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Larrie Malobenski

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Jan 15, 2005, 6:32:54 PM1/15/05
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" Watch the skies, everywhere! Keep looking. Keep watching the skies!"
Scotty's final line in "The Thing" (1951) just before the camera goes to
fade.


'
Solar Terrestrial Dispatch

http://www.spacew.com

15 January 2005

MULTIPLE MAJOR FLARES FROM A VERY LARGE SUNSPOT

A very large sunspot is now easily visible to the unaided eye.

The sunspot complex known as Region 10720 (or abbreviated as just

Region 720) is a huge mass of magnetic fields. The magnetic fields

protrude through the "surface" of the Sun and cool the region

where they protrude. The cooler region appears dark against the

brighter background. This darker "spot" is known as a sunspot.

Most sunspots are relatively small, but Region 720 is quickly

becoming a behemoth. It is currently capable of swallowing 5

entire Earths. And the powerful magnetic fields emanating from its

core are the source of some of the most energetic explosions known

to man. Within a 6 hour period commencing early on 15 January,

Region 720 used its tangled mass of magnetic fields to unleash

three major solar flares, including one X-class event. Although

the X-class flare was brighter in x-rays (reaching a class X1.2

intensity), the last of the three events (a major class M8.6

event) was by far the most energetic overall. Whereas the X-class

flare lasted only about 20 minutes in duration, the strong M-class

flare lasted almost one and a half hours, produced intense radio

bursts, and succeeded in accelerating energetic protons Earthward.

The major class M8.6 solar flare is believed to have been

associated with an Earthward-directed coronal mass ejection,

although the data to confirm this is not yet available. An

analysis is still in-progress, but it is likely that we will see a

moderately strong impact at the Earth from this coronal mass

ejection sometime on 16 January that should last into 17 January

(UTC time). A middle latitude auroral activity watch will very

likely be released for this event within the next 24 hours. North

Americans should probably be alert for northern lights activity on

the evening of 16 November, but anytime during the next week could

yield surprises.

Region 720 is expected to continue to produce strong solar flare

activity for as long as perhaps the next week. It will be capable

of throwing additional mass Earthward over at least the next

several (3-5) days, with the next 2 to 3 days being the most

sensitive.

It is interesting to note that the Sun is within about 2 years of

reaching the minimum of the sunspot activity cycle. Todays

energetic solar activity reaffirms the fact that the most

energetic solar activity tends to occur during the declining years

of the sunspot cycle. Several more solar outbursts (unrelated to

Region 720) will be possible before we reach the sunspot minimum

in late 2006 or early 2007.

So watch the skies folks, It's a good THING!!!

FishWisher

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Jan 16, 2005, 10:08:11 AM1/16/05
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So, after all that good stuff, is all that activity gonna warm us up a few
degrees?! Please!? 42 overnight here, 44 was the high yesterday. Like livin'
in a fridge!

Puhleeeeeeeese! I pray that those Global Warming nuts are right pretty soon!
--
Dale Gillespie

http://groups.msn.com/FishWishersHomePage/_whatsnew.msnw

http://groups.msn.com/CoachpotatosRVHomepage/_whatsnew.msnw


"Larrie Malobenski" <lmaloben@ alltelremove.net> wrote in message
news:34tnhcF...@individual.net...

Jim Redelfs

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Jan 16, 2005, 11:11:49 AM1/16/05
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In article <tLKdnZDJmoL...@comcast.com>,
"FishWisher" <CoachPot...@comcast.net> wrote:

> So, after all that good stuff, is all that activity gonna warm us up a few
> degrees?! Please!? 42 overnight here, 44 was the high yesterday. Like livin'
> in a fridge!

Aw, qwit it! Yer breakin' my heart! :)

We got down to -8F last night. I actually ventured out to remove some snow
and ice and apply some 50-cents/lb potassium chloride.

> Puhleeeeeeeese! I pray that those Global Warming nuts are right pretty soon!

Hehehehe! BURN that electricity and propane, baby! HA!

(I hope you/we warm up soon.)

:)
JR

25-ft TT frozen solid
under ~15-inches snow

Ralph E Lindberg

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Jan 16, 2005, 12:06:18 PM1/16/05
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In article <jim.redelfs-A54F...@news.central.cox.net>,
Jim Redelfs <jim.r...@redelfs.com> wrote:

> In article <tLKdnZDJmoL...@comcast.com>,
> "FishWisher" <CoachPot...@comcast.net> wrote:
>
> > So, after all that good stuff, is all that activity gonna warm us up a few
> > degrees?! Please!? 42 overnight here, 44 was the high yesterday. Like
> > livin'
> > in a fridge!
>
> Aw, qwit it! Yer breakin' my heart! :)
>
> We got down to -8F last night. I actually ventured out to remove some snow
> and ice and apply some 50-cents/lb potassium chloride.
>

While only 30 here, my mother had -45 a couple days ago

--
--------------------------------------------------------
Personal e-mail is the n7bsn but at amsat.org
This posting address is a spam-trap and seldom read
RV and Camping FAQ can be found at
http://www.ralphandellen.us/rv

Jim Redelfs

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Jan 16, 2005, 12:14:44 PM1/16/05
to
In article <n7bsn-7AD2CE....@individual.net>,

Ralph E Lindberg <n7...@callsign.net> wrote:

> > 42 overnight here, 44 was the high yesterday.
> > Like livin' in a fridge!

> > Aw, qwit it! Yer breakin' my heart! :)
> >
> > We got down to -8F last night.

> While only 30 here, my mother had -45 a couple days ago

Where was that?

:)
JR

Rich

unread,
Jan 17, 2005, 7:58:05 AM1/17/05
to
On Sun, 16 Jan 2005 07:08:11 -0800, "FishWisher"
<CoachPot...@comcast.net> wrote:

>So, after all that good stuff, is all that activity gonna warm us up a few
>degrees?! Please!? 42 overnight here, 44 was the high yesterday. Like livin'
>in a fridge!
>
>Puhleeeeeeeese! I pray that those Global Warming nuts are right pretty soon!

i'd kill for 42 right about now. 7am in suburban chicago and we have
a total of 3 degrees...and its dropping!

rich

Ralph E Lindberg

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Jan 17, 2005, 10:57:48 AM1/17/05
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In article <jim.redelfs-B622...@news.central.cox.net>,
Jim Redelfs <jim.r...@redelfs.com> wrote:

Near Great Falls Mt, BTW by Tuesday it will be +50

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