Graham Allison的 "美支應避免Thucydides Trap論" 會取代Dr. Michael Pillsbury的 "美國應擊敗或挫折支那欲取代美國做為新的世界霸權的企圖論" 嗎?

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david chou

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May 15, 2026, 4:08:52 AM (13 days ago) May 15
to BATA Group, Seashon Chen, Dr. JC Fann, John 2 Hsieh, John Chou, Dr. Michael Yeun, Douglas Chiang, Allen Kuo, Chilly Chen, Ted Lau, Tek-Khiam Chia, Ting-Kuei Tsay, Stephenlin0314, Hwan Lin, Michael Richardson, Sim Kiantek, 邱律師
Graham Allison的 "美支應避免Thucydides Trap論" 會取代Dr. Michael Pillsbury的 "美國應擊敗或挫折支那欲取代美國做為新的世界霸權的企圖論" 嗎? Old Donald要把對北京支共流氓政權與支那邪惡帝國的原來定位 [支那是美國的Strategic Competitor與美國所建立的Pax Americana的Revisionist] 調整為 "戰略穩定夥伴" 或 "以戰略穩定為幌子的Competitor" 嗎? (I)

1

本欄是 "Old Donald會應支共之請, 在這次或他任內的川習高峰會中, 做出危害我台灣族人/台派/DPP政權的根本利益的承諾? (IV)" 的延續, 用來追蹤Trump-Xi Beijing Summit的後續發展與各界的反應與評論.

2

在過去的八.九年裡, 華盛頓把支那定義或位為美國的Strategic Competitor與美國所建立的Pax Americana或Rules-based International Order或Liberal International Order的Revisionist, 我台灣族人.台派.台派政權因而取得了一個寶貴的戰略機遇期, 這是我們之所以能把打一場 "抗支保台.救亡圖存的戰爭" 或 "反支那侵略與併吞的戰爭" 做為國策的背後基礎, 也是台灣獨立建國運動與台灣建州運動發展的最好基礎. 倘若老川及以後的白宮主人都把支共與支帝視為"戰略穩定夥伴" 或 "以穩定為名的Competitor", 那就會讓台派政權處境較為困難, 會降低我們台灣族人.台派.台派政權 "抗支保台" 的力道, 也會壓縮台灣獨立建國運動與台灣建州運動的發展空間, 當然也會讓老共加強對我台灣族人.台派.台派政權的壓迫, 讓藍白紅這三股境內敵對勢力更加囂張與肆無忌憚.

3

在我開始評論之前, 我們先來讀The Fox News關於Trump-Xi Summit的報導, 但我只為鄉親準備那些涉及台灣的報導. [Appendix]

[to be continued]

David Chou
Founder
Formosa Statehood Movement



===================================================


Appendix

Trump, Xi make remarks at state banquet on day two of critical China visit

President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping both laud the importance of the U.S.-China relationship during a state banquet on the second day of Trump's high-stakes China visit.

Covered by: Eric Mack, Morgan Phillips, Lauren Simonetti, Greg Wehner, Michael Sinkewicz, Robert McGreevy, Efrat Lachter and Jasmine Baehr



Last Update May 14, 2026, 5:02 PM EDT

By Fox News


 



Just Now

Behind summit smiles, Xi gives blunt warning to Trump of 'clashes' and 'conflicts'

Chinese President Xi Jinping issued a stark warning to President Donald Trump that Taiwan could trigger "clashes and even conflicts" between the world’s two superpowers, injecting a note of potential confrontation into an otherwise upbeat summit in Beijing.

"President Xi stressed to President Trump that the Taiwan question is the most important issue in China-U.S. relations. If it is handled properly, the bilateral relationship will enjoy overall stability. Otherwise, the two countries will have clashes and even conflicts, putting the entire relationship in great jeopardy," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said following the meeting.

The White House, however, downplayed the exchange, with a senior administration official telling Fox News Digital that "both sides reiterated their long-stated stance on the issue and everyone understands each other’s position."

Trump struck a notably warm tone in his public remarks, predicting a "fantastic future together" and praising Xi as "a great leader" as the two leaders opened talks focused heavily on trade, investment and economic cooperation.

"In fact, the longest relationship of our two countries that any president and president has had," Trump said. "We've had a fantastic relationship. We've gotten along."

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., blasted Trump following the meeting, accusing him of failing to respond forcefully to Xi’s warning.

"Just hours in, and Xi Jinping has already threatened to, quote, collide or even clash, unquote, with the United States if we continue our support for Taiwan. Trump apparently didn't say anything in response. He was just mute," Schumer said. "For the sake of democracy and the stability of the global economy. Trump must not sell out Taiwan. Trump must also safeguard the interests of American workers, families and businesses."

The exchange underscores how Taiwan — long the most sensitive and potentially explosive issue in U.S.-China relations — is re-emerging as a central fault line, even as both sides seek to project stability and focus publicly on trade and economic cooperation.

This is an excerpt of an article by Fox News Digital's Morgan Phillips.




