Processing.

          The X-ray was used to analyze tiny samples of Picasso's paint, down to the scale of 30 nanometers, according to LiveScience. For comparison, the site wrote that a sheet of copier paper is 100,000 nanometers thick. Analysis of his 1931 painting, "The Red Armchair," showed that the legendary cubist painter was one of the earliest artists to use the first commercial house paint made by the Ripolin company.

          Story continues below.

          picasso house paint

          Picasso's "The Red Armchair," 1931.

          PopSci notes that, while paint types may seem like a small detail, Picasso's transition from oil to house paint was potentially groundbreaking within the art world. The change in medium also signifies a shift in the painter's style, as works created with house paint tend to feature a smooth surface without visible brushstrokes.

          "That switch in painting material gave birth to a new style of art marked by canvasses covered in glossy images with marbling, muted edges, and occasional errant paint drips, but devoid of brush marks," according to the Argonne National Laboratory press release. "Fast-drying enamel house paint enabled this dramatic departure from the slow-drying, heavily blended oil paintings that dominated the art world up until Picasso’s time.

          The team had been working on identifying Picasso's preferred type of paint from the summer of 2010 to the summer of 2011, according to Argonne National Laboratory.

          But the idea for the project began even earlier, in 2006. According to the Chicago Tribune, Art Institute administrators asked the museum's department of conservation science to solve once and for all the mystery of Picasso's paint.

          The results have brought together "two historically distant worlds of cultural heritage experts and scientists," according to The Tribune.

          ALSO ON HUFFPOST:

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          NATURE BIOTECHNOLOGY | RESEARCH | LETTER




          Metabolic engineering of Escherichia coli using synthetic small regulatory RNAs

          Nature Biotechnology
           
          31,
           
          170–174
           
          (2013)
           
          doi:10.1038/nbt.2461
          Received
           
          Accepted
           
          Published online
           

          Small regulatory RNAs (sRNAs) regulate gene expression in bacteria. We designed synthetic sRNAs to identify and modulate the expression of target genes for metabolic engineering inEscherichia coli. Using synthetic sRNAs for the combinatorial knockdown of four candidate genes in 14 different strains, we isolated an engineered E. coli strain (tyrR- and csrA-repressed S17-1) capable of producing 2 g per liter of tyrosine. Using a library of 130 synthetic sRNAs, we also identified chromosomal gene targets that enabled substantial increases in cadaverine production. Repression of murE led to a 55% increase in cadaverine production compared to the reported engineered strain (XQ56 harboring the plasmid p15CadA)1. The design principles and the engineering strategy using synthetic sRNAs reported here are generalizable to other bacteria and applicable in developing superior producer strains. The ability to fine-tune target genes with designed sRNAs provides substantial advantages over gene-knockout strategies and other large-scale target identification strategies owing to its easy implementation, ability to modulate chromosomal gene expression without modifying those genes and because it does not require construction of strain libraries.

          Joaquim Machado

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          Single-base resolution methylomes of tomato fruit development reveal epigenome modifications associated with ripening

          Nature Biotechnology
           
          31,
           
          154–159
           
          (2013)
           
          doi:10.1038/nbt.2462
          Received
           
          Accepted
           
          Published online
           

          Abstract

          Ripening of tomato fruits is triggered by the plant hormone ethylene, but its effect is restricted by an unknown developmental cue to mature fruits containing viable seeds. To determine whether this cue involves epigenetic remodeling, we expose tomatoes to the methyltransferase inhibitor 5-azacytidine and find that they ripen prematurely. We performed whole-genome bisulfite sequencing on fruit in four stages of development, from immature to ripe. We identified 52,095 differentially methylated regions (representing 1% of the genome) in the 90% of the genome covered by our analysis. Furthermore, binding sites for RIN, one of the main ripening transcription factors, are frequently localized in the demethylated regions of the promoters of numerous ripening genes, and binding occurs in concert with demethylation. Our data show that the epigenome is not static during development and may have been selected to ensure the fidelity of developmental processes such as ripening. Crop-improvement strategies could benefit by taking into account not only DNA sequence variation among plant lines, but also the information encoded in the epigenome.

          At a glance

          Joaquim Machado

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          Joaquim Machado

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          Joaquim Machado

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          Food Tech
          Agriculture is big business. But the future of big farming isn’t in massive machinery, but swarms of smart, cheap 'bots seeding, tending and harvesting fields one plant at a time
          By Clay DillowPosted 06.15.2012 at 8:00 am10 Comments

          Meet Prospero David Dourhout via Discovery News
          Whether conducted by an industrial farming outfit or a small, independent farmer, agriculture is all about yield. Per-acre production makes or break the year, and taken at the macro level it impacts global markets and can lead to humanitarian crises. And while agriculture already happens at the field-by-field level, David Dorhout wants to make agriculture even more precise. Think: plant-by-plant farming, optimized on a seed-by-seed basis.
          Who can manage such a precise, immense workload? Why, the diminutive hexapod robot named Prospero, of course.
          Dorhout currently works in the biotech industry, but his side project and passion for the last few years has been robotics. Built as the test platform for a larger robotic farming system, Prospero is just one of what will eventually become a swarm of planting, tending, and harvesting robots running game theory and swarm behavior algorithms to help optimize every inch of arable space in a given field. Dorhout has launched his own company, Dorhout R&D, to pursue this vision, and he’s hoping that as the larger robot revolution unfolds that farmers will once again be at the forefront of technological revolution.
          “Looking back at history agriculture seems kind of quaint,” Dorhout says. “But I realized growing up around a farm in Iowa that rather than being one of the last industries to adopt technology, agriculture is one of the earliest adopters.”

          Dorhout points to technologies that we now take for granted--things like the diesel engine, modern statistics, genetic engineering--that trace their origins back to a common impetus: the need to reliably grow more and better food. The ongoing robotics revolution is leaving its mark on agriculture already, as self-driving, GPS-equipped tractors now till land autonomously and other existing farm machinery becomes increasingly computerized and automated. A single human farmer can now maintain well more than 1,000 acres of farmland each year, using bigger and better farm equipment to increase productivity.

          But to Dorhout, the simultaneous computerization and intensification of existing farm technologies doesn’t make much sense. If you trace the development of agricultural technology along its entire arc, there’s always been a focus on increasing the individual farmer’s output: bigger tractors mean one human can cover more ground in less time, and huge irrigation apparatuses mean a single farmer can keep huge amounts of plants watered. But the future, Dorhout says, means moving in the exact opposite direction: smaller, smarter, and hands-free.
          “What I’m proposing is that you take the piece of machinery and you essentially explode it, so instead of having one piece of machinery you have maybe hundreds--many small robots instead of one big one,” Dorhout says. Previously, humans had to direct the machinery, so fewer (and bigger) machines meant fewer humans were needed to operate them. Now, the falling cost of microcomputers means intelligence can be spread across many machines that work both independently and together. Such technology could lead to a new farming paradigm where decisions are made on a plant-by-plant basis rather than acre-by-acre or field-by-field. Such a system could cut waste down to nearly nothing and push yields-per-acre through the roof. Prospero is Dorhout’s first step toward this vision.
          Prospero is a lone prototype planter robot designed to work with other identical robots in a swarm (Dorhout’s formal education happens to center around insect biology and behavior). In order to create something that the average farmer could actually use and service, Dorhout wanted simplicity and low cost. He built Prospero from an off-the-shelf robotics platform called a Boe-Bot packing a Parallax microcontroller--basically a small robot brain that costs something like eight bucks, he says. He wrote an advanced walking program that allows Prospero to move in any direction without turning its body. A sensor array packed into its belly--LEDs, a photo resistor, etc.--and other augmentations like a seed-hopper and a fertilizer spraying apparatus round out its hardware.
          The end result is a somewhat awkward but friendly-looking farmbot that can communicate with other robots around it via weak radio signals. It requires no GPS or complex computer vision algorithm--it sees only what is directly beneath it, taking the world in through this very small window. If it detects that there is no seed planted in the soil below (or in the immediate vicinity), it drills a hole down to the optimum depth, deposits a seed, sprays it with just the right preprogrammed amount of fertilizer and nutrients, covers the seed, and then marks the spot with a shot of “paint” that the other robots can detect should they walk over the same patch of soil.
          Every robot in the swarm is doing this simultaneously. If a robot passes over an area where a seed is already planted, it keeps moving. If not, it plants. Should a single robot come across a large swath of earth where it detects few seeds have been planted, it can signal others to come help it. If it encounters an area that seems to be already heavily planted, it can tell nearby robots to move away from it. Each robot doesn’t have to know the exact position of the others, which cuts down on a lot of the processing and data crunching that can make distributed robotics like this difficult. Yet the entire field gets planted, not necessarily in straight rows but with seed spacing optimized and a minimum of wasted space, fertilizer, and human effort.
          “I love these swarm technologies because they are so simple but you can get such complex behaviors,” Dorhout says. And because they don’t rely on complicated technologies or expensive robotics components, they’re something farmers of the very near future could actually use, and even enhance. “They’ll adapt it, and that’s important,” he says. “They’re the original hackers. They’ll make it better.”
          Prospero is just a first step, and a very preliminary one. Even Dorhout isn’t quite sure how the next phase will take shape. He envisions a planter like Prospero working side by side with other specialized 'bots: a tender robot that can maintain crops around the clock, monitoring for and combating pests and disease and ensuring soil conditions and moisture remain optimal, and a harvester that would only reap the crops plant-by-plant as they are ready, replacing today’s wholesale harvesting methods that always lose some percentage of yield by harvesting too early or too late for some plants in the field. The idea of course is to integrate all of these into a single robotic system that can handle everything from planting to harvest, perhaps organized around a kind of shepherd robot that is responsible for overseeing the entire system and that the farmer could direct as he or she sees fit. After all, the idea here isn’t to remove the human farmer from the system, but to make modern agriculture rise up to meet the demands of a growing global population. If that’s going to happen, farming has to become smarter.
          “When you’re sitting in a chair on a tractor, you’re not doing the brainwork,” Dorhout says. “A swarm of robots allows you to focus on increasing the productivity of, literally, each square foot. This won’t solve all of our problems, but it definitely gives us a little breathing room until we work things out.”

          Joaquim Machado

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          Jennifer Hicks
          Jennifer Hicks, Contributor

          I write about robotics, science, green and mobile technology

          TECH 
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          8/06/2012 @ 7:07AM |4,032 views

          Intelligent Sensing Agriculture Robots To Harvest Crops

           
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          254
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          Agriculture might be the last place you would think to look for robots. To be more specific, high value crops such as greenhouse vegetables, fruits in orchards and grapes for premium wines. But it does make sense. Anything that technology can do to foster the sustainable development of agriculture benefits the world.

          A new project that’s part of the European Union Seventh Framework Program (FP7) cRops (Clever Robots for Crops) is focusing on creating robots to harvest high value crops.

          The cRops robotic platform will be capable of site-specific spraying (targeted spraying only on foliage and selected targets) and selective harvesting of fruit. The robots will be able to detect the fruit, sense its ripeness, then move to grasp and softly detach only the ripe fruit. Another objective of cRops is to develop techniques for reliable detection and classification of obstacles and other objects to enable successful autonomous navigation and operation in plantations and forests.

          Projects like cRrops are significant because they can accelerate sustainable development of agriculture.
          – Catherine Simon, Innorobo

          The European project, made up of universities and labs from 10 different countries including Netherlands, Belgium, Israel, Slovenia, Sweden, Italy, Spain, Germany, Chile and France started in October 2010, but sources say it will take at least five more years before it could be commercialized. So why is Europe moving so slowly in terms commercializing robots and moving them into mass market?

          “One of the main reasons is simply because robotics is still in an early stage of maturity and we continue to see projects coming out of academia, government or EU commissions,” said Catherine Simon, Founder and organizer ofInnorobo, the leading robotics conference taking place in Lyon, France in 2013.  “Europe needs to make the shift from projects to product faster like the United States if we want to remain a leader in the the field of robotics. If the cRops project were to focus on detecting one specific type of fruit, it might be a shorter path to market. But in this case, with multiple countries, government funding, demand for subsidies and coordination across associated agencies, it slows the innovation process.”

          Simon’s point about targeting a specific fruit or problem is key. Harvest Automation, based in Boston, MA, raised $7.8 million in a series B funding round in November 2011. Harvest is focusing on agricultural robotics and focusing on greenhouse and nursery automation. They want to resolve acute manual labor problems across multiple industries but are starting with agriculture.  The Harvest Automation robot costs around $25 to $50k and because the manipulation requirements of the robots are lower in this sector, the company focus on creating a viable business, reducing costs and higher yields, rather than worrying about how to incorporate expensive robot arms into their operations.

          But, there are other fruit picking robots on the loose. In Japan in 2010 the Institute of Agricultural Machinery’s Bio-oriented Technology Research Advancement Institution, created a strawberry picking robot with a stereo camera system that images the strawberries in 3D and image-processing algorithms determine their ripeness. If a strawberry is at least 80 percent red, the machine snips it at the stem and puts it in a padded bin. It can harvest 60% of the strawberry crop, taking only nine seconds to pick a strawberry. But, according to a machine-vision specialist who worked on the strawberry picking project, this robot won’t happen without government subsidies.

          But times are changing. We are starting to see a true shift in the ecosystem surrounding robotics – moving from a heavily academic foundation to a more entrepreneurial approach.  In 2011, Hizook reported that VC funding in robotics surpassed $160 million, with Restoration Robotics taking a whopping $43 million (an image-guided hair transplant robot). And with outsiders like Dmitry Grishin, Founder, Grishin Robotics, believing it’s time to open up the insular world of robotics to entrepreneurs and raise the profile of the robotics industry, and insiders like Bruno Bonnell, Robultion Capital in France establishing Europe’s first robotics fund dedicated to service robotics toGoogle investing quietly in robotics in the form of cars that drive themselves, the race is on.

           

          Joaquim Machado

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          Harvest Public Media
                      
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          Take me to your fields: Robots on the farm

          ARTICLE | MAY 15, 2012 | BY JEREMY BERNFELD

          See more stories from our special report on the Farmer of the Future.

          Hear this story
          Brent Ware, a member of the robotics team at Kansas State, stands next to a planting robot that won a national competition. (Jeremy Bernfeld/Harvest Public Media)

          There’s always work to be done on the farm, but often it’s the same work day, after day, after day. Parts of the job must feel a bit like an assembly line.

          While it’s impossible to automate farming like many manufacturers have automated their assembly lines, using robotic technology on the farm might not be so far off.

          Farm robots in the classroom

          The biological and agricultural engineering robotics team at Kansas State University knows a thing or two about agricultural robots. They’ve won national robotics competitions in each of the last five years.

          Last year’s entry is a little four-wheeled machine that drops coffee grains from its bottom at specific locations. It has three little sensors that read where the crops are and keep the machine exactly ten inches. The robot travels the perimeter of the crop area and drops a grain of coffee every inch.

          Though their robots are only prototypes – last year’s robot is only ankle high and about a foot long – the principles they work with are ready for the farm.

          More: See video of the robot in action

          “It’s building on what’s currently there and looking toward what we would see happen in the future,” said Joe Dvorak, a Kansas State graduate student and president of the robotics team the last two years.

          “The whole idea behind (the robots) is very applicable,” Dvorak said. “If we’re doing them on a small-scale it just needs to be scaled up to work at a larger scale.”

          It sounds a bit crazy, right? It’s like a science fiction novel: Robots running around the field growing our food.

          Of course, in the “Star Wars” movies, moisture farmers use droids and robots on farms in a galaxy far, far, away. But they’ve also got flying cars. So, could we really see robots on the farm?

          Heading out to the field

          Farmers today already rely heavily on advanced technology, like GPS systems, automatic dairy milkers and satellite imaging. That makes the jump to robotics a fairly small one, according to Jeremy Brown, president of Jaybridge Robotics. His Massachusetts-based company makes software that helps turn regular machinery into robotic machinery for commercial use.

           Dig deeper

          Robots at the dairy

          (Courtesy DeLaval)
           
          Dairy farming is grueling work. Most dairy cows have to be milked two or three times a day and many dairies raise hundreds of cows in order to stay in the black.
           
          Though it sounds futuristic, a robot designed to milk cows is very much the present. In fact, robotic dairy milkers have been on the global market since the '90s.
           
          While human farmers aren’t yet in danger of being booted off their land in favor of robots,dairy farmers who have embraced robotics are seeing dramatic changes in their work life.
           

          “Robotics and autonomy become appropriate where you have a situation which is dull, which is dirty or which is dangerous,” Brown said.

          Sounds like farming. So much so, in fact, that Jaybridge and tractor manufacturer Kinze have already developed a mass-market robotic planting system. It’s set to head to market in limited release this fall.

