Super Bowl Odds for whatever they're worth

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Jan 10, 2022, 2:36:45 PM (8 days ago) Jan 10
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January 10 2022
https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/green-bay-packers-kansas-city-chiefs-super-bowl-favorites-as-nfl-playoffs-begin-301457431.html
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Via whatever mysterious method the following
article uses to compute Super Bowl Odds, here
they are as of today compared to the Preseason
odds for the 14 playoff teams.

The current rankings adhere for the most part
to seed position with the exception of their
placing the Titans beneath the Chiefs & Bills,
the Rams above the Cowboys, & the Raiders
beneath the Patriots. It appears the odds are
based on games as of week 17, & have not ...

... yet recognized all the changes that trans-
pired in week 18.

Largest Rise in position compared to Presea-
son rankings: Bengals Up 6, Packers & Titans
Up 3. Put another way, those 3 teams were
the ones that were the best in exceeding Pre-
season expectations of oddsmakers.

Largest Drop in position compared to Presea-
son rankings: 49ers Down 7, Bucs & Steelers
Down 3. Put another way, those 3 teams were
the playoff teams that most stood out in fall-
ing short of Preseason expectations, but since
all teams aren't included in the article, don't ...

... know which of the non-playoff teams were
expected to make the playoffs in the Presea-
son but fell short of the mark. Since most Pre-
season odds are based on the previous sea-
son records, I'll guess that the following 2020
playoff teams that didn't make it to the ...

... playoffs this season were among those that
were expected to make it to the playoffs again
but didn't: Ravens, Browns, Colts, Washington,
Bears, Saints, Seahawks.

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Super Bowl Odds for 14 Playoff Teams Today
along with number they moved up or down
compared to Preseason rankings

1. Packers ... +400 ..... NFC Seed 1 ... Up 3
2. Chiefs ...... +500 ..... AFC Seed 2 ... Down 1
3. Bills .......... +700 ..... AFC Seed 3 ... Same
4. Titans ....... +750 ..... AFC Seed 1 ... Up 3
5. Bucs ......... +850 ..... NFC Seed 2 ... Down 3
6. Rams ........ +1000 ... NFC Seed 4 ... Same
7. Cowboys .. +1200 ... NFC Seed 3 ... Up 1

8. Bengals .... +1800 ... AFC Seed 4 ... Up 6
9. Cards ........ +2000 ... NFC Seed 5 ... Up 1
10. Patriots ... +2000 ... AFC Seed 6 ... Down 1
11. 49ers ....... +2500 ... NFC Seed 6 ... Down 7
12. Raiders .... +4000 ... AFC Seed 5 ... Same
13. Eagles ..... +6000 ... NFC Seed 7 ... Same
14. Steelers ... +6000 ... AFC Seed 7 ... Down 3

~~~

Super Bowl Odds for 14 Playoff Teams
in the Preseason (note that the actual
rankings including non-playoff teams
are different from the following as the
article did not include the Preseason
rankings for non-playoff teams)

1. Chiefs ...... +500 ..... AFC Seed 2
2. Bucs ......... +650 ..... NFC Seed 2
3. Bills .......... +1150 ... AFC Seed 3
4. Packers .... +1400 ... NFC Seed 1
4. 49ers ........ +1400 ... NFC Seed 6
6. Rams ........ +1500 ... NFC Seed 4
7. Titans ....... +3000 ... AFC Seed 1

8. Cowboys .. +3500 ... NFC Seed 3
9. Patriots .... +3700 .... AFC Seed 6
10. Cards ...... +4800 ... NFC Seed 5
11. Steelers .. +5000 ... AFC Seed 7
12. Raiders ... +10000 . AFC Seed 5
13. Eagles ..... +12500 . NFC Seed 7
14. Bengals ... +15000 . AFC Seed 4

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