Posted by Jasmine Baehr



2 hours ago

[Taiwan Time, Friday, May 15, 2026, 7:33AM]

US policy on Taiwan has not changed, Marco Rubio says


Secretary of State Marco Rubio appears before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on Wednesday, Jan. 28, 2026.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Thursday that United States policy on Taiwan remains unchanged after President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping's bilateral meeting in Beijing.

When asked whether Xi asked Trump not to sell weapons to Taiwan, Rubio said that topic "did not feature prominently in today's discussion."




"We know what their position is on that already," Rubio said, adding that Congress also plays a role in that process as well. "We have sold them weapons in the past. That's existed as recently as December, which they were very upset about. And that's a decision that president gets to make as Congress appropriates, and as Congress decides what to do."

"U.S. policy on the issue of Taiwan is unchanged as of today, and as of the meeting we had here today, Rubio said, when pressed on whether the U.S. will defend Taiwan. "It was raised, they always raise it on their side. We always make clear our position and we move on to the other topics."

"We know where they stand, and I think they know where we stand," he added.

Asked if he believes China wants to invade Taiwan, Rubio said, "Well, I think China's preference is probably to have Taiwan willingly, voluntarily join them."

"In a perfect world, what they would want is some vote or a referendum in Taiwan that agrees to fold in," Rubio said. "I think that's what they would prefer. Ultimately, it’s featured prominently in President Xi's mandate in the time he's been in office. He's made clear that what they call reunification -- that's what they call it -- is something that has to happen at some point."

"We think it would be a terrible mistake to force that through force or anything of that nature," Rubio said. "There would be repercussions for that -- globally, not just from the United States, and we kind of leave it there."

Posted by Robert McGreevy



7 hours ago

What Xi wants from Trump as Beijing seeks leverage in high-stakes summit


President Trump Meets With China's President Xi And Attends State Banquet

President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing for a high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping at a moment when both Washington and Beijing are trying to stabilize one of the world’s most consequential rivalries without giving ground on deeper strategic disputes.

The two-day visit marks Trump’s first trip to China since 2017 and comes amid mounting tensions over trade, artificial intelligence, Taiwan and the fallout from the war with Iran. While the White House is framing the summit as an opportunity for new economic agreements and "rebalancing" the U.S.–China relationship, analysts say Beijing’s priorities are far broader and more long-term."

Trump arrives seeking headline deals and visible momentum ahead of the midterms," wrote Zongyuan Zoe Liu, senior fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. "Xi is playing a longer game, focused on strategic patience rather than substantive compromise."

This is an excerpt from a story by Efrat Lachter. Read the full article here.




Posted by Efrat Lachter



8 hours ago

[Taiwan Time, May 14, 2026, Midnight]

US readout of Trump-Xi meeting leaves out Taiwan issue, while China's version gives stark warning

China's President Xi Jinping (R) and US President Donald Trump visit the Temple of Heaven on May 14, 2026 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Brendan Smialowski - Pool/Getty Images)

A White House readout of the subjects discussed during the Thursday bilateral meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping did not include any information about Taiwan.

The readout, posted to the White House's X account, detailed a number of subjects the two world leaders discussed but did not mention the controversial Taiwan subject.




China's version of the readout, however, included the Taiwan issue, with a spokesperson writing in an X post that "President Xi Stressed to President Trump that the Taiwan question is the most important issue in China-U.S. relations. If it is handled properly, the bilateral relationship will enjoy overall stability. Otherwise the two countries will have clashes and even conflicts, putting the entire relationship in great jeopardy."

"'Taiwan independence' and cross-Strait peace are as irreconcilable as fire and water. Safeguarding peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait is the biggest common denominator between China and the U.S." China's statement concluded.

Before Trump departed for the state visit, reporters asked him at the White House if the U.S. would continue selling arms to Taiwan.

"I’m going to have that discussion with President Xi. President Xi would like us not to, and I’ll have that discussion. That’s one of the many things I’ll be talking about," Trump responded.

Foreign policy analysts have previously noted the unprecedented nature of the possibility that a U.S. president discussing Taiwan arms with China.

"I believe that no U.S. president has ever publicly stated that he is discussing arms sales to Taiwan with a Chinese leader. One of President Reagan's Six Assurances was that the United States 'has not agreed to consult with the PRC on arms sales to Taiwan,' which is often interpreted as a promise not to do so," foreign policy analyst Bonnie Glaser wrote in February.

In the lead up to the summit, Chinese state media has referred to Taiwan as "the first red line" in the bilateral meeting.

Posted by Robert McGreevy



14 hours ago

China says Taiwan is ‘most important’ issue in US ties after Trump-Xi talks

China's President Xi Jinping speaks as he meets with President Donald Trump at the Great Hall of the People, Thursday, May 14, 2026, in Beijing. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)

Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said early Thursday that Taiwan remains the “most important” issue in U.S.-China relations following initial talks between Chinese President Xi Jinping and President Donald Trump.

“President Xi stressed to President Trump that the Taiwan question is the most important issue in China-U.S. relations,” Mao said in a statement. “If it is handled properly, the bilateral relationship will enjoy overall stability. Otherwise, the two countries will have clashes and even conflicts, putting the entire relationship in great jeopardy.”



Mao added that “Taiwan independence” and “cross-Strait peace” are “as irreconcilable as fire and water.”

