更新: 2025年10月02日
【記者吳旻洲/台北報導】來自世界各地不同族裔的反共運動領袖,2日齊聚台北圓山大飯店參加「國際反共保台行動大會」。旅澳自由主義學者袁紅冰致詞時表示,會議宗旨就是要宣誓與中共暴政決死抗衡、堅決保衛自由台灣;並透過會中的討論,啟動中國全民反抗、人民起義的策略與行動方案。
根據承辦單位「中國自由文化運動」公布資訊,本次會議有兩項宗旨:首先,效法前蘇聯和東歐人民,運用人類理性和良知所允許的一切方式和方法,在東亞大陸發動全民反抗和人民起義,摧毀中共暴政的國家恐怖主義的暴力統治機器,顛覆中共暴政的獨裁專制政權,為此研議並制定具有現實可行性的方案。
其次,全面反制中共暴政對自由台灣發起的認知戰和統戰滲透,針對極大可能發生的中共暴政對自由台灣的入侵,研議並制定有效的擊敗方案。
為期三天的「國際反共保台行動大會」2日舉行開幕式,本次與會成員來自全球各地,包括西藏、維吾爾、蒙古、香港、中國漢族與台灣等不同族裔的反共運動領袖,總計超過250人。
活動發起人、旅澳自由主義學者袁紅冰致詞時表示,中共已經成為21世紀人類可能面臨的重大戰爭與災難的源頭;面對中共黨魁習近平意圖發動台海衝突的傾向,若不遏止,極可能成為引燃更大規模戰事、甚至第三次世界大戰的導火線,「我們不能等到災難發生之後再反應」。
袁紅冰表示,中共10月1日慶祝建政76週年,這一天既是中共暴政存在與擴張的見證節點,同時也是東亞大陸各民族陷入血腥與災難深淵的起點;「這種歷史的重合提醒我們,面對暴政與侵略,不能有任何的麻痺與盲從」。
近期美國哈德遜研究所舉辦了一場題為「中共崩潰後:準備後共產黨時代」的研討會,與會的中國問題專家對中共「崩潰後」的局勢,描繪了許多設想。
袁紅冰認為,他們忽略了關鍵的一環,「究竟是由誰?以及如何來摧毀中共暴政?」他強調,本次大會立場很明確,不討論哲學式的暢想,而是專注制定現實、可執行的行動方案,從國際協作、情報與宣傳制衡、滲透阻斷,到支援中國境內的民主力量與組織化反抗,一步步摧毀中共極權體制的進程;唯有如此,才能真正為東亞帶來自由民主化的可能。
「另一方面,我們也必須面對一個更緊迫的現實:如何制止習近平征服台灣的戰略」。袁紅冰表示,大會同時要討論並制定保衛自由台灣的國際志願軍行動方案,以及反制中共統戰滲透與武力犯台的具體戰略;換句話說,保台不是單靠說服或外交,而是需要國際社會、台灣內部與盟友間有效且協調的實務準備。
袁紅冰強調,面對習近平與中共的軍事與政治擴張,從中國內部推動體制變革與摧毀暴政,可能是防止21世紀人類大劫難最關鍵、甚至唯一真正能釜底抽薪的選擇。
對於有人可能會質疑,「這樣的主張是不是過於激進?」袁紅冰表示,面對暴政與戰爭的威脅,保守的等待等同於同謀;本次大會不是鼓吹無原則的暴力,而是要用一切合法與必要的手段,結合同情的人道援助、政治動員、國際法庭行動、資訊揭露與戰略抵抗,形成一套完整且可操作的「摧毀暴政」與「保衛自由」的藍圖。
三立新聞國際中心/倪譽瑋報導
2025/10/01 15:59
https://www.setn.com/News.aspx?NewsID=1729478
幾天前美國海軍後備單位召開指揮官與高階士官會議,會中談到隨著中國對台灣的企圖越來越明顯,其在印度太平洋區域(印太區域)可能引爆衝突,美軍的規劃已不再只是談「假設情境」,而是要擬定實際行動,假如衝突爆發,美國不排除在30天內出動5.8萬海軍後備官兵的9成兵力(5萬人)應對。
印太地區穩定不可忽視 美軍後備單位討論衝突風險
根據美國國防部新聞網站DVIDS新聞稿,25日中西部14個海軍後備中心(Navy Reserve Centers)指揮官、高階士官在伊利諾州的大湖海軍基地(Naval Station Great Lakes)展開會議,由海軍預備役戰備及動員司令部大湖區(REDCOM GL)指揮官蔡斯(Kerri Chase)主持。
會議中討論戰備與動員,海軍中校羅斯洛克(Elliot Rothrock)對印太局勢的急迫性提出警告,他認為該地是全球體系的經濟核心,「美國人使用的幾乎所有產品都依賴於這裡的自由開放的海洋。」印太區域人口占世界人口的60%、有5個核武國家,擁有對全球貿易至關重要的航道。
台海衝突風險增 必要時動員5萬海軍後備官兵
然而,隨著中國加速軍事擴張,並加強對台灣的盤算,「該地區的穩定岌岌可危。」羅斯洛克警告,中國對台灣的企圖明顯,美國國防部戰略規劃官員已不再只是談「假設情境」,如果有需要,必須在30天內動員5萬名海軍後備官兵。羅斯洛克也用幻燈片展示了美國對日本、韓國和關島的承諾,如果北京採取行動,這些地方都將成為潛在的衝突點。
報導也提及「戴維森窗口」(Davidson window),是美軍前印太司令戴維森(Philip Davidson)2021年在國會聽證時警告議員,中國可能在2027年以前對台灣採取行動。美國海軍後備司令部總士官長萊恩斯(Robert W. Lyons)強調,「這個窗口正在縮小」美國的容錯空間也在縮小。
珍珠港事件先例 美國要做好準備
A few days ago, the US Navy Reserve units held a meeting of commanders and senior non-commissioned officers. The meeting discussed that as China's intentions towards Taiwan become increasingly apparent, it may trigger a conflict in the Indo-Pacific region. The US military's planning is no longer just discussing "hypothetical scenarios," but rather formulating actual actions. If a conflict breaks out, the US does not rule out deploying 90% of its 58,000 Navy reservists (50,000 people) within 30 days to respond.
The Stability of the Indo-Pacific Region Cannot Be Ignored: US Navy Reserve Units Discuss Conflict Risks
