NEWSLETTER BANDUNG FE INSTITUTE March 23 2006
Bandung Fe Institute
March 23 2006
CONTENTS:
00. Research Evaluation of three departments in BFI
01. Research Framework Computational Sociology 2006
02. Research Framework Dynamical System Modeling 2006
03. Research Framework Cognitive Science 2006
04. Journal of Social Complexity 2(2)
00. Research Evaluation of three departments in BFI
The plenary meeting of BFI March 19 2006 discussed the research
evaluation in the first semester of the research year 2005/2006. The
evaluation was presented by each chairman of all departments in the
institute. Some interesting features are found and become an important
issue shaping the framework of research along the second semester
ahead. Here are the frameworks of research for the incoming semester in
Bandung Fe Institute. A hard copy of detail evaluation and research
plan can be obtained by direct request to BFI Administration.
01. Research Framework Computational Sociology 2006
In the general sociological research, the department decide to the
following proxies of research:
- the science of culture, regarding the evolution of the social system
including the social agents and artifacts in the framework of memetics.
Some proxies are:
- the analysis of memetic aspects of cultural traits, e.g.: arts,
products, innovation, opinion.
- the simulation of opinion formation or specifically the market
formation of (industrial) products in social system considering the
advertisement, etc.
- the simulation of innovation as an evolutionary processes.
There is an expectation to have an integral tools for this topics can
be shaped as a book for publication. Realizing the approximate
positions of this theme to the science of cognitive system of
individuals and the science of human knowledge, there shall be arranged
some works to adjust the findings with the Dept. Cognitive Science BFI.
- the science of social game and conflict, regarding the evolutionary
game theory and social simulations. This will be done and elaborated
more as second priority of the department throughout the semester. The
expected result of this topic is a framework for voting analysis,
conflict resolution, and social contract in the terms of multiple
equilibria among parties.
And in the special domain of Econophysics, the department decide to
have pathways, i.e.:
- the analysis of fraudulent behaviors in the stock market. This
analysis is planned to be incorporated in the research cooperation
between SRI and JSX. Some terms of this topics is referenced to this
research cooperation.
- the optimization of prediction specifically by using the neural
networks. This research will try to elaborate the usage of genetic
algorithm analysis for the betterment of predictive results.
- the risk management analysis in the private bankings and banking
networks. This topic will elaborate some statistical aspects of risk
management in financial analysis, e.g.: Value at Risk, and the Monte
Carlo simulations by referring some aspects to the Basel Accord.
- the framework simulations to the macroeconomic phenomena by generally
analyzing the multi-market model. This topics will caught a wide area
of research in macroeconomic and macrosocial models, including
employment, macroeconomic variables, taxations, regional economics,
etc. and simultaneously refer and theoretically verify some traditional
theories in conventional economics.
- computational models of economics, by using some standard
computational and simulation arrangements and techniques, e.g.: SWARM,
StarLogo. Some impacts of this research topic is the institute's
involvement in the cutting edge modeling framework in computational
finance and economic modeling in the cutting edge scientific stages.
02. Research Framework Dynamical System 2006
Some previous research themes in the department is not yet accomplished
yet for some practical reasons except some research report release on
econophysics. However, these themes will be continued and finished in
the next semester. In general the research focus will be conducted in
three main categories of research, i.e.:
1. Research regarding the Dynamical System Modeling and Chaos Theory,
including research related to:
- Random Matrix Theory & Zeta functions.
Using RMT as analysis on the Riemann Zeta functions and L-functions.
This analysis as method and development on quantum chaos theory.
- Random Matrix Theory on Graph theory.
RMT (nteraction model on system dynamic) as analysis on graph theory
and social network
2. The Dynamical System of Social Complexity, including research
related to:
- Unemployment, Crime, and Poverty trap
ABM for unemployment, crime, and poverty trap.
- Data, polling, and FCM
For verification on previous model and simulation.
3. Researches on Finance and Econophysics, including research related
to:
- Portfolio Analysis on RMT.
Projection orthogonal vector eigen as basic model on portfolio
analysis.
- GARCH models on forecasting
03. Research Framework Cognitive Science 2006
REPRESENTATION DEPENDENCE: Effect and Handling
-----------------------------------------------
"There are three monkeys falling from a three,".
"There is a tree from which three monkeys are falling."
"Either you can save six lives but with a 30 percent
chance that you'll save nobody, or just for sure save four
of them."
