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New Times Mirror Results on Turnout in 1994
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Rapoport, Ronald B.
Mar 17, 1995, 12:15:56 PM3/17/95
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I just received a release from the Times Mirror survey indicating that
Republicans as a percentage of likely voters in 1994 far surpassed
Republicans as a percentage of registered voters. In fact, this survey
found that 55% of the likely voters were Republican (compared with 40%
Democratic). On the other hand, the revised exit poll results from the New
York Times (as of 3/1/95), show a Democratic advantage among those turning
out (39%-34%). Although I realize that the Times Mirror is apportioning
independents, and that likely voters are not the same as actual voters,
these two results still seem quite incongruous. I don't recall seeing any
other surveys showing the same results as Times-Mirror.
Republicans as a percentage of likely voters in 1994 far surpassed
Republicans as a percentage of registered voters. In fact, this survey
found that 55% of the likely voters were Republican (compared with 40%
Democratic). On the other hand, the revised exit poll results from the New
York Times (as of 3/1/95), show a Democratic advantage among those turning
out (39%-34%). Although I realize that the Times Mirror is apportioning
independents, and that likely voters are not the same as actual voters,
these two results still seem quite incongruous. I don't recall seeing any
other surveys showing the same results as Times-Mirror.
Any ideas on this?
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