news:oJmdnb6ob5fNSIL8...@giganews.com...
Yep but if you look at the number of addition cases... and the number of
Covid related deaths you will find a vast disparity.
Now... one would tend to think that without Covid, the normal trends would
continue, and thus any additional deaths would be due to Covid.
Except if you look at the number of the increase shown, and the number of
deaths attributed to covid-19 you find a rather drastic disparity between
them.
Here is a story from Sept 3, 2020 how the COVID related deaths were expected
to top 200,000 by the end of the month, and further down you will find that
the count of COVID related deaths stands at 183,000
https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2020-09-03/cdc-us-coronavirus-death-toll-to-top-200-000-by-sept-26
Now... look at the chart in Rudy's cite for the chart which shows the Deaths
per 100,000 population.
We have a line just below 1,000 per 100,000 population so let's call it 950.
Midway between 1,000 and 500 we have another line, that's 750
If we look at the point for 2019 we are about half way between those lines
or around 850 per 100,000 population. The increase at it's peak in September
is an addition 100 people per 100,000 population per year (but we're only
looking at 2/3 of a year)
US population is a bit under 330 Million or about 3,300 groups of 100,000.
Multiple by the extra 100 people who died per year (this is using the shown
peak in September of 2020, rather considering the slope so the result will
be far higher than actual).
3,300 * 100 = 33,000 deaths per year (or about 22,000 as of September)
Yet, according to the paper the death toll already stands at 183,000 people
183,000 vs 22,000 people..
that's EIGHT TIMES MORE THAN THE CHANGE IN THE DEATH TOLL INDICATES.
I can hear you now, but some of those who died were the results of
complications with Covid... which would mean that we could expect those who
would have lived longer to suddenly die sooner due to Covid, right, and thus
would already show up in the peak represented by Rudy's cite.
The fact remains that the number of extra people who died during that period
is FAR below the claims of how many died of Covid.
IOW, a lot of people who died from the usual things... were falsely
attributed to dying from Covid.
Please note. I only used Rudy's source and the first link that showed the
Covid death toll around the beginning of September.
I didn't have to do any real hunting to get numbers that agreed with me...
just the reported Covid deaths as reported in the news... and Rudy's OWN
source. to produce a disparity of over 800% which if ANYTHING is
understating the case such I used the PEAK value rather than calculating the
area under the curve.
IOW, my approach assumed the WORSE rate for the entire period between
Jan-Sept 2020. In fact in every case I errored in Rudy's favor.
So, if Covid was so deadly... it apparently didn't make itself known in
RUDY'S OWN DATA.
183,000 covid related deaths as reported by the media vs Rudy's source which
indicates at most 22,000.
But feel free to look at the change in death rate and the number of deaths
attributed to covid and see if you can come anywhere even close to making
them match.....
It remains that Covid related deaths counted a lot of deaths that had
nothing to do with having, had, or being exposed to Covid.