On 1/06/2022 12:06 pm, Trevor Wilson wrote:
> On 31/05/2022 5:19 pm, Noddy wrote:
>> "kick-the-can-down-the-road" kind of guy is somewhat amusing, but not
>> entirely inaccurate. I would certainly consider myself to give a whole
>> lot less of a fuck about issues that are not likely to affect me in my
>> lifetime than you would. But there's a whole lot more to it than that
>> I take the pessimistic view that I don't believe there is jack we can
>> do about it whereas you're the eternal optimist and think everything
>> will be fine if we just do our bit.
>
> **Me, an optimist? You're fucking dreaming. I am EXTREMELY pessimistic
> about the future. We are headed for very dark times. ON a range of
> levels. Climate is the big one, but there are others.
If you say so.
>> With that in mind it would probably be far more accurate for you to
>> consider me a cynic, because that's what an idealist calls a realist :)
>
> **If you were a true cynic, then you would be asking the hard questions
> about nuclear waste, rather than claiming nukes are a great idea.
I'm sorry Trevor, but *not* what I said. What I said was that Nuclear
power is a viable alternative to the way we generate power now, and we
should look into it given that we have an abundant reserve of Uranium
and plenty of uninhabited space to dispose of the waste.
> They are an OK idea, PROVIDED full and complete attention is paid to nuclear
> waste. So far, no one is doing very much on that score. Despite 70 odd
> years of generating the stuff. A true cynic would be very concerned
> about that issue.
I'm not concerned about it at all given that it is an issue that I have
absolutely no control over. In case you haven't worked it out by now, I
don't waste time worrying about things I cannot change.
>>> His words:
>>>
>>> "Australia should NEVER even THINK about employing nukes, unless the
>>> entire nuclear waste cycle has been completely thought through. In my
>>> opinion, nuclear power is simply not viable and not necessary for
>>> this country."
>>
>> And yet we're happy to dig Uranium out of the ground and sell it to
>> other people for them to do what they please. Poison their own country
>> with it, but not us. We'll just sit back and take the money :)
>
> **Well, the genie is out of that bottle.
Rubbish. The lid can be put back on that bottle at any time, but they
don't because the export sales generate three quarters of a billion
dollars per year.
I can only assume from your complete lack of protest about Uranium
mining and export that you're in favour of it.
>> Oddly enough what this bloke told you wasn't anything you didn't
>> already know, yet for some reason coming from him it seems to have a
>> whole new meaning for you, and that's the think about "expert opinion"
>> sometimes.
>
> **Not really. Consider: The guy is a nuclear physicist. IF Australia
> decided to build nukes, then his talents would be in great demand.
With respects to both him *and* you, it's highly unlikely that this guy
would be called upon to design, build and operate the reactor.
> He could name his own price. Yet he is more concerned about the national
> interest than his own pocket.
That's nice. There are medical doctors who think vaccinations cause
autism, too.
>> It is unfathomably stupid, but this was written in black and white and
>> I'm sure there were some out there who believed it to be correct
>> simply because it appeared in the book written by an "expert".
>
> **A nuclear physicist _IS_ an expert. Not some numpty who writes books
> about VWs.
The point seems to be completely lost on you.
> Now, for my anecdote:
>
> I screwed up the computers in my Subaru, by doing something dumb. I
> called my Subaru dealer who told me it would cost $120.00 and take 2
> hours.
120 bucks for 2 hours? I'm calling bullshit there. I don't know a
dealership *anywhere* that would charge you less than 140 bucks an hour
at the *minimum*.
> I called a guy called The Suby Doctor. He is local to me and
> claims to know everything about Subarus. He told me that he was unable
> to sort the problem out and I should take it to the dealer who has the
> specialised equipment to fix it. In desperation, I called my regular
> mechanic, who instructed me to bring my car in at 11.00AM on a Saturday
> morning, when things were quiet. He hooked his $12,000.00 OBD-II
> computer to the car, reset all the computers. All good. No charge.
So your problem wasn't major and was an easy fix. Cool. I pulled the
starter motor out of a Corolla that was making a frightful noise when
you cranked the engine after the owner, who is the mother of the woman
who washes my dog, was told by a local mechanic that it was going to
cost her 600 bucks to have the starter replaced. Took me 45 minutes to
pull the starter out, dismantle it, clean the clutch dust out of it,
re-lube the bendix drive with some decent quality anti-seize and put it
back together and put it back in the car.
It's working fine, and she's on her way over to collect the car as I
type. All good. No charge.
> So much for self-proclaimed experts.
Indeed.
> A nuclear physicist is not a self-proclaimed expert. He is an ACTUAL
> expert.
So is a mechanic.
>> The moral of the story is that expert comment is sometimes not worth
>> two lumps of dried goat shit, and you can see perfect examples of that
>> here by looking at the nonsense about power brakes and carburetors
>> from the resident clueless "expert" Tom Clasener.
>
> **A nuclear physicist is not a self-proclaimed expert. He is an ACTUAL
> expert. And he works in the only nuclear reactor in the country.
With respect, that's a bit like saying you're a qualified sea captain in
charge of a row boat.
>>>> Two things here Trev. Firstly, it's not actually happening yet,
>>>> despite what you claim, and secondly this is a country that can't
>>>> even get a reliable national Internet service working properly for
>>>> fuck's sake. I can just imagine what a complete pig's breakfast we'd
>>>> make of something like that :)
>>>>
>>>> Lets see how things are going in 2027, huh?
>>>
>>> **Sure. That's a whole lot faster than it takes to build a nuke.