According to a news release from the US Department of Defense news website DVIDS, on the 25th, commanders and senior non-commissioned officers from 14 Navy Reserve Centers in the Midwest gathered at the Naval Station Great Lakes in Illinois for a meeting, hosted by Commander Kerri Chase of the Navy Reserve Readiness and Mobilization Command Great Lakes (REDCOM GL).
The meeting discussed readiness and mobilization. Navy Lieutenant Commander Elliot Rothrock warned of the urgency of the situation in the Indo-Pacific region, believing that it is the economic core of the global system. "Almost all products used by Americans rely on the free and open seas here." The Indo-Pacific region accounts for 60% of the world's population, has 5 nuclear-armed countries, and possesses sea lanes that are crucial to global trade.
Increased Risk of Cross-Strait Conflict: Mobilizing 50,000 Navy Reservists When Necessary
However, as China accelerates its military expansion and strengthens its plans for Taiwan, "the stability of the region is in jeopardy." Rothrock warned that China's intentions towards Taiwan are obvious, and US Department of Defense strategic planning officials are no longer just discussing "hypothetical scenarios." If necessary, 50,000 Navy reservists must be mobilized within 30 days. Rothrock also used slides to show the US's commitments to Japan, South Korea, and Guam. If Beijing takes action, these places will become potential points of conflict.
The report also mentions the "Davidson window," which is the warning given by former US Indo-Pacific Commander Philip Davidson to members of Congress during a hearing in 2021, that China may take action against Taiwan before 2027. Master Chief Petty Officer Robert W. Lyons of the US Navy Reserve Command emphasized, "This window is shrinking," and the US's margin for error is also shrinking.
The Precedent of the Pearl Harbor Incident: The US Must Be Prepared
Lyons gave an example, taking out a yellowed ticket from a 1941 Army vs. Navy American football game, and pointing out that while Americans were cheering in the stands, Japanese aircraft carriers were already heading towards Pearl Harbor. A few days later, more than 2,000 American soldiers and civilians were killed, and three US battleships were severely damaged. This was a turning point in history: the Pearl Harbor incident. "We didn't predict it before, and now the US's opponent is once again preparing to create such a turning point. Are we prepared?"
|
Thoughts: If the Americans have really calculated this risk, they should openly discuss the issue of stationing troops with Taiwan. Otherwise, they should first discuss a plan for Taiwan and the US to jointly rent land and ports with the Philippines to establish a joint base and reserve the ability to strike back. Make China's losses from starting a war greater than the benefits, and only then is it possible to stop the war with war. Otherwise, constantly issuing warnings like this will only become less and less effective.