“Safeguarding peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait is the biggest common denominator between China and the U.S.,” she said.

Posted by Michael Sinkewicz



17 hours ago

Former Chinese military official says Beijing sees itself as equal to US ahead of Trump Xi summit

A former senior Chinese military official said Beijing increasingly views itself on equal footing with the U.S. as President Donald Trump prepares for a high-stakes summit with Chinese leader Xi Jinping.

Speaking with Fox News’ Brett Baier, Zhou Bo, a former senior colonel in China’s People’s Liberation Army, said Trump’s visit alone is seen as a win domestically.

“The fact that Donald Trump is visiting China is already a success,” Zhou said, adding that many in China now believe the country stands as an equal to the U.S. on the global stage.

Zhou also suggested China could play a role in easing tensions in the Persian Gulf, where conflict tied to Iran has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. He described the situation as unstable and said it is in China’s interest to see a resolution.

“It is also in our interest to see an early ending of this war,” he said.

While acknowledging the disruption, Zhou said the impact on China’s energy supply is “bearable,” citing diversified energy sources and long-term planning, though he noted the broader instability still poses risks to the global economy.

On Taiwan, Zhou made clear the issue remains a core priority for Beijing and is expected to come up during the summit. He said any shift in U.S. policy language — particularly moving from not supporting Taiwan independence to actively opposing it — would be seen as a meaningful change by China.

Despite ongoing tensions, Zhou downplayed the likelihood of imminent conflict, saying China continues to favor “peaceful reunification” and framing the U.S.-China relationship as competitive rather than hostile.

“We are not your enemy… we are best described by you as a competitor,” he said.

Posted by Greg Wehner



23 hours ago

Beijing draws red line on Taiwan as Trump heads into high stakes talks

Soldiers pose for group photos with a Taiwan flag after a preparedness enhancement drill simulating the defense against Beijing's military intrusions, ahead of the Lunar New Year in Kaohsiung City, Taiwan on Jan. 11, 2023. (Daniel Ceng/AP Photo)

China on Wednesday reiterated its opposition to U.S. arms sales to Taiwan ahead of President Donald Trump’s arrival in Beijing for high-stakes talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, as tensions over the island’s status remain a central flashpoint.

ChannelNewsAsia.com reported that the issue of Taiwan — which China claims as its own territory — is expected to be a key topic during Trump’s meetings with Xi, alongside broader concerns over trade and regional security.

A spokesperson for China’s Taiwan Affairs Office said Beijing “firmly opposes” any U.S. military ties with Taiwan, underscoring what it called a consistent and unequivocal position against weapons sales to the island.

“We firmly oppose the United States engaging in any form of military ties with China's Taiwan region, and firmly oppose the United States selling weapons to China's Taiwan region,” spokesperson Zhang Han said. “This position is consistent and unequivocal.”

The U.S. is legally required to provide Taiwan with defensive capabilities despite lacking formal diplomatic relations, and the Trump administration previously approved an $11 billion arms package for Taipei, the largest of its kind, according to ChannelNewsAsia.com.

Beijing has repeatedly described Taiwan as a “core” national interest and warned against any moves supporting its independence, with officials saying China’s resolve to oppose separatism is “as firm as a rock.”

Posted by Greg Wehner



May 14

Schumer says Americans should ‘fear what Trump may concede to China’

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., suggested President Donald Trump is going to offer China giveaways, despite Trump's years of critical positions on China. (Eric Lee/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

President Donald Trump could give Beijing major concessions to Xi Jinping during his visit to China, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., warned Wednesday.

“We all ought to fear what Donald Trump may concede to China, just so he can claim a headline,” Schumer said Wednesday on the Senate floor.

Schumer pointed to Trump’s talk of potential Chinese investment in the U.S., arguing it could threaten American supply chains and economic independence.

“Trump has fantasized about $1 trillion in Chinese investments in America," Schumer said. "That would give the Chinese a stranglehold on our economy, threaten our supply chains, our economic independence, our national security.

"This is Trump empowering Xi’s Made in China ambitions, selling out American manufacturers and workers, giving CCP businesses an edge in undermining America, building industries of the future here at home.”

Schumer also warned Trump could make concessions on electric vehicles, chips, artificial intelligence, fentanyl and Taiwan, saying the risks extend beyond trade.

“Donald Trump could sell out Taiwan, whose people want to continue living in freedom instead of under the jackboot of the Chinese Communist Party,” Schumer said. “Any threat Trump allows Xi Jinping to make against the Taiwanese is a threat to global democracy. It’s also a threat to the global economy, given how many semiconductor chips are made in Taiwan.”

Schumer closed the China portion of his remarks by accusing Trump of being outmaneuvered by Xi.

“Forget the art of the deal, Trump is practicing the art of the duped,” Schumer said.

Posted by Eric Mack



May 13

Trump to call on Xi to 'open up' China in summit to test trade, strength and peace

President Donald Trump is going to be pressing Chinese President Xi Jinping to "open up China" to more American trade.

