Perilous Times
North Korea's emerging nuclear threat is "alarming," says South
By Jeremy Laurence
SEOUL (Reuters) - Mercurial North Korea's nuclear threat has reached an
"alarming level" and it is now trying to miniaturize weapons to improve
their mobility and impact, a South Korean government official said.
A U.S. think-tank has also said satellite images taken last week showed
that construction or excavation activity was taking place at the
North's main Yongbyon nuclear complex.
News that the North was pushing ahead with its nuclear plans in
defiance of international pressure comes as Pyongyang, which has just
recently set in motion a father-to-son power transition, has said it
wants to return to stalled nuclear talks.
"We have judged that North Korea is currently operating all its nuclear
programmes, including highly enriched uranium processing and the
nuclear facility in Yongbyon," said Kim Tae-hyo, the president's
secretary for national strategy, according to the JoongAng Daily on
Wednesday.
Even though it has exploded nuclear devices, North Korea has not shown
it has a working nuclear bomb. Experts say they do not believe it has
the ability to miniaturize an atomic weapon to place on a missile.
Under an earlier aid-for-disarmament agreement, the reclusive North
began to close down Yongbyon, which when fully operational can produce
enough fissile material for one nuclear bomb a year.
Last year, Pyongyang announced that in the face of U.S. hostility it
would restore parts of the plant, a year after blowing up the complex's
cooling tower in what it said was a display of its commitment to
nuclear disarmament.
"Their nuclear programme is evolving even now at a very fast pace," Kim
told a forum on the future of Northeast Asia, adding the North's
nuclear threat had reached an "alarming level."
North Korean Vice Foreign Minister Pak Kil-yon told the U.N. General
Assembly last week that Pyongyang would bolster its "nuclear deterrent"
in response to the threat posed by the United States, but promised
never to use its atomic arsenal to attack or threaten any nation.
ACTIVITY AT DESTROYED TOWER
The Institute for Science and International Security in Washington said
in a report that satellite images showed there was activity in the area
surrounding the destroyed cooling tower.
"However, there is no indication in the imagery that North Korea is
rebuilding its cooling tower," it said.
"In addition, the new excavation activity appears to be more extensive
than would be expected for rebuilding the cooling tower. But the actual
purpose of this excavation activity cannot be determined from the image
and bears watching."
Until recently, there was no indication of new construction or
excavation activity in the area of the destroyed cooling tower, the
report said.
The Yongbyon complex consists of a five-megawatt reactor, whose
construction began in 1980, a fuel fabrication facility and a plutonium
reprocessing plant, where weapons-grade material is extracted from
spent fuel rods.
The site, about 60 miles north of Pyongyang, also houses a 50-megawatt
reactor whose construction was suspended under a 1994 nuclear deal with
the United States. That reactor is nowhere near completion.
U.S. officials said prior to the North's second nuclear test last year,
it had produced about 110 lbs (l50 kg) of plutonium, which
proliferation experts say would be enough for six to eight nuclear
weapons.
"It is our belief that North Korea is constantly working on making
their weapons smaller, as all nations with nuclear programs wish to do,
in order to produce nuclear weapons with more firepower and less
plutonium," Kim said.
"When the weapons are made mobile, they will be placed in the field,
and when that time comes, they could wreak immense havoc on South
Korean soil wherever they are aimed."