On Monday, January 10, 2022 at 10:40:12 PM UTC-6, dls...@gmail.com
> On Monday, January 10, 2022 at 9:44:40 PM UTC-5, observer wrote:
> > On Monday, January 10, 2022 at 6:26:23 PM UTC-6, dls...@gmail.com
> > > observer wrote:
*> > .> > ---
*> > .> > January 9 2022
*> > .> > https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/dallas-cowboys-open-as-3-point-favorites-against-the-san-francisco-49ers/ar-AASBL7U
*> > .> > ---
~> > /> 3pts..
~> > /> Get outta here.
~> > /> You get 3 pts for being at home.
~> > /> If true the oddsmakers are saying it's a pick-em game.
~> > .> NFW..
/> > https://www.dictionary.com/e/acronyms/nfw/
/> > Are you saying it's -not- a pick-em game, the
/> > 49ers should be favored, or the Cowboys
/> > should be favored by more than 3 points?
/> > Based on an assessment of their playoff
/> > record since their last Super Bowl (11 wins,
/> > 10 losses)
/> > https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/sfo/playoffs.htm
/> > & a careful statistical analysis,
/> > https://groups.google.com/g/alt.sports.football.pro.dallas-cowboys/c/sTQPwrvS2-k/m/o99zUgdzBAAJ
/> > I'd offer the following.
/> > The Cowboys are best in the league in Net
/> > Turnovers. Since you're a Patriots fan, you
/> > may find the following article of interest,
/> > the manner in which the Patriots dominated
/> > the league in Net Turnovers 2001 to 2019:
/> > https://www.nbcsports.com/boston/patriots/these-stats-patriots-turnover-dominance-are-absolutely-incredible
/> > The 49ers, on the other hand, only 10 teams
/> > had a worse Net Turnovers than the 49ers
/> > in 2021.
/> > The Cowboys also are best in the league in
/> > Points Scored, Total Offense Yardage, Most
/> > Interceptions, & Most Takeaways.
/> > They are also 2nd in Passing Yards & in Low-
/> > est 3rd Down Conversion% Allowed.
/> > They are also 3rd in Passing TDs & Passer
/> > Rating & in Lowest Passer Rating Allowed.
/> > That's a total of -10- critical stats that the
/> > Cowboys are in the top 3 in the league.
/> > The 49ers? Best in the league in Red Zone
/> > TD%, 2nd in no stats, 3rd in Fewest Total
/> > Yards Allowed.
/> > So, Cowboys with -10- critical stats in the
/> > top 3 in the league compared to 49ers with
/> > only -2-. The statistical evidence points to
/> > the Cowboys winning the upcoming game
/> > with the 49ers by considerably more than
/> > 3 points.
/> > Top 10 stats, Cowboys with 20, 49ers with
/> > 14, closer but still the Cowboys over 40%
/> > better along with their being 5 times better
/> > in top 3 stats.
/> > No one ever knows for sure but since the
/> > CBS experts referenced in the following
/> > post did so well at predicting the 49ers &
/> > Seahawks upsetting the Rams & Cards, I
/> > look forward to checking out their predic-
/> > tions prior to Saturday:
/> > https://groups.google.com/g/alt.sports.football.pro.dallas-cowboys/c/LzIdXMD3084/m/L4PFe2EKBAAJ
/> > [--- --- ---]
.> I certainly am a gambler!!
.> The line is odd to me because the Boys should
.> be no less than 7 pts favs at home.
.> This is Vegas for you.
.> Throw out all those stats because I don't care
.> about that when betting.
.> The eye test said Dallas is the superior team
.> and the only way they should lose is if they
.> beat themselves.
On the other hand, one stat I was watching ear-
lier in the season, but have neglected to pay any
attention to in the past few weeks, it may play a
big role in the upcoming game:
Big Play 20+ Yards Rushing & Receiving Offense:
49ers rank tied for 9th & tied for 4th,
Cowboys rank tied for 10th & tied for 4th.
Very even, but in Big Play 20+ Yards Rushing &
Receiving Defense: 49ers rank tied for 19th & 19th,
Cowboys rank tied for 29th & tied for 28th.
So, in the upset over the Rams, the 49ers went
from a 17-0 deficit to tie the game & win in over-
time. If the Cowboys get a big lead, their weak-
ness in giving up big plays leads them vulnerable
to a comeback as happened to the Rams last
Also, with all 5 of their losses being in 5 of their
6 lowest rushing yards games, & with the 49ers
ranked 7th in fewest rushing yards defense,
therein resides another vulnerability that may
play a role in a 49ers upset, & as mentioned in
the following post, more Visiting teams than ...
... Home teams have won Wild Card games in
the last 12 years:
--- --- ---