Google Groups no longer supports new Usenet posts or subscriptions. Historical content remains viewable.
Dismiss
Five reasons why Russia is likely behind the Nord Stream industrial sabotage
2 views
Skip to first unread message
Leroy N. Soetoro
Oct 1, 2022, 1:47:05 PM10/1/22
to
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/five-reasons-russia-behind-nord-stream-
industrial-sabotage
Russian military planners have long studied ways to target civilian
infrastructure
Putin’s press secretary Dmitry Peskov dismissed Ukraine’s accusations
Thursday that Russia was behind the Nord Stream pipeline gas leaks,
calling it an act of state-sponsored "terrorism." After NATO condemned it
as a "deliberate, reckless" act of sabotage, Russia’s top intelligence
chief Sergei Naryshkin said Moscow has evidence it’s the West that did it.
Here are five reasons why Russia is probably the state that has
orchestrated this dangerous act.
First, Putin has the motivation. Facing potential defeat in Ukraine, Putin
is desperate to reverse the momentum on the battlefield by resorting to
dramatic escalation. This is his way of trying to compel the U.S. and
Europe to stop providing long-range weaponry to Ukraine. The outcome of
the conflict in Ukraine is an existential issue for him personally and for
Russia. Russia views Ukraine, along with other former Soviet states, as
part of its strategic security perimeter.
Putin has already declared adding Ukraine to NATO and integrating into the
West a "red line." Moscow views this as its version of the Monroe
Doctrine.
NATO CONDEMNS ‘DELIBERATE, RECKLESS’ SABOTAGE OF NORD STREAM PIPELINES
AFTER FOURTH LEAK DISCOVERED
The risk for Putin of having Ukraine join NATO outweighs that of being
condemned by NATO as a sponsor of industrial terrorism. Frustrated that he
is not taken seriously, Putin is desperate to send what he thinks is a
clear message.
Second, damaging or destroying critical infrastructure is consistent with
Russia’s warfighting concept called Strategic Operation to Defeat Critical
Infrastructure of the Adversary (SOPKVOP, in Russian). Russian strategists
spent decades conceptualizing ways to bypass the U.S. and NATO
conventional superiority in a conflict they had concluded was inevitable
because Moscow and Washington have been in confrontation over control of
the post-Soviet space since the collapse of the USSR in 1991.
NORD STREAM PIPELINE BLASTS WERE LIKELY FROM EXPLOSIONS, NOT EARTHQUAKES,
SEISMOLOGIST SAYS
Intended for wartime, SOPKVOP operations also can be deployed during
peacetime to "destabilize the opponent’s social and political situation"
and dislodge the adversary psychologically to persuade him to abandon the
fight. Russia’s targeting strategy prioritizes critical infrastructure. It
has spent years studying Western vulnerabilities. SOPKVOP envisions
prosecuting quasi-military campaigns by employing cyber operations and
other non-kinetic methods.
Third, Russian military strategists have pondered a scenario in which
Russia would target their adversaries' civilian infrastructure during a
conflict. Defeating a "small number of key interconnected targets" that
are vital to the functioning of the state would cause the "entire system
to collapse," they hypothesized.
GLENN GREENWALD: NORD STREAM PIPELINE PROVIDES 'ENORMOUS' LEVERAGE TO
RUSSIA
In 2012, Russian strategists analyzed a 2001 accident in the United States
that involved a train that was transporting hazardous chemical materials
and veered off the tracks in a Baltimore tunnel. The accident burst a
water pipe, causing a three-foot flood that disrupted Baltimore’s mail
carrier and telecommunications systems. Disruption of train and auto
transportation followed along the entire Baltimore-to-New York corridor.
"Taking parts of the adversary’s civilian infrastructure out of
commission," the Russian strategists argued, will produce cascading
destructive effects, "harming the economy, healthcare, defense and
security of the entire state."
Fourth, Russia is one of very few countries that has the exact capability
needed to sever the Nord Stream pipelines carrying Russian gas to Europe
and to do it covertly. Moscow has invested in undersea warfare
capabilities through its GUGI program, a top secret program with the
innocuous cover name of "Deep Sea Research" that includes work on undersea
communications and sensor networks, hydrocarbon exploitation, submarine
rescue and investigating wreckage.