          To be clear: robot tractors. In the field. This fall. It’s possible, Brown said, because most farms are already technologically advanced.

          “We took several major steps and I don’t want to downplay that, but I was just astonished at how high-tech farming had already become – it was an incredible place to start building from,” Brown said.

          It’s all thanks to sensors. They’re continuously becoming more advanced, cheaper and more rugged, so they can be used in the field.

          At its core, robotics is all about a machine reacting to the world around it. We already have tractors that drive in super-straight lines by themselves thanks to GPS autosteer technology. Throw in sensors that do things like allow it to back up, change gears when heading up or downhill, and detect objects in the field, and you’ve got a robot harvesting your wheat.

          After Kinze’s robot tractor hits showroom floors, expect to see more ag robot products soon, Brown said.

          “The capital equipment costs for farming is already enormous, right? Hundreds of thousands of dollars for each piece of equipment you get,” Brown said. “Once you’re dealing on that scale, the capital cost of the autonomy capability I don’t think presents a real showstopper.”

          Labor demands

          Head out on the farm today, though, and you won’t see many robots. The advanced machinery many farmers already have is still doing the trick. But that will change eventually, according to Dr. Tom Zhang, a professor in the biological and agricultural engineering department at Kansas State and the robotics team’s mentor.

          He said that in places like Japan, South Korea and even China, a declining farm labor force is pushing robots into the mainstream faster. That may be a harbinger for U.S. farms.

          “Eventually, we’ll need to have much more robotic – automated – machines so that farmers do not have to use that many farmers to do the farming work,” Zhang said. “That will happen eventually, but it’s not going to happen very quickly like in Japan, like in South Korea, like in China.”

          Farmer of the Future: More in this series

          The benefits to robotic technology on the farm are clear: Cutting labor costs, which can often make up a significant part of a farmer’s budget. With fewer young people taking up farming and wanting to live rural lives, and immigration crackdowns spooking a large part of the farm workforce, a robot farmhand will only look more appealing.

          Plus, farms have huge labor demands, but often only at two or three times a year, like planting and harvest. It’s hard for a farmer to employ year round the laborers he needs for the busy times. A robot able to do some of that work would surely help.

          “The farmers, actually, have been quite enthusiastic in seeing what this can do and how this can help them have predictable harvest times and be able to do longer hours with fewer people if necessary,” Brown said.

          Farm robots in the future

          Does this spell the end for the flesh and blood human farmer? Absolutely not.

          Today’s modern farmer is the CEO of his or her farm – every day making important business decisions, using complex financial instruments and managing a workforce. That won’t change. Even Brown, the robotic software engineer, said his company isn’t trying to replace farmers. Only help them.

          “There’s very much a human element in all of the business decisions and all of the equipment selection and maintenance and fleet decisions,” Brown said. “I don’t think you’re going to eliminate the farmer with automation.”

          Farmers are businesspeople. If it’s safe and it can help them squeeze more profit from their business, most conventional farmers will sign on.

          With robots on the way, the role of the farmer may have to change to adapt to new tools. But they’ve done that for centuries. See many oxen teams around?

          Still, the farmer of the future isn’t a robot. Even in our wildest imaginations, we still rely on farmers.

          “Even if we look at Star Wars, just to run with that, Luke’s aunt and uncle were human farmers,” Brown pointed out, laughing. “They had robot farmhands.”

          Robot farmhands of the future, though? It’s rapidly changing from science fiction, to science fact.

          About the Author

          Multimedia Editor, Harvest Public Media

          Jeremy Bernfeld is Harvest Public Media’s multimedia editor. New to the Midwest, Jeremy comes to Harvest from Boston where he helped build wbur.org, named the best news website in the country by the Radio Television Digital News Association. He has covered blizzards and tornadoes and the natural disaster that was the Red Sox’ 2011 season. A proud graduate of Bowdoin College in Brunswick, Maine, Jeremy’s work has appeared in the Boston Globe, the (Falmouth, Maine) Forecaster and on NPR’s Only A Game.

          Joaquim Machado

          unread,
          Feb 12, 2013, 7:29:35 PM2/12/13
          to Joaquim Machado, Braulio Dias, adrit...@yahoo.com.br, Maria Cecilia Vieira, davi.bo...@itamaraty.gov.br, Maximiliano da Cunha Henriques Arienzo, Paulo Brandao, Eliana Maria Gouveia Fontes, Lidio Coradin, Zeze Sampaio, Decio Zylbersztajn, Sergio Salles Filho, Maria Beatriz Bonacelli, beatriz bulhoes, btc5734...@googlegroups.com, btc...@googlegroups.com, btc573...@googlegroups.com, economi...@googlegroups.com, BTC5700 2012, acgs...@usp.br, Monica Adriana Salles, Tejon Megido_fw, Coriolano, Marcio de M. Santos, Antonio Carlos Guedes, Mariza T. Barbosa, Paulo Manoel L.C. Protasio, noos...@terra.com.br, Andrea Rocha, Luzinete Faria, Palazzo Jr.

          By Ray Kurzweil


          Can nonbiological brains have real minds of their own? In this article, drawn from his latest book, futurist/inventor Ray Kurzweil describes the future of intelligence—artificial and otherwise.


          From How to Create a Mind by Ray Kurzweil. Copyright © 2012, Ray Kurzweil. Reprinted by arrangement with Viking, a member of Penguin Group (USA) Inc.

          The mammalian brain has a distinct aptitude not found in any other class of animal. We are capable ofhierarchical thinking, of understanding a structure composed of diverse elements arranged in a pattern, representing that arrangement with a symbol, and then using that symbol as an element in a yet more elaborate configuration.

          This capability takes place in a brain structure called the neocortex, which in humans has achieved a threshold of sophistication and capacity such that we are able to call these patterns ideas. We are capable of building ideas that are ever more complex. We call this vast array of recursively linked ideasknowledge. Only Homo sapiens have a knowledge base that itself evolves, grows exponentially, and is passed down from one generation to another.

          We are now in a position to speed up the learning process by a factor of thousands or millions once again by migrating from biological to nonbiological intelligence. Once a digital neocortex learns a skill, it can transfer that know-how in minutes or even seconds. Ultimately we will create an artificial neocortex that has the full range and flexibility of its human counterpart.

          Consider the benefits. Electronic circuits are millions of times faster than our biological circuits. At first we will have to devote all of this speed increase to compensating for the relative lack of parallelism in our computers. Parallelism is what gives our brains the ability to do so many different types of operations—walking, talking, reasoning—all at once, and perform these tasks so seamlessly that we live our lives blissfully unaware that they are occurring at all. The digital neocortex will be much faster than the biological variety and will only continue to increase in speed.

          When we augment our own neocortex with a synthetic version, we won’t have to worry about how much additional neocortex can physically fit into our bodies and brains, as most of it will be in the cloud, like most of the computing we use today. We have about 300 million pattern recognizers in our biological neocortex. That’s as much as could be squeezed into our skulls even with the evolutionary innovation of a large forehead and with the neocortex taking about 80% of the available space. As soon as we start thinking in the cloud, there will be no natural limits—we will be able to use billions or trillions of pattern recognizers, basically whatever we need, and whatever the law of accelerating returns can provide at each point in time.

          In order for a digital neocortex to learn a new skill, it will still require many iterations of education, just as a biological neocortex does. Once a single digital neocortex somewhere and at some time learns something, however, it can share that knowledge with every other digital neocortex without delay. We can each have our own private neocortex extenders in the cloud, just as we have our own private stores of personal data today.

          Last but not least, we will be able to back up the digital portion of our intelligence. It is frightening to contemplate that none of the information contained in our neocortex is backed up today. There is, of course, one way in which we do back up some of the information in our brains: by writing it down. The ability to transfer at least some of our thinking to a medium that can outlast our biological bodies was a huge step forward, but a great deal of data in our brains continues to remain vulnerable.

          The Next Chapter in Artificial Intelligence

          Artificial intelligence is all around us. The simple act of connecting with someone via a text message, e-mail, or cell-phone call uses intelligent algorithms to route the information. Almost every product we touch is originally designed in a collaboration between human and artificial intelligence and then built in automated factories. If all the AI systems decided to go on strike tomorrow, our civilization would be crippled: We couldn’t get money from our bank, and indeed, our money would disappear; communication, transportation, and manufacturing would all grind to a halt. Fortunately, our intelligent machines are not yet intelligent enough to organize such a conspiracy.

          What is new in AI today is the viscerally impressive nature of publicly available examples. For example, consider Google’s self-driving cars, which as of this writing have gone over 200,000 miles in cities and towns. This technology will lead to significantly fewer crashes and increased capacity of roads, alleviate the requirement of humans to perform the chore of driving, and bring many other benefits.

          Driverless cars are actually already legal to operate on public roads in Nevada with some restrictions, although widespread usage by the public throughout the world is not expected until late in this decade. Technology that intelligently watches the road and warns the driver of impending dangers is already being installed in cars. One such technology is based in part on the successful model of visual processing in the brain created by MIT’s Tomaso Poggio. Called MobilEye, it was developed by Amnon Shashua, a former postdoctoral student of Poggio’s. It is capable of alerting the driver to such dangers as an impending collision or a child running in front of the car and has recently been installed in cars by such manufacturers as Volvo and BMW.

          I will focus now on language technologies for several reasons: Not surprisingly, the hierarchical nature of language closely mirrors the hierarchical nature of our thinking. Spoken language was our first technology, with written language as the second. My own work in artificial intelligence has been heavily focused on language. Finally, mastering language is a powerfully leveraged capability. Watson, the IBM computer that beat two former Jeopardy! champions in 2011, has already read hundreds of millions of pages on the Web and mastered the knowledge contained in these documents. Ultimately, machines will be able to master all of the knowledge on the Web—which is essentially all of the knowledge of our human–machine civilization.

          One does not need to be an AI expert to be moved by the performance of Watson on Jeopardy! Although I have a reasonable understanding of the methodology used in a number of its key subsystems, that does not diminish my emotional reaction to watching it—him?—perform. Even a perfect understanding of how all of its component systems work would not help you to predict how Watson would actually react to a given situation. It contains hundreds of interacting subsystems, and each of these is considering millions of competing hypotheses at the same time, so predicting the outcome is impossible. Doing a thorough analysis—after the fact—of Watson’s deliberations for a single three-second query would take a human centuries.

          One limitation of the Jeopardy! game is that the answers are generally brief: It does not, for example, pose questions of the sort that ask contestants to name the five primary themes of A Tale of Two Cities.To the extent that it can find documents that do discuss the themes of this novel, a suitably modified version of Watson should be able to respond to this. Coming up with such themes on its own from just reading the book, and not essentially copying the thoughts (even without the words) of other thinkers, is another matter. Doing so would constitute a higher-level task than Watson is capable of today.

          It is noteworthy that, although Watson’s language skills are actually somewhat below that of an educated human, it was able to defeat the best two Jeopardy! players in the world. It could accomplish this because it is able to combine its language ability and knowledge understanding with the perfect recall and highly accurate memories that machines possess. That is why we have already largely assigned our personal, social, and historical memories to them.

          Wolfram|Alpha is one important system that demonstrates the strength of computing applied to organized knowledge. Wolfram|Alpha is an answer engine (as opposed to a search engine) developed by British mathematician and scientist Stephen Wolfram and his colleagues at Wolfram Research. For example, if you ask Wolfram|Alpha, “How many primes are there under a million?” it will respond with “78,498.” It did not look up the answer, it computed it, and following the answer it provides the equations it used. If you attempted to get that answer using a conventional search engine, it would direct you to links where you could find the algorithms required. You would then have to plug those formulas into a system such as Mathematica, also developed by Wolfram, but this would obviously require a lot more work (and understanding) than simply asking Alpha.

          Indeed, Alpha consists of 15 million lines of Mathematica code. What Alpha is doing is literally computing the answer from approximately 10 trillion bytes of data that has been carefully curated by the Wolfram Research staff. You can ask a wide range of factual questions, such as, “What country has the highest GDP per person?” (Answer: Monaco, with $212,000 per person in U.S. dollars), or “How old is Stephen Wolfram?” (he was born in 1959; the answer is 52 years, 9 months, 2 days on the day I am writing this). Alpha is used as part of Apple’s Siri; if you ask Siri a factual question, it is handed off to Alpha to handle. Alpha also handles some of the searches posed to Microsoft’s Bing search engine.

          Wolfram reported in a recent blog post that Alpha is now providing successful responses 90% of the time. He also reports an exponential decrease in the failure rate, with a half-life of around 18 months. It is an impressive system, and uses handcrafted methods and hand-checked data. It is a testament to why we created computers in the first place. As we discover and compile scientific and mathematical methods, computers are far better than unaided human intelligence in implementing them. Most of the known scientific methods have been encoded in Alpha, along with continually updated data on topics ranging from economics to physics.

          In a private conversation I had with him, Wolfram estimated that self-organizing methods such as those used in Watson typically achieve about an 80% accuracy when they are working well. Alpha, he pointed out, is achieving about a 90% accuracy. Of course, there is self-selection in both of these accuracy numbers, in that users (such as myself) have learned what kinds of questions Alpha is good at, and a similar factor applies to the self-organizing methods. Some 80% appears to be a reasonable estimate of how accurate Watson is on Jeopardy! queries, but this was sufficient to defeat the best humans.

          It is my view that self-organizing methods such as I articulate as the pattern-recognition theory of mind, or PRTM, are needed to understand the elaborate and often ambiguous hierarchies we encounter in real-world phenomena, including human language. Ideally, a robustly intelligent system would combine hierarchical intelligence based on the PRTM (which I contend is how the human brain works) with precise codification of scientific knowledge and data. That essentially describes a human with a computer.

          We will enhance both poles of intelligence in the years ahead. With regard to our biological intelligence, although our neocortex has significant plasticity, its basic architecture is limited by its physical constraints. Putting additional neocortex into our foreheads was an important evolutionary innovation, but we cannot now easily expand the size of our frontal lobes by a factor of a thousand, or even by 10%. That is, we cannot do so biologically, but that is exactly what we will do technologically.

          Our digital brain will also accommodate substantial redundancy of each pattern, especially ones that occur frequently. This allows for robust recognition of common patterns and is also one of the key methods to achieving invariant recognition of different forms of a pattern. We will, however, need rules for how much redundancy to permit, as we don’t want to use up excessive amounts of memory on very common low-level patterns.

          Educating Our Nonbiological Brain

          A very important consideration is the education of a brain, whether a biological or a software one. A hierarchical pattern-recognition system (digital or biological) will only learn about two—preferably one—hierarchical levels at a time. To bootstrap the system, I would start with previously trained hierarchical networks that have already learned their lessons in recognizing human speech, printed characters, and natural-language structures.

          Such a system would be capable of reading natural-language documents but would only be able to master approximately one conceptual level at a time. Previously learned levels would provide a relatively stable basis to learn the next level. The system can read the same documents over and over, gaining new conceptual levels with each subsequent reading, similar to the way people reread and achieve a deeper understanding of texts. Billions of pages of material are available on the Web. Wikipedia itself has about 4 million articles in the English version.

          I would also provide a critical-thinking module, which would perform a continual background scan of all of the existing patterns, reviewing their compatibility with the other patterns (ideas) in this software neocortex. We have no such facility in our biological brains, which is why people can hold completely inconsistent thoughts with equanimity. Upon identifying an inconsistent idea, the digital module would begin a search for a resolution, including its own cortical structures as well as all of the vast literature available to it. A resolution might mean determining that one of the inconsistent ideas is simply incorrect (if contraindicated by a preponderance of conflicting data). More constructively, it would find an idea at a higher conceptual level that resolves the apparent contradiction by providing a perspective that explains each idea. The system would add this resolution as a new pattern and link to the ideas that initially triggered the search for the resolution. This critical thinking module would run as a continual background task. It would be very beneficial if human brains did the same thing.

          I would also provide a module that identifies open questions in every discipline. As another continual background task, it would search for solutions to them in other disparate areas of knowledge. The knowledge in the neocortex consists of deeply nested patterns of patterns and is therefore entirely metaphorical. We can use one pattern to provide a solution or insight in an apparently disconnected field.

          As an example, molecules in a gas move randomly with no apparent sense of direction. Despite this, virtually every molecule in a gas in a beaker, given sufficient time, will leave the beaker. This provides a perspective on an important question concerning the evolution of intelligence. Like molecules in a gas, evolutionary changes also move every which way with no apparent direction. Yet, we nonetheless see a movement toward greater complexity and greater intelligence, indeed to evolution’s supreme achievement of evolving a neocortex capable of hierarchical thinking. So we are able to gain an insight into how an apparently purposeless and directionless process can achieve an apparently purposeful result in one field (biological evolution) by looking at another field (thermodynamics).

