Dyer's Presentation feedback

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Roshan

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May 6, 2014, 8:21:53 PM5/6/14
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Sam,

Here is my input as promised:

Slide 4: Inputs - rename inputs to "Key Assumptions", rename the input list names so they don't appear as just copy/paste from the XL sheet. i.e. Rate of new clients (per quarter) can be phased as something like "Rate of new client acquisition)

Slide 3: Precision tree: we should speak to what we discussed on Sunday, that is why the decision to invest is not based on Net Income, but on Revenue. And why we decided not to closely tie the cost data from Monte carlo simulation with the precision tree (a time based financial forecast could not be overlayed on an event based decision tree. The decision tree is purely intended to provide a structure into how we will make decisions along the way as the venture progresses.

Slide 8: Net Cumulative Income - add a summarizing statement like "net income is negative by end of 2015, this is typical for new software ventures where Revenue is a key driver initially"

Slide 10: seems like a copy paste from the @RISK report generated. Also I see the same for many other slides. We should add more context in the slide - otherwise Dyer will ding us on the grades.

Slide 11: Sensitivity analysis: instead of listing all inputs in order of sensitivity, just list the top 2-3, and speak to qualitatively why the venture is most sensitive to those. Also, these indicate sensitivity to the Revenue, the Net Income, or both. We should clarify in the slide.

Slide 12: do we need this?

Slide 13: this is same information as slide 11. We should remove one of them

Retake the snapshots of the decision tree from the latest XL sheet that Munira updated. I verified and it looks great.

Slide 20: Takeaways - rethink what we should write here. I don't think Decision tree reflects a no go.

Slide 21: Takeaways - revenue projections are "bleak" - consider substituting that word - is sounds negative, while what we see is typical and expected for new technology startups 


Thanks,
Roshan

Sam Balter

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May 6, 2014, 9:37:05 PM5/6/14
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Hey Roshan + All, 

I made several of the changes suggested. I did not change slide 3 that much because I wanted it to be more about the initial goals and thoughts we went into the project with. In other slides I highlight our difficulty with managing time based versus event based situations. I felt that was more something that we concluded but did not initially anticipate. 

All, please take a look at the new presentation. If there is any changes you would like just make them in the document and then upload a new version. Also, feel free to add additional insight into the notes section. 




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