mlbteam bpo, plot, rsquareds thru 6.8.2022

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Raw data from Baseball-Reference.com

HITTING
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = PA + SB + CS
TOC = Team Outs Created = AB-H + CS + SF + SH + GIDP + OoB - ROE
TBP = Team Bases Produced = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP+CI -OoB +XBT + ROE
TAdjOPS = TBP/TOC
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = AdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))

Rpf Rk team TEv TOC TBP TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 8 STL 2231 1528 1049 .686518 .717 94 .730338
2 5 NYM 2292 1562 1085 .694622 .737 96 .723565
3 6 PHI 2154 1499 1036 .691127 .735 97 .712502
4 1 LAD 2182 1484 1086 .731806 .755 103 .710491
5 2 NYY 2135 1476 1044 .707317 .747 100 .707317
6 3 SFG 2147 1477 1032 .698714 .727 99 .705772
7 10 MIN 2195 1527 1037 .679109 .729 97 .700112
8 19 SDP 2215 1539 995 .646524 .675 93 .695187
9 13 SEA 2215 1525 1021 .669508 .709 97 .690214
10 4 TOR 2127 1472 1027 .697690 .739 102 .684010
11 12 MIA 2083 1437 970 .675017 .715 99 .681835
12 15 HOU 2157 1511 1000 .661813 .718 98 .675319
13 11 CHC 2181 1505 1021 .678405 .720 101 .671688
14 25 TBR 2119 1506 916 .608234 .676 91 .668389
15 16 MIL 2197 1544 1018 .659326 .697 100 .659326
16 23 WSN 2205 1551 954 .615087 .691 94 .654348
17 18 CLE 2001 1393 906 .650395 .695 100 .650395
18 21 ARI 2157 1536 981 .638672 .681 99 .645123
19 17 LAA 2202 1543 1014 .657161 .711 102 .644275
20 7 ATL 2177 1529 1054 .689339 .737 107 .644242
21 20 TEX 2128 1497 963 .643287 .676 102 .630674
22 9 BOS 2211 1540 1051 .682468 .732 109 .626117
23 22 BAL 2179 1544 956 .619171 .668 104 .595357
24 14 COL 2154 1493 989 .662425 .722 113 .586217
25 28 PIT 1999 1433 834 .581996 .653 100 .581996
26 27 CHW 2028 1460 852 .583562 .653 101 .577784
27 26 KCR 2089 1484 883 .595013 .657 105 .566679
28 29 OAK 2117 1564 819 .523657 .595 96 .545476
29 24 CIN 2083 1479 906 .612576 .688 113 .542103
30 30 DET 1996 1485 735 .494949 .600 99 .499948
totals: 64356 45123 29234 .647874

PITCHING (inc. WP + BK - IBB) + Field Allowed Runners (IBB + ROE)
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = Batters Faced + Steal Attempts
TOI = Team Outs Induced = AB-H+CS+GDP+SH+SF
TBG = Team Bases Given = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP + (WP+BK-IBB) + (IBB+ROE)
TAdjOPS = TBG/TOI
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = TAdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))

Rpf Rk team TEv TOI TBG TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 1 NYY 2054 1511 795 .526142 .605 100 .526142
2 2 LAD 2058 1504 844 .561170 .636 103 .544825
3 8 BOS 2144 1539 932 .605588 .664 109 .555585
4 10 ATL 2196 1536 936 .609375 .660 107 .569509
5 4 HOU 2096 1516 852 .562005 .638 98 .573474
6 6 DET 2052 1474 881 .597693 .660 99 .603730
7 3 SDP 2130 1537 863 .561483 .626 93 .603745
8 9 MIL 2203 1560 946 .606410 .664 100 .606410
9 11 CLE 1927 1375 838 .609455 .659 100 .609455
10 13 TOR 2105 1488 937 .629704 .698 102 .617357
11 14 LAA 2192 1552 985 .634665 .684 102 .622221
12 7 NYM 2224 1573 943 .599491 .669 96 .624470
13 12 PHI 2134 1499 926 .617745 .686 97 .636851
14 20 BAL 2186 1525 1015 .665574 .740 104 .639975
15 19 TEX 2161 1496 989 .661096 .691 102 .648133
16 5 TBR 2109 1522 903 .593298 .654 91 .651976
17 16 SFG 2113 1471 950 .645819 .707 99 .652342
18 27 COL 2240 1501 1122 .747502 .788 113 .661506
19 18 MIA 2031 1428 938 .656863 .701 99 .663498
20 17 MIN 2186 1542 1001 .649157 .701 97 .669234
21 22 CHC 2139 1493 1011 .677160 .737 101 .670455
22 30 CIN 2174 1449 1110 .766046 .777 113 .677917
23 25 CHW 2127 1450 998 .688276 .717 101 .681461
24 24 PIT 2105 1445 992 .686505 .718 100 .686505
25 15 STL 2187 1526 985 .645478 .716 94 .686679
26 21 OAK 2210 1540 1029 .668182 .729 96 .696023
27 23 SEA 2154 1496 1015 .678476 .730 97 .699460
28 26 ARI 2227 1525 1058 .693770 .736 99 .700778
29 28 KCR 2179 1451 1086 .748449 .779 105 .712809
30 29 WSN 2313 1523 1143 .750492 .779 94 .798396
totals: 64356 45047 29023 .644283
hitting: 64356 45123 29234 .647874

Plot of Wins per Game, Y, vs. Share of All Bases per Out, X

.7 +--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+-----*--+
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+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+
| | | | | | *| | * |
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.6 +--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+
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| | | | | * * | | |
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+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------*--------+--------+--------+
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| | | | | | ** | | |
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.5 +--------+--------+--------+--------+------*-+--------+--------+--------+
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| | *| | | | * | | |
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+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+
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| | * | | * | | | |
.4 +--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+
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| | * * | | | | | | |
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| * | | | | | | |
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.3 +--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+
0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.5 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58

fit of plotted data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.40905*X + -0.708154
R-squared = 0.792404 significance = 10.338150

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.941193*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.496739
R-squared = 0.790732 significance = 10.285898

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.955697*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.495947
R-squared = 0.797465 significance = 10.499903

fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.48118*X + -1.24176
R-squared = 0.787074 significance = 10.173538

fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.25623*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.499387
R-squared = 0.787689 significance = 10.192261

fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.2746*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.498867
R-squared = 0.794388 significance = 10.400912

fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.39906*X + -1.20179
R-squared = 0.581057 significance = 6.231759

fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.93933*X + -1.47079
R-squared = 0.728444 significance = 8.666573

fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.81507*X + -0.908392
R-squared = 0.736108 significance = 8.837653


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