“I will be asking President Xi, a Leader of extraordinary distinction, to ‘open up’ China so that these brilliant people can work their magic, and help bring the People’s Republic to an even higher level!” Trump wrote on Truth Social, previewing what he said would be his “very first request” when the two leaders meet.

Trump suggested that American entrepreneurs and executives could help drive growth inside China if Beijing lowers barriers and allows U.S. firms more room to operate.

China has tightened its grip on key supply chains, critical minerals and advanced manufacturing, while the United States has sought to protect its lead in semiconductors, artificial intelligence and defense technology.

The Taiwan question remains one of the most sensitive issues on the table. Any discussion of arms sales, military posture or Taiwan’s role in the global semiconductor industry could quickly overshadow trade pledges. Beijing has long treated Taiwan as a red line, while Washington has maintained security and economic ties with the island.

The Iran war also hangs over the talks. Reports ahead of the summit said the conflict and its effect on energy markets, inflation and global stability are expected to be part of the discussions.

Posted by Eric Mack

 

May 13

Trump heads to Beijing for high-stakes Xi talks as Taiwan tensions, trade disputes test US strength

President Donald Trump is set to arrive in Beijing on Wednesday for high-stakes talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, as the world’s two largest powers prepare to negotiate about Taiwan, trade and a fragile U.S.-China relationship increasingly shaped by military tension and economic rivalry.

The meeting comes at a volatile moment for Washington, as a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran faces mounting strain following recent military exchanges in and around the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump is expected to press Xi on China’s economic and strategic support for both Iran and Russia, including oil revenue, dual-use components and potential weapons transfers, according to senior administration officials.

Top U.S. business leaders also are traveling with Trump to Beijing, including executives from Apple, Boeing, Tesla, BlackRock and Goldman Sachs, highlighting the administration’s focus on securing economic deals alongside strategic talks.

This is an excerpt from Morgan Phillips report. Get the full story here.



Posted by Morgan Phillips






david chou

unread,
May 15, 2026, 10:19:36 AM (12 days ago) May 15
to BATA Group, Seashon Chen, Dr. JC Fann, John 2 Hsieh, John Chou, Dr. Michael Yeun, Douglas Chiang, Allen Kuo, Chilly Chen, Ted Lau, Tek-Khiam Chia, Ting-Kuei Tsay, Stephenlin0314, Hwan Lin, Michael Richardson, Sim Kiantek, 邱律師
Graham Allison的 "美支應避免Thucydides Trap論" 會取代Dr. Michael Pillsbury的 "美國應擊敗或挫折支那欲取代美國做為新的世界霸權的企圖論" 嗎? Old Donald要把對北京支共流氓政權與支那邪惡帝國的原來定位 [支那是美國的Strategic Competitor與美國所建立的Pax Americana的Revisionist] 調整為 "戰略穩定夥伴" 或 "以戰略穩定為幌子的Competitor" 嗎? (II)

1

在昨天(5/14/2026)川習會後白宮發布的一項Readout之中, 沒有提及台灣, 老川出遊天壇及其他地方, 被記者問到一些與台灣有關的問題時, 也都加以閃避或顧左右而言它.

不過, 老川在回程的Air Force One上答覆記者時, 透露了不少他在與習某會談時談了些什麼議題以及他如何回應習某的要求. Old Donald在飛機上的談話內容, 看起來都對我們台灣這一方有利, 至少沒有損害我們的利益. [Appendix I] 老川還透露, 習某竟然問他: 若他(老習)武力犯台, 他(Old Donald)是否會出兵護台? Old Donald跟記者們說: He declined to answer.

此外, 在昨天的會談後, 國務卿Marco Rubio就接受NBC電視台的訪問, 他也透露了不少, 這些對台灣而言, 也多半是正面及有利的. [Appendix II]

[to be continued]

David Chou
Founder
Formosa Statehood Movement

=========================
Appendix I

Trump says he discussed Taiwan arms sales with Xi Jinping, decision soon

By Trevor Hunnicutt

May 15, 2026 7:38 PM GMT+8 Updated 1 hour ago

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/trump-says-he-discussed-taiwan-arms-sales-with-xi-jinping-decision-soon-2026-05-15/

[A television screen shows a live broadcast of a meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, at a hair salon in Taipei, Taiwan, May 14, 2026. REUTERS/Ann Wang Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab]

 

ABOARD AIR FORCE ONE, May 15 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump said on Friday ​he discussed U.S. arms sales to Taiwan ‌with Chinese President Xi Jinping during talks in Beijing and said he would soon make a decision on the matter, highlighting a flashpoint in U.S.-China relations.

 

Speaking to reporters aboard Air Force One on his return from China, Trump said he and Xi “talked a lot about Taiwan” but added that he did not believe there was conflict over the issue. He said he made no commitments to Xi regarding Taiwan.

 

Trump also said Xi asked directly whether the United States would defend Taiwan if China attacked the island, but that he ‌declined to answer.

 

“There's only one person that knows that, and it is me. I'm the only person,” Trump said. “That question was asked to me today by President Xi. I said, I don't talk about that.”

 

China claims Taiwan as its own territory and has long opposed U.S. weapons sales to the island, which Beijing sees as interference in its internal affairs. The United States, despite lacking formal diplomatic ties with Taiwan, remains Taiwan’s most important international backer and largest supplier of arms.