          We should provide a means of stepping through multiple lists simultaneously to provide the equivalent of structured thought. A list might be the statement of the constraints that a solution to a problem must satisfy. Each step can generate a recursive search through the existing hierarchy of ideas or a search through available literature. The human brain appears to be only able to handle four simultaneous lists at a time (without the aid of tools such as computers), but there is no reason for an artificial neocortex to have such a limitation.

          We will also want to enhance our artificial brains with the kind of intelligence that computers have always excelled in, which is the ability to master vast databases accurately and implement known algorithms quickly and efficiently Wolfram|Alpha uniquely combines a great many known scientific methods and applies them to carefully collected data. This type of system is also going to continue to improve, given Stephen Wolfram’s observation of an exponential decline in error rates.

          Finally, our new brain needs a purpose. A purpose is expressed as a series of goals. In the case of our biological brains, our goals are established by the pleasure and fear centers that we have inherited from the old brain. These primitive drives were initially set by biological evolution to foster the survival of species, but the neocortex has enabled us to sublimate them. Watson’s goal was to respond to Jeopardy!queries. Another simply stated goal could be to pass the Turing test. To do so, a digital brain would need a human narrative of its own fictional story so that it can pretend to be a biological human. It would also have to dumb itself down considerably, for any system that displayed the knowledge of Watson, for instance, would be quickly unmasked as nonbiological.

          More interestingly, we could give our new brain a more ambitious goal, such as contributing to a better world. A goal along these lines, of course, raises a lot of questions: Better for whom? Better in what way? For biological humans? For all conscious beings? If that is the case, who or what is conscious?

          As nonbiological brains become as capable as biological ones of effecting changes in the world—indeed, ultimately far more capable than unenhanced biological ones—we will need to consider their moral education. A good place to start would be with one old idea from our religious traditions: the golden rule.

          About the Author

          Ray Kurzweil is an inventor, writer, and futurist. Among his honors are the MIT-Lemelson Prize, the National Medal of Technology, and, in 2002, induction into the U.S Patent Office’s National Inventor’s Hall of Fame.

          This article was excerpted from his most recent book, How to Create a Mind (Viking, 2012).

          Joaquim Machado

          unread,
          Feb 16, 2013, 3:09:50 PM2/16/13
          to Joaquim Machado, Braulio Dias, adrit...@yahoo.com.br, Maria Cecilia Vieira, davi.bonavides@itamaraty.gov.br bonavides, Maximiliano da Cunha Henriques Arienzo, Paulo Brandao, Eliana Maria Gouveia Fontes, Lidio Coradin, Zeze Sampaio, Decio Zylbersztajn, Sergio Salles Filho, Maria Beatriz Bonacelli, beatriz bulhoes, btc5734_2011-1@googlegroups.com 2011-1, btc...@googlegroups.com, btc5734_2012@googlegroups.com 2012, economia_biotec@googlegroups.com biotec, BTC5700 2012, acgs...@usp.br, Monica Adriana Salles, Tejon Megido_fw, Coriolano, Victor Megido IED, Marcio de M. Santos, Antonio Carlos Guedes, Mariza T. Barbosa, Paulo Manoel L.C. Protasio, Andrea Rocha, Luzinete Faria, Palazzo Jr.

          Em uma das mesas da Biblioteca da minha alma mater ESALQ, há décadas atrás algum aluno sabiamente escreveu com caneta BIC: "quem tudo grifa não grifa nada".

          Correndo esse risco, acabei grifando quase todo o texto do artigo THE DISRUPTOR,  da WIRED ( USA Edition ) de março de 2013 ( revista sobre Futuro é assim, sai adiantada ! ) que fala sobre Inovação e sobre Clayton Christensen. Considero que não se pode deixar de ler isso.

          Alguns trechos:

          "Successful businesses are trained to focus on sustaining innovations - innovations at the profitable, high end of the market, making things incrementally bigger, more powerful, and more efficient. The problem is that this leaves companies vulnerable to the disruptive innovations that emerge in the murky, low-margin bottom of the market. And this is where the true revolutions occur, creating new markets and wreaking havoc within industries"

          "I think higher education is just on the edge of the crevasse. Generally, universities are doing very well financially, so they don't feel from the data that their world is going to collapse due to the availability of online learning. Harvard Business School doesn't teach accounting anymore, because there's a guy out of BYU whose online accounting course is so good. Most universities will survive evolving hybrid models, in which universities license some courses from an online  provider like Coursera but then provide more specialized courses in person. Hybrids are actually a principle regardless of industry. If you want to use a new technology in a mainstream existing market, its has to be a hybrid"

          "Managers need to deal with deliberate strategy and emergent strategy, which allows you to embrace serendipity"


          Quem sabe isso tudo explique a imensa satisfação pessoal que senti ao me matricular recentemente em duas Disciplinas do MITx.


          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 19, 2013, 6:22:26 PM2/19/13
          to Joaquim Machado, Braulio Dias, adrit...@yahoo.com.br, Maria Cecilia Vieira, davi.bonavides@itamaraty.gov.br bonavides, Maximiliano da Cunha Henriques Arienzo, Paulo Brandao, Eliana Maria Gouveia Fontes, Lidio Coradin, Zeze Sampaio, Decio Zylbersztajn, Sergio Salles Filho, Maria Beatriz Bonacelli, beatriz bulhoes, btc5734_2011-1@googlegroups.com 2011-1, btc...@googlegroups.com, btc5734_2012@googlegroups.com 2012, economia_biotec@googlegroups.com biotec, BTC5700 2012, acgs...@usp.br, Monica Adriana Salles, Tejon Megido_fw, Coriolano, Marcio de M. Santos, Antonio Carlos Guedes, Mariza T. Barbosa, Paulo Manoel L.C. Protasio


           
           
           
           
          INVITATION
           
           

          The São Paulo Research Foundation, FAPESP, and the National Science Foundation, NSF, are pleased to invite you to the Symposium:

          The assembly and evolution of the
          Amazonian biota and its environment

           The symposium speakers will address the central questions associated with the assembly and evolution of the Amazonian Biota: (a) the need for an integrative approach to Amazonian environmental history and assembly, (b) the phylogenetic and biogeographic assembly of Amazonian vertebrates and plants, (c) Amazonian collection data and the quantitative analysis of areas of endemism, (d) the Neogene paleogeographic and paleoclimatic history of Amazonia, (e) phylogeographic populational structuring and environmental stability, and (f) the integration of these data into global climate models of Plio-Pleistocene and future environmental change.

          The assembly and evolution of the Amazonian biota and its environment
          Venue
          FAPESP – Rua Pio XI, 1500 – Alto da Lapa – SP
          Date
          March 4th
          Time
          8:30 to 18:30

          Parking suggestion


          Pio Park – Rua Pio XI, 1320
          Tonimar – Rua Jorge Americano, 89

          Website
          http://www.fapesp.br/eventos/AmBiota

          Registration
          http://www.fapesp.br/eventos/AmBiota/Inscricao

          Information
          mel...@fapesp.br
          (11) 3838-4216

          This event will be held in English with simultaneous translation to Portuguese


           
          SYMPOSIUM SCHEDULE
          8h30
          Welcome and opening ceremony
           
          PART I: DOCUMENTING AMAZONIAN BIOTIC HISTORY
          8h40
          Building an understanding of the biotic and environmental history of Amazonia
          Joel Cracraft (American Museum of Natural History, USA) and Lúcia G. Lohmann (Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil)
          9h00
          Databasing Amazonian plants and the importance of point locality data to biogeographic studies
          Barbara Thiers (The New York Botanical Garden, USA)
          9h20
          Databasing Amazonian vertebrate collections
          Thomas Trombone (American Museum of Natural History, USA) & Joel Cracraft (American Museum of Natural History, USA)
          9h40
          Using geo-referenced data to understand patterns of diversity
          José Alexandre Felizola Diniz-Filho (Universidade Federal de Goiás, Brazil)
          10h00
          Using geo-referenced data to understand patterns of endemism applying spatial congruence
          Claudia Szumik (CONICET-Instituto Superior de Entomologia, Tucumán, Argentina) & Pablo Goloboff (CONICET-Instituto Superior de Entomologia, Tucumán, Argentina)
          10h20
          Coffee Break
           
          PART II: DOCUMENTING AMAZONIAN ENVIRONMENT
          10h50
          Using remote sensing and data layers to understand the history of Amazonia
          Kyle McDonald (The City University of New York, USA)
          11h10
          Neogene models of Amazonian paleogeography
          Ken Campbell (Natural History Museum of Los Angeles, USA) and Afonso Nogueira (Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi, Brazil)
          11h30
          Large-scale environmental modeling of Neogene Amazonia
          Sharon Cowling (Canadian Institute for Advanced Research, Canadá)
          11h50
          Plio-Pleistocene environmental change in Amazonia: What do we know and what we don’t know
          Frank Mayle (University of Edinburgh, UK)
          12h10
          Precipitation Patterns in South America during the Late Pleistocene: Possible implications for Amazonian Biodiversity
          Francisco William Cruz (Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil)
          12h30
          General Discussion
          Moderators: Joel Cracraft & Lúcia G. Lohmann
          13h00
          Lunch – Restaurants around FAPESP
           
          PART III: BIOTIC HISTORY (PHYLOGEOGRAPHY & PHYLOGENY)
          14h00
          Using phylogeographic analyses to understand former environmental change
          Ana Carnaval (The City University of New York, USA)
          14h20
          Using historical biogeography to reconstruct landscape history in Amazonia
          Camila Ribas (Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Brazil), Alexandre Aleixo (Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi, Brazil), John Bates (The Field Museum, USA) & Joel Cracraft (American Museum of Natural History, USA)
          14h40
          Current state and future perspectives on primate systematics
          Horácio Schneider (Universidade Federal do Pará, Brazil) & Iracilda Sampaio (Universidade Federal do Pará, Brazil)
          15h00
          The assembly and evolution of Amazonian butterfly communities
          Andrew Brower (Middle Tennessee State University, USA), André Freitas (UNICAMP, Brazil) & Karina Lucas (UNICAMP, Brazil)
          15h20
          Coffee Break
          15h50
          What molecular data have taught us about the ecology and evolution of the Brazil nut family (Lecythidaceae, Ericales)
          Scott Mori (The New York Botanical Garden, USA) & Chris Dick (University of Michigan, USA)
          16h30
          Biogeography of Bignonieae (Bignoniaceae): Insights into the assembly of the Amazonian Biota
          Lúcia G. Lohmann (Universidade de São Paulo, Brazil)
          16h50
          Using bioinformatics to integrate knowledge about Amazonian biodiversity
          Rob Guralnick (University of Colorado-Boulder, USA)
          17h10
          The Evolutionary Atlas of Amazonian Biodiversity
          John Bates (The Field Museum, USA)
          17h30
          Symposium closure and general discussion
          Moderators: Joel Cracraft & Lúcia G. Lohmann

          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 20, 2013, 4:08:33 PM2/20/13
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          Can Ethanol from Corn Be Made Sustainable?

          The first biofuel plants are ready to make ethanol from the nonfood part of corn, but such cellulosic ethanol may falter if subsidies end


           






           

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          baling-celluloseCELLULOSIC ETHANOL: Poet has begun harvesting cellulose--the stem, leaves and cob of corn plants--for use in a new facility the biofuel brewer is building in Emmetsburg, Ia.Image: © Poet

          A new plant is rising from the fields around Emmetsburg, Iowa—one that will ferment into ethanol the cobs, stems and husks of corn from nearly 50,000 hectares of farmland. Such cellulosic ethanol offers a way to get the energy and environmentalsecurity benefits of biofuels without disrupting the food supply when the edible corn itself is used.

          "The facility will be operational in 2014," says Jeff Lautt, chief executive of Poet, LLC, one of the largest brewers of ethanol in the U.S. "We are on the doorstep of cellulosic ethanol, but don't pull the rug out from under us after we invest billions."

          That rug, Lautt and others in the biofuel business worry, is the U.S. government removal of price support for cellulosic ethanol, among other alternative fuels. Already, this year many of the subsidies and supports enjoyed by the biofuel industry will expire—and critics have argued that all such supports under the 2005 Renewable Fuel Standard (amended in 2007) should be ended, especially for the bulk of ethanol produced today, which is brewed from the noncellulosic starch in corn kernels.

          In the past few years the increasing use of corn for fuel, along with drought, has helped triple the price of corn globally. (The U.S. supplies 60 percent of the world’s exported corn.) Poet’s own corn ethanol brewing facility in Macon, Mo., has had to shut down because of tight supplies. "It's not that we can't get corn," Lautt explains. "It's that we can't get corn priced in a way that it is economically viable to continue."

          The corn shortage exists despite the fact that between 2006 and 2011 U.S. farmers converted more than 530,000 hectares of land to growing the grain, according to astudy published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences on February 18. Those lands were not fertile soils but instead the kind of marginal lands that are prone to erosion—and the kind of runoff from cornfields that causes environmental problems like the oxygen-depleted waters, or "dead zone," in the Gulf of Mexico. Overall the U.S. now transforms roughly 40 percent of its national corn crop into the alcohol fuel.

          In the last decade ethanol brewed from corn has come to supply 10 percent of the U.S. automotive fuel supply, some 50 billion liters per year. Critics argue that corn ethanol is now an established fuel and should no longer receive government support, which comes to roughly $7 billion annually, once tax credits, tariffs and other incentives are totaled. But Lautt points to ethanol forestalling the use of foreign oil as well as providing new revenues for North American farmers that make it possible to grow corn at a profit without direct subsidies. "We have an option [for fuel] for the first time in 100 years," he adds.

          Although Lautt argues that ethanol from corn should continue indefinitely as part of the U.S. fuel mix, the U.S. Congress hoped to gradually replace it with the kind of cellulosic ethanol to be brewed at Poet’s Liberty facility in Emmetsburg over the course of the next decade. But quantities of cellulosic ethanol have consistently failed to meet expectations, perhaps because those expectations were set based on amounts of cellulosic material available on fields rather than the ability of technology at the time to turn biomass into fuel. "It's hard to predict technology development," Lautt admits.

          There have been some pleasant surprises, such as Poet's ability to use more than just corn cobs. That, in turn, enables farmers to collect the stalks and other detritus from the fields with a simple baler for delivery to the Liberty facility. "You can take more trash off the field and get more density [in the bale of biomass] as well," Lautt says. At the same time, enough of the carbon-rich material is left behind to ensure continued soil fertility—the farmers produce nine metric tons of biomass per hectare but only harvest a ton for the cellulosic facility, according to Poet.

          Although efforts to develop cellulosic ethanol in a big way continue to struggle, Lautt and his allies in the biofuel business would like to see more effort put into reconfiguring automobile engines to run on ethanol. If that happens, he argues: "I think we'll blow away the concept of electric vehicles."



          Joaquim Machado

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          The Weird Irony at the Heart of the Napoleon Chagnon Affair

          By John Horgan | February 18, 2013 |  Comments7


          I have a few things to get off my chest regarding Napoleon Chagnon, who is back in the news with a score-settling memoir, Noble Savages. On Sunday, Savages was reviewed in The New York Times Book Review, and Chagnon was profiled in a Times Magazine article: “How Napoleon Chagnon Became Our Most Controversial Anthropologist.” Both pieces focus on the 2000 book Darkness in El Dorado by Chagnon’s nemesis, journalist Patrick Tierney. Neither piece mentions a remarkable irony at the heart of Chagnon’s career, which I’ll get to soon.

          First, some background. In the summer of 2000, The Times Book Review asked me to review Darkness and sent me galleys. The book was packed with allegations of misconduct by scientists and journalists scrutinizing the Yanomamo, a tribe of Amazonian hunters and horticulturalists. Tierney chief villain was Chagnon, whose 1968 book Yanomamo: The Fierce People, depicted Yanomamo males as, well, savages mired in chronic warfare. Chagnon’s work was embraced by sociobiology and its repackaged successor evolutionary psychology, which emphasize the genetic underpinnings of warfare and other human behaviors and downplay cultural factors.

          In Darkness, Tierney accused Chagnon of projecting his belligerent personality onto the Yanomamo and of inciting their violence. (Biologist Edward Wilson inadvertently lent credence to the projection charge when he noted, in a foreword to Chagnon’s 1992 book Yanomamo: The Last Days of Eden, that he “strikes many of his friends and colleagues as basically similar [to the Yanomamo] in personality: tough, feisty, courageous.”)

