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What are the home game playoff scenarios ???

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Michael

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Dec 19, 2010, 9:06:40 PM12/19/10
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What are the chances the Jets land a home playoff game with one more
win ??? Say they go 11-5

BicketyBam

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Dec 19, 2010, 10:09:12 PM12/19/10
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Michael <mjd...@verizon.net> wrote in news:3fe65cc2-605a-4b82-b5f5-
6d6825...@i18g2000yqn.googlegroups.com:

> What are the chances the Jets land a home playoff game with one more
> win ??? Say they go 11-5
>

Not sure, but I am not mailing in a check for the playoff invoice I got.

Keith Keller

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Dec 19, 2010, 10:40:52 PM12/19/10
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On 2010-12-20, Michael <mjd...@verizon.net> wrote:
> What are the chances the Jets land a home playoff game with one more
> win ??? Say they go 11-5

Pretty much zero. If they go 11-5, they'd need Baltimore to lose both
their games in order to move up to the fifth seed, then they'd need to
win their games and have the six seed win their two games. In that case
the Jets would host the conference championship.

If the Jets win out, they could get a home game if Baltimore loses a
game, then both wild cards win their two playoff games, or if New
England tanks all three of their games, in which case the Jets would be
the top seed (winning the tiebreak with the Steelers if those two finish
tied). This might be a 1% chance, though this page disagrees:

http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/afcstandings.html

--keith


--
kkeller...@wombat.san-francisco.ca.us
(try just my userid to email me)
AOLSFAQ=http://www.therockgarden.ca/aolsfaq.txt
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Ray O'Hara

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Dec 19, 2010, 11:10:51 PM12/19/10
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"BicketyBam" <Blo...@joemama.net> wrote in message
news:Xns9E53E15FFF98A...@209.197.15.254...

When I had Pats season tix in the 70s and 80s we just saw it as a down
payment on next years seats.
you risked nothing and maybe you might get lucky. . we never did :(


Message has been deleted

Tutor

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Dec 19, 2010, 11:34:17 PM12/19/10
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On Dec 19, 10:40 pm, Keith Keller <kkeller-use...@wombat.san-
francisco.ca.us> wrote:

> On 2010-12-20, Michael <mjd1...@verizon.net> wrote:
>
> > What are the chances the Jets land a home playoff game with one more
> > win ??? Say they go 11-5
>
> Pretty much zero.  If they go 11-5, they'd need Baltimore to lose both
> their games in order to move up to the fifth seed, then they'd need to
> win their games and have the six seed win their two games.  In that case
> the Jets would host the conference championship.
>
> If the Jets win out, they could get a home game if Baltimore loses a
> game, then both wild cards win their two playoff games, or if New
> England tanks all three of their games, in which case the Jets would be
> the top seed (winning the tiebreak with the Steelers if those two finish
> tied).  This might be a 1% chance, though this page disagrees:
>
> http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/afcstandings.html
>
> --keith
>
> --
> kkeller-use...@wombat.san-francisco.ca.us

> (try just my userid to email me)
> AOLSFAQ=http://www.therockgarden.ca/aolsfaq.txt
> see X- headers for PGP signature information

there are 2 possibilities, both highly unlikley.

As you mention, the Jets could get a home game as a wildcard only if
the Jets get #5 seed and wind up playing against the #6 seed in the
AFC Championship game. Don't hold your breath.

The other would be for the Jets to win the Division by winning its 2
remaining games against the Bears and Bills and the Pats to lose its
2 remaining games to Buffalo and Miami. They'd be tied at 12-4 with
the Jets winning the tie breaker by virtue a 4-2 Divisional record to
the Pats' 3-3 Divisional record.

2 unlikely scenarios.

Tutor

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Dec 19, 2010, 11:36:25 PM12/19/10
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On Dec 19, 11:31 pm, buRford <buRf...@buR.ford.com> wrote:

> On Sun, 19 Dec 2010 18:06:40 -0800 (PST), Michael <mjd1...@verizon.net> wrote:
> >What are the chances the Jets land a home playoff game with one more
> >win ??? Say they go 11-5
>
> None, unless they win the division, which I think the Pats can clinch tonight with a win.

not yet. If both teams wind up 12-4, Jets win the tiebreaker for the
division. Longshot. Extreme longshot.

marcman

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Dec 19, 2010, 11:38:39 PM12/19/10
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On Dec 19, 11:31 pm, buRford <buRf...@buR.ford.com> wrote:
> On Sun, 19 Dec 2010 18:06:40 -0800 (PST), Michael <mjd1...@verizon.net> wrote:
> >What are the chances the Jets land a home playoff game with one more
> >win ??? Say they go 11-5
>
> None, unless they win the division, which I think the Pats can clinch tonight with a win.

Pats did not clinch the division tonight.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

If the Jets and Pats both finish at 12-4 (Jets win at CHI and vs BUF -
AND- Pats lose at BUF and vs MIA), the Jets will win the East and get
the #1 seed regardless of what Pittsburgh and Baltimore do to finish
out their seasons.

marcman

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Dec 19, 2010, 11:41:56 PM12/19/10
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Jets somehow also have the 12-4 tiebreaker with Pit and Bal. If all 4
teams finish at 12-4, Jets win the East and are the #1 seed, #2 seed
is Pit, NE is #5 and Bal is #6.

Keith Keller

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Dec 19, 2010, 11:43:48 PM12/19/10
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On 2010-12-20, buRford <buR...@buR.ford.com> wrote:
>
> None, unless they win the division, which I think the Pats can clinch tonight with a win.

They don't clinch, but with their win tonight their magic number is one
to clinch the division (and the top seed).

--keith

--
kkeller...@wombat.san-francisco.ca.us

marcman

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Dec 19, 2010, 11:54:12 PM12/19/10
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Does anybody know why the Jets hold the 12-4 tiebreaker with Baltimore
even though they beat us?

Does it have something to do with a tie involving three or more teams?

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