>>
>> Sure. *If* it manages to get up and running and achieve it's
>> objectives. But it's currently a long way from doing that.
>
> **It's actually not a long way at all. Money is the biggest obstacle and
> they're well funded.
Trevor, you understand that despite the theory of it all, it's not
actually up and running yet, right?
>>> **And who is going to pay for the security guards for the next couple
>>> of hundred thousand years?
>>> How much will it all cost?
>>
>> Trevor, let me ask you a genuine question. If you drilled a hole three
>> miles deep in the middle of the Simpson desert and stuck your waste at
>> the bottom of it where you then covered it in a 20 foot thick layer of
>> 7 million MPA reinforced concrete, do you actually think you would
>> *need* any security guards watching over it for the next 200 thousand
>> years?
>>
>> Asking for a friend....
>
> **If I was a committed terrorist, I'd drill down from the side.
You'd have to be a pretty committed terrorist with some serious hardware
at your disposal. I think someone might notice you being there :)
> Quite apart from which there is no such thing as 7 million MPA concrete.
No shit? Get a humour gland transplant for fuck's sake....
> Here's the thing: In 20 years, do you think that the technology for
> drilling holes in concrete will be more or less advanced than today? In
> 50 years? 100?
Well, I suppose there's always the possibility that a company called
"Acme" could spring up one day and actually invent a real, working
version of the "Illudium Pew-35 Explosive Space Modulator" gun that
Marvin the Martian used.....
> Safe storage of nuclear waste is an illusion.
Let me give you a red hot tip here for free: There is no such thing as
"safe". There is only ever varying degrees of "less safe".
Can nuclear waste ever be made 100% conclusively safe? Nope. No chance
it hell. It is a practical impossibility. However, can it be made safe
enough so as not to pose an appreciable threat to anyone for the next
million years? Absolutely it can.
All that is required is the willingness to do so.
>> I'm not sure what that has to do with mandating that electric cars
>> become the only choice by a given arbitrary date making them cheaper,
>> anyway.
>
> **We're discussing batteries.
>
>>
>> Give me three examples of products that were madatated by law that
>> became cheaper once everyone was forced to use them.
>
> **Seat belts, catalytic converters, indicators.
I think you misunderstood the question. Not unless you can show me what
the average indicator cost and how making them compulsory caused an
effective price reduction.
>>> **That would be irrelevant.
>>
>> Um, no it wouldn't. What they've achieved has been relatively easy to do.
>
> **Irrelevant, because SA has a much smaller population to accept tax
> from. The major reason SA has an advantage is that the cost of real
> estate is lower than Vic.
State governments reply on the handouts from the Federal Government for
a fair portion of their consolidated revenue balance, and the size of
the population has little bearing on the amount. The more popular states
like Victoria and NSW have been subsidising the geographically larger
buy more sparsely populated states for years.
As for real estate values, there's no argument there. Who the fuck would
want to live in South Australia? :)
>> Nuclear generation puts out an uninterrupted output rain, hail or shine.
>
> **Mostly.
On what occasions would it not?
> However, there is that pesky waste thing.
Last I read, and I'm happy to stand corrected, a 1000 megawatt Nuclear
power station puts out around 3 cubic metres of waste per year.
> And, of course, the odd catastrophic accident.
The odd one, sure. I've never actually looked at the statistics, but I
wouldn't be surprised if the accident rate per thousand megawatt was
lower than the accident rate per kilometre of air travel.
Like I said, there is no such thing as safe.
> What's the worst thing that would happen if a
> wind turbine fell over? A couple dead cows?
There's been a number of people killed in wind turbine accidents
actually. Including the two poor bastards that were stuck on one that
caught fire.
>>> **Everything I've witnessed living in this country for the last 68
>>> years.
>>
>> Really? So you can see no difference in how Americans do thinks
>> compared to how we do them here?
>
> **I see considerable differences. Some of those differences advantage
> Americans. Some don't.
Really? What specifically do you think the Americans do better than we do?
>>>> Finding a place and staff to guard a suitable location for a couple
>>>>> of hundred thousand years is (umm) difficult.
>>>>
>>>> Exactly what would be difficult about it?
>>>
>>> **200,000 years. Focus on that for a bit.
>>
>> That doesn't answer the question. Again, I ask what would be difficult
>> about it specifically?
>
> **TWO HUNDRED THOUSAND YEARS. Humans have not even existed for 200,000
> years. The oldest man-made structure is something like 10,000 years old.
> The builders of the great pyramid employed the best, most advanced
> technology available to protect the treasures within. The great pyramid
> was raided. The best technology available today may not stop a terrorist
> in the future.
That's a nice little anecdote, but I don't know how it's relevant to the
question of "how it would be difficult?" in any way.
Besides the fact of which is why you should care? Why would you give the
slightest crap about what happens 20 thousand years from now, let alone
200 thousand?
For all you or I know this planet might be struck by another massive
meteor wiping out every form of life and not exist a mere 500 years from
now....
>>>> I don't know why you get so excited over rubbish like this Trev. I
>>>> mean, if your climatologist mates are right then the argument will
>>>> be academic anyway, as by that point in time every living species on
>>>> this rock will *long* be extinct and the planet will be hurtling
>>>> through the universe like a massive ghost town devoid of all life.
>>>
>>> **They're not my mates.
>>
>> You're certainly a big fan of the work they do.
>
> **"A fan"? More like someone who accepts and respect people of science.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but you've stated in the past that climatology
is something you've been passionately interested in for over 40 years.
If that's the case then your "interest" goes way beyond that of the
normal pleb....