I agree with Callum, the UI issue of an unscrollable
scrollbar is a worse issue than
the jarring 11 pixel shift. That said, for some
(very few) sites I have forced the page to be
height 100% plus a few pixels of padding to force the
bar to appear for a short page or
intentionally offcentered by 1/2 the width of the
scrollbar by browser sniffing and adjusting
the padding of a div within the centered div - letting
it shift left or right to offset the centerline
shift. This only works
if the short pages are predictable or measureable
with javascript.
One other 'hack' I have seen - you can style the
color of the scrollbar in some browsers to
effectively force it on and then 'grey it out' by
setting all element colors to match/disappear
into your background if
it's a consistent color.
I have to say most people don't notice/care. It's
the nature of centered sites.