On 2/02/2012 8:24 AM, Addinall wrote:
> On Feb 1, 9:49 pm, keithr<
ke...@nowhere.com.au> wrote:
>> On 1/02/2012 11:26 AM, Addinall wrote:
>>
>>> Perhaps the government would have been better off hiring a marketing
>>> Guru
>>> to consider if this fucking network was wanted by anyone?
>>
>>> Mark Addinall.
>>
>> Marky doesn't want it, therefore nobody wants it. Arrogance at it's finest.
>
> More mind reading from the lunatic left.
>
> If God had given you the brains he gave a green ant, you might
> consider
> the fact that I argue the exact opposite. (Marky is for long term
> friends. Lose it retard).
>
> There are a number of factors involved in the digital divide in this
> country, and none of them are being addressed by the 'plan' put
> forward by the government. An it is a government plan, not an NBN
> plan, nor a design produced by engineers or architects. The
> government "thou shalt go forth and build the biggest OFT FTTP network
> you can", regardless of cost, without a cost/benefit analysis and with
> no real planning before day one of the implementation.
>
> The digital divide can be addressed in these categories
>
> 1. Access by economic status
> 2. Access by educational status
> 3. Access by geographic location
> 4. Access by level of interest
>
> At the end of June 2010, there were 9.6 million active internet
> subscribers in Australia.
>
> The phasing out of dial-up internet connections continued with nearly
> 92% of internet connections now being non dial-up.
>
> Australians also continued to access increasingly faster download
> speeds, with 71% of access connections offering a download speed of
> 1.5Mbps or greater.
>
> Digital subscriber line (DSL) continued to be the major technology for
> connections, accounting for 44% of the total internet connections.
> However, this percentage share has decreased since December 2009 when
> DSL represented 47% of the total connections.
>
> Mobile wireless (excluding mobile handset connections) was the fastest
> growing technology in internet access, increasing to 3.5 million in
> June 2010. This represents a 21.7% increase from December 2009.
>
> (The NBNCo has no mobile plans. 2010-11 again saw double digit
> increases in the registration of mobile broadband plans, excluding
> smartphones.)
>
> As for business (and government) dial-up, there are a total of 180,000
> dial up accounts still in operation.
>
> Source, Australian Bureau of Statistics, 8153.0 Internet Usage
>
>
http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/8153.0/
>
> “Internet access in the home is dependent on a range of factors such
> as affordability, the reliability of Internet connections and service
> providers, and the interest and capability of potential users of the
> Internet. Socioeconomic characteristics, such as family composition,
> educational attainment and income are also related to rates of
> household Internet access.”
>
> Source, Australian Bureau of Statistics, 4102.0. Australian Social
> Trends 2008
>
http://www.abs.gov.au/AUSSTATS/abs@.nsf/Lookup/4102.0Chapter10002008
>
> ibid.
> “In 2006, people aged 15 years and over, who had higher levels of
> educational attainment, had higher rates of household Internet access.
> People with a Bachelor degree or above had the highest rate of
> household Internet access (88%), whereas those without a non-school
> qualification had the lowest access rate (63%).
>
> Higher levels of income were also associated with higher rates of
> household Internet access. The highest rate of household access was
> for people in the highest income quintile (89%), while people in
> households in the lowest income quintile were least likely to have
> Internet access (47%).
>
> The influence of educational attainment on household Internet access
> reduces as household income increases. In the bottom two income
> quintiles, there was a considerable difference in Internet access
> according to the level of educational attainment. Those with a
> Bachelor degree or above had higher rates of Internet access than
> those with lower levels of educational attainment.
>
> In households with relatively higher incomes (top three income
> quintiles), there were high levels of Internet access regardless of
> educational attainment. For example, in the top income quintile, those
> with a Bachelor degree or above (92%) had a similar access rate to
> those who did not have a non-school qualification (85%).”
>
> This is quite important. A number of demographic factors are at play
> when discussing that nn% of Australians are not connected to the
> internet. Many do not want to be, and many can not afford to be.
>
> ibid.
> “According to the 2005-06 Household Use of Information Technology
> survey, 40% of Australian households did not have access to the
> Internet. The main reasons Australian households did not have Internet
> access at home were that the people within the household had no use
> for the Internet at home (24%), or had a lack of interest in the
> Internet (23%).
>
> Around one-fifth (22%) of households in the bottom two equivalised
> (that is, adjusted to take account of differing household size and
> composition) income quintiles stated high cost as the main reason for
> not having Internet access.”
>
> This is important enough to repeat. ***** The main reasons Australian
> households did not have Internet access at home were that the people
> within the household had no use for the Internet at home (24%), or had
> a lack of interest in the Internet (23%). ********
>
> That is, 47% of the 40% of Australians not connected AT ALL, simply DO
> NOT WANT TO BE.
