Perilous Times
Ocean Waves becoming stronger, higher in Pacific Northwest
by Staff Writers
Corvallis, Ore. (UPI) Jan 26, 2009
U.S. scientists say they've found a dramatic increase in maximum ocean
wave strength and heights, forming off the Pacific Northwest, possibly
caused by climate change.
Oregon State University researchers, joined by scientists from the
Oregon Department of Geology, say the wave height increase is forcing a
re-evaluation of how high a "100-year event" might be, and the new
findings raise special concerns for flooding, coastal erosion and
structural damage.
The study, led by Assistant Professor Peter Ruggiero, concludes the
highest waves might be as high as 46 feet, up 40 percent from estimates
of only 33 feet made as recently as 1996.
"The rates of erosion and frequency of coastal flooding have increased
over the last couple of decades and will almost certainly increase in
the future," Ruggiero said. "The Pacific Northwest has one of the
strongest wave climates in the world, and the data clearly show that
it's getting even bigger.
"Possible causes might be changes in storm tracks, higher winds, more
intense winter storms or other factors. These probably are related to
global warming, but could also be involved with periodic climate
fluctuations such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and our wave
records are sufficiently short that we can't be certain yet. But what
is clear is the waves are getting larger."
The findings are detailed in the journal Coastal Engineering.