"Either you let two of them die for sure or you may not let
anyone die, only that there's a 30 percent chance they're all
gonna die."
"Since every man is mortal, so is you."
"Since birds fly, so does penguin."
Any natural languages, be it linguistic, motoric, visual, as
long as it is 'spontaneously' (in sense that there is no regulator
who make sure that the practice of the language is or is not in
accordance with the rules implied by the language) occurs as an
equipment for human to communicate and intra-communicate, has very
big difference from artificial languages of any kind.
Say, the simplest elements of any language is syntax, semantics
and lexicons. In case of natural language, a degree of violation
to any ontological commitment suppressed by lexicons easily
appears 'on the fly'. There is also a degree of syntactic changes
as a result of various effects mainly due to occurring practices
of the language. Either way, by (at least) convention, the models
of the semantics is considered unchanged.
Aut.Cog.Prog.
- domain-dependent process representation
>> this technological approach is mainly to give ease for
particular party to represent a process, that is, entities
continuant or occurrent over time, and possibly generate
reasoning based on that representation
- higher order modal operator for representing conversational
practices
>> as another technological approach, it gives a shorthand for
representing a transaction of information between two agents
with one or both being slanted toward some side in case of,
e.g. (as common knowledge would call it): 'prejudice' or
'favoritism'
Folk.Theo.Prog.
- the dynamic interplay between natural language structure and
mentalese
>> does instantiation determine which lexicons will give birth
to derived ones, which ones that prevails, and which ones get
succumbed?
>> does grammatical rules explicitly restrict choices of
instantiation with equivalent meaning?
>> extra-grammatical practices (e.g.: idioms, metaphors,
impliciture): if generative at all, are they
linguistically-syntactic in surface structure?
>> the comparison between the idealized artificial language and
the natural when instantiation (something which is of little
relevance in case of artificial language) counts
- the database of folk theoretical expressions
>> the inventory of every piece of structured and representable
knowledge in a domain every human being might have
>> the database (which later may be re-represented as semantic
nets, diagrams of imagistic mental models, etc.) is
implemented in an organized database system and interface
>> the database is in the future a subject to have a permanent
interface with external modules, e.g.: an external parser
for general corpora
Behav.Econ.Prog.
- representation dependence in economic settings
>> departed from a subset of the database of folk theoretical
expressions, it is the source to decide whether economic
reasoning is explicitly a part of active reasoning or it is
seemingly tacitly exercised such that it is undetectable 'off
the fly' in intermediate medium
>> if explicit at all, decide if it is the case that
representation dependence plays major role in economic
reasoning
04. Journal of Social Complexity 2(2)
JOURNAL OF SOCIAL COMPLEXITY Vol. 2 No. 2 with special theme
"MANAGEMENT IN THE AGE OF COMPLEXITY" is now available for interested
readers in Indonesia. Management has for a long time lost track from
scientific insights. Old ideas like operations research, learning
organization, bottom-up mechanism, or even second order cybernetics
have been, if not misunderstood as of human immunity from scientific
enquiry, a mere metaphorical ground that guarantees no prospect of
refutation when management comes to play. This is very much on the
contrary to the fact that trivial organizational phenomena such as
competition within and among organizations, the advancement and
strategy of innovation, investment analysis or portofolio management
for non-speculative purposes, or new implementative methods of
marketing, can all fit contemporary research methodology provided by
social complexity approaches. This is also to say that, if taken
together, management science spreads from microeconomics to behavioral
science such that after years, management in general is still in
waiting for more and more elaborations.
For readers in Indonesia i.e.: Jakarta, Bandung, Yogyakarta, Makasar,
and Surabaya, you may get the hard copy in the near bookstore e.g.: TB
Gramedia or TB Gunung Agung) or simply ask your university librarian to
get it. You may also e-mail us in b...@bandungfe.net, call +62 22
2038628, or simply come to BFI office in Jl. Cemara 63 Bandung 40161,
Jawa Barat, Indonesia for more information. International readers are
pleased to consult b...@bandungfe.net about getting the hardcopies or
the softcopies. The journal will be released on-line for worldwide
full-text free access (registration needed) in about six months after
the printing hardcopies.
BFI Administration
Bandung Fe Institute
Jl. Cemara 63
Bandung 40161
JAWA BARAT
INDONESIA
ph./fax: +62 22 2038628
http://www.bandungfe.net
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