          Tierney’s book made headlines even before it was published. In an edited excerpt in the October 9 New Yorker, Tierney suggested that in 1968 Chagnon and geneticist James Neel might have started or exacerbated a measles outbreak among the Yanomamo by giving them a flawed vaccine. Meanwhile defenders of Chagnon denounced Tierney’s book as a “hoax.”

          I was still working on my review of Darkness when I received emails from five prominent scholars: Richard Dawkins, Edward Wilson, Steven Pinker, Daniel Dennett and Marc Hauser. Although each wrote separately, the emails were obviously coordinated. All had learned (none said exactly how, although I suspected via a friend of mine with whom I discussed my review) that I was reviewingDarkness for the Times. Warning that a positive review might ruin my career, the group urged me either to denounce Darkness or to withdraw as a reviewer.

          I responded that I could not discuss a review with them prior to publication. (Only Dennett persisted in questioning my intentions, and I finally had to tell him, rudely, to leave me alone. I am reconstructing these exchanges from memory; I did not print them out.) I was so disturbed by the pressure from Dawkins et al—who seemed to be defending not Chagnon per se but the sociobiology paradigm–that I ended up making my review of Darkness more positive. I wanted Darkness to be read and discussed, to get a hearing. After all, Tierney leveled what I found to be credible accusations against not only Chagnon but also other scientists and journalists.

          My November 12, 2000, review of Darkness pointed out flaws, notably a lack of adequate evidence for the charges involving the 1968 measles epidemic. But I concluded that the faults of Tierney’s book were “outweighed by its mass of vivid, damning detail. My guess is that it will become a classic in anthropological literature, sparking countless debates over the ethics and epistemology of field studies.”

          I have one major regret concerning my review: I should have noted that Chagnon is a much more subtle theorist of human nature than Tierney and other critics have suggested. In fact, Chagnon has never been as much of a genetic determinist as, say, Wilson or anthropologist Richard Wrangham, who have cited Chagnon’s work as evidence that warfare has deep biological roots. (See my rebuttal of this hypothesis here.)

          I first interviewed Chagnon in 1988, after Science published his report that Yanamamo killers fathered more offspring than male non-killers. Chagnon was funny and profane. He called non-killers “wimps,” and he denounced his detractors as left-wing peaceniks clinging to the “myth of the noble savage.” But when it came to the theoretical implications of his work, he chose his words with surprising care.

          Saying he had been falsely accused of claiming that there is a “warfare gene,” he denied that Yanomamo warriors are innately warlike. He noted that Yanomamo headmen usually employed violence in a controlled manner; compulsively violent males often did not live long enough to bear children. Yanomamo males engaged in raids and other violent behavior, Chagnon proposed, not out of instinct but because their culture esteemed violent behavior. Many Yanomamo warriors had confessed to Chagnon that they loathed war and wished it could be abolished from their culture.

          Chagnon reiterated this view when I interviewed him for “The New Social Darwinists,” a critique of evolutionary psychology published in Scientific Americanin October 1995. He said he was disturbed at the degree to which some sociobiologists and evolutionary psychologists downplayed the role of culture in human behavior. I said he sounded like Stephen Jay Gould, a vehement critic of genetic explanations of human behavior. I meant to goad Chagnon with the comparison, but he embraced it. “Steve Gould and I probably agree on a lot of things,” Chagnon said.

          Darkness in Eldorado did not reveal these subtleties in Chagnon’s thinking, nor did my review of the book. After my review was published, the editor-in-chief of The Times Book Review called to say he’d gotten many responses to my review but one stood out: a letter signed by Dawkins et al. The editor asked if I wanted to respond to the letter and I said sure. Here is an edited version of the exchange:

          To the Editor:

          In Darkness in El Dorado, Patrick Tierney accuses scientists of inciting lethal violence among the Yanomami and deliberately or negligently spreading a devastating epidemic among them. These are extraordinary charges, and call for a serious evaluation. Your reviewer, John Horgan, writes only that Tierney ”should have worked harder” to prove them. He failed to mention that the charges have been examined in detail and shown to be false. The National Academy of Sciences, the University of Michigan and the University of California, Santa Barbara, have consulted the historians, physicians, epidemiologists, filmmakers and anthropologists with firsthand knowledge of the events in Tierney’s book, and they have systematically refuted its accusations….” Richard Dawkins, Oxford, England. Daniel C. Dennett, Medford, Mass. Marc Hauser, Cambridge, Mass. Steven Pinker,
Cambridge, Mass. 
E. O. Wilson,
Cambridge, Mass.

          John Horgan replies:

          Richard Dawkins et al. are understandably concerned about the impact of Darkness in El Dorado on the reputation of Darwinian social science. But as representatives of that enterprise, they risk further damaging its reputation–and exposing themselves as defenders not of truth but of sociobiological dogma–by declaring that Tierney’s book has been ”systematically refuted.” The evidence they cite comes not from impartial evaluations of Darkness but from partisan attacks… Tierney’s book raises painful, embarrassing questions about how scientists and journalists have treated isolated, indigenous people. I believe that in the long run, science and journalism — and the human objects of their observations — will benefit if these questions are faced rather than suppressed. “

          I still stand by that statement, and by my review of Darkness. I’m only sorry that my review did not point out the irony that Chagnon—unlike some of his hard-core Darwinian champions and like many of his critics—rejects the view of war as an instinct. However else Chagnon is judged, science, I am confident, will eventually confirm his view of war.

          About the Author: Every week, hockey-playing science writer John Horgan takes a puckish, provocative look at breaking science. A teacher at Stevens Institute of Technology, Horgan is the author of four books, including The End of Science (Addison Wesley, 1996) and The End of War (McSweeney's, 2012). Follow on Twitter@Horganism.

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          Proteins Behind Mad-Cow Disease Also Help Brain Develop

          When not misfolded, prions lend a hand in formation neuronal connections


           






           

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          Prion proteinsPrion proteins cause pathologies such as hamster scrapie when they misfold--but the same protein has benign functions when folded correctly.Image: N. Engl. J. Med. 344, 1516-1526 (2001)

          Prions are best known as the infectious agents that cause ‘mad cow’ disease and the human versions of it, such as variant Creutzfeldt–Jakob Disease. But the proteins also have at least one known useful function, in the cells that insulate nerves, and are suspected to have more. Now researchers have provided the first direct evidence that the proteins play an important role in neurons themselves.

          The team reports in the Journal of Neuroscience that prions are involved in developmental plasticity, the process by which the structure and function of neurons in the growing brain is shaped by experience. 

          Prions come in two main forms: the normal version and the misfolded, infectious version. The normal version, known as cellular prion protein (or PrPC), is present in every cell of the body and helps to maintain the myelin sheath in the cells that protect the nerves.

          But the molecule is abundant in neurons themselves, especially during development. Because it is tethered to the membrane, it is widely assumed to be involved in signaling between nerve cells, but little direct evidence has been found for this.

          Neurobiologist Enrico Cherubini of the International School for Advanced Studies in Trieste, Italy, and his colleagues therefore decided to look at the effects of electrical stimulation on slices of tissue from the hippocampus of healthy 3–7-day-old mice and of animals genetically engineered to lack the gene that encodes the prion protein. 

          They used electrodes to stimulate individual cells at the same time as the networks of young neurons showed bursts of spontaneous electrical activity, or to simultaneously stimulate pairs of cells that are connected to each other.

          In the tissue from healthy animals, both procedures strengthened the links between neurons, a phenomenon known as long-term potentiation.

          In mice without the prion gene, however, the stimulation had the opposite effect. In these animals, the procedure induced long-term depression, or a weakening of neuronal connections.

          Ups and downs
          Further experiments revealed that the potentiation in mice with cellular prion protein was caused by activation of an enzyme called protein kinase A. In the absence of cellular prion protein, however, activation of a related enzyme, called protein lipase C, caused a long-term lowering of the neuron's activity.

          “This shows that [the cellular prion protein] controls the direction of plasticity in the developing hippocampus,” says Cherubini, adding that he and his colleagues now want to identify the molecules that transfer the prion signal from the membrane into the cell.  

          Long-term potentiation in the hippocampus is thought to be crucial for learning and memory, but the importance of prions is still unknown, and Cherubini would like to investigate how the proteins are involved in behavior. He also speculates that prions have a similar role in other parts of the developing brain, such as the visual cortex, and in adults.

          "The function of cellular prion protein is quite mysterious, but this convincingly demonstrates that it has a crucial role in strengthening synaptic connections within developing neural networks," says R. Douglas Fields, chief of the Neural Development and Plasticity Section at the National Institute for Child Health and Development in Bethesda, Maryland.

          This article is reproduced with permission from the magazine Nature. The article was first published on February 14, 2013.


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          Scientific American

          Something from Nothing? A Vacuum Can Yield Flashes of Light

          "Virtual particles" can become real photons--under the right conditions

          By Charles Q. Choi  | Tuesday, February 12, 2013 | 26

          Casimir effect, casimir plates, vacuum,Image: Wikimedia Commons/Emok, MissMJ

          ADVERTISEMENT

          A vacuum might seem like empty space, but scientists have discovered a new way to seemingly get something from that nothingness, such as light. And the finding could ultimately help scientists build incredibly powerful quantum computers or shed light on the earliest moments in the universe's history.

          Quantum physics explains that there are limits to how precisely one can know the properties of the most basic units of matter—for instance, one can never absolutely know a particle's position and momentum at the same time. One bizarre consequence of this uncertainty is that a vacuum is never completely empty, but instead buzzes with so-called “virtual particles” that constantly wink into and out of existence.

          These virtual particles often appear in pairs that near-instantaneously cancel themselves out. Still, before they vanish, they can have very real effects on their surroundings. For instance, photons—packets of light—can pop in and out of a vacuum. When two mirrors are placed facing each other in a vacuum, more virtual photons can exist around the outside of the mirrors than between them, generating a seemingly mysterious force that pushes the mirrors together.

          This phenomenon, predicted in 1948 by the Dutch physicist Hendrick Casimir and known as the Casimir effect, was first seen with mirrors held still . Researchers also predicted a dynamical Casimir effect that can result when mirrors are moved, or objects otherwise undergo change. Now quantum physicist Pasi Lähteenmäki at Aalto University in Finland and his colleagues reveal that by varying the speed at which light can travel, they can make light appear from nothing.

          The speed of light in a vacuum is constant, according to Einstein's theory of relativity, but its speed passing through any given material depends on a property of that substance known as its index of refraction. By varying a material's index of refraction, researchers can influence the speed at which both real and virtual photons travel within it. Lähteenmäki says one can think of this system as being much like a mirror, and if its thickness changes fast enough, virtual photons reflecting off it can receive enough energy from the bounce to turn into real photons. "Imagine you stay in a very dark room and suddenly the index of refraction of light [of the room] changes," Lähteenmäki says. "The room will start to glow."

          The researchers began with an array of 250 superconducting quantum-interference devices, or SQUIDs—circuits that are extraordinarily sensitive to magnetic fields. They inserted the array inside a refrigerator. By carefully exerting magnetic fields on this array, they could vary the speed at which microwave photons traveled through it by a few percent. The researchers then cooled this array to 50 thousandths of a degree Celsius above absolute zero. Because this environment is supercold, it should not emit any radiation, essentially behaving as a vacuum. "We were simply studying these circuits for the purpose of developing an amplifier, which we did," says researcher Sorin Paraoanu, a theoretical physicist at Aalto University. "But then we asked ourselves—what if there is no signal to amplify? What happens if the vacuum is the signal?"

          The researchers detected photons that matched predictions from the dynamical Casimir effect. For instance, such photons should display the strange property of quantum entanglement—that is, by measuring the details of one, scientists could in principle know exactly what its counterpart is like, no matter where it is in the universe, a phenomenon Einstein referred to as "spooky action at a distance." The scientists detailed their findings online February 11 in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

          "This work and a number of other recent works demonstrate that the vacuum is not empty but full of virtual photons," says theoretical physicist Steven Girvin at Yale University, who did not take part in the Aalto study.

          Another study from physicist Christopher Wilson and his colleagues recently demonstrated the dynamical Casimir effect in a system mimicking a mirror moving at nearly 5 percent of the speed of light. "It's nice to see further confirmation of this effect and see this area of research continuing," says Wilson, now at the University of Waterloo in Ontario, who also did not participate in the Aalto study. "Only recently has technology advanced into a new technical regime of experiments where we can start to look at very fast changes that can have dramatic effects on electromagnetic fields," he adds.

          The investigators caution that such experiments do not constitute a magical way to get more energy out of a system than what is input. For instance, it takes energy to change a material's index of refraction.

          Instead, such research could help scientists learn more about the mysteries of quantum entanglement, which lies at the heart of quantum computers—advanced machines that could in principle run more calculations in an instant than there are atoms in the universe. The entangled microwave photons the experimental array generated "can be used for a form of quantum computation known as 'continuous variable' quantum information processing,” Girvin says. “This is a direction which is just beginning to open up.”

          Wilson adds that these systems “might be used to simulate some interesting scenarios. For instance, there are predictions that during cosmic inflation in the early universe, the boundaries of the universe were expanding nearly at light-speed or faster than the speed of light. We might predict there'd be some dynamical Casimir radiation produced then, and we can try and do tabletop simulations of this."

           So the static Casimir effect involves mirrors held still; the dynamical Casimir effect can for instance involve mirrors that move.

          Joaquim Machado

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          NATURE | NEWS

          Bumblebees sense electric fields in flowers

          Electroreception may help pollinators to guess where others have already fed on nectar.

          A flower's electric field (right, with associated electric potential on the left) helps bumblebees predict where to find the most nectar.
          DOMINIC CLARKE / REF. 1

          As they zero in on their sugary reward, foraging bumblebees follow an invisible clue: electric fields. Although some animals, including sharks, are known to have an electric sense, this is the first time the ability has been documented in insects.

          Pollinating insects take in a large number of sensory cues, from colours and fragrances to petal textures and air humidity. Being able to judge which flowers will provide the most nectar, and which have already been plundered by other pollinators, helps them to use their energy more efficiently.

          It has long been known that bumblebees build up a positive electrical charge as they rapidly flap their wings; when they land on flowers, this charge helps pollen to stick to their hairs. Daniel Robert, a biologist at the University of Bristol, UK, knew that such electrical interactions would temporarily change the electrical status of the flowers — but he did not know whether bumblebees were picking up on this.

          Flower power

          Keen to find out, he and a team of colleagues measured the net charges of individuals of Bombus terrestris, a common species of bumblebee, by using sucrose to lure them into a Faraday pail — an electrically shielded bucket that reacts to the charge of anything inside it. As expected, most bumblebees were carrying a positive charge.

          Next, the team placed the insects into an arena with petunias (Petunia integrifolia) and measured the flowers' electrical potentials. Sure enough, when the bees landed, the flowers became a little more positively charged.

          Finally, the team released bumblebees into an arena with artificial flowers, half of which were positively charged and carried a sucrose reward, and the other half of which were grounded and carried a bitter solution. Over time, the bees increasingly visited the rewarding charged flowers.

          But when the researchers turned off the electrical charge on the flowers and re-released the trained bees, the insects visited rewarding flowers only about half of the time, as they would have by random chance. That suggested that the bees were detecting the electric fields and using them to guide their activities, rather than relying on other clues such as fragrance. The team reports its results in this week's Science1.

          “We think bumblebees are using this ability to perceive electrical fields to determine if flowers were recently visited by other bumblebees and are therefore worth visiting,” says Robert.

          “We had no idea that this sense even existed," says Thomas Seeley, a behavioural biologist at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York. "Assuming we can replicate the findings, this is going to open up a whole new window on insect sensory systems for us to study.”

          Some experts suggest that the study has implications for insects other than bees. “If you think about it, these discoveries could also apply to hoverflies and moths," says Robert Raguso, a chemical ecologist also at Cornell. "We don’t know if they can perceive charge differentials, but they burn a lot of energy while hovering around looking for pollen or nectar. So it would make sense for them to attend to such cues."

          Nature
           
          doi:10.1038/nature.2013.12480

          Joaquim Machado

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          THE IDEA FACTORY: Bell Labs and the Great Age of American Innovation
          Author:   Jon Gertner
          The Penguin Press, 2012

          A Bell Labs não apenas inventou o  futuro, como também novas maneiras de inventá-lo.



          Joaquim A.  Machado
          MINDWINGS & LEBLON:
          Science, Art and Politics
          iPhone + 55 - 19 - 8830 - 3600



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          MIT report identifies keys to new American innovation

          From ‘Main Street’ firms to multinationals, improvements possible in funding of research, collaboration among manufacturers.
          Peter Dizikes, MIT News Office

          today's news


          How human language could have evolved from birdsong

          Linguistics and biology researchers propose a new theory on the deep roots of human speech.