 

Reporting by Trevor Hunnicutt, Susan Heavey and Jarrett ​Renshaw; Writing by Doina Chiacu; editing by Michelle Nichols

 

Trevor Hunnicutt

Thomson Reuters

Trevor Hunnicutt is White House Correspondent at Reuters News. He writes about U.S. foreign and domestic policy and regularly travels with the President of the United States. Prior to joining the White House team in 2021, he covered presidential campaigns, economics, finance and investing for many years. He has also served on the board of the White House Correspondents' Association. Hunnicutt holds a bachelor's degree from Pomona College and a master's from the London School of Economics.


Appendix II
 
[摘錄]   Secretary of State Marco Rubio interviewed by NBC Nightly News anchor Tom Llmas

 Rubio spoke about Iran, Taiwan, Cuba and more in a May 2026 interview during President Donald Trumps trip to Beijing for a high-stakes summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

 

TOM LLAMAS

May 15, 2026, 11:17 AM GMT+8


TOM LLAMAS:

I want to read you something from your counterpart, the foreign minister, has put out a statement which you may have seen, you may haven’t seen. I want to make sure you hear about it. He says, quote, Taiwan independence and cross-strait peace are as irreconcilable as fire and water. Safeguarding peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait is the biggest common denominator between China and the US. And again, the context of all this is that President Xi stressed to President Trump that the Taiwan question is the most important issue in China-US relations. Talk to me about that moment when that was discussed.

SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO:

Well they certainly feel that way. And they always raise that issue. And we understand they raise that issue. From our perspective, any forced change in the status quo and the situation that’s there now would be bad for both countries. One of the things the Chinese emphasize, which we agree, is strategic stability in our relationship, a constructive relationship, but also one that establishes strategic stability so that we don’t have misunderstandings that could lead to broader conflict. And so we always reiterate the point — we hear them when they say this, we always respond by saying anything that would compel or force a change in what we have now would be problematic and that we would certainly, our policies on that have not changed. It’s been pretty consistent across multiple presidential administrations and remains consistent now.


TOM LLAMAS:

Did President Xi request to President Trump not to sell weapons to Taiwan?

SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO:

Well, that topic may have been — has been discussed in the past. It did not feature primarily in today’s discussion. We know what their position on that is already. Remember, Congress plays a role in that, in that process as well, and we have sold them weapons in the past. That’s existed as recently as December, which they were very upset about. And that’s a decision the president gets to make as Congress appropriates, and as Congress decides what to do with those topics, we will respond accordingly.


TOM LLAMAS:

But nothing has changed in the way the U.S. views the relationship with Taiwan. It will defend Taiwan, as has been historically?

SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO:

Yeah, U.S. policy on the issue of Taiwan is unchanged as of today, and as of the meeting that we had here today, it was raised. They always raise it on their side. We always make clear our position, and we move on to the other topics. We know where they stand, and I think they know where we stand.


TOM LLAMAS:

Do you think China wants to invade Taiwan?

SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO:

Well, I think China’s preference is probably to have Taiwan willingly, voluntarily join them in a perfect world. What they would want is some vote or a referendum in Taiwan that agrees to fold in. I think that’s what they would prefer. Ultimately, it’s featured prominently in President Xi’s mandate. In the time he’s been in office, he’s made clear that what they call reunification, that’s what they call it, is something that has to happen at some point. We think it would be a terrible mistake to force that through force or anything of that nature. It would there would be repercussions for that globally, not just from the United States, and we kind of leave it there. That sort of ambiguity is what — I think has defined our charac — the way we characterize this issue. And the reason being strategic ambiguities. We don’t want to see conflict. We don’t want to see something disruptive happen, because I think it would be very disruptive for the world and for both countries.


TOM LLAMAS:

I know you’re watching China — do you think they’re ramping up their military

SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO:

Sure.


TOM LLAMAS:

to do something in Taiwan?

SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO:
I think they’re ramping up their military in general. I mean, I mean the pace of growth in the Chinese military over the last 10 years has no precedent, none. I mean, just what they’ve done with their navy alone, over the last — they put billions and billions and billions of dollars in their system. So it’s, you know, you look at it, it’s hard to ignore how fast and how big — So I don’t think it’s just limited to Taiwan. I think they have ambitions to ultimately be able to project power globally the way the U.S. does now. They’re still behind us in that regard, but there’s nonetheless, they are investing a lot of money. They are right now the world’s second most powerful military without a doubt.



