mlbteam bpo, plot, r-squared end of regular season, 10/5/2022

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Raw data from Baseball-Reference.com

HITTING
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = PA + SB + CS
TOC = Team Outs Created = AB-H + CS + SF + SH + GIDP + OoB - ROE
TBP = Team Bases Produced = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP+CI -OoB +XBT + ROE
TAdjOPS = TBP/TOC
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = AdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))

Rpf Rk team TEv TOC TBP TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 4 STL 6285 4309 3057 .709445 .745 95 .746784
2 7 NYM 6260 4284 2984 .696545 .744 96 .725568
3 13 SDP 6246 4331 2871 .662895 .700 92 .720538
4 1 LAD 6363 4288 3261 .760494 .775 106 .717447
5 2 NYY 6307 4323 3116 .720796 .751 101 .713659
6 5 TOR 6260 4310 3020 .700696 .760 100 .700696
7 3 ATL 6200 4310 3078 .714153 .761 102 .700150
8 9 MIL 6248 4344 2977 .685313 .724 98 .699299
9 12 SEA 6227 4333 2874 .663282 .705 95 .698192
10 6 PHI 6210 4290 2991 .697203 .739 100 .697203
11 8 HOU 6159 4290 2941 .685548 .743 101 .678760
12 14 MIN 6168 4333 2848 .657281 .718 98 .670695
13 15 ARI 6160 4330 2836 .654965 .689 98 .668332
14 11 SFG 6197 4312 2877 .667208 .705 100 .667208
15 17 CLE 6309 4364 2853 .653758 .699 98 .667100
16 23 TBR 6140 4326 2693 .622515 .686 95 .655279
17 16 TEX 6198 4342 2839 .653846 .696 100 .653846
18 25 WSN 6104 4325 2622 .606243 .688 94 .644939
19 20 CHC 6220 4376 2797 .639168 .698 100 .639168
20 18 BAL 6175 4332 2818 .650508 .695 102 .637753
21 10 BOS 6216 4317 2910 .674079 .731 108 .624147
22 21 KCR 6148 4321 2724 .630410 .686 103 .612049
23 22 LAA 6081 4345 2708 .623245 .687 102 .611025
24 24 CHW 6191 4373 2721 .622227 .698 103 .604104
25 26 PIT 6034 4334 2583 .595985 .655 100 .595985
26 28 MIA 6100 4344 2574 .592541 .658 100 .592541
27 29 OAK 5964 4361 2423 .555607 .626 96 .578757
28 30 DET 5941 4335 2382 .549481 .632 96 .572376
29 19 COL 6170 4339 2795 .644158 .713 113 .570051
30 27 CIN 6069 4340 2578 .594009 .676 110 .540008
totals: 185350 129861 84751 .652629

PITCHING (inc. WP + BK - IBB) + Field Allowed Runners (IBB + ROE)
Rpf = rank after adjusting for Park Factor (AdjAdjOPS)
Rk = raw ADJOPS rank
TEv = Team Events = Batters Faced + Steal Attempts
TOI = Team Outs Induced = AB-H+CS+GDP+SH+SF
TBG = Team Bases Given = TB+BB+SB+SF+SH-CS-GIDP+HBP + (WP+BK-IBB) + (IBB+ROE)
TAdjOPS = TBG/TOI
OrdOPS = ordinary OBP + SLG
PkF = Park Factor
AdjAdjOPS = TAdjOPS*(200/(PkF+100))

Rpf Rk team TEv TOI TBG TAdjOPS OrdOPS PkF AdjAdjOPS
1 2 LAD 5952 4389 2401 .547049 .617 106 .516084
2 1 HOU 5955 4350 2355 .541379 .613 101 .536019
3 3 NYY 6015 4361 2473 .567072 .640 101 .561457
4 4 ATL 6135 4365 2586 .592440 .651 102 .580824
5 6 CLE 6112 4381 2628 .599863 .665 98 .612105
6 12 LAA 6160 4339 2751 .634017 .684 102 .621585
7 5 NYM 6064 4317 2580 .597637 .675 96 .622539
8 11 PHI 6099 4288 2691 .627565 .701 100 .627565
9 7 TBR 6032 4337 2609 .601568 .669 95 .633229
10 13 SFG 6178 4309 2739 .635646 .702 100 .635646
11 16 BAL 6134 4297 2786 .648359 .724 102 .635646
12 19 CHW 6267 4355 2857 .656028 .700 103 .636920
13 8 STL 6084 4304 2614 .607342 .696 95 .639307
14 15 TOR 6169 4323 2773 .641453 .707 100 .641453
15 25 BOS 6297 4302 3023 .702696 .745 108 .650644
16 14 MIL 6164 4354 2785 .639642 .691 98 .652696
17 9 SEA 6110 4340 2696 .621198 .688 95 .653893
18 28 COL 6369 4286 3200 .746617 .786 113 .660723
19 20 MIA 6175 4309 2867 .665352 .720 100 .665352
20 18 MIN 6157 4317 2817 .652536 .707 98 .665853
21 17 DET 6159 4296 2801 .652002 .709 96 .679169
22 22 CHC 6271 4355 2962 .680138 .731 100 .680138
23 10 SDP 6149 4344 2720 .626151 .679 92 .680599
24 29 CIN 6373 4260 3193 .749531 .766 110 .681392
25 23 TEX 6298 4317 2946 .682418 .722 100 .682418
26 21 ARI 6181 4292 2904 .676608 .729 98 .690416
27 27 KCR 6332 4256 3113 .731438 .770 103 .710134
28 26 PIT 6387 4314 3066 .710709 .748 100 .710709
29 24 OAK 6227 4297 3013 .701187 .750 96 .730403
30 30 WSN 6345 4251 3270 .769231 .791 94 .818331
totals: 185350 129605 84219 .649813
hitting: 185350 129861 84751 .652629

Plot of Wins per Game, Y, vs. Share of All Bases per Out, X

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.3 +--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+--------+---
0.42 0.44 0.46 0.48 0.5 0.52 0.54 0.56 0.58

fit of plotted data above:
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.38153*X + -0.693774
R-squared = 0.943929 significance = 21.710886

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.912948*AdjOPSdiff/1 + 0.497604
R-squared = 0.942497 significance = 21.422707

fit to Adjusted OPS including Field Allowed Runners with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 0.923575*AdjOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.497217
R-squared = 0.946984 significance = 22.363941

fit of ordinary OPS share (X) vs. Win share (Y)
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.41088*X + -1.20625
R-squared = 0.931016 significance = 19.439360

fit to ordinary OPS with no park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.21647*ordinaryOPSdiff/1 + 0.499716
R-squared = 0.934247 significance = 19.945882

fit to ordinary OPS with park factors
total data points = 30
equation is W/(W+L) = 1.22946*ordinaryOPSdiff/ParkFactor + 0.499629
R-squared = 0.937545 significance = 20.501808

fit to share of batting average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.65745*X + -1.32959
R-squared = 0.776632 significance = 9.866789

fit to share of on base average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 3.99182*X + -1.4966
R-squared = 0.909403 significance = 16.764852

fit to share of slugging average
total data points = 30
equation is Y = 2.82168*X + -0.911258
R-squared = 0.872305 significance = 13.830099


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