          Picture-perfect

          February 19, 2013

          That’s the way the droplets adhere

          February 19, 2013
          What kinds of industrial production can bring innovation to the American economy? An intensive, long-term study by a group of MIT scholars suggests that a renewed commitment to research and development in manufacturing, sometimes through creative new forms of collaboration, can spur innovation and growth in the United States as a whole.

          The findings are outlined in the preview of a reportissued by a special MIT commission on innovation, called Production in the Innovation Economy (PIE). Among the approaches the report recommends are new forms of collaboration and risk-sharing — often through public-private partnerships or industry-university agreements — that can enable a wide variety of firms and industries to grow.

          The report follows two years of in-depth research on hundreds of firms across various industrial sectors, ranging in size from high-tech startups to small “Main Street” manufacturers and multinational corporations. While there are a variety of reasons why the nation should seek to retain its own manufacturing base, from defense capacities to job creation, the report aims to highlight the larger potential that manufacturing holds for innovation-based economic growth in the United States. 

          “It has been suggested by previous reports that sustaining the strength of U.S. manufacturing is essential to America’s future; a strong advanced-manufacturing base is crucial to national security, and it represents a key source of good-paying jobs,” MIT President L. Rafael Reif says. “But as the PIE report makes clear, local production is very important to sustaining a vibrant innovation ecosystem in a region. Thus, we must also take steps now to regain U.S. manufacturing momentum if we want to sustain the nation’s signature economic advantage: innovation.”

          Among other conclusions, the report emphasizes that manufacturing should not be regarded as a small group of traditional, shrinking industries. Instead, manufacturing is a diverse, evolving group of industries in which new products and knowledge frequently emerge from firms of all sizes throughout the country. 

          “There is no reason manufacturing has to disappear in an advanced industrial society,” says Suzanne Berger, the Raphael Dorman-Helen Starbuck Professor of Political Science at MIT and a co-chair of the PIE commission. “There is much greater innovative capacity all across the United States than we realized.” 

          From Main Street to multinationals 

          The current report is based on the work of the 21-member PIE commission, formed in 2010, which includes 20 MIT faculty members. Two books on the subject are forthcoming from MIT Press in the fall. 

          “The work of PIE is trying to understand how producing goods feeds back into the innovation process,” says Martin Schmidt, a professor of electrical engineering and computer science and associate provost at MIT, who served on the commission.

          The commission conducted in-depth research on 255 manufacturing companies, of which 178 were located in the United States. Faculty members asked all of the companies a series of questions in order to find out what innovations firms had attempted to deliver in the last five years, and to determine which elements — capital, skilled workers, suppliers, or expertise — had been hard to find.

          The commission interviewed officials at four types of companies: U.S.-based multinationals that invest heavily in research and development; startup firms; small-scale “Main Street” manufacturers that are local or regional in scope; and foreign firms in China and Germany.

          The researchers spoke to officials at 30 multinational firms, often discussing the reasons why those firms have kept manufacturing operations in the United States or moved them abroad. Among other factors, Schmidt notes, many companies are concerned about encountering quality-control problems if their R&D and production staffs are on opposite sides of the world: “Companies that had separated manufacturing from product design are recognizing that they’re losing opportunities to be efficient, or produce better products.” 

          Among startups, the PIE research found that financing issues are often critical, since it can take 12 to 15 years for startups outside the software sector to bring in revenue. But in discussions with 150 startups whose technology was first developed in MIT labs, the researchers also found that location matters: not necessarily being in a “cluster” with other firms in the same industry, but being located near other firms with complementary products and abilities. This often helps startups surmount the diversity of obstacles they find on the road to production. 

          “If there’s a [diverse] production ecosystem, it gives them an advantage,” Schmidt says. “That proximity effect is incredibly valuable.”

          The PIE researchers also spoke to managers at small and medium-sized U.S. manufacturers with more than $5 million in annual revenues and at least 20 employees; these companies often repurpose existing technologies or techniques and apply them to make new products. And they often bundle products together with services — thus blurring the boundary between the manufacturing and service industries, as Berger points out. In this sphere, as the PIE report suggests, proximity and collaboration matter as well: A key to innovation for these firms is being located in a diverse industrial ecosystem that offers many complementary resources, such as training and opportunities for collaborative research.

          Such collaborative efforts could take the form of what the report calls a “convening function,” where a private firm or public institution creates new resources that others can build on and contribute to. New York state’s collaboration with the industrial semiconductor consortium SEMATECH is one example; another example the researchers found came when the Ohio-based Timken Company, which makes bearings, helped to establish a new lab at the University of Akron in which multiple firms, as well as academic researchers, can work. Such new research facilities can benefit firms, universities and local economies.

          Collaboration can also help startups grow. One firm the PIE researchers studied, Mass Tank, of Middleboro, Mass., fabricates tanks for chemical companies and other types of firms; it is currently working with five area startups as they develop prototypes. Mass Tank itself belongs to a trade association, the Steel Tank Institute, for testing, expertise and insurance. Such risk-sharing within industries is one form of cooperation that allows firms to expand. 

          Are the workers there?

          One working group within PIE, led by Paul Osterman, an economist at the MIT Sloan School of Management, focused on the skills workers need for advanced manufacturing. Researchers surveyed officials at roughly 1,000 manufacturing establishments, as well as leaders of community colleges, high schools and labor-market programs. 

          The results are nuanced: Only 7 percent of respondents in firms thought skill requirements for manufacturing have increased significantly in the last five years. And slightly less than 20 percent of establishments have long-term job vacancies (of three months or more), equivalent to about 5 percent of core production jobs. 

          Where problems filling jobs do exist, the biggest problems involve job skills not usually available in a particular region; jobs requiring advanced math; and jobs in very small companies, which may lack a local network of connections to bring in workers. 

          In addition to Berger, the other PIE co-chair is Phillip A. Sharp, Institute Professor and professor of biology. Olivier de Weck, an associate professor of engineering systems and of aeronautics and astronautics, serves as the commission’s executive director.

          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 24, 2013, 5:23:23 PM2/24/13
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          Certamente são muitos, e dependem da agregação estatística  de micro-estados em macro-estados estáveis (muito mais do que de sistemas de comando-e-controle), os fundamentos da Inovação.

          De qualquer forma, este livro ilumina muito do planejamento estratégico moderno sobre programas de Inovação. 

          Pelo título parece livro de rodoviária, mas é publicado pela Princeton University Press.


          IN PURSUIT OF THE TRAVELING SALESMAN: mathematics at the limits of computation.

          Author: William J. Cook

          Princeton Un. Press, 2012

          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 27, 2013, 2:12:26 PM2/27/13
          to Joaquim Machado, Braulio Dias, adrit...@yahoo.com.br, Maria Cecilia Vieira, davi.bonavides@itamaraty.gov.br bonavides, Maximiliano da Cunha Henriques Arienzo, Marcio de M. Santos, Eliana Maria Gouveia Fontes, Lidio Coradin, Zeze Sampaio, Decio Zylbersztajn, Sergio Salles Filho, Maria Beatriz Bonacelli, beatriz bulhoes, btc5734_2011-1@googlegroups.com 2011-1, btc...@googlegroups.com, btc5734_2012@googlegroups.com 2012, economia_biotec@googlegroups.com biotec, BTC5700 2012, acgs...@usp.br, Monica Adriana Salles, Tejon Megido_fw, Coriolano, guedes Antonio Carlos, Mariza T. Barbosa, Paulo Manoel L.C. Protasio


          Chairman of the Board at Nestlé S.A.

          We will fail to feed the world until we fix the water crisis

          February 19, 2013

          The world is walking towards a crisis that it barely recognises. In scale and significance, it dwarfs all the others it is intricately connected with.

          This issue is water. As unbelievable as it sounds, we are running out of it and the window we have to solve this issue is narrow and rapidly closing. ‪Over the next 20 years, the world’s thirst for water will grow by 50%. By 2030, water withdrawals will exceed natural renewals by 60%.‪

          This will have a devastating impact on the quality and cost of the water we all need to survive, but in ways that are perhaps not immediately obvious. The water we drink, clean, and cook with represents only the smallest part of the water we use. Far greater is the 90% of the world’s total supply of water that we use to grow the food we eat.‪

          This is because it takes one litre of water to produce one calorie of food. Compared to the 3-4 litres of water we drink, the average daily diet requires up to 6,000 litres of water to grow the crops that find their way on to our plates.‪

          Put this in the context of feeding a growing population and you immediately realise that the acute water shortages, that will directly affect a third of the world’s population by 2030, will also ultimately lead to a critical shortage of food the world over. Less food will result in higher prices and plunge millions into poverty and famine.‪

          We face global shortfalls by 2025

          If we continue the way we are using water today, and factor in higher food needs for a growing population, competing water users such as oil and thermal energy, as well as municipal water for a rapidly growing number of urban dwellers; we should expect global shortfalls in cereal production in an order of 30% by 2025. This would be a loss equivalent to the entire grain crops of India and the United States combined.‪

          As we can see, the crises affecting water and food are interdependent. Astonishingly, however, it remains absent from international to-do lists.

          Suggesting solutions to a formidable challenge

          My aim is to bring greater visibility to the issue, and to dare to suggest solutions to such a challenge. In practice, many of these challenges are intensely local. This was what first and perhaps most powerfully brought to life for me in March 2004 during a conversation with farmers in the Indian Punjab region.

          With water tables falling across the region one metre per year, these farmers were dealing directly with the effects of an overuse of water to irrigate fields with pumps originally subsidised by the government and electricity provided for free. They knew that if groundwater tables continued to fall, their own livelihood would be at risk. But with neighbouring villages likely to continue withdrawing water, and ongoing government subsidies, the farmers saw the utter futility of changing their own habits without effective joint efforts of all major stakeholders in their watershed; and so they wouldn’t.

          Played out on an international scale, this is the crux: without partnership between all those who share a stake in the problem we won’t make progress towards any meaningful solution.

          The enormity of the challenge is great, and the need to act is urgent. Here on LinkedIn, and on my blog, I will share some of the thinking and potential solutions that I come across as part of my job and through my involvement in international groups such as the WEF 2030 Water Resources Group (WRG). Addressing the water challenge should also be part of the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals discussion. There is no silver bullet to solving a challenge of this enormity, so practical thoughts on how we can better address this issue are always welcome.‪

          To see more of views from me and from invited others on this vital debate, please visitwww.water-challenge.com.

          Joaquim A.  Machado
          MINDWINGS & LEBLON

          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 27, 2013, 7:18:34 PM2/27/13
          to Joaquim Machado, Braulio Dias, adrit...@yahoo.com.br, Maria Cecilia Vieira, davi.bonavides@itamaraty.gov.br bonavides, Maximiliano da Cunha Henriques Arienzo, Marcio de M. Santos, Eliana Maria Gouveia Fontes, Lidio Coradin, Zeze Sampaio, Decio Zylbersztajn, Sergio Salles Filho, Maria Beatriz Bonacelli, beatriz bulhoes, btc5734_2011-1@googlegroups.com 2011-1, btc...@googlegroups.com, btc5734_2012@googlegroups.com 2012, economia_biotec@googlegroups.com biotec, BTC5700 2012, acgs...@usp.br, Monica Adriana Salles, Tejon Megido_fw, Coriolano, guedes Antonio Carlos, Mariza T. Barbosa, Paulo Manoel L.C. Protasio
          Um texto da YAHOO afirma que:

           “some of the best decisions and insights come from hallway and cafeteria discussions, meeting new people, and impromptu team meetings.”

          Como obter eventuais lições disso, em meio à enormidade de publicações sobre Inovação, muitas delas formatadas como infalíveis Manuais de Inovação ?

          Como implementar ( essa já é uma palavra que se afasta da espontaneidade, mas, anyway... ) espaços hiperdimensionais desse tipo no ambiente de P & D ou de trabalho em geral ?


          Joaquim Machado

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          Crowdsourcing Development Solutions for a Smarter Future, with U.S. Chief Technology Officer Todd Park – Live Webcast

          EVENT: Crowdsourcing Development Solutions for a Smarter Future
          DATE:
           Thursday, February 28, 2013
          TIME: 08:30 to 10:00 AM EST (DC time), 12:30 to 14:00 GMT 
          LOCATION: Washington, D.C.

          Three-quarters of the world’s inhabitants have access to a mobile phone today, prices of computing and mobile internet devices are plunging, and social media tools are nearly universal. The potential that holds for global development is immense. Information & Communication Technology (ICT) approaches or "smart solutions" are already recognized as critical to solving the development challenges of tomorrow, including using technology to leverage the power of collective intelligence and crowdsourcing expertise and ideas from around the world.

          On February 28, join United States Chief Technology Officer Todd Park and other global experts for a live-streamed conversation about the role of technology in a "smarter future." The event is part of the World Bank’s ICT Solutions Day, which engages decision makers and experts in an open, collaborative process of developing ICT-enabled approaches to development challenges.

          Participants:

          • Todd Park, Chief Technology Officer, United States
          • Rachel Kyte, Vice President, Sustainable Development, World Bank
          • Jean-Philbert Nsengimana, Minister of ICT and Youth, Rwanda
          • Edward Omane Boamah, Minister of Communications, Ghana
          • Bikesh Kurmangaliyeva, Deputy Chairperson of the Board, “Zerde” National ICT Holding, Kazakhstan
          • Shantayanan Devarajan, Chief Economist, Africa region, World Bank
          • Andrew Stott, former CTO and Deputy CIO, UK Government

          Read more in these 2012 World Bank reports: Information and Communications for Development 2012: Maximizing Mobile andThe Transformational Use of Information and Communication Technologies in Africa.

          Follow the event on Twitter using hashtag: #wblive

          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 28, 2013, 5:14:54 PM2/28/13
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          Scientific American

          cocoa, whole cacao, chocolateImage: MATTHIAS HOFFMANN Getty Images

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          Cognition-Boosting Compounds

          It's news chocolate lovers have been craving: raw cocoa may be packed with brain-boosting compounds. Researchers at the University of L'Aquila in Italy, with scientists from Mars, Inc., and their colleagues published findings last September that suggest cognitive function in the elderly is improved by ingesting high levels of natural compounds found in cocoa called flavanols. The study included 90 individuals with mild cognitive impairment, a precursor to Alzheimer's disease. Subjects who drank a cocoa beverage containing either moderate or high levels of flavanols daily for eight weeks demonstrated greater cognitive function than those who consumed low levels of flavanols on three separate tests that measured factors that included verbal fluency, visual searching and attention.

          Exactly how cocoa causes these changes is still unknown, but emerging research points to one flavanol in particular: (-)-epicatechin, pronounced “minus epicatechin.” Its name signifies its structure, differentiating it from other catechins, organic compounds highly abundant in cocoa and present in apples, wine and tea. The graph below shows how (-)-epicatechin fits into the world of brain-altering food molecules. Other studies suggest that the compound supports increased circulation and the growth of blood vessels, which could explain improvements in cognition, because better blood flow would bring the brain more oxygen and improve its function.

          Animal research has already demonstrated how pure (-)-epicatechin enhances memory. Findings published last October in the Journal of Experimental Biologynote that snails can remember a trained task—such as holding their breath in deoxygenated water—for more than a day when given (-)-epicatechin but for less than three hours without the flavanol. Salk Institute neuroscientist Fred Gage and his colleagues found previously that (-)-epicatechin improves spatial memory and increases vasculature in mice. “It's amazing that a single dietary change could have such profound effects on behavior,” Gage says. If further research confirms the compound's cognitive effects, flavanol supplements—or raw cocoa beans—could be just what the doctor ordered.

          So, Can We Binge on Chocolate Now?

          Nope, sorry. A food's origin, processing, storage and preparation can each alter its chemical composition. As a result, it is nearly impossible to predict which flavanols—and how many—remain in your bonbon or cup of tea. Tragically for chocoholics, most methods of processing cocoa remove many of the flavanols found in the raw plant. Even dark chocolate, touted as the “healthy” option, can be treated such that the cocoa darkens while flavanols are stripped.

          Researchers are only beginning to establish standards for measuring flavanol content in chocolate. A typical one and a half ounce chocolate bar might contain about 50 milligrams of flavanols, which means you would need to consume 10 to 20 bars daily to approach the flavanol levels used in the University of L'Aquila study. At that point, the sugars and fats in these sweet confections would probably outweigh any possible brain benefits. Mars Botanical nutritionist and toxicologist Catherine Kwik-Uribe, an author on the University of L'Aquila study, says, “There's now even more reasons to enjoy tea, apples and chocolate. But diversity and variety in your diet remain key.”*


          The Kuna-Cocoa Connection

          The Kuna Indians who live on the San Blas Islands off Panama drink an average of five cups of high-flavanol cocoa daily. The island population is also remarkable for extremely low rates of hypertension, unlike the Kuna on the mainland, who consume processed cocoa mix low in flavanols. Researchers, suspecting the island Kuna's staggering cocoa consumption might account for their superior health, began investigating the health effects of cocoa's raw compounds. This investigation led to the finding that (-)-epicatechin, one particularly abundant cocoa compound, supports circulation.