Moscow has war gamed territorial incursions in the Baltic Sea and the
North Atlantic as well as the disruption of undersea cables that carry
communications. It is the only country, according to the U.S. Naval
Institute, that has a fleet of special mission submarines for seabed
warfare and espionage and is expanding this capability, while U.S. and
European antisubmarine warfare capabilities have atrophied since the end
of the Cold War.
Fifth, Putin has no use for Nord Stream in the short term, as neither
pipeline 1 or 2 are revenue producing. Moscow shut down Nord Stream 1 at
the end of August, claiming that U.S. and European economic sanctions had
made maintenance impossible. Nord Stream 2 never became operational, with
Germany having declined its certification. To the contrary, taking Nord
Stream out of commission serves Putin’s goal of freezing the Europeans in
winter, a standard Putin move to use energy as a weapon.
Russia is replacing this lost revenue with export earnings from non-
Western countries, such as China, India, and even the Taliban. The $55
billion joint Russia-China pipeline "The Power of Siberia," which has
partially operated since 2019 and is scheduled to come online in 2025, is
part of Putin’s long-term plan to pivot to Asia, given Moscow’s conclusion
that relations with the U.S. are irreparable.
The Kremlin has the motive, the means and a warfighting doctrine that all
put the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipeline directly at its feet.
--
"LOCKDOWN", left-wing COVID fearmongering. 95% of COVID infections
recover with no after effects.
No collusion - Special Counsel Robert Swan Mueller III, March 2019.
Officially made Nancy Pelosi a two-time impeachment loser.
Donald J. Trump, cheated out of a second term by fraudulent "mail-in"
ballots. Report voter fraud: sf.n...@mail.house.gov
Thank you for cleaning up the disaster of the 2008-2017 Obama / Biden
fiasco, President Trump.
Under Barack Obama's leadership, the United States of America became the
The World According To Garp. Obama sold out heterosexuals for Hollywood
queer liberal democrat donors.
President Trump boosted the economy, reduced illegal invasions, appointed
dozens of judges and three SCOTUS justices.
industrial-sabotage
Russian military planners have long studied ways to target civilian
infrastructure
Putin’s press secretary Dmitry Peskov dismissed Ukraine’s accusations
Thursday that Russia was behind the Nord Stream pipeline gas leaks,
calling it an act of state-sponsored "terrorism." After NATO condemned it
as a "deliberate, reckless" act of sabotage, Russia’s top intelligence
chief Sergei Naryshkin said Moscow has evidence it’s the West that did it.
Here are five reasons why Russia is probably the state that has
orchestrated this dangerous act.
First, Putin has the motivation. Facing potential defeat in Ukraine, Putin
is desperate to reverse the momentum on the battlefield by resorting to
dramatic escalation. This is his way of trying to compel the U.S. and
Europe to stop providing long-range weaponry to Ukraine. The outcome of
the conflict in Ukraine is an existential issue for him personally and for
Russia. Russia views Ukraine, along with other former Soviet states, as
part of its strategic security perimeter.
Putin has already declared adding Ukraine to NATO and integrating into the
West a "red line." Moscow views this as its version of the Monroe
Doctrine.
NATO CONDEMNS ‘DELIBERATE, RECKLESS’ SABOTAGE OF NORD STREAM PIPELINES
AFTER FOURTH LEAK DISCOVERED
The risk for Putin of having Ukraine join NATO outweighs that of being
condemned by NATO as a sponsor of industrial terrorism. Frustrated that he
is not taken seriously, Putin is desperate to send what he thinks is a
clear message.
Second, damaging or destroying critical infrastructure is consistent with
Russia’s warfighting concept called Strategic Operation to Defeat Critical
Infrastructure of the Adversary (SOPKVOP, in Russian). Russian strategists
spent decades conceptualizing ways to bypass the U.S. and NATO
conventional superiority in a conflict they had concluded was inevitable
because Moscow and Washington have been in confrontation over control of
the post-Soviet space since the collapse of the USSR in 1991.