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david chou

unread,
May 15, 2026, 10:52:19 PM (12 days ago) May 15
to BATA Group, Seashon Chen, Dr. JC Fann, John 2 Hsieh, John Chou, Dr. Michael Yeun, Douglas Chiang, Allen Kuo, Chilly Chen, Ted Lau, Tek-Khiam Chia, Ting-Kuei Tsay, Stephenlin0314, Hwan Lin, Michael Richardson, Sim Kiantek, 邱律師

Graham Allison的 "美支應避免Thucydides Trap論" 會取代Dr. Michael Pillsbury的 "美國應擊敗或挫折支那欲取代美國做為新的世界霸權的企圖論" 嗎? Old Donald要把對北京支共流氓政權與支那邪惡帝國的原來定位 [支那是美國的Strategic Competitor與美國所建立的Pax Americana的Revisionist] 調整為 "戰略穩定夥伴" 或 "以戰略穩定為幌子的Competitor" 嗎? (III)


關於老川訪問支那與習某舉行會談一事, 我也一直在閱讀NYT的系列與追蹤報導, 我把我認為重要的且與本欄的主題有關的報導[Appendix] 摘錄出來, 與鄉親們分享. 這些報導的內容與前兩則Posts的內容近似, 但可做為補充與參照. 鄉親們可以對本欄所提的兩大問題自行做出結論或判斷, 但要跟我一樣, 先搜集與閱讀所有可取得的資訊.

[to be continued]

David Chou
Founder
Formosa Statehood Movement

===========================

Appendix


Trump Says He and Xi Talked Extensively About Taiwan

As President Trump left Beijing, he and Xi Jinping, China’s leader, played up stability. There was no indication that they had resolved any major points of contention on Taiwan, the war in Iran or other issues.

Published May 14, 2026

Updated May 15, 2026, 5:49 p.m. ET

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/05/14/world/trump-xi-summit-beijing?rref=world#from-air-force-one-trump-writes-of-ballrooms-a-statue-and-tiktok

 

Latest


Luke Broadwater Ana Swanson David Pierson and Anton Troianovski

Here’s the latest.

 

President Trump and China’s leader, Xi Jinping, ended a summit in Beijing on Friday without announcing any clear resolutions on major issues like Taiwan, trade barriers and the war in Iran.

 

Speaking to journalists aboard Air Force One after his departure, Mr. Trump said that he and Mr. Xi had talked “in great detail” about a long-delayed U.S. arms sale to Taiwan, which China strongly opposes. The president said they had not discussed tariffs and he had not asked Mr. Xi “for any favors” in resolving the stalemate with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz.

Earlier on Friday the two leaders had emphasized stability and friendly ties. Sitting beside Mr. Xi during a meeting at Zhongnanhai, the walled headquarters for China’s ruling Communist Party, Mr. Trump said that the Chinese leader had “become really a friend” and that they felt similarly about the war in the Middle East.

“We’ve settled a lot of different problems that other people wouldn’t have been able to settle,” Mr. Trump said, without elaborating.

For his part, Mr. Xi avoided wading into specific issues, a sharp contrast to a blunt warning over Taiwan he issued on Thursday. He described the visit as a “historic and symbolic” milestone.

“We have established a new bilateral relationship, based on constructive strategic stability,” he said.

Mr. Trump told reporters on Air Force One that the two leaders had “talked a lot about Taiwan” and a $14 billion weapons deal that the Trump administration has held off on approving to avoid upsetting China.

“I’ll be making decisions,” he said of the deal, without setting out a clear timeline. “But you know, I think the last thing we need right now is a war that’s 9,500 miles away.”

The Chinese government, which has not ruled out the use of force to take over Taiwan, bristles at any American arms sales to the island. Taiwan considers them essential for ensuring its defense against a Chinese invasion. Since 1979, Taiwan has received American arms worth tens of billions of dollars, although much of this arsenal is now aged.

The Trump-Xi summit was the first U.S. presidential visit to China in nearly a decade and was a test of whether the détente between the two nations would continue. It was heavy on public praise and pleasantries. At a lavish state banquet on Thursday evening, Mr. Trump invited Mr. Xi to visit the White House in September.

 

 

May 15, 2026, 10:30 a.m. ET     May 15, 2026

Chris Buckley

Reporting from Taipei, Taiwan

Trump discussed Taiwan arms sales with Xi ‘in great detail.’

President Donald Trump said on Friday that he had discussed U.S. weapons sales to Taiwan with China’s leader, Xi Jinping, in Beijing, a step that may have tested Washington’s decades-old assurance to Taiwan not to “consult” on the sensitive topic with China.

 

Speaking to journalists aboard Air Force One after his departure from Beijing, Mr. Trump was asked if the topic of U.S. weapons sales to Taiwan came up during the two-day summit with Mr. Xi. Mr. Trump offered somewhat contradictory answers, saying at first: “No, I didn’t say anything about it,” then, moments later, saying that the arms sales had been discussed with Mr. Xi “in great detail.”

Since 1979, Taiwan has received American weapons worth tens of billions of dollars. Beijing, which claims Taiwan as its territory, objects to those arms sales. In 1982, the United States broadened its support of Taiwan with a document known as the Six Assurances, one of which said Washington “has not agreed to consult with” China on arms sales to Taiwan.

Asked about the 1982 commitment, Mr. Trump appeared to downplay its relevance.

“Well, I think the 1980s is a long way,” Mr. Trump said, apparently referring to that commitment. “That’s a big, far distance.”

Mr. Trump told reporters the Chinese leader had brought up the issue of arms sales. “So what am I going to do?” he said. “Say ‘I don’t want to talk to you about it’? Because I have an agreement that was signed in 1982? No, we discussed arms sales.”

