ACC Power Ratings Through Wednesday, January 26th

[George W Harris]

Below are power ratings for ACC men's
basketball games considering only the scores
of games between conference members through
Wednesday, January 26th. The first rating
takes margin of victory fully into account,
while the third rating ignores it completely,
looking only at wins and losses. The second
rating is like the first rating, except it
weighs close games, upsets and games between
closely-matched teams more heavily than blow-
outs of overmatched teams. The third rating
only considers wins and losses. Finally, we
have a rating of schedule difficulty; the
first column is the total record of the teams
played only once (less games played against
the team in question), the second column is the
road record of teams not played at home plus
the home record of teams not played on the
road, and finally is a list of games not on
the schedule, so a poor record indicates a
tough schedule.

Rating One

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
1)Duke 5-1 2-0 18-1 75.6 1)75.4 7) 0.2 1)75.4
2)FSU 5-1 1-0 15-5 73.8 10)65.8 1) 8.0 2)73.6
3)Clemson 3-3 0-0 14-6 73.1 2)73.7 8) -0.5 3)72.8
4)Va Tech 3-3 1-1 13-6 72.8 7)69.45 3) 3.32 4)72.3
5)UNC 4-1 2-0 14-5 72.7 6)69.46 4) 3.28 5)71.5
6)Ga Tech 3-3 0-0 10-9 71.9 4)70.5 5) 1.4 6)71.4
7)Virginia 2-3 1-1 12-7 71.0 11)64.0 2) 7.0 7)70.5
8)BC 4-2 1-0 14-6 70.5 3)73.5 10) -2.9 8)70.3
9)Miami 1-5 0-2 12-8 67.6 8)67.1 6) 0.5 9)68.1
10)Maryland 2-3 1-2 12-7 65.0 9)66.9 9) -1.9 10)64.7
11)NCSU 2-4 0-1 12-8 63.8 5)70.0 11) -6.2 11)63.7
12)Wake 0-5 0-2 7-13 45.3 12)57.3 12)-12.0 12)45.0

Home Court Advantage: 5.3 (5.4)

Rating Two

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Offense Defense Prev
1)Duke 5-1 2-0 18-1 75.1 1)75.5 7) -0.31 1)74.9
2)FSU 5-1 1-0 15-5 74.1 10)65.3 1) 8.8 2)73.9
3)UNC 4-1 2-0 14-5 73.6 5)70.1 4) 3.5 3)72.7
4)Va Tech 3-3 1-1 13-6 73.0 8)67.5 3) 5.5 4)72.6
5)Clemson 3-3 0-0 14-6 72.9 2)74.3 8) -1.4 5)72.5
6)Ga Tech 3-3 0-0 10-9 72.3 4)72.6 6) -0.26 6)71.8
7)Virginia 2-3 1-1 12-7 71.7 11)63.6 2) 8.1 7)71.2
8)BC 4-2 1-0 14-6 71.1 3)74.2 9) -3.1 8)70.9
9)Miami 1-5 0-2 12-8 67.4 9)66.9 5) 0.5 9)67.6
10)Maryland 2-3 1-2 12-7 64.4 7)67.9 10) -3.5 10)64.0
11)NCSU 2-4 0-1 12-8 63.7 6)69.5 11) -5.9 11)63.5
12)Wake 0-5 0-2 7-13 44.8 12)56.8 12)-12.0 12)44.5

Home Court Advantage: 5.3 (5.3)

Rating Three

Record
Rank)Team Conf RW-HL Overall Rating Prev
1)UNC 4-1 2-0 14-5 83.1 2)80.0
2)Duke 5-1 2-0 18-1 80.5 1)80.1
3)FSU 5-1 1-0 15-5 79.5 3)79.6
4)BC 4-2 1-0 14-6 73.5 4)73.8
5)Virginia 2-3 1-1 12-7 73.3 5)72.1
6)Ga Tech 3-3 0-0 10-9 71.7 6)70.7
7)Va Tech 3-3 1-1 13-6 69.7 7)69.3
8)Clemson 3-3 0-0 14-6 66.9 8)67.0
9)Miami 1-5 0-2 12-8 60.2 9)62.3
10)NCSU 2-4 0-1 12-8 59.6 10)60.3
11)Maryland 2-3 1-2 12-7 57.6 11)58.0
12)Wake 0-5 0-2 7-13 39.8 12)40.5

Home Court Advantage: 11.7 (11.4)

Relative Schedules

BostonC 17-15 8-8 Clemson,Duke,FSU,@Ga Tech,@NCSU,@Wake
Clemson 15-17 9-7 Duke,Maryland,Virginia,@BC,@Va Tech,@Wake
Duke 17-16 11-6 FSU,Va Tech,Wake,@BC,@Clemson,@Ga Tech
FSU 18-13 9-7 Ga Tech,Maryland,Va Tech,@BC,@Duke,@Virginia
Ga Tech 21-11 10-8 BC,Duke,NCSU,@FSU,@Maryland,@UNC
Maryland 18-16 11-8 Ga Tech,Miami,UNC,@Clemson,@FSU,@NCSU
Miami 11-19 5-11 NCSU,Va Tech,Wake,@Maryland,@UNC,@Virginia
NC State 14-18 9-8 BC,Maryland,Virginia,@Ga Tech,@Miami,@Va Tech
UNC 10-19 4-13 Ga Tech,Miami,Virginia,@Maryland,@VaTech,@Wake
Va Tech 19-14 10-9 Clemson,NCSU,UNC,@Duke,@FSU,@Miami
Virginia 14-19 7-8 FSU,Miami,Wake,@Clemson,@NCSU,@UNC
Wake 18-15 8-9 BC,Clemson,UNC,@Duke,@Miami,@Virginia

Recent Games

Wednesday, January 26th
UNC @ Miami
Rating1: UNC 62 Miami 64
Rating2: UNC 62 Miami 63
Rating3: UNC by ~6
Result: UNC 74 Miami 71

Results(RMS), Immediate & Cumulative

Rating1: 0-1, 0.000 (5.0); 7-8, 0.467 (14.1)
Rating2: 0-1, 0.000 (4.0); 7-8, 0.467 (13.3)
Rating3: 0-1, 0.000 (11.0); 8-7, 0.533 (15.4)

Upcoming Games

Thursday, January 27th
Maryland @ Virginia
Rating1: Maryland 57 Virginia 69
Rating2: Maryland 57 Virginia 70
Rating3: Virginia by ~27
Boston College @ Duke
Rating1: BC 71 Duke 81
Rating2: BC 72 Duke 81
Rating3: Duke by ~19
--
"Doesn't the fact that there are *exactly* fifty states seem a little suspicious?"

George W. Harris For actual email address, replace each 'u' with an 'i'