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Polls turn in favour of NDP over Harper tories

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May 27, 2012, 8:53:25 PM5/27/12
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And yeah . . . this is from a 'Conservative-friendly' pollster: Angus Reid.
______________________________

05/24/12)
Thomas Mulcair’s national approval rating is boosted by the 70 per cent of Quebecers who are
satisfied with his performance.

The governing Conservative Party’s advantage over the opposition New Democratic Party (NDP) has
shrunk in Canada over the past two months, a new Angus Reid Public Opinion poll has found.

The online survey of a representative national sample of 1,014 Canadians also shows that the
national approval rating for both Prime Minister Stephen Harper and opposition leader Thomas
Mulcair is practically the same, based on the strength of their performances in specific areas
of the country.

Voting Intention

Across Canada, 37 per cent of decided voters and leaners would support the governing Tories in
the next federal election.

The New Democrats remain in second place but have gained four points since March to reach 33
per cent. The Liberal Party is third with 18 per cent (-3), followed by the Bloc Québécois with
seven per cent (-1), and the Green Party with four per cent (=).

In British Columbia, the Tories are virtually even with the NDP (41% to 40%). In Quebec, since
Mulcair took over as leader, the New Democrats have gained ten points (43%, with the Bloc a
distant second at 27%). The Liberals post their best numbers in Atlantic Canada (35%), but have
dropped seven points in Ontario (23%).

Among women, the NDP is now the frontrunner (39%), with the Tories eight points behind (31%).
The New Democrats also have a double-digit lead over the Conservatives among voters aged
18-to-34 (40% to 30%). The Tories hold a 12-point advantage among Canadians over the age of 55
(41% to 29%).

Three federal parties—Conservatives, New Democrats and the Bloc—are holding on to at least
four-in-five of the voters who supported them in last year’s federal election. The Liberals
have a retention rate of 72 per cent, and are losing one-in-five voters (21%) to the
Mulcair-led NDP. The Greens can count on the support of two thirds of their 2011 voters (66%),
but would see 26 per cent of them support the New Democrats instead.

Approval and Momentum

The approval rating for New Democratic Party (NDP) and Official Opposition leader Thomas
Mulcair is 46 per cent, while Prime Minister and Conservative Party leader Stephen Harper
checks in this month at 45 per cent.

One third of Canadians approve of the way interim Liberal Party leader Bob Rae (34%) and Green
Party leader Elizabeth May (also 34%) are performing their duties.

While the numbers for Harper and Mulcair are very similar, it is their regional popularity that
places them in similar footing across Canada. Harper gets high marks in Alberta (73%), Manitoba
and Saskatchewan (53%), but only garners the approval of 28 per cent of Quebecers.

The momentum score for the four national party leaders is negative this month, with Mulcair
(-1), May (-4) and Rae (-8) posting better numbers than Harper (-29).

Analysis

The official arrival of Thomas Mulcair to the federal political scene has provided a boost to
the New Democrats, who have gained four points in two months and are the most popular political
force in Quebec. The NDP is also now virtually tied with the Conservatives in British Columbia,
and has clearly surpassed the Liberals to become the second choice for voters in Ontario.

The New Democrats are benefitting from an erosion of Liberal and Green support. The Grits are
now at 18 per cent at the national level, with particularly low numbers in British Columbia
(13%) and Quebec (10%). The Greens are seeing one-in-four of their voters saying they would
vote for the Mulcair-led NDP.


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We hang the petty thieves and elect the greatest ones to public office.


Liberals are VERMIN

unread,
May 28, 2012, 8:40:43 AM5/28/12
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On May 27, 8:53 pm, "Co...@minority.gov" <ConsR@minority,gov> wrote:
> And yeah . . .  this is from a 'Conservative-friendly' pollster:  Angus Reid.
> ______________________________
>
> 05/24/12)
> Thomas Mulcair’s national approval rating is boosted by the 70 per cent of Quebecers who are
> satisfied with his performance.

Doesn't matter or mean much. He's done little if anything so no
rational person can be that "satisfied." Besides, our economy as
usual is one of the few bright spots in the West and conservatives
will continue to be elected because of it.
From Europe's experience, we've seen the devastating effects of
unbridled socialism.

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