NORD STREAM PIPELINE BLASTS WERE LIKELY FROM EXPLOSIONS, NOT EARTHQUAKES,
SEISMOLOGIST SAYS
Intended for wartime, SOPKVOP operations also can be deployed during
peacetime to "destabilize the opponent’s social and political situation"
and dislodge the adversary psychologically to persuade him to abandon the
fight. Russia’s targeting strategy prioritizes critical infrastructure. It
has spent years studying Western vulnerabilities. SOPKVOP envisions
prosecuting quasi-military campaigns by employing cyber operations and
other non-kinetic methods.
Third, Russian military strategists have pondered a scenario in which
Russia would target their adversaries' civilian infrastructure during a
conflict. Defeating a "small number of key interconnected targets" that
are vital to the functioning of the state would cause the "entire system
to collapse," they hypothesized.
GLENN GREENWALD: NORD STREAM PIPELINE PROVIDES 'ENORMOUS' LEVERAGE TO
RUSSIA
In 2012, Russian strategists analyzed a 2001 accident in the United States
that involved a train that was transporting hazardous chemical materials
and veered off the tracks in a Baltimore tunnel. The accident burst a
water pipe, causing a three-foot flood that disrupted Baltimore’s mail
carrier and telecommunications systems. Disruption of train and auto
transportation followed along the entire Baltimore-to-New York corridor.
"Taking parts of the adversary’s civilian infrastructure out of
commission," the Russian strategists argued, will produce cascading
destructive effects, "harming the economy, healthcare, defense and
security of the entire state."
Fourth, Russia is one of very few countries that has the exact capability
needed to sever the Nord Stream pipelines carrying Russian gas to Europe
and to do it covertly. Moscow has invested in undersea warfare
capabilities through its GUGI program, a top secret program with the
innocuous cover name of "Deep Sea Research" that includes work on undersea
communications and sensor networks, hydrocarbon exploitation, submarine
rescue and investigating wreckage.
Moscow has war gamed territorial incursions in the Baltic Sea and the
North Atlantic as well as the disruption of undersea cables that carry
communications. It is the only country, according to the U.S. Naval
Institute, that has a fleet of special mission submarines for seabed
warfare and espionage and is expanding this capability, while U.S. and
European antisubmarine warfare capabilities have atrophied since the end
of the Cold War.
Fifth, Putin has no use for Nord Stream in the short term, as neither
pipeline 1 or 2 are revenue producing. Moscow shut down Nord Stream 1 at
the end of August, claiming that U.S. and European economic sanctions had
made maintenance impossible. Nord Stream 2 never became operational, with
Germany having declined its certification. To the contrary, taking Nord
Stream out of commission serves Putin’s goal of freezing the Europeans in
winter, a standard Putin move to use energy as a weapon.
Russia is replacing this lost revenue with export earnings from non-
Western countries, such as China, India, and even the Taliban. The $55
billion joint Russia-China pipeline "The Power of Siberia," which has
partially operated since 2019 and is scheduled to come online in 2025, is
part of Putin’s long-term plan to pivot to Asia, given Moscow’s conclusion
that relations with the U.S. are irreparable.
The Kremlin has the motive, the means and a warfighting doctrine that all
put the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipeline directly at its feet.
--
"LOCKDOWN", left-wing COVID fearmongering. 95% of COVID infections
recover with no after effects.
No collusion - Special Counsel Robert Swan Mueller III, March 2019.
Officially made Nancy Pelosi a two-time impeachment loser.
Donald J. Trump, cheated out of a second term by fraudulent "mail-in"
ballots. Report voter fraud: sf.n...@mail.house.gov
Thank you for cleaning up the disaster of the 2008-2017 Obama / Biden
fiasco, President Trump.
Under Barack Obama's leadership, the United States of America became the
The World According To Garp. Obama sold out heterosexuals for Hollywood
queer liberal democrat donors.
President Trump boosted the economy, reduced illegal invasions, appointed
dozens of judges and three SCOTUS justices.
0 new messages