> or;
> ******* one-fifth (22%) of households in the bottom two equivalised
> (that is, adjusted to take account of differing household size and
> composition) income quintiles stated high cost as the main reason for
> not having Internet access. ********
>
> Can’t afford it.
>
> So let us stop and just have a little think shall we. Nearly 20% of
> all Australians old enough to answer an ABS survey did not want to be
> connected at any price or speed. That is a big chunk of the adult
> population to remove from a potential market. If someone is not
> interested in the net (and yes Penelope, those people do exist) then
> having a slightly faster one is making little difference.
>
> Now. So far we have seen fixed line subscriptions slowing, as the
> market has saturated, Wireless continuing to experience double digit
> growth. Putting a FTTH NBN in around the country is unlikely to sway
> those who have little or no interest in the internet, and for the
> fiscally challenged, it will broaden the digital divide. A
> subscription to the NBN via IRP is not going to come in at entry level
> xDSL (Dodo, $9.90 pm). The people who consider a tenner to be too much
> are not going to find $50 pm regardless of how fast it can run.
>
> The NBNCo, or rather the government, has not taken into account the
> fundamental research that has already been done on internet usage in
> Australia.
>
> Given the collected statistics one might think that making access
> CHEAPER be a goal of a "nation building" plan, rather than choose the
> most expensive build option available. M'kay?
>
> What does one do with the people who aren't interested? Force them to
> have a connection seems to be the answer from this government. And
> even if you don't want it, need it or use it, you are still going to
> pay for it.
>
> Comparing the NBN to road or rail infrastructure is just stupid. How
> many short tons of picked citrus can you get down an OFT pipe as
> opposed to copper? If you watch farmers that pick for market, they
> are on a tractor with a mobile phone talking to buyers whilst
> harvesting. Not stuck in front of a desktop browser.
>
> World market. The rest of the world has put FTTH deployment on hold.
> The USA, Japan, South Korea, Sweden, Finland, Norway, Thailand … et
> al, have either deployed, or are deploying 3.9G wireless in the shape
> of 802.16m or LTE in response to the market requirement for a MOBILE
> and device independent internet experience. This is in preparation for
> 4G in the shape of 802.16n or LTE-Advanced. This will provide a GLOBAL
> ROAMING internetwork including location awareness, content awareness
> and all services being packet-switched based on a flat architecture
> using IPv6 addressing. LTE is currently rated at 100 Mbps, served by
> FTTN. In real life the 100 Mbps will never be reached, as is the case
> with fiber GPON. OFT is not magic. Share the pipe, and resource goes
> down. Telstra have undertaken trials in Australia and delivered 80
> Mbps over 75 Km LTE.
>
> So, what concerns me about this $43 BILLION spend? Apart from the
> fact that it is likely to be an $80 BILLION spend?
>
> 1. We seem to be building a network that a large percentage of
> Australians don’t want. From the ABS data, and looking at the recent
> take-up levels of the FTTH NBN trials in Tasmania and Armidale. Under
> 50% accepting a FREE installation, and a VERY small percentage
> actually using the connection. About 5%.
>
> 2. We seem to be building a network that people don’t really need. I
> have been asking the supporters of a FTTH NBN what it wil be used for.
> The only concrete application to date seems to be faster and fatter
> television. All well and good if you like the telly, but I would
> suggest that on the order of importance of national infrastucture, it
> deserves last place. As an example: I use the internet every day, for
> a minimum of12 hours (my machines never turn off in fact, so when I am
> not sitting at the things, they are still working). I have two
> internet accounts. A shared fixed line, that gives me about 4 Mbps for
> $10 pm. I probably should mention I have been an ITC contractor for 27
> years, starting at about the same time CP/M was starting to tumble to
> newcomers like PC-DOS, MS-DOS, DR-DOS and a few others. And a great
> deal of that work has been R&D or networking for places like STALLION,
> Paradox Digital, Telstra, OPTUS, iiNet, The Australian Bureau of
> Statistics and several large government departments. So, what did I do
> with my crummy old ADSL 1 connection?
> 2.1. I support my existing customer base. The speed is more than
> adequate for that purpose.
> 2.2. I read the Australian, and various BLOGS fed by links from GOOGLE
> news (like this one).
> 2.3. I write computer programs on my local machines and deploy them to
> my staging areas in the USA, and finally to my customers. Contrary to
> popular belief, computer applications are not that large.
> 2.4. I use USENET in much the same fashion as I have done since 1989.
> Same groups, aus.politics, aus.flame, and much the same speed and
> bandwidth use.