          Smart People Eat Chocolate?

          The more chocolate a population consumes, the more Nobel Laureates it has: Columbia University's Franz Messerli discovered a positive correlation between annual chocolate consumption per capita and a country's number of Nobel Prize winners per 10 million people. The study is not meant to seriously imply that brilliance is the result of chocolate consumption—although Messerli believes chocolate probably has some benefits, his analysis was inspired purely by whimsical curiosity and exemplifies the hazards of reading too much into a correlation.

          *Erratum (2/15/13): This sentence erroneously identifies Catherine Kwik-Uribe as a nutirionist and toxicologist. She is a nutrition scientist.

          Joaquim Machado

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          Are climate change models becoming more accurate and less reliable?

          By Ashutosh Jogalekar | February 27, 2013
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          A sampling of the myriad factors typically included in a climate change model (Image: Maslin and Austin, Nature, 2012, 486, 183)

          One of the perpetual challenges in my career as a modeler of biochemical systems has been the need to balance accuracy with reliability. This paradox is not as strange as it seems. Typically when you build a model you include a lot of approximations supposed to make the modeling process easier; ideally you want a model to be as simple as possible and contain as few parameters as possible. But this strategy does not work all the time since sometimes it turns out that in your drive for simplicity you have left a crucial factor out. So now you include this crucial factor, only to find that the uncertainties in your model go through the roof. What’s happening in such unfortunate cases is that along with including the signal from the previously excluded factors, you have also inevitably included a large amount of noise. This noise can typically result from an incomplete knowledge of the factor, either from calculation or from measurement. Modelers of every stripe thus have to tread a fine balance between including as much of reality as possibility as possible and making the model accurate enough for quantitative explanation and prediction.

          It seems that this is exactly the problem that has started bedeviling climate change models. A recent issue of Nature had a veryinteresting article on what seems to be a wholly paradoxical feature of models used in climate science; as the models are becoming increasingly realistic, they are also becoming less accurate and predictive because of growing uncertainties. I can only imagine this to be an excruciatingly painful fact for climate modelers who seem to be facing the equivalent of the Heisenberg uncertainty principle for their field. It’s an especially worrisome time to deal with such issues since the modelers need to include their predictions in the next IPCC report on climate change which is due to be published this year.

          A closer look at the models reveals that this behavior is not as paradoxical as it sounds, although it’s still not clear how you would get around it. The article especially struck a chord with me since as I mentioned earlier, similar problems often plague models used in chemical and biological research. In case of climate change, the fact is that earlier models were crude and did not account for many fine-grained factors that are now being included (such as the rate at which ice falls through clouds). In principle and even in practice, there are a bewildering number of such factors (partly exemplified by the picture on top). Fortuitously, the crudeness of the models also prevented the uncertainties associated with these factors from being included in the modeling. The uncertainty remained hidden. Now that more real-world factors are being included, the uncertainties endemic in these factors reveal themselves and get tacked on to the models. You thus face an ironic tradeoff; as your models strive to mirror the real world better, they also become more uncertain. It’s like swimming in quicksand; the harder you try to get out of it, the deeper you get sucked in.

          This dilemma is not unheard of in the world of computational chemistry and biology. A lot of the models we currently use for predicting protein-drug interactions for instance are remarkably simple and yet accurate enough to be useful. Several reasons account for this unexpected accuracy; among them cancellation of errors (the Fermi principle), similarities of training sets to test sets and sometimes just plain luck. The similarity of training and test sets especially means that your models can be pretty good at explanation but can break down when it comes to prediction of even slightly dissimilar systems. In addition, error analysis is unfortunately not a priority in most of these studies, since the whole point is to publish correct results. Unless this culture changes our road to accurate prediction will be painfully slow.

          Here’s an example from my own field of how “more can be worse”. For the last few months I have been using a very simple model to try to predict the diffusion of druglike molecules through cell membranes. This is an important problem in drug development since even your most stellar test-tube candidate will be worthless until it makes its way into cells. Cell membranes are hydrophobic (water-hating) while the water surrounding them is hydrophilic (water-loving). The ease with which a potential drug transfers from the surrounding water into the membrane depends among other factors on its solvation energy, that is on how readily the drug can shed water molecules; the smaller the solvation energy, the easier it is for drugs to get across. This simple model which calculates the solvation energy seems to do unusually well in predicting the diffusion of drugs across real cell membranes, a process that’s much more complex than just solvation-desolvation.

          One of the fundamental assumptions in the model I am using is that the molecule exists in just one conformation in both water and the membrane. A conformation of a molecule is like a yoga position for a human being; typical organic molecules with many rotatable bonds usually have thousands of possible conformations. The assumption of a single conformation is fundamentally false since in reality molecules are highly flexible creatures that interconvert between several conformations both in water and inside a cell membrane. To overcome this assumption, a recent paper explicitly calculated the conformations of the molecule in water and included this factor in the diffusion predictions. This was certainly more realistic. To their surprise, the authors found that making the calculation more realistic made the predictions worse. While the exact mix of factors responsible for this failure can be complicated to tease apart, what’s likely happening is that the more realistic factors also bring more noise and uncertainty with them. This uncertainty piles up, errors that were likely canceling before no longer cancel, and the whole prediction becomes fuzzier and less useful.

          I believe that this is what is partly happening in climate models. Including more real-life factors in the models does not mean that all those factors are well understood or tightly measured. You are inevitably introducing some known unknowns. Ill-understood factors will introduce more uncertainty. Well-understood factors will introduce less uncertainty. Ultimately the accuracy of the models will depend on the interplay between these two kinds of factors, and currently it seems that the rate of inclusion of new factors is higher than the rate at which those factors can be accurately calculated or measured.

          The article goes on to note that in spite of this growing uncertainty the basic predictions of climate models are broadly consistent. However it also acknowledges the difficulty in explaining the growing uncertainty to a public which has become more skeptical of climate change since 2007 (when the last IPCC report was published). As a chemical modeler I can sympathize with the climate modelers.

          But the lesson to take away from this dilemma is that crude models sometimes work better than more realistic ones. My favorite quote about models comes from the statistician George Box who said that “all models are wrong, but some are useful”. It is a worthy endeavor to try to make models more realistic, but it is even more important to make them useful.

          Note: As a passing thought it’s worth pointing out some of the common problems that can severely limit the usefulness of any kind of model, whether it’s one used for predicting the stock market, the global climate or the behavior of drugs, proteins and genes:

          1. Overfitting: You fit the existing data so well that your model becomes a victim of its own success. It’s stellar at explaining what’s known but it’s so overly dependent on every single data point that a slightly different distribution of data completely overwhelms its predictive power.

          2. Outliers: On the other hand if you fit only a few data points and ignore the outliers, your model again runs the risk of failing when facing a dataset “enriched” in the outliers.

          3. Generality vs specificity: If you build a model that predicts average behavior, it may turn out to have little use in predicting what happens under specific circumstances. Call this the bane of statistics itself if you will, but it certainly makes prediction harder.

          4. Approximations: This is probably the one limitation inherent to every model since every model is based on approximations without which it would simply be too complex to be of any use. The trick is to know which approximations to employ and which ones to leave out, and to run enough tests to make sure that the ones that are left out still allow the model to explain most of the data. Approximations are also often dictated by expediency since even if a model can include every single parameter in theory, it may turn out to be prohibitively expensive in terms of computer time or cost. There are many good reasons to approximate, as long as you always remember that you have done so.

          This an updated and revised version of a post on The Curious Wavefunction blog.

          Ashutosh JogalekarAbout the Author: Ashutosh (Ash) Jogalekar is a chemist interested in the history and philosophy of science. He considers science to be a seamless and all-encompassing part of the human experience. Follow on Twitter @curiouswavefn.

          Joaquim Machado

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          In one of my recent posts You Can’t Understand A Conversation That You Aren’t A Part Of...  an industry colleagueMartin (Marty) Smith jumped in the conversation and sparked much interest! It struck me that the Social Revolution really has created new and different consumer behaviors... forcing "Business As Usual" to change...
           
          We've seen today’s market begin to understand that Social Media plays a large role in brands and businesses remaining relevant, earning creditability, engaging customers and attracting new business... 
          As a result, consumer behaviors are now drastically different which has moved us into an era where brands and businesses must interact directly with their customers - on the consumer's terms. Unfortunately, we aren't seeing brands and businesses champion the desire or ability to do so.

          In light of this conundrum, the goal here, is to help brands and businesses understand how Social Media has changed consumer behavior, why Social Media is where consumer conversations are happening and then, to provide specific ways for brands and businesses to interact withrespond to and learn from their social audiences. 
           

          Social Media Has Changed Consumer Behavior

          Statistically speaking, Social Media is a key locale where consumers are making up their minds about certain brands, products, and services while also expressing how they feel. It is important to know that 65% of people learn about new products, brands and services via Social Media networks while 70% of these people hear and respect others’ experiences regarding these products, brands and services. 

          With the combination of 65% of consumer’s conducting significant online research prior to any type purchase and the known fact that 90% of consumers trust peer reviews over advertisements proves that Social Media has created whatEric Qualman has identified as a ‘world-of-mouth’ effect rather than the old school ‘word-of-mouth’ effect. 

          Another thing to consider is why we use Social Media networking; it actually impacts the way we act and feel. In light of this, The Nielsen Social Media Report of 2012 states that 76% of people feel 
          mostly positive after networking via Social Media. One reason this is the case, is because it empowers people to know what is going in their world...  Keeping up with brands and businesses along with their peer's experiences create a consumer whom is eager to try out a new brand, service or product... or not.

          Social Media Is Where Consumer Conversions Are Happening

          The lines between Marketing and Customer Service have become blurred with Social Care or Customer Service via Social Media. This has created an immediate imperative for brands and businesses to not only be active on the Social Graph but to also be ready and willing to react and interact on all Social Media networks.  

          Just as customers choose the information they want to view and when and where they want to view it, they also choose what they voice as well as when and where they make their voice heard. According to the The Nielsen Social Media Report of 2012, 53% of people compliment brands and businesses on Social Media networks. While on the other hand, 47% of the time, people express concerns, make inquiries and/or complain about brands and businesses the say way. 

          We recently reviewed The Great Social Customer Service Race Study and while knowing that 47% of Social Media users engage in Social Care, the alarming truth of this study is that if these big brands aren't getting it right - the rest of us are most likely missing the mark by a long shot. 

          Social Media Requires A Two-Way Conversation

          Interact With Your Social Audience: With proof that interaction with social audiences is critical The Fish Firm has provided a few specific ways to do that with basic digital conversation tips. 
          • Talk to them by replying to their comment(s)
          • Be willing to consider what they want
          • Join or start social conversations by asking them questions
          • Comment on what your fans and followers say
          • Listen to their responses
          • Watch their reactions
          • Share their comments or information
          • Thank them for their engagement and interaction

          Respond To Your Social Audience: Using a Social Media manager tool such as HootSuite, set up streams with key words related to your brand, business and industry to find valuable information. 
          • Monitor what is being said about your brand or business indirectly
          • Find opportunities to help a person when no one else is reaching out via their inquiry 
          • Start conversations among those talking about things in which you can be of value

          Learn From Your Social Audience: The Fish Firm also recommends establishing internal processes to expand your social reach, leverage new found knowledge and create new knowledge. 
          • Mold and refine your findings from your interactions into messages aligned with what you’ve heard and seen
          • Request your audience's input on new products or services with an online poll or survey

          Over the next few years, businesses that rise to the top will do so by embracing these concepts of 
          interaction! As Martyso eloquently stated... "The point we can safely say is the brands and businesses that make connecting with their social audience a priority will mine the gold of the social media revolution!" 

          What is your interaction experience with your social audience? Be sure to comment down below. If you have any other interaction ideas, please suggest away!!!!!!!



          ************************************************************ 
            

          Elynn Fish is the Founder and President of The Fish Firm of which specializes in Turning New Media & Modern Marketing Into Money by helping small business owners and entrepreneurs increase online sales and attract new business.  

          Joaquim Machado

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          The Wall Blog

          Click here to find out more!

          How to use Twitter as a sales channel

          by Maz Nadjm, posted on 28 February, 2013 at 9:30 am, filed under Twitter and tagged Twitter. Bookmark thepermalink. Follow any comments here with the RSS feed for this post.

          There is no denying that Twitter is an exceptional social media platform, but how many organisations really make the most of the 140 character window of opportunity it offers and how much impact can it really have as a business tool?

          Well, let’s look at the numbers. With an estimated 200 million registered users generating over 340 million tweets every day and all of us spending around 20%* of our online time on social networking sites, the answer is that given the right approach Twitter can become an immensely powerful sales channel.

          And that really is the essence of the Twitter debate – how to take the ‘right approach’ when selling your business, its products and services on a social network.

          Firstly let’s look at the DON’TS:

          1. DON’T treat Twitter as you would any other sales channel. It’s a social media platform with the emphasis on ‘social’, so think why people are there before deciding how you are going to speak to them. Understanding the mindset of your Twitter audience will enable you to develop a more effective engagement strategy with them as a precursor to selling.

          2. DON’T expect that if you build it they will come. It can be tempting to see those who have effortlessly achieved a following of tens of thousands on Twitter and think that you will too, but those who achieve this nirvana of audience adoration have done so either through immense effort, celebrity status or intelligent social media planning. You too need to put in the time and effort into building your own Twitter audience of potential customers/clients, or instruct someone who can do this for you.

          3. DON’T fall into the trap of believing that Twitter is just about brand awareness. Yes, Twitter is an exceptional tool for bringing you closer to your audience and for telling the world about your business, its product launches and resolving customer issues, but that’s not all it is. Twitter is also a sales channel and as traditional media advertising is increasingly being mentally ‘blocked out’ by the viewing public, the social media sales channel is becoming ever more important across all sectors.

          This is what you should be doing:

          1. DO aim to engage with followers and those you wish to follow you. Success on Twitter is all about offering up interesting information, exciting facts, talking about topics that the people you wish to attract are also fascinated by. Basically you need to act as a ‘thought leader’ at the centre of the conversation. Getting to know what those who follow you are interested in, excited by or need, allows you to establish a relationship with them where sales can be considered supportive rather than intrusive.

          2. DO listen. Nobody likes being talked at – just a few minutes finding out about someone from their tweets, or listening to what those in your potential customer arena are interested in can give you material for a far warmer introduction. Step it up a notch and you can develop a listening/monitoring strategy, supported by a suitable tool, of which there are many to choose from, that will allow you to keep up with the numerous conversations and leading voices in your sector.

          3. DO take every opportunity to convert all of your traditional contacts to Twitter followers.

          4. DO link back to your business site where applicable and relevant. Using tools such as bitly you can shorten URLs so they can easily fit within the 140 characters that you have to play with. While you should not do so with every post – or you run the risk of looking too ‘salesy’ – you should regularly include links to blogs, social media deals, and so on that will improve awareness, SEO linking and sales.

          5. DO adapt according to your insights. The point of gathering all this information about those you wish to sell to is so that you can adapt your strategy to better suit their needs and your sales aspirations. Learn from their conversations, buying habits and the times they are most active on Twitter, then create more relevant and interesting content for them, focused offers and the soft sell that offers support to solve an issue they have expressed.

          It is important to always keep in mind that social media selling is all about respecting the medium, building trust and engagement, and then, once you have developed a comfortable relationship with those in your audience, finding the targeted supportive way to offer up your products and services.

          If you are interested in finding out a little more about how to get the most from this social media platform, check out more Twitter tips at SoMazi resources.

          *According to the annual Nielsen’s Social Media Report 2012




          Read more: http://wallblog.co.uk/2013/02/28/how-to-use-twitter-as-a-sales-channel/#ixzz2MEdzffDF 
          Follow us: @thewalluk on Twitter

          Joaquim Machado

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          WantChinaTimes.com

          Knowing China through Taiwan

          • Friday, March 1, 2013
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          15-19°C

          Affordable home-use 3D printers available soon in China


          • Staff Reporter
          •  
          • 2013-02-05
          •  
          • 16:29 (GMT+8)
          A customer displays a 3D printing product at a store in Beijing. (Photo/Xinhua)

          A customer displays a 3D printing product at a store in Beijing. (Photo/Xinhua)

          Three-dimensional printers meant for home desktop use, priced between 3,000 yuan (US$481) and 5,000 yuan (US$802) are available on the internet in China, the Beijing Youth Daily said.

