On 12/16/2016 9:41 AM, JTEM the awesome Film Maker wrote:
> docufo wrote:
>
>> It's all speculation, Jethro
>
> No it isn't, Ellie Mae. We begin with facts,
> genuine observations, and then build on those.
>
> "The number of intelligent species arising
> is greater than the number of intelligent
> species surviving long enough to achieve a
> high level of technology."
Eh, all it takes is one highly evolved intelligent species, Mr. Clampett.
Earth is now believed to be one of the Universe's first habitable
planets. This would support the speculation that in such a remarkably
long period, another intelligent species was created. It is actually
more likely that the Ultra-Terrestrial Hypothesis (UTH) is applicable
than the ETH, admittedly. However, if Mars or the missing asteroid zone
planet evolved intelligent life, it could've ended up here. Looking for
signs of intelligent life is a high priority these days, with China
kicking in its huge radio telescope to search for ETs. NASA obviously is
scouring Mars photos to find any indication of artificial structures.
What the missing mystery planet was like that is today masses of
revolving rocks is anyone's guess. Being farther away from the Sun, it
would probably have been a colder more inhospitable planet, but there
are also scientists who think the Sun's output may have been greater
much earlier.
>
> This is a fact. It has to be this way. It's
> a given. It's like saying that the number of
> babies born is greater than the number of
> babies that reach adulthood. We don't have to
> know anything about a culture on this earth
> to know for a fact that this is true.
>
> Next, we have the earth model.
>
> The dinosaur era was extremely long. So long,
> in fact, that we honestly have no idea WHY
> an intelligent, technological species did not
> arise. And because we honestly don't know how
> this is possible we can't take the Drake
> Equation seriously. We honestly can't determine
> even a half-decent approximation of the number
> of potential civilization in the galaxy. It's
> impossible, can't be done... not when we have
> no clue how or why it did (and did not) happen
> here.
LOL! Well, the Drake Equation was originally formulated very early in
our budding space program, to serve as a general guideline for the
ballpark number of possible civilizations out there.
SETI regards the equation as a "simple, effective tool for stimulating
intellectual curiosity about the universe around us, for helping us to
understand that life as we know it is the end product of a natural,
cosmic evolution, and for making us realize how much we are a part of
that universe."
http://www.seti.org/drakeequation
It is not generally regarded today with as much enthusiasm as it once
was among ET hunters. It is logical, though, that X number of
civilizations exist or have existed. It would seem logical that more
than one civilization could've developed on Earth and the traces of it
erased.
>
>> I think it's entirely sensible to consider that a pre-human race,
>> perhaps rather small by comparison, inhabited this planet or a nearby
>> planet (still here - Mars - or long gone - asteroid belt region). They
>> could've evolved here or extraterrestrially (sic).
>
> Sensible? No. Plausible? No. Possible? Yes.
What is sensible, plausible, probable, or possible in speculative
matters, relies on subjectivity in interpretation, primarily. The term
sensible means reasonable. It is then reasonable to allow for the
possibility aforementioned. We're talking speculation here, Mr.
Clampett, not facts. Yours are in the same category.
I've not leaped to conclusions of any kind about aliens being here. It
is all hypothetical to me, and always has been, as to whether alien
intelligence is or was present here. That is why I focus heavily on
official outstanding aerial unknowns in the past, and find the detailed
observations of what's interpreted to be a flying craft unlike any human
technology had then (or even has today). The observations of UAP,
appearing to be aerial craft, entering/exiting oceans sensibly lead to
speculation that aliens might have underground bases. Stealthy
co-habitation would necessitate, in our dimension, either going
underground or operating on a nearby planet or satellite (perhaps also
underground).
>
> The way a serious investigation would work is
> to form predictions:
>
> "If such a civilization existed, they probably
> would have used [A], which after tens of
> millions of years would look like [B] in the
> soil/rock. So let's look for rock with
> inexplicably high content of [B]."
>
> Now, in the above, all you have to do is
> assign a value to [B] and you have a
> genuine, scientific method for investigating
> pre human civilizations.
>
> That's it.
>
> Well, assuming that whatever value/definition
> for [B] you chose is a realistic one. If you
> can genuinely identify SOMETHING -- a chemical,
> atomic signature -- that should never be
> present in a rock *unless* some artificial
> material/process had been present tens or hundreds
> of millions of years ago, you can scientifically
> test for pre humans.
Oh, you mean chemical signatures left by a civilization long gone, found
as traces of industrial activity in rock specimens! LOL!
Well, if it were that simple, I'm sure scientists or amateurs had
thought of it long ago. But where are those rocks of billions of years
ago now? The presumption is that there was considerable industrial
fallout absorbed in rock, yet was that prehuman species' the kind of
technological society we've become? Is it not possible they made early
breakthroughs in halting pollutants to such a high degree as to make
such traces non-existent over such a long period (because the traces
would eventually disappear, especially with the absence of more lasting
chemical signatures)? IOW, did their technology evolve similarly to
ours? Again, more fuel for speculation. If they were naturally much
smarter, they may well have thought of things we missed, or possibly
more ethical, and wanted a cleaner environment.
The prehuman species could've been small comparatively, causing more
difficulty in finding traces in rock or any other kind of artifact.
If some UFOs are their flying craft, there has been no detection of
chemical signatures in our environment that would indicate anything
beyond human technology - and that may be due to a propulsion system
like anti-gravity that would not be detectable. Craft may be
manufactured underground or on another planet, perhaps also underground.
Well, isn't unrestrained speculation more fun than a monkey dance? You
see, early on, and continuing to this grim day, you've attempted to
pigeonhole me as a stereotypical "UFO nutter" who believes speculation
is fact, that a light in the night sky is an alien vessel, that aliens
are running amok and abducting humans, eating cow rectums and penises,
etc. LOL!
Sorry to disappoint you, Mr. Bias Skeptic, but maybe you can adjust to
the reality of how misguided you've been.
^Y^
U