Mr. Trump added: “You know, the whole thing with the arms sales was in great detail, actually.”

Mr. Trump has delayed giving final approval for American companies to sell Taiwan weapons worth about $14 billion. His latest comments — which suggest he is weighing Mr. Xi’s objections — are likely to magnify uncertainty in Taiwan about whether or when the deal will be approved.

Mr. Trump said he would make a decision on that issue. But he also added: “I think the last thing we need right now is a war that’s 9,500 miles away. I think that’s the last thing we need.”

This week, Mr. Xi told Mr. Trump that their countries’ dispute over Taiwan, if handled poorly, could lead to conflict and “an extremely dangerous situation.” In a phone call in February, Mr. Xi warned Mr. Trump about those arms sales, telling him to handle the issue with “extreme caution.”

Mr. Trump had earlier signed off on an $11 billion sale late last year, a move that angered Beijing.

What precisely was discussed between Mr. Trump and Mr. Xi was not yet clear, said Bonnie S. Glaser, the managing director of the Indo-Pacific Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, who specializes in Taiwan policy. “We’re going to have to try and read between the lines, read the tea leaves,” she said.

“But my takeaway or preliminary assessment is that Xi Jinping was quite forceful in expressing his concern about U.S. arms sales to Taiwan,” she said. “I think Xi Jinping sees an opportunity to get the United States not only to delay arms, but potentially to reduce them and maybe not sell arms for a long period of time.”

President Trump has come under pressure from a group of U.S. lawmakers, who on Friday urged the president to formally notify Congress of the $14 billion arms package. They noted that Taiwan’s legislature had recently approved $25 billion in special funding to pay for the missiles and other weapons from the United States.

“Ahead of your summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping next week, we urge you and your team to make clear that America’s support for Taiwan is inviolable,” the senators wrote.

During the summit, Mr. Trump did not publicly discuss America’s support for Taiwan. And on Air Force One, when asked if he would defend Taiwan in a conflict, Mr. Trump held to the “strategic ambiguity” that American presidents have long maintained: neither denying nor confirming whether Washington would intervene in such a war.

“There’s only one person that knows that,” he said. “You know who it is? Me. I’m the only person.”

 


May 15, 2026, 9:04 a.m. ETMay 15, 2026

Javier Hernandez

 

As Air Force One made its way to Alaska for refueling, Trump spoke with a critical American ally, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi of Japan.

“President Trump provided a detailed explanation of his recent visit to China, and we exchanged views, centering on various issues surrounding China, including the economy — encompassing economic security — and security matters,” Takaichi posted to social media.




Japan has been concerned about China’s military build-up in the South China Sea and its export controls on rare-earth minerals.

Before the summit, Japanese officials were worried that Trump might consider abandoning some security commitments in Asia in exchange for a sweeping deal with Beijing. But those fears subsided somewhat after the meeting appeared to yield little in the way of major breakthroughs.

 

 


May 15, 2026, 7:43 a.m. ET     May 15, 2026

Aurelien Breeden

 

Trump also declined to say whether the United States would defend Taiwan from a Chinese invasion. “I don’t want to say,” he said. “There’s only one person that knows that. You know who it is? Me.” Trump said Xi had asked him the same question during their conversations and that he had given the same response. “I said, ‘I don’t talk about those things,'” Trump said.

 


May 15, 2026, 7:41 a.m. ET May 15, 2026

Aurelien Breeden

 

Trump told reporters on Air Force One that he had discussed arms sales to Taiwan with Xi “in great detail,” but he did not say whether he had decided to sign off on a $14 billion weapons deal that his administration has held off on approving to avoid upsetting China. “I’ll be making decisions. But, you know, I think the last thing we need right now is a war that’s 9,500 miles away.”









david chou

unread,
May 17, 2026, 9:47:52 AM (10 days ago) May 17
to BATA Group, Dr. JC Fann, John 2 Hsieh, John Chou, Dr. Michael Yeun, Douglas Chiang, Allen Kuo, Chilly Chen, Ted Lau, Tek-Khiam Chia, Ting-Kuei Tsay, Stephenlin0314, Hwan Lin, Michael Richardson, Sim Kiantek, 邱律師, Seashon Chen

Graham Allison的 "美支應避免Thucydides Trap論" 會取代Dr. Michael Pillsbury的 "美國應擊敗或挫折支那欲取代美國做為新的世界霸權的企圖論" 嗎? Old Donald要把對北京支共流氓政權與支那邪惡帝國的原來定位 [支那是美國的Strategic Competitor與美國所建立的Pax Americana的Revisionist] 調整為 "戰略穩定夥伴" 或 "以戰略穩定為幌子的Competitor" 嗎? (IV)


1


我現在來簡略答覆本欄標題所設的第二個問題.

針對川習會, 包括紐約時報在內的多家美國媒體, 都做了系列與追蹤報導, 那些報導當然包括了老川與國務卿Marco Rubio的談話. 我在這段期間, 每天都上網幾次查看, 也把它們copy下來, 我現在就摘錄紐約時報的系列與追蹤報導的其中一則報導 [Appendix] 的一段:

“We have established a new bilateral relationship, based on constructive strategic stability.”

