Hello Sam, Day, Chris, and Harold,
I have followed your conversation on Arctic News with great interest.
First of all Sam, thank you so much for the great work that you are doing with Arctic News. I have found it very helpful as well as material posted by AMEG to update myself on this matter. My main domain is energy (global dynamics and sustainable technologies). Until recently I was of the view that climate change would gradually gain momentum in the longer term while the thermodynamic decline of the industrialised world is happening right now. In fact it has been gathering momentum since the 1970s and we are now on the cusp of a global energy trap. If nothing changes the most likely scenario is abrupt global civilisation collapse. In short, in terms of climate change we are on a kind of ironical scenario, along the well known quip: "the operation was successful, unfortunately the patient died". However, recently I began to realise the immediacy of the Arctic threat and your blog has considerably helped me.
I have concluded that we must now face the convergence of both energy issues and abrupt climate change, i.e. we are in an even greater emergency. If the world continues in a "business-as-usual" mode (BAU) civilisational collapse is highly likely in very short order but probably still compounded with abrupt climate change. However, to avoid abrupt climate change we do require large amounts of energy sourced sustainably, which presently is not feasible along mainstream routes. There are feasible non-mainstream avenues (i am part of a small number of people working on this globally) yet presently it is very hard to get heard and get the resources to implement this. I attach an updated paper (re the Arctic threat) that expands on what I am summarising here, that may be of interest.
Yes there is much blindness and deep ignorance of both climate/ecological and energy issues among the main media and decision making elites. Like you Harold I have contacted quite a number of media people, politicians and captains of industry over the years but with very little success. Re what you say Chris, I have had quite a number of occasions in my career to interact with pretty powerful people in the EU, Asia, Australasia, and the Americas in both governments and industry. The overall sample is well over a thousand people. I have not encountered a single one who was not operating mainly on the basis of his or her beliefs (they were overwhelmingly males) and who was not deeply ignorant of both energy and climate/ecological matters (even when they did "believe" in climate change they were doing so precisely in a believing mode, along mythical lines). So I am 100% confident that no it is not the case that "there is no way that the world governments are blind" - sadly and very dangerously they are blind, ignorant and very often most arrogant about it…
So I am of the view that it is up to us. As I stress it in the attached paper, it is perfectly doable, and very rapidly. Recall how the Internet took off from a tiny network linking a few US universities. It happened globally first and foremost at the initiative of millions of small entrepreneurs, well before large telcos came in, and when they finally did, initially they did so very reluctantly… I am working on mounting a similar initiative for energy based on extremely low cost 100% solar, sustainable technology that I am contributing to. I would welcome suggestions, comments, contributions from anyone interested.
Finally, Sam a query. Are you aware of this recent publication: Ming, Tingzhen,
de_Richter, Renaud, Liu, Wei, Caillol, Sylvain, 2014, “Fighting global warming
by climate engineering: Is the Earth radiation management and the solar
radiation management any option for fighting
climate change?” Renewable and
Sustainable Energy Reviews 31 (2014) 792–834, Elsevier. Their English is a bit hesitant. However, I have found their paper very well documented and argued. I do think that some form of geo-engineering is necessary and that the best approaches are likely to be ones that are at least self sufficient and sustainable in energy terms. However, the chief issue is "how to prime the pump". i.e. access to sustainably sourced energy to launch a large enough, self-sustaining geo-engineering process. I am convinced that the sort of technology I am working on can do this, once deployed on a large scale, so there are points of synergy with what they are putting forward.
All the very best,
Louis