          Industry insiders predicted that after the applications of 3D printing technology start being used widely, the prices of related office products and printers would also drop accordingly. In the future, 3D printers will become more affordable for households.

          In an offer the first of its kind, a newly opened store in Beijing allowed consumers to try 3D printing. It was reported that the prices charged by the store for 3D printing differed, based on the size of the finished products and the types of materials used. For instance, the price of printing a 15-cm high figurine was about 800 yuan (US$128).

          These prices were still high for some ordinary consumers, the report said, adding that the 3D printers used in the store were imported precision machines priced at tens of thousands of yuan and the prices of materials it used were also high, making printing more expensive.

          The reporter found after searching for information on e-commerce site Taobao that some domestically produced 3D printers were priced at only several thousand yuan.

          Desktop 3D printers usually employ ABS (acrylonitrile butadiene styrene) and PLA (poly lactic acid) as raw materials, which were priced at 100 yuan (US$16) to 150 yuan (US$24), and were both non-toxic and safe and had no smell, a customer service representative at a Taobao store said.

          However, this home use printer can only print models with simple shapes. More complicated models, such as a human face, cannot be made using 3D printers priced at below 10,000 yuan (US$1,604).

          The applications offered by 3D printers are wide. They can be used to produce models, gifts and do-it-yourself toys. The hurdles of extending the use of 3D printers to households are not posed by prices, but various types of products, including samples and designs that can be used for printing.

          If consumers do not possess the know-how of producing 3D models using computers, buying a 3D printer will still be useless for them.

          "The use of smartphones is so prevalent because of a large number of developers and application downloading channels. A production chain has been formed in the industry," the owner of the 3D printing store said.

          The owner added that the promotion of 3D printers in households could be done by implementing further price cuts and developing more talent and application downloading channels that allowed users to download samples.

          Joaquim Machado

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          Back to previous page


          More universities try the MOOC model by moving professors’ lectures online

          By Nick AndersonPublished: February 25

          CHARLOTTESVILLE — Philip Zelikow packs a lot into his modern world history course, roaming in a given week from the Napoleonic wars to Latin American revolutions to India circa 1800. But the professor sets a casual tone as he teaches dozens of undergraduates at the University of Virginia and tens of thousands of others worldwide through a lecture series delivered entirely online.

          “True, it’s a lot of conversations to have with the professor, and you don’t get to talk back directly,” Zelikow says in an introduction recorded in his book-lined office. “But on the plus side, you get to stop, pause, fast forward, rewind — or if you get tired of the professor, just turn him off. So, welcome to The Modern World.”

          This massive open online course, or MOOC, offers the world a free sample of education from the elite public university that Thomas Jefferson founded. But it also reflects a broad push in academia to redefine the college classroom for students who pay tuition on campus.

          Zelikow’s U-Va. students watch his lectures on their own time, freeing up precious classroom hours for in-depth discussion with a historian who has served in the upper echelons of U.S. government. This technique, known as flipping the classroom, is spreading in universities around the country as educators seek to harness technological advances to make undergraduate lecture courses less of a passive listening exercise and more of a dynamic give-and-take.

          There is growing consensus that the classic college lecture, with a “sage on the stage” holding forth for an hour or more, too often delivers mediocre results. Students tune out. Professors get stale.

          “Year after year, you’re walking into the same room, saying the same words,” said Stanford University computer scientist Andrew Ng. “Year after year, telling the same jokes. You start to wonder if this is how best to teach.”

          Dissatisfaction with live lectures helped drive Ng and Stanford colleague Daphne Koller to put course materials online. The success of those experiments led them last year to launch the MOOC platform Coursera.

          Coursera and edX, another online platform led by Harvard University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, have drawn millions of people around the world to sign up for free online classes from top-flight schools. And they have fueled debate about what matters most in instruction.

          Teaching reforms go well beyond MOOCs. In Maryland, educators have slashed live lecturing recently in courses such as Psychology 101 at Bowie State and Salisbury universities, Intermediate Algebra at Frostburg State, and Principles of Biology and Principles of Chemistry at the University of Maryland Eastern Shore.

          “In the end, students are more satisfied, and faculty are more satisfied,” said William E. “Brit” Kirwan, chancellor of the University System of Maryland. Gov. Martin O’Malley (D) this year proposed expanding the state’s course-redesign initiative.

          U-Va., which joined Coursera last summer, is also looking to improve undergraduate teaching. University officials say they are pleased that MOOCs are giving faculty unprecedented access to a global audience. But that is not their main goal.

          “The very best thing is, it provides a way for us to rethink how we do face-to-face education,” said James L. Hilton, university vice president and chief information officer.

          Zelikow volunteered to lead U-Va.’s MOOC debut.

          Known for serving as executive director of the 9/11 Commission, which examined the September 2001 terrorist attacks, Zelikow is a member of President Obama’s Intelligence Advisory Board. On the U-Va. faculty since 1998, he is the university’s associate dean for graduate programs in arts and sciences.

          Zelikow said he is typically skeptical of “naive, faddish talk” about the transformative power of technology. “I’m not a tech geek,” he said.

          But it intrigued him that a MOOC might enable him to overhaul a course he has taught many times: The Modern World — Global History Since 1760. In years past, he would typically present a long, prepared lecture for a large class, as entertaining as he could make it, with graduate students then leading small-group discussion sections.

          For the version that began Jan. 14 and will run through April, Zelikow recorded dozens of lectures. Lengths vary: six minutes on “Liberty and ‘Common Sense’”; 19 on “Breaking open China and Japan”; 36 on “Enemies of Liberalism.” The setting is his office, with close camera angles on the professor sitting in front of shelves of maroon reference volumes on U.S. foreign relations. He sprinkles in maps, art and photographs to make points. The effect he seeks is learned, casual and intimate.

          “Welcome back,” he greets viewers. “Make yourself comfortable.”

          About 47,000 students who registered to take the course for free received suggestions for optional readings. But they can also just watch the lectures. So far, about 25,000 have. Those who take weekly multiple-choice quizzes can earn a non-credit “statement of accomplishment” if they score 65 percent or higher.

          “I enjoy the course ‘to the max,’” Arlen Coyle, 68, of Oxford, Miss., one of the nonpaying students, wrote in an e-mail to The Washington Post. He said it requires “moderate” effort. “Prior to taking the weekly test,” Coyle wrote, “I review my bound notes, confirm that I understand everything, sometimes re-open and review the visual materials Prof. Zelikow used during the week, then tell myself: ‘Do it, old man.’”

          For about 80 U-Va. students, there are required readings, quizzes, written assignments, a midterm and a final exam. That is all fairly standard. The biggest novelty is that Zelikow – liberated from the obligation to lecture in class — leads discussion sections himself every Tuesday afternoon. One day this month, for example, he asked students to consider the preconditions for innovation in a society.

          “Take a moment. Think about it. Jot down a few things. I just want to listen to you talk about this for a while,” he told them.

          On Thursdays, teaching assistants oversee what the professor calls “history labs,” pushing students to explore primary source documents related to specific cities and points in time.

          Zelikow touts another new twist. The new format enables students to read particular passages from a textbook or another source just as that information is most relevant: when a student is about to watch a related lecture. As a result, the professor says, readings and lectures can reinforce each other more than ever before.

          “I’ve been teaching courses like this for about 20 years now,” Zelikow said. “This is the most powerful design.”

          Raj Singh, 20, a second-year U-Va. student from Herndon, said he likes watching lectures outside of class. “You spend time learning what happened on your own,” he said. “Then, you come to the discussion and history labs, and you get a better feel for the ‘why’ questions.”

          Drew Brophy, 21, a fourth-year student from Grosse Pointe, Mich., said the video lectures connect with students who have short attention spans. “For the YouTube generation,” he said, “it works a lot better. . . . This is an optimal way to do class.”

          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 28, 2013, 5:34:04 PM2/28/13
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          Don't just do something, stand there! (Sometimes good policy in complex systems is counterintuitive)

          I’m on an obscure email list for a statistical downscaling model. I think I’ve gotten about 10 messages in the last two years. But today, that changed.

          List traffic (data in red).

          Around 7 am, there were a couple of innocuous, topical messages. That prompted someone who’d evidently long forgotten about the list to send an “unsubscribe me” message to the whole list. (Why people can’t figure out that such missives are both ineffective and poor list etiquette is beyond me.) That unleashed a latent vicious cycle: monkey-see, monkey-do produced a few more “unsub” messages. Soon the traffic level became obnoxious, spawning more and more ineffectual unsubs. Then, the brakes kicked in, as more sensible users appealed to people to quit replying to the whole list. Those messages were largely lost in the sea of useless unsubs, and contributed to the overall impression that things were out of control.

          People got testy:

          I will reply to all to make my point.

          Has it occurred to any of you idiots to just reply to Xxxx Xxxx rather than hitting reply to all. Come on already, this is not rocket science here. One person made the mistake and then you all continue to repeat it.

          By about 11, the fire was slowing, evidently having run out of fuel (list ignoramuses), and someone probably shut it down by noon – but not before at least a hundred unsubs had flown by.

          Just for kicks, I counted the messages and put together a rough-cut Vensim model of this little boom-bust cycle:

          unsub.mdl unsub.vpm

          This is essentially the same structure as the Bass Diffusion model, with a few refinements. I think I didn’t quite capture the unsubscriber behavior. Here, I assume that would-be unsubscribers, who think they’ve left the list but haven’t, at least quit sending messages. In reality, they didn’t – in blissful ignorance of what was going on, several sent multiple requests to be unsubscribed. I didn’t explicitly represent the braking effect (if any) of corrective comments. Also, the time constants for corrections and unsubscriptions could probably be separated. But it has the basics – a positive feedback loop driving growth in messages, and a negative feedback loop putting an end to the growth. Anyway, have fun with it.

          Computing and networks have solved a lot of problems, like making logistics pipelines visible, but they’ve created as many new ones. The need for models to improve intuition and manage new problems is as great as ever.

          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 28, 2013, 5:40:45 PM2/28/13
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          Companhia obrigatória para quem pretende ser um 3-D MAKER !

          GRAPHIC DESIGN FEATURE

          The ultimate guide to logo design: 30 expert tips

          10 comments

          Follow these pro tips and create your best ever logo design. Paul Wyatt reveals everything you need to know to improve your designs.

          Words: Paul Wyatt

          Logos are all around us. To the general public they serve as an instant reminder of a company or a product; to the client they’re the point of recognition on which their brand hangs; and to us designers they represent the challenge of incorporating our clients’ ideologies into one single graphic.

          No wonder, then, that they feature so prominently in our lives. In an age where everyone must have a website to support their product, service or the company behind it, the demand for logo design has never been higher.

          More logos are out there than ever before, and with that comes the challenge of being different. How do we create something original that stands out in a sea of identities? And how do we create something quickly while retaining quality?

          In this article, we'll first look at the basic principles of creating a logo  and share some pro tips for finessing your process and design...

          01. Research your audience

          A logo isn't just something that looks nice - it has to communicate a brand message

          Designing a logo isn’t just about creating a pretty visual. What you’re doing, or taking part in, is developing a brand and communicating a position. It makes sense, then, that the first step in creating a logo should not be about design but about research into these concepts.

          Involving the client at this early stage is advised, as your interpretation of their brand may be different from theirs, and it’s essential that the message is clear before any actual designing takes place.

          02. Immerse yourself in the brand

          Before even beginning to sketch out ideas for a logo, spend some time compiling the equivalent of an M15 dossier on your client's brand: who they are, what they do and what their demographic is.

          Look at previous iterations of their logo and ask yourself what doesn't represent the brand on these. Then compile a 'dos and don'ts' checklist before your creative work starts.

          03. Online research

          Logo design tips 19
          Logo Moose is a great research resource

          Two great starting points for online logo design research are Logo Moose and Logo Gala. One thing to be mindful of is knowing when to stop your logo research. It's best to look at what did and didn't work out of 10 relevant logos than swamp yourself with 50 extraneous ones.

          04. Don't let clients dictate

          Point 2 does not mean you should just do what the client tells you. Look through the brief from your client and begin to ask questions about any vagueness or lazy brief writing you might find there. 'The logo should be iconic' and 'The logo should be memorable' are two extremely clichéd phrases you need to pull your client up about.

          A man kicking a chicken dressed as Father Christmas is memorable but for the wrong reasons. So, as with all commissioned design work, you need to manage your client's expectations, set realistic goals and find out what exactly your work needs to convey. Logos become iconic and memorable: they're not created that way.

          05. Sketch it out


          Logo design tips 13
          Get the pencil and pad out before switching on your computer. Picture credit: Ben Powell atwww.gogetcreative.co.uk

          With a solid understanding of what needs to be communicated, it’s on to the first sketches: more often than not, these should be the pen and paper kind. This enables you to be experimental and not get caught up in the finer details.

          It's tempting to move straight onto the computer first, but Ben Powell advises you resist the urge. "What did you learn to do first, use a computer or a pencil and paper?" he asks rhetorically. "Sketching is a much faster way to produce initial ideas before you even touchPhotoshop. It doesn't matter if it's complete chicken-scratch sketching as long as it conveys your ideas correctly and you understand it."

          06. Seek inspiration

          If you’re struggling for ideas, try looking up key words in a dictionary or thesaurus or searching Google images for inspiration. If you keep a sketch book then look at previous drawings – you’re bound to have unused ideas from previous projects, so you may already be sitting on the perfect solution.

          07. Create vectors

          Logo design tips 15
          Vectors are a good 'in-between' stage of logo creation. Picture credit: Ben Powell atwww.gogetcreative.co.uk

          After starting with a sketch, some designers then progress to more technical sketches on graph paper. But the best way to save any pain and frustration with later iterations of your logo design is to produce it using vectors. Here Illustrator CS6  is your friend as you'll be able to rescale your creation without losing any quality. You can copy and paste your logo into Photoshop as a 'smart object' (again with no loss of scalable quality), if you need to combine it with other elements.

          If you're designing a logo for screenbased media, be particularly careful of thin lines or very light typefaces. Also consider that different monitors can make text and graphics appear pixelated or rough.

          08. Choose your typeface

          Microsoft's new logo represents a trend towards clear and functional typography in logos

          Typography is obviously central to good logo design. You have two main routes to choose from: creating your own custom typeface or adapting an existing one.

          If you create a custom typeface, try not to make it too fashionable because it could date quickly. Keep it simple and legible.  Consider the words that you’re depicting – if they’re unusual then a simple typeface might work best; if they’re common words then you can usually be more creative as they’re easier to recognise.

          Adapting an existing typeface

          There's no rule to say you have to create your own typeface, though: consider adapting an existing one.

          Removing, extending or joining parts of letters may be enough to make your design unique. It’s amazing how little you need to see of some letters for you to still be able to recognise them.

          09. Avoid gimmicky fonts

          Don't be tempted to make your logo stand out by using gimmicky fonts. They're the equivalent of typographic chintz and there's a reason why most of them are free. For sheer professionalism's sake you should avoid them at all costs.

          Most gimmicky fonts are too fancy, too weak, and are most likely being used (badly) on a hundred different cheap business cards right now. When it comes to logo design, keep your font choices classic and simple and avoid over-garnishing your logo.

          10. The name CAN be the logo

          Logo design tips 20
          Stylised typeface forms Victoria Inn's logo. Picture credit: Ben Powell at www.gogetcreative.co.uk

          You may want to produce a simple execution of a logo for your client that uses the strength of the typography alone as the logo.

          Fonts come in all shapes and sizes that resonate differently with strength (slab type fonts, big and powerful); class and style (fonts with elegant scripts or serifs); movement and forward thinking (type that is slanted). Provided the qualities of the font - be it bespoke or off-the-shelf - match the qualities of the brand, you're onto a winner.

          Logo design tips 20b
          A strong bespoke type treatment for the Unatittel Art Collective by Luke Prowse

          11. Consider tones as well as colours

          Logos need to work in black and white as well as colour. If your logo design uses colour to convey meaning, think about how you can reflect that meaning when the colour is removed from the logo. Sometimes this may mean changing the contrast relationship between different elements of your design so that they still convey meaning when reproduced in monotones.   

