Hello Suzanne
This phenomenon of obtaining younger estimates using *BEAST was
already shown in McCormack et al. (2010) Evolution, 65:184. To my
knowledge, this is the first and only paper which compares empirical
results from BEAST and *BEAST (If I'm not entirely correct, I would
appreciate if anyone could point out additional studies). However,
given the novelty of *BEAST, it wouldn't be surprising to see a flurry
of studies with similar results in the near future. This paper also
discusses why this occurs. Shortly, the main reason is the shift from
the concatenation method (used in BEAST) to the multi-locus coalescent
approach (*BEAST), in which coalescent theory is incorporated into the
analysis when studying multiple species (basically, a shift from gene
trees to species trees). For example, the timing of gene divergence
generally predates that of speciation and thus, estimates based solely
on gene trees will tend to overestimate divergence dates. The *BEAST
method, on the other hand, uses a full probabilistic coalescent
framework, in which gene trees are embedded and jointly estimated with
the species tree, providing much more accurate and precise divergence
time estimates. Since they take this deeper gene tree coalescence into
account, estimates will be more recent. Anyway, the paper presents a
much more complete explanation.
Hope it helps
Cheers
Diogo
On Mar 24, 12:54 pm, Suzanne Williams <
s.willi...@nhm.ac.uk> wrote:
> Hi Diogo,
>
> I was very interested to see that you have identified that species
> divergences seem to be younger in *BEAST analyses than BEAST analyses. We
> have found a similar pattern with our data.
>
> Do you know whether this finding has been published somewhere (so we can
> cite it)? And do you have any idea why this is occurring?
>
> Thanks for your help.
>
> Suzanne Williams
>
>
http://www.nhm.ac.uk/research-curation/staff-directory/zoology/s-will...
> dex.html