這句話是老川說的, 原汁原味, 這句話證明在美支兩國的貿易戰與關稅戰打成平手後, 雙方經過數月的折衝, 達成建立 "constructive strategic stability" 新關係的共識.

對台灣很傷的是老共把制約台灣 [台獨].壓迫與併吞台灣的詭計置入"constructive strategic stability" 新關係的架構之中, 而老川看起來是被迫接受, 至少是默認或默許, 這可以解釋為什麼老川政府沒有允許William過境美國大都會前往南美州, 可以解釋為何台灣的國防部長與國安會秘書長數月前沒有獲准前往華盛頓, 也可以解釋老川為何在今年二月初宣佈暫緩或擱置批准140億美元的對台軍售案. [今後, 不知時間有多長, 台派的發展.台獨的推動.民進黨政府的施政.台美關係的發展會有較多與較大的障礙.]

2

我今後在BATA張貼的Posts都屬簡要版本 [我不再提供參考文件或他人發表的論文或媒體報導], 但我的立論都會有所本, 不會為台灣建州運動或我個人的政治利益胡言亂語. [有幾個拿著建州旗的. 宣稱自己是台派或右派或保守派的.但沒有經過我認可與背書的.被我切割的 "山寨黨" 的小政客們, 已在瞎編 "他們得到老川與共和黨的支持". 鄉親們要記得, 我與他們沒有關係, 他們不是我所創立的台灣建州運動的人馬.]

[to be continued]

David Chou
Founder
Formosa Statehood Movement




在 2026年5月17日星期日 下午03:46:25 [GMT+8], Seashon Chen<200...@gmail.com> 寫道:


 

Operations Conform to Facts and Law

China is seizing Taiwan using the Crimean model of infiltration, occupation, takeover, and referendum; disregarding United Nations General Assembly Resolution 68/262 (March 27, 2014), which declared the Crimean referendum to belong to Russia invalid.

The current situation in Taiwan is similar to the "parliamentary coup" in Crimea in 2014, but Taiwan's affiliation can be determined by historical facts and existing laws: Taiwan belongs neither to the Republic of China (ROC) or Chinese Taipe in exile in Taipei, nor to the People’s Republic of China. This current situation is based on the following facts and laws: The Allied Headquarters General Order No. 1 (1945), the Allied Treaty of Peace with Japan (1952), UN Resolution 2758 (1971), the U.S. public law Taiwan Relations Act (1979), the Taiwan Travel Act (2018), the TAIPEI Act (2019), and the annual National Defense Authorization Act all confirm that neither the ROC nor the PRC has sovereignty over Taiwan, and Taiwan's sovereignty remains undetermined today.

President Trump, leading a delegation to China, stated that China is very firm on the issue of Taiwan independence, while the Secretary of State said: China has stated that the unification of Taiwan will be decided by a referendum of the Taiwanese people. Legally, Taiwan is not part of any country and is not suitable for independence. The Taiwanese people need the guidance and assistance of the occupying power (US) to establish a Taiwan Government or a US-Taiwan State Government to govern Taiwan. Taiwanese officers and soldiers should be reorganized into the Taiwan Defense Force, and the ROC government-in-exile and its core members, the Chinese Revolutionary Party (KMT), should be repatriated to Kinmen and Matsu. The Taiwan Strait median line should be used as the boundary, with China and Taiwan governing independently.

 

Seashon Chen, Ph.D.

Taiwan (Formosa) International Volunteers Regiment

2026/05/17

 

 

符合事實及法律的行動

中國正在進行滲透、佔領、接管、公投的克里米亞模式奪取Taiwan (Formosa and the Pescadores);不顧於聯合國大會(2014/03/27)68/262號決議(United Nations General Assembly Resolution 68/262) 克里米亞歸屬俄國的全民公投無效。

Taiwan當前的局勢有如2014年克里米亞的「國會政變」,但Taiwan的歸屬可由歷史事實及既有法律判定:Taiwan既不歸屬流亡台北的Republic of China (ROC) or Chinese Taipe也不歸屬People’s Republic of China. 這現況依據的事實及法律如次:二戰同盟國《總部第一號命令》(1945),同盟國《對日本和平條約》(1952),聯合國2758決議(1971),美國公法《台灣關係法》(1979),《台灣旅歷法》(2018),《TAIPEI Act(2019),及每年的《國防授權法》都證實ROCPRC都沒有台灣的主權,台灣的主權至今未定。

帶隊訪問中國的川普總統表示中國對於Taiwan獨立的問題非常強硬,而國務卿說:中國表示Taiwan的統一將由台灣人民公投決定。法理上,Taiwan不是那一個國家的一部分,不適用獨立方式建國。Taiwan people需要principal佔領國(US)的輔導及協助成立Taiwan GovernmentUS Taiwan State Government治理台灣。整編台籍(台灣出生)的官兵為台灣防衛軍,遣返ROC流亡政府及其骨幹中國革命黨(KMT)回去金門及馬祖。以台海中線為邊界,中國and台灣各自為政。

 


david chou <davidch...@yahoo.com> 於 2026年5月16日週六 上午10:52寫道:


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Seashon Chen, PH.D.
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