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Ukraine's Looming "19 Fukushimas" Scenario
.. In the meantime, the Ukraine is in full-blown collapse - all five glorious
stages of it - setting the stage for a Ukrainian Nightmare Before Christmas,
or shortly after.
Phase 1. Financially, the Ukrainian government is in sovereign default as of
a couple of days ago. The IMF was forced to break its own rules in order to
keep it on life support even though it is clearly a deadbeat. In the process,
the IMF stiffed Russia, which happens to be one of its major shareholders;
what gives?
Phase 2. Industry and commerce are approaching a standstill and the country
is rapidly deindustrializing. Formerly, most of the trade was with Russia;
this is now over. The Ukraine does not make anything that the EU might want,
except maybe prostitutes. Recently, the Ukraine has been selling off its dirt.
This is illegal, but, given what's been happening there, the term "illegal"
has become the stuff of comedy.
Phase 3. Politically, the Ukrainian government is a total farce. Much of it
has been turned over to fly-by-night foreigners, such as the former Georgian
president Saakashvili, who is a wanted criminal in his own country, which has
recently stripped him of his citizenship. The parliament is stocked with
criminals who bought their seat to gain immunity from prosecution, and who
spend their time brawling with each other. Prime Minister Yatsenyuk was
recently hauled off the podium by his crotch; how dignified is that? He seemed
unfazed. Where are his testicles? Perhaps Victoria Nuland over at the US State
Dept. is keeping them in a jar. This sort of action may be fun to watch on
Youtube, but the reality is quite sad: those who "run" the Ukraine (if the
term still applies) are only interested in one thing: stealing whatever is
left.
Phase 4. Ukrainian society (if the term still applies) has been split into a
number of warring factions. This was, to some extent, inevitable. What happens
if you take bits of Poland, Hungary, Romania and Russia, and stick them
together willy-nilly? Well, results may vary; but if you also spend $5 billion
US (as the Americans did) turning the Ukrainians against Russia (and, since
they are mostly Russian, against themselves), then you get a complete
disaster.
Phase 5. Cultural collapse is quite advanced. The Ukraine once had the same
world-class educational system as Russia, but since independence they switched
to teaching in Ukrainian (a made-up language) using nonexistent textbooks. The
kids have been taught a bogus history hallucinated by rabid Ukrainian
nationalists. They've been told that Russia is backward and keeping them back,
and that they deserve to be happy in the EU. (Just like the Greeks? Yeah...)
But now the population has been reduced to levels of poverty not commonly seen
outside of Africa, and young people are fleeing, or turning to gangsterism and
prostitution, to merely survive. This doesn't make for a happy cultural
narrative. What does it mean to be "a Ukrainian" now? Expletives deleted.
Sorry I asked.
Now, here's what it all really means. With so much going wrong, the Ukraine
has been unable to secure enough natural gas or coal supplies to provide a
supply cushion in case of a cold snap this winter. .. the Ukraine produces
over half of its electricity using nuclear power plants. .. And this is in a
country whose economy is in free-fall ..
How close is Ukraine to a major nuclear accident? Well, it turns out, very
close: just recently one was narrowly avoided .. I hope that you know this
already, but, just in case, let me spell it out again. ..
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And so the nightmare scenario for the Ukraine is a simple one. ..
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