Hot in Sydney

[Don White]

Today Sydney had its 6^th day in October over 30 degrees, equalling the record set in 1926.

With high temps forecast for Wednesday, it is likely a new record will be established.

Also, the average max temp in Sydney this month (to 20^th) is 27.6.  The warmest October ever was 1998 with an average of 26.2 (that year October was warmer than November or December) so

It is well on track to be the warmest October ever.  (Temps only have to average 23 or more for the last 11 days of the month for the record to be broken.)

By the way, the warmest ever November averaged 27.0 in 2019

The October record temp of 38.2 on 13 Oct 2004 will be given a nudge on Wednesday as well

Don White

donw...@weatherwatch.net.au

Mob: 0417248705

 

[Gavin O'Brien]

Hi Don and everyone,

Looks like a severe weather pattern over southeastern Australia is emerging tomorrow, the like of which I have not observed in years! 

Just had a look at our October numbers since we started here at Gilmore in 1991.

We didn't exceed our October Maximum record of 32.2 degrees set on the 31st of October 2014 as we only recorded a Maximum of 31.3 degrees at 1600 hours yesterday.

Wind has been the major feature of the month here with gusts exceeding 60 km/hr. on 3 days the strongest being 66 km/hr. at 1000 hours on the 11th. Our record wind gust of 113 km/hr. was in an October afternoon some years ago.

Unlike you in Sydney, October so far has not been significantly warmer than average. Our first day with a Maximum exceeding 20 degrees was the 4th and it reached 25 degrees on the 5th.It only exceeded 30 degrees on the 28th. The earliest >30-degree day was the 20th in 2023, the latest >20-degree day was the 19th in 2022!

Regards,

Gavin, Gilmore ACT

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[Bussy R]

Hi Everyone.

 

What is showing that you haven't seen for years Gav?

 

I'm not up to that stage of seeing things yet. Maybe when I retire (One day) that I can have more time to read up on some stuff.

 

I see there is some warnings already about strong winds.

 

Regards Bussy

 

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[Ken Kato]

As far as tomorrow goes Bussy, the main threat is the winds as a cut-off low moves across SE Australia while intensifying.

In some of the more heavily-affected areas such as southern VIC, there's potential for damaging to locally destructive gusts.

But with cutoff lows like this one, there's always an inherent level of uncertainty about exactly where the strongest winds will be.

A forecast model map below:

Ken.

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[Bussy R]

Hi Ken.

 

Thanks for that. That looks pretty wild if it comes true.

 

Many thanks for explaining that for me.

 

Was supposed to get to 28 today but made 22.6 at 5.27pm this arvo. Few spits but nothing recordable.

 

I have only recorded point 4 of a Mill so far this month. So unless we get some more rain this will be my driest October in 24 years

 

I wish I was on the same level as you people sometimes, but as mentioned, I just don't have the time at present.

 

Another few years. Fingers crossed.

 

Regards Bussy

 

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