          12. Design for specific usage scenarios

          Your logo design may need to be altered to work on different media, such as being reproduced in cotton embroidery

          As mentioned earlier, logos have to be reproduced across all sorts of different media, including print, web, embroidery and billboards. If you’ve opted for an intricate design that works well at a large size, you may need to simplify it for smaller or difficult reproduction. It’s quite common to have a slightly different version of a logo for reproduction on clothing for example. The best way to get this right is to talk to an embroiderer (or sign-maker, shoe-manufacturer etc as appropriate) 

          13. Think about the space around your logo

          The British Council has an exclusion zone based on the discs that make up part of its design

          Most brand books will specify an exclusion zone. This is an area around the logo that can’t be occupied by other content, to protect the integrity of the logo (and brand by extension). When you’re designing a logo, you need to consider how it should be used. If, for example, your design is intended to be viewed over the top of a photographic image, make sure you present it to the client in that way, and specify that it should be reproduced in this manner each time it’s used.

          14. Use negative space effectively

          The FedEx logo is a well-cited example of effective use of negative space in logo design

          Some of the best logos have hidden meaning in their negative space. A classic example is the Fed Ex logo which uses the combination of the letters E and x to form an arrow in the negative space. There are many other great examples where a logo looks ordinary at first glance, but reveals interesting and well-thought-out details on further examination. Try to use this principle to add value to your logo design, but don’t add shapes and pictorial elements in negative space just because you can!

          15. Make your design active, not passive

          The twitter logo has morphed from a static bird into one in flightover the years, suggesting motion and movement

          If you’re using a device within your logo that facilitates it, consider adding a sense of movement to your design. This doesn’t mean you need to add cartoon-like motion lines, but rather think about the size, position and rotation of elements within your design.

          A fish will look in motion if it’s mid jump or swim, but will look static if drawn side on as if it’s been mounted on a wall. You also need to take into account the direction of the implied motion.

          In the west, motion towards the left of the stage suggests backwards, regressive movement, while motion towards the right feels progressive and forward-thinking. This culture-based understanding is formed because we read from left to right. Things are different in the far East, so make sure you understand where your principal market is. 

          16. Create suitable variants

          Logo design tips 6
          Logos have to be consistent for all manner of different applications. Picture credit: Ben Powell atwww.gogetcreative.co.uk

          Your logo is amazing, beautiful, and stunning... but only on your 24in full HD monitor. Shrink that baby down to 100 pixels and what have you got? A little undecipherable splodge.

          Experiment with your designs at different sizes. If you’ve already got
          them on your computer, zoom in and out to see if they work as tiny icons or when they’re full screen.

          Make it legible

          Most clients need a vector version of the logo in order to be able to scale it up, cut it out and colour separate it. Equally, you need something that will be legible in lowest denominator media such as newsprint, and work online and on mobile devices.

          Once you have something, print it out. Print variations in type weight and style, as well as inverted versions of your logotype and mark. Print large versions and paste them to the wall or lay them out on the floor. Look at them for as much time as it takes to really let things sink in.

          Non-print variants

          As well as print you need to come up with variants that show how it can work on computer screens, mobile devices and other "real world" uses, whether on a uniform or a billboard at Old Trafford.

          Show all these variations to your clients to indicate how you’ve thought things through how (if needed) their logo could be used or teeny-tiny on a business franked letter.

          Think about creating an insignia version of the logo for when it occupies small spaces, and perhaps a clear and a greyscale version. This will go a long way to proving to your client they're getting value for money and a logo that can be used everywhere.

          17. Subtract as much as possible

          Logo design tips 9
          A simple but evocative logo produced by Luke Prowse for Tempestra Underwear

          Subtraction is a great technique for removing redundancy in any creative endeavour. It means continually asking yourself questions that begin with, "Does this logo need...", "Does this make sense?", "Does this match the brief" and "Is this self-indulgent?".

          Over time, most logos get simplified - Wendy's recent redesign is a prime example

          If you can't rationalise an element that's part of your logo design, the chances are you need to remove it from the overall piece. When your logo is at its simplest, it's probably at its strongest.

          18. Create a lock up version

          Logo design tips 8
          Logo and slogan have to work in harmony as well as individually

          A logo design often comes with a tagline (or strapline) that conveys a brand message. Nike, for example, has its swoosh device with 'Just Do It' usually seen underneath. Both elements can work separately but when they exist together this is referred to as a 'lock up'. It’s when both elements have a sense of cohesion between them.

          As these elements can be seen separately the rule to remember is not to rely on the tagline to make sense of the logo or vice versa. Your logo doesn’t necessarily have to be a visual representation of the tagline but the two should be equally 'on-brand'.

          19. Make your logo future-proof

          Logo design tips 4
          Redesign and re-invigoration of the Times Newspaper supplement times2 created by Luke Prowse alongside art director Neville Brody and their in-house editorial team

          Most logos are used for years, so be careful not to use ‘of the moment’ typefaces or styles that may date quickly. Don’t to be too literal either: a company selling records today might be flying people to space in 25 years. Most identities such as Shell and Kellogg's have changed over time but have kept timeless brand elements whilst subtly 'refreshing' or modernising their typography. There should be elements to the logo that are enduring but be mindful that other aspects of it may need to be adapted in the future for as-yet-unknown visual formats.

          20. Don't confuse 'logo' with 'brand'

          Logo design tips 1
          Part of the 'bigger picture' for the use of the Wolff Olins 2012 Olympic Games logo device

          'A logo isn't just the brand' is the most common tip to remember when creating a company's identity.

          The 2012 Olympic Games logo design by Wolff Olins was universally mocked when released in 2007. Mostly this was due to media restrictions which meant they couldn't explain or show how this logo was going to be used as part of the successful London 2012 games brand and not necessarily in isolation.

          If you’re presenting a logo which is mostly going to be seen 'locked up' with a strapline or connected to another visual device then show examples of this in your initial presentation.

          21. Get the tone right

          Logo design tips 2
          An example of three type treatments by Luke Prowse - authoritative, friendly and fun

          Imagine you were looking online for an accountant and come across a firm called Harewood's Accounting Services which had a logo design made up of a weedy serif font and an image of a hare sat on a plank of wood. You'd doubt whether this crowd were worth taking seriously. This fictitious company could well have multiple awards and reams of happy solvent customers, but such a logo wouldn’t inspire any trust or admiration for the services they offer.

          A logo represents a business's professionalism and poor visual jokes don't work. Use fonts which sum up the 'brand mood'. 

          22. Show your logo design around

          Logo design tips 11
          Kudawara's logo was memorable for the wrong reasons

          Quite a few of us will remember the Japanese pharmacy a few years ago whose logo received worldwide recognition for being unintentionally rather saucy. You of course could argue that the logo is fine and there are a lot of people in the world with dirty minds. But let's get real: how this got through final client approval is anyone's guess.

          After you've completed your logo design, send it round to your mates and family for a bit of feedback. Look at it sideways, look at it upside down and reverse it. Look at it every which way you can. Then send it to the client. You wouldn't want another Kudawara on your hands would you?

          23. Stick to your convictions

          Logo design tips 12
          Regular client feedback is crucial to avoid wasting everyone's time. Picture credit: Ben Powell atwww.gogetcreative.co.uk

          Sheffield-based graphic and UI designer Ben Powell suggests: "It's so important to get regular feedback from your client, but equally important that you make it clear you are the designer and that’s why you've been employed.

          "As soon as a client begins suggesting things like, 'Let's make that text a bit bigger, and try this typeface', your mark becomes diluted. It's your job as the designer to make this clear from the start."

          24. Fight the temptation to imitate

          Remember your logo will need to be used in a variety of different sizes and formats

          We all have our design heroes and sometimes we love them so much we want to imitate their styles. Well, they do say imitation is the sincerest form of flattery. However, in the real world it's just a lazy way to solve a creative problem.

          Ask yourself whether the style you're using is appropriate for the client's needs. Do they really want a logo that has the same typeface Saul Bass used for Quaker Oats in the 70s?

          25. Be experimental

          Logo design tips 16a
          Cut & Splice's logo is ever-morphing and never the same twice

          Don't feel you have to be constricted by formal notions of what a logo is or does. For example, designer Luke Prowse came up with a highly original use of logo and brand identity for music event Cut & Splice, celebrating experimental composer's Karlheinz Stockhausen's Aus dem Seben Tagen.

          Playing with the experimental composer's lifetime obsession with 'controlled chance', Luke created a logo design that is never the same twice, both online and digitally printed. In online form the logo continually morphs and pulsates like an ever-evolving compositional soundscape.

          Logo design tips 16b
          Another incarnation of the experimantal Cut & Splice logo

          26. Don't ask the client if they like it

          When your logo is finished, try not to ask vague questions to your client such as, "Do you like it?", or, "What do you think?". You may as well ask if they like apples or oranges.

          Questions you should ask include: "Does it meet the brief?" amd "Does this represent your core brand values?". If they avoid the question and just say they don't like it, ask for specifics. After all it's their brand and they should know. 

          27. Create a board and rip it up

          You could research logos all day as there are books and websites by the score containing examples of them. Only make mood boards out of ones that share similar values. Look at your mood board and analyse what isn't successful about these logos. Then rip those boards up and use these rules as a guide for your own unique creation.

          28. Create a logo style guide

          The Channel 4 style guide explains in detail how its logo can and can't be used

          Style guides determine the way a logo can be used and usually include colour options, size restraints, positioning, typefaces and how the logo works on different backgrounds. Check out the Channel 4 style guide  for a great example of the sort of guide you should be aiming to set up.

          29. What a style guide should include

          A style guide should illustrate all possible colour options for a logo. It should include any Pantone colours used with a breakdown for CMYK and RGB. Other options to include are: colour and mono logos on white, colour and mono on black and colour and mono on an image background.

          Some logos only work down to a certain size. This might be because they become illegible or simply lose their impact. Specify the minimum size for your logo and bear in mind how it looks on screen as this may differ from a printed version. Offer an alternative in pixels.

          Positioning

          The positioning of your logo may not be required in a style guide, but depending on the style and shape of your design there may be a position that you think works best. For example, text that’s ranged right might look best on the right-hand side of the page.

          Give consideration to the amount of space around a logo and try to explain this without using units of measurement. For example, the space below the logo should be a quarter of its width. This ensures that whatever size the logo is used at, the correct space can be calculated easily.

          No-nos

          If there are any ways that your logo should not be used then make sure you specify them. The main reason for a style guide is to ensure the appearance of your logo remains consistent, so explain how the logo should not be misinterpreted and illustrate your points with examples.

          30. Download the logo design flowchart

          Still not sure where to begin with logo design? No problem. Deliver winning logos every time by following the step-by-step processes inJohnson Banks' foolproof flowchart.

          Right click this link to download the logo design flowchart (PDF)


          Joaquim Machado

          unread,
          Feb 28, 2013, 5:59:21 PM2/28/13
          to Joaquim Machado, Braulio Dias, adrit...@yahoo.com.br, Maria Cecilia Vieira, davi.bonavides@itamaraty.gov.br bonavides, Maximiliano da Cunha Henriques Arienzo, Marcio de M. Santos, Eliana Maria Gouveia Fontes, Lidio Coradin, Zeze Sampaio, Decio Zylbersztajn, Sergio Salles Filho, Maria Beatriz Bonacelli, beatriz bulhoes, btc5734_2011-1@googlegroups.com 2011-1, btc...@googlegroups.com, btc5734_2012@googlegroups.com 2012, economia_biotec@googlegroups.com biotec, BTC5700 2012, acgs...@usp.br, Monica Adriana Salles, Tejon Megido_fw, Coriolano, guedes Antonio Carlos, Mariza T. Barbosa, eduard...@cgee.org.br, Paulo Manoel L.C. Protasio
          Robat feature

          The Revelations of 3D-Printed Robats

          When I was at the Los Angeles Zoo the other day, my friend Jon kept saying how he wished humans had never done away with the opposable toe that the great apes have – the one that gives all other primates that cute set of hand-feet.  I said, “Jon, as soon as I get my Bukobot built, we’re going to use that Coming Up Short Handed prosthetic finger project to print you an opposable thumb and make you some hand-feet.” It’s not the most charitable reason for prosthetic fingers, but it will serve a higher purpose some day.  It turns out that Brown researchers are going down the same path as Jon and I as they have developed some 3D-printed bat wings.  While they probably won’t use it for human modification, I don’t see how it’s out of the question.

          What professors Kenneth Breuer, an engineer, and Sharon Swartz, a biologist, were aiming for was an understanding of how the flight of bats works, exactly, and, because it would be impossible to have a bat fly around attached to measurement gear and at the whim of some human scientists (as opposed to bat scientists), they constructed a robotic bat wing. The wing, constructed from 3D-printed parts, silicone elastomer, servo motors and cables has allowed Breuer and Swartz to simulate the physics behind bat flight. And they can manipulate the wing, have it beat faster or slower and alter other variables, saying, “We can answer questions like, ‘Does increasing wing beat frequency improve lift and what’s the energetic cost of doing that?’ We can directly measure the relationship between these kinematic parameters, aerodynamic forces and energetics.”

          The wing replica, while it does not have the complexity of an authentic bat’s appendage, will provide valuable data relating to bat physiology, as well as physics itself, with the replica allowing researchers to manipulate and understand five key elements to winged flight, according to Brown University’s coverage of the story: “flapping frequency, flapping amplitude, the angle of the flap relative to the ground, the amount of time used for the downstroke, and the extent to which the wings can fold back.”

          Robat

          The Brown University reporting also suggests that such research could lead to the creation of “small flapping aircraft [as] the research was funded by the U.S. Air Force Office of Scientific Research and the National Science Foundation.”  And, after watching an Air Force video on the future of small, insect and bird-like swarms of mini-drones, I think that Jon and I have to get to work outfitting him in all of the latest 3D-printed animal appendages so that as mythical sci-fi creatures, we can outrun the potential bat-drones of the future.  If they get that cloaking tech off the ground, though, it may already be too late.

          Source: Brown University


          Joaquim Machado

          unread,
          Feb 28, 2013, 6:09:08 PM2/28/13
          to Joaquim Machado, Braulio Dias, adrit...@yahoo.com.br, Maria Cecilia Vieira, davi.bonavides@itamaraty.gov.br bonavides, Maximiliano da Cunha Henriques Arienzo, Marcio de M. Santos, Eliana Maria Gouveia Fontes, Lidio Coradin, Zeze Sampaio, Decio Zylbersztajn, Sergio Salles Filho, Maria Beatriz Bonacelli, beatriz bulhoes, btc5734_2011-1@googlegroups.com 2011-1, btc...@googlegroups.com, btc5734_2012@googlegroups.com 2012, economia_biotec@googlegroups.com biotec, BTC5700 2012, acgs...@usp.br, Monica Adriana Salles, Tejon Megido_fw, Coriolano, guedes Antonio Carlos, Mariza T. Barbosa, eduard...@cgee.org.br, Paulo Manoel L.C. Protasio
          Take advantage of our early bird registration rates. 
          Save big when you sign up before March 14!
          Inside 3D Printing
          April 22-23, 2013Javits Convention Center 
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          The 3D printing revolution has arrived and Inside 3D Printing is the first business to business conference and expo to delve into the present and future impact of 3D printing. Join us on April 22-23 in New York City, and immerse yourself in two full days of tutorials and seminars that will give you a blueprint for how to invest and utilize 3D printing in coming years. And, you will not want to miss the exhibition hall packed with the latest 3D printers and services. Be a part of this cutting-edge event!

          Keynote Presentations

          Terry Wohlers, Principal Consultant and President, Wohlers Associates, Inc. has been named as one of the most influential individuals in rapid product development and additive manufacturing.

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          Interested in showcasing your 3D printing product or service?

          If you are a small company or an individual entrepreneur with a product or service that involves 3D printing (or related software), we’d like to showcase you during the conference session, Lightning Talks: Next Generation Market-Makers - 3D Printing Startups. Please contact Melba Kurman atmel...@triplehelixinnovation.com to learn more.

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          3D Printing in the News

          "3D printing could well rewrite the rules of manufacturing in much the same way as the PC trashed the traditional world of computing" -- The Economist


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          Joaquim Machado

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          Feb 28, 2013, 6:15:57 PM2/28/13
          to Joaquim Machado, Braulio Dias, adrit...@yahoo.com.br, Maria Cecilia Vieira, davi.bonavides@itamaraty.gov.br bonavides, Maximiliano da Cunha Henriques Arienzo, Marcio de M. Santos, Eliana Maria Gouveia Fontes, Lidio Coradin, Zeze Sampaio, Decio Zylbersztajn, Sergio Salles Filho, Maria Beatriz Bonacelli, beatriz bulhoes, btc5734_2011-1@googlegroups.com 2011-1, btc...@googlegroups.com, btc5734_2012@googlegroups.com 2012, economia_biotec@googlegroups.com biotec, BTC5700 2012, acgs...@usp.br, Monica Adriana Salles, Tejon Megido_fw, Coriolano, guedes Antonio Carlos, Mariza T. Barbosa, eduard...@cgee.org.br, Paulo Manoel L.C. Protasio

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