> 2.5. I build my work environment(s). Last week I built myself a new
> WAMP machine. (W)indows – Apache 2.n – MySQL – PHP. All in an MSI
> based stack. On my slow old network it took 41 seconds to download
> after Google found the site for me in 0.08 seconds. 184 MB when
> unpacked. My, that was almost a waste of a minute of my life.
> Yesterday I downloaded a postgreSQL Enterprise suite. That was
> slightly larger and took 71 seconds.
> 2.6. I use my computer for guitar lessons. I downloaded 50 lessons on
> video, plus TABs, plus sheet music, plus backing tracks, and the total
> space requirement was (is) 4.52 GB. That download will keep me busy in
> real-life for about 5 years. Led Zepplin I, II, III, IV and greatest
> hits in a folder, 363 MB.
> 2.7. My fourth degree is coming along just fine at ADSL 1 speed (for
> my first two, I had NO internet access, just a library card). And I
> can access the world’s largest genetic (proteomic) databases and pull
> experiments down in a matter of seconds.
http://www.ebi.ac.uk/pride/
>
> The internet IS my business, and it is well served at speeds below
> ADSL2+ and well below the 100 Mbps that is VDSL.
>
> Since I wrote this, Telstra upgraded my property first to ADSL 2+ as
> they didn't want older xDSL equipment in the exchange, now onto FTTH
> just because the South Brisbane exchange is moving, and Telstra have
> all this spare fiber cable in the ground anyway. Heaps and heaps of
> it.
>
> 2.8. Email. Works the same as it did under UUCP, except the address
> format has changed, and the world invented SPAM.
>
> 2.9. Shopping. I buy stuff off the net. Not much, but travel tickets
> and stuff like that.
>
> 2.10. I play games. Not often, but now and again I’ll download a
> hidden object game (about 150MB) or play Vampire Wars or Mafia Wars
> from Zynga. No problems with the speed.
>
> 3. We seem to be building a network that many will not be able to
> afford. The NBN is yet to put an access price on service, which in
> itself is bizarre, but the industry is guesstimating around $30 pm for
> the wholesale portion. So, $40-$50 per month for 25 Mbps – 60GB seems
> a fair guess. Students, the unemployed, pensioners, the under-
> employed, people struggling with house mortgages are still goin to be
> under-represented in our digital future. This is not easy to fix. It
> is NOT fixed by making internet access MORE expensive.
>
> 4. We seem to be building a network that is obsolete before it starts.
> Not OFT, that will not become dated in my lifetime, but the
> architecture and the topology of the proposed NBN.
> The world is demanding, and building mobile networks:
>
> 4.1. Peak download rates of 326.4 Mbit/s for 4×4 antennas, and 172.8
> Mbit/s for 2×2 antennas (utilizing 20 MHz of spectrum).
>
> 4.2. Peak upload rates of 86.4 Mbit/s for every 20 MHz of spectrum
> using a single antenna.
>
> 4.3. Five different terminal classes have been defined from a voice
> centric class up to a high end terminal that supports the peak data
> rates. All terminals will be able to process 20 MHz bandwidth.
>
> 4.4. At least 200 active users in every 5 MHz cell. (Specifically, 200
> active data clients)
>
> 4.5. Sub-5 ms latency for small IP packets
>
> 4.6. Increased spectrum flexibility, with supported spectrum slices as
> small as 1.4 MHz and as large as 20 MHz (W-CDMA requires 5 MHz slices,
> leading to some problems with roll-outs of the technology in countries
> where 5 MHz is a commonly allocated amount of spectrum, and is
> frequently already in use with legacy standards such as 2G GSM and
> cdmaOne.) Limiting sizes to 5 MHz also limited the amount of bandwidth
> per handset
>
> 4.7. In the 900 MHz frequency band to be used in rural areas,
> supporting an optimal cell size of 5 km, 30 km sizes with reasonable
> performance, and up to 100 km cell sizes supported with acceptable
> performance. In city and urban areas, higher frequency bands (such as
> 2.6 GHz in EU) are used to support high speed mobile broadband. In
> this case, cell sizes may be 1 km or even less.
>
> 4.8. Good support for mobility. High performance mobile data is
> possible at speeds of up to 350 km/h, or even up to 500 km/h,
> depending on the frequency band used.[9]
>
> 4.9. Co-existence with legacy standards (users can transparently start
> a call or transfer of data in an area using an LTE standard, and,
> should coverage be unavailable, continue the operation without any
> action on their part using GSM/GPRS or W-CDMA-based UMTS or even 3GPP2
> networks such as cdmaOne or CDMA2000)
>
> 4.10. Support for MBSFN (Multicast Broadcast Single Frequency
> Network). This feature can deliver services such as Mobile TV using
> the LTE infrastructure, and is a competitor for DVB-H-based TV
> broadcast.
>
> A large amount of the work is aimed at simplifying the architecture of
> the system, as it transits from the existing UMTS circuit + packet
> switching combined network, to an all-IP flat architecture system.
>
> Source, Wikpedia.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/3GPP_Long_Term_Evolution
>
> I am of the opinion that a FTTH NBN is quite possibly the WORST
> architecture we could choose if the idea is to ‘future proof”
> Australian telecommunications. Bizarre.
>
> The concept that Australia is just waiting around for NBNCo to start
> rolling out fiber is nonsense. Telstra, OPTUS, iiNet, TPG, AAPT,
> Internode et al. already have ~9 million Km of fiber in the ground, a
> lot of it dark. Overbuilding is an extreme waste of money. Every
> business that wants broadband already has it. Every University has it.
> Every research facility has it. Every software house has it. Every
> government department has it.
>
> The proposed NBN structure is based on providing fast internet access
> to those who already have fast internet access, and ignoring those who
> do not. Spending $2-3 BILLION implementing VDSL in every exhange in
> the country will serve the population as well as a FTTH NBN, and leave
> R&D money available to join in ith the rest of the world implementing
> Internet 3 as 4G LTE-Advanced.
>
> The NBN as it stands is a bad project. It has no KPIs, no SLAs, no
> business case, no risk analysis. It is being made up on the fly, which
> is a sure sign of doom and waste as time marches on. The project is
> shrouded in secrecy, mostly to cover up the fact that the people
> involved in building the pig of a thing don’t have much of a clue
> either. City first, no wait, bush first, no wait, both together.
> Telegraph poles, no underground, why not both? 100 Mbps, NAH! 1 Gbps!!
> Well, 25 Mbps anyay, errrr, 12 Mbps for those bush folk. “Whaddya mean
> we can’t do 12 Mbps on OPTUS C1 using spare Ku-Band?”. NBNCo announced
> yesterday that AUSTAR would likely get the nod for satellite system
> coverage. Good choice. Let's have three POIs, nah, make it six, nah,
> we'll have one hundred and twenty six.... Projects that require TENS
> of BILLIONS of public money SHOULD have better project planning than
> this!
>
> The 'new and improved' satellite service we have heard mentioned
> leaves the remote folk on exactly the same satellites as the last
> decade. Pan-Am-Sat-2, Pan-Am-Sat-8 and the Optus missions.
>
> Optus (and Defence) C1
> ———————————-
>
> Satellite Type: Space Systems/Loral (SS/L): LS-1300
> Launch Date: 11 June 2003
> Location: 156° east
> Design Life: 15 Years
> Equipment: 24 Ku band transponders, 4 (+1) Ka band transponders, 4 X
> band transponders, 6 UHF transponders
> Partially funded by the Australian Government (Defence Department) –
> Optus C1′s use is shared between Defence and Telecommunications, in
> particular the supply of Television services to Australia. Mitsubishi
> Electric was the prime contractor responsible for manufacturing all
> the Optus C1 communications systems.
>
> The Ku band Transponders are exclusively used for Television Services,
> mainly:
> Foxtel rent a considerable amount of satellite capacity for the
> transmission of their Foxtel Digital service (and onsold to ***Austar
> for their Austar Digital service***).
>
> Optus operate the Remote Area Broadcasting Services Aurora, allowing
> Free to Air television to be accessed via satellite in areas that may
> not be able to access FTA services via terrestrial means. The service
> is also used in a commercial capacity by a number of organisations for
> satellite linkups.
>
> ABC – via the Aurora service allowing access to state tailored feeds
> of ABC TV in New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, South Australia,
> Western Australia and Northern Territory, Radio National in all
> Australian states except Northern Territory, Local Regional ABC radio,
> Classic FM in all states except Tasmania, Triple J in New South Wales,
> Victoria and Tasmania, and News Radio.
> Commercial TV – via satellite& cable viewers to watch the Seven
> Network, the Nine Network& the Network Ten programs are rebroadcast
> on digital TV.
>
> The remaining transponders (being Ka band, X band and UHF) are
> exclusive for Defence/Military use.
>
> Wiki.
>
> To get STTN to distribute 12 Mbps you need a beam focussed Ka band
> bird with a down rate of 20-40 Mbps, and AUSTAR don’t own one…….
>
> And then you need LTE from the Earth station to the consumer, and I
> haven’t heard much from NBNCo apart from 3G (at 4 Mbps).
>
> This project makes pink bats, and million dollar school tuck shops
> seem well planned and executed…..
>
> Mark Addinall.
You call someone retard then set out a long and detailed argument,
presumably for the benefit of the very person you label a retard